Stock Analysis on Net

AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

AT&T Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of economic profit reveals a period of significant volatility and value destruction between 2022 and 2024, followed by a recovery to positive value creation by the end of 2025. The overall trend indicates a struggle to maintain returns above the cost of capital during the middle of the period, primarily driven by a collapse in operating profitability in 2022.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
A severe contraction is observed in 2022, where NOPAT dropped from 32,698 million to 1,500 million. Although a recovery began in 2023 with 22,742 million, a subsequent dip occurred in 2024 before the figure rebounded to 32,194 million in 2025, nearly returning to 2021 levels.
Cost of Capital Trajectory
The cost of capital exhibited a general upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at 7.03% in 2021, it rose to a peak of 8.53% in 2024. This increasing trend implies a higher financial hurdle for the company to achieve positive economic profit, as the required return on invested capital became more expensive.
Invested Capital Fluctuations
Invested capital underwent a significant reduction in 2022, falling from 439,195 million to 309,447 million, suggesting substantial divestments or asset write-downs. Following this correction, invested capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 314,065 million and 337,331 million through 2025.
Economic Profit and Value Creation
Economic profit shifted from a positive 1,807 million in 2021 to a deep deficit of -22,147 million in 2022, marking a period of intense value destruction. While the deficit narrowed in 2023, it widened again in 2024 to -7,968 million. A turnaround is evident in 2025, with economic profit returning to a positive 3,873 million, indicating that the company finally generated returns exceeding its cost of capital.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

AT&T Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income (loss) attributable to AT&T
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit loss2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit loss.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to AT&T.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to AT&T.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

9 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited significant fluctuation over the five-year period. While net income attributable to AT&T also showed volatility, the NOPAT figures present a distinct pattern of initial decline, subsequent recovery, and further growth. A substantial decrease in NOPAT is observed between 2021 and 2022, followed by a period of recovery and expansion through 2025.

NOPAT Trend
In 2021, NOPAT stood at US$32,698 million. This value decreased dramatically to US$1,500 million in 2022, representing a significant contraction in operating profitability. A strong recovery occurred in 2023, with NOPAT reaching US$22,742 million. This upward trend continued into 2024, with NOPAT reported at US$18,826 million, although at a slower rate of increase than the prior year. Finally, NOPAT experienced substantial growth in 2025, reaching US$32,194 million, nearly returning to the level observed in 2021.
Relationship to Net Income
The divergence between NOPAT and net income is notable. While net income experienced a substantial loss in 2022, NOPAT, though significantly reduced, remained positive. This suggests that non-operating items contributed substantially to the net loss in 2022. In 2023 and 2025, NOPAT growth outpaced net income growth, indicating improved core operational performance relative to other financial influences. The difference between NOPAT and net income suggests the presence of significant interest expense, non-recurring items, or tax adjustments impacting the bottom line.

The fluctuations in NOPAT warrant further investigation to understand the underlying drivers. The sharp decline in 2022 requires detailed analysis of operational performance, cost structures, and any significant one-time events. The subsequent recovery and growth demonstrate an ability to improve operational profitability, but the slower growth rate in 2024 suggests potential headwinds or challenges to sustaining the momentum. The strong performance in 2025 indicates a return to robust operational profitability.


Cash Operating Taxes

AT&T Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The reported income tax expense demonstrates fluctuation over the five-year period. A decrease is observed from 2021 to 2022, followed by increases in 2022 and 2023, a further increase in 2024, and then a decrease in 2025. However, cash operating taxes exhibit a different pattern, showing a more substantial increase between 2021 and 2024 before declining in the most recent year.

Income Tax Expense Trend
Income tax expense began at US$5,468 million in 2021, decreased to US$3,780 million in 2022, and then increased to US$4,225 million in 2023. This upward trend continued into 2024, reaching US$4,445 million, before decreasing to US$3,621 million in 2025. The largest single-year decrease occurred between 2021 and 2022, while the largest single-year increase occurred between 2022 and 2023.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes increased from US$1,603 million in 2021 to US$2,134 million in 2022. A significant increase is then observed, rising to US$4,298 million in 2023 and further to US$5,277 million in 2024. In 2025, cash operating taxes decreased substantially to US$2,308 million. The period between 2021 and 2024 shows a consistent upward trajectory, while 2025 represents a considerable decline.
Relationship Between Income Tax Expense and Cash Operating Taxes
While both metrics relate to taxation, their movements diverge. Cash operating taxes generally increased at a faster rate than income tax expense between 2021 and 2024. The substantial decrease in cash operating taxes in 2025, while income tax expense also decreased, suggests a potential shift in the timing of tax payments or changes in tax planning strategies. The difference between the two metrics indicates the presence of deferred tax items or other non-cash tax effects.

The fluctuations in both income tax expense and cash operating taxes warrant further investigation to understand the underlying drivers. The significant divergence in trends between the two metrics, particularly in 2025, suggests a need to examine the components of each figure in greater detail.


Invested Capital

AT&T Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Debt maturing within one year
Long-term debt, excluding maturing within one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity attributable to AT&T
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit loss3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Redeemable noncontrolling interest
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted stockholders’ equity attributable to AT&T
Under construction6
Investment securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity attributable to AT&T.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of under construction.

7 Subtraction of investment securities.


The reported invested capital exhibited considerable fluctuation over the five-year period. Total reported debt & leases and stockholders’ equity attributable to AT&T both experienced significant changes, contributing to the observed trends in invested capital.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital decreased substantially from US$439,195 million in 2021 to US$309,447 million in 2022, representing a decline of approximately 29.7%. A moderate increase followed, with invested capital reaching US$326,144 million in 2023. This was followed by a slight decrease to US$314,065 million in 2024. The most recent year, 2025, shows a further increase to US$337,331 million.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases decreased significantly from US$202,321 million in 2021 to US$158,096 million in 2022, a reduction of roughly 21.8%. The level remained relatively stable through 2023 at US$158,423 million, before decreasing again to US$144,456 million in 2024. In 2025, debt & leases increased to US$158,624 million, approaching the 2022 level.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity attributable to AT&T experienced a substantial decrease from US$166,332 million in 2021 to US$97,500 million in 2022, a decline of approximately 41.2%. Subsequent years showed a recovery, with equity increasing to US$103,297 million in 2023, US$104,372 million in 2024, and further to US$110,533 million in 2025. While recovering, equity levels remained below those observed in 2021.

The fluctuations in invested capital appear to be driven primarily by the significant changes in both debt & leases and stockholders’ equity. The substantial decrease in both components in 2022 resulted in the largest drop in invested capital during the period. The subsequent recovery in equity, coupled with relatively stable debt levels in 2023-2025, contributed to the stabilization and modest increase in invested capital observed in those years.


Cost of Capital

AT&T Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
5.000% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A ÷ = × =
4.750% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
5.000% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A ÷ = × =
4.750% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
5.000% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A ÷ = × =
4.750% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
5.000% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A