Stock Analysis on Net

Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:OXY)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows a strong recovery from a significant negative value of -14,889 million USD in 2020 to positive figures in the following years, peaking at 12,526 million USD in 2022. However, after 2022, the profit declines steadily to 5,524 million USD in 2023 and further to 3,380 million USD in 2024, indicating decreasing profitability after initial improvement.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital demonstrates an overall increasing trend from 10.37% in 2020, rising sharply to 15.25% by the end of 2022. It then slightly decreases in the subsequent years to 15.13% in 2023 and 14.09% in 2024. This suggests an elevated risk perception or financing costs increasing significantly in the earlier part of the period, followed by a modest easing.
Invested Capital
Invested capital declined from 63,270 million USD in 2020 to a low of 56,295 million USD in 2022, indicating potential capital divestment or asset sales. However, from 2022 onward, invested capital begins to rise, reaching 66,896 million USD in 2024, which may suggest renewed investments or acquisitions after a period of contraction.
Economic Profit
Economic profit is consistently negative in 2020 and 2021, improving to a positive 3,939 million USD in 2022, which aligns with the peak in NOPAT. Nonetheless, it turns negative again in 2023 and further deteriorates in 2024 to -6,042 million USD, implying that despite accounting profits, the returns did not sufficiently exceed the cost of capital in recent years, signaling value destruction over the last two periods.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Occidental Petroleum Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Occidental
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest and debt expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest and debt expense, net
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net6
Adjusted interest and debt expense, net, after taxes7
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net = Adjusted interest and debt expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.

8 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net income (loss) attributable to Occidental
The net income shows a significant turnaround from a substantial loss of -14,831 million USD in 2020 to a positive net income of 2,322 million USD in 2021. This positive trend continues with a peak net income of 13,304 million USD in 2022, indicating a strong recovery and profitability increase. However, the net income declines in subsequent years, dropping to 4,696 million USD in 2023 and further to 3,056 million USD in 2024, suggesting some challenges or decreased profitability in the most recent periods.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT also follows a similar pattern, starting with a negative value of -14,889 million USD in 2020, reflecting operating losses. A considerable improvement occurs in 2021 with a positive NOPAT of 4,213 million USD, followed by a substantial increase to 12,526 million USD in 2022. Like net income, the NOPAT decreases over the subsequent periods to 5,524 million USD in 2023 and declining further to 3,380 million USD in 2024, indicating reduced operating profitability after a peak performance in 2022.
Overall Trend and Insights
The data reflects a strong recovery and improved profitability between 2020 and 2022, both in net income and operating profits. This suggests effective operational improvements or favorable market conditions during this interval. However, the decline from 2023 onwards in both metrics points to emerging challenges or less favorable conditions impacting profitability. Despite the reductions, the figures remain positive in the latest years, indicating ongoing profitability, albeit at a reduced level compared to the 2022 peak.

Cash Operating Taxes

Occidental Petroleum Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and debt expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data indicates notable fluctuations in tax-related expenses over the five-year period. The income tax expense (benefit) shows a significant shift from a substantial tax benefit in 2020 to positive tax expenses in subsequent years. Specifically, there was a large negative expense (tax benefit) recorded in 2020, which reversed sharply to a positive tax expense in 2021 and remained positive through 2024. While the amount decreased slightly in 2022 compared to 2021, it increased again in 2023 before declining somewhat in 2024.

Cash operating taxes demonstrated a clear upward trajectory from 2020 through 2022, tripling over this period. This growth slowed noticeably in 2023, where the cash taxes decreased from the previous year, and remained relatively stable into 2024. The spike in cash operating taxes in 2022 could reflect an underlying increase in taxable income or changes in operational profitability or tax regulations during that year.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
Exhibited a transition from a tax benefit of -2,172 million US dollars in 2020 to positive expenses in the range of 813 to 1,733 million US dollars in the following years, indicating a reversal from a net tax credit to a liability position.
Cash Operating Taxes
Increased substantially from 655 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2,681 million US dollars in 2022, before declining and stabilizing around 1,887 to 1,892 million US dollars in 2023 and 2024 respectively.

Overall, the data suggests a period of tax volatility in 2020 followed by a normalization to consistent tax payments. The divergence between income tax expense and cash operating taxes in some years may reflect timing differences, deferred tax items, or adjustments related to tax regulations and accounting interpretations. The reduction in cash taxes from the 2022 peak hints at either improved tax planning, changes in profitability, or external factors affecting taxable income in recent years.


Invested Capital

Occidental Petroleum Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
LIFO reserve4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases showed a significant decline from 37,299 million USD at the end of 2020 to 20,765 million USD by the end of 2022. This reduction indicates a deleveraging trend over the initial two years. However, from 2023 onwards, there was a slight increase in debt levels, rising to 20,911 million USD, followed by a more pronounced rise to 27,104 million USD in 2024. This suggests a possible shift toward increased leverage or additional financing after a period of debt reduction.
Stockholders' Equity
Stockholders’ equity exhibited a consistent upward trajectory over the entire period. Starting at 18,573 million USD in 2020, it increased to 20,327 million USD in 2021 and continued the upward trend to 30,085 million USD in 2022. The growth persisted in subsequent years, reaching 30,250 million USD in 2023 and further advancing to 34,159 million USD in 2024. This steady increase reflects positive retained earnings and/or additional equity contributions, strengthening the company's net asset base.
Invested Capital
Invested capital declined from 63,270 million USD in 2020 to 56,295 million USD in 2022, indicating a contraction in capital employed. The level stabilized slightly in 2023 at 56,860 million USD but then experienced a substantial increase to 66,896 million USD in 2024. This late surge could be indicative of renewed investment or capital infusion, possibly aligning with the increase in reported debt during the same period.
Overall Analysis
The financial data depict an initial phase of deleveraging combined with growth in equity and reduced invested capital through the first three years. From 2023 onwards, there is a reversal in debt trend accompanied by a significant increase in invested capital and continued growth in equity. This pattern may imply strategic shifts such as expansion initiatives funded by a mix of increased leverage and equity strengthening. The overall positive trajectory in equity underscores improved net worth despite fluctuations in debt and capital employed.

Cost of Capital

Occidental Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio over the five-year period reveals distinct fluctuations in performance and capital utilization.

Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited a significant loss in 2020 at approximately -21.4 billion US dollars, which markedly improved to a loss of around -2.9 billion in 2021. In 2022, the company achieved a positive economic profit of nearly 3.9 billion US dollars, indicating a turnaround in value creation. However, losses recurred in the subsequent years, with economic profit declining to about -3.1 billion in 2023 and further to approximately -6.0 billion in 2024. This pattern suggests a volatile ability to generate returns above the cost of capital over the examined period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed an initial decrease from approximately 63.3 billion US dollars in 2020 to about 58.1 billion in 2021. This downward trend continued into 2022, with capital further reducing to around 56.3 billion US dollars. In 2023, the invested capital stabilized slightly at approximately 56.9 billion, but in 2024, there was a significant increase, reaching nearly 66.9 billion US dollars. This rise in the final year may reflect increased investments or asset acquisitions despite the economic profit losses.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the return on invested capital relative to its cost, aligns closely with the economic profit trends. Starting at a deeply negative -33.9% in 2020, it improved significantly to -4.97% in 2021 and turned positive to 7% in 2022, coinciding with the positive economic profit observed that year. Nevertheless, it reverted to negative values subsequently, registering -5.42% in 2023 and worsening to -9.03% in 2024, indicating that returns again fell below the cost of capital.

Overall, the data demonstrate a period of extreme underperformance in 2020 followed by a brief recovery in 2022. However, the latter years show a return to negative economic profitability, despite an increase in invested capital in 2024. This suggests potential challenges in achieving sustainable value creation in recent years, with capital investments not yet translating into positive economic returns.


Economic Profit Margin

Occidental Petroleum Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit displayed significant volatility over the five-year period. It started with a substantial negative value of -21,449 million US dollars in 2020, improved considerably to -2,885 million in 2021, and then shifted to a positive 3,939 million in 2022. However, the profit declined again in subsequent years, registering negative values of -3,080 million in 2023 and further decreasing to -6,042 million in 2024. This pattern suggests unstable profitability with a brief recovery in 2022 that was not sustained.
Net Sales
Net sales exhibited a growth trend from 17,809 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 36,634 million in 2022. After reaching this high, net sales declined to 28,257 million in 2023 and further to 26,725 million in 2024. The overall trend indicates strong revenue growth until 2022, followed by a notable decrease in the subsequent two years.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the fluctuations observed in economic profit. It started at an extreme negative margin of -120.44% in 2020, improved markedly to -11.12% in 2021, and became positive at 10.75% in 2022. Following this, the margin reversed to a negative -10.9% in 2023 and further declined to -22.61% in 2024. This indicates that profitability relative to sales was highly unstable, showing a recovery in 2022 but deteriorating again thereafter.
Overall Insights
The data reflects a challenging financial performance characterized by considerable fluctuations in both economic profit and profit margins, despite variable net sales growth. The company's highest net sales and positive profitability occurred in 2022, but this was not maintained in the following years. The negative economic profit margins in 2023 and 2024 suggest pressures on profitability, possibly due to increased costs or other adverse factors that impacted the ability to convert sales into economic profit.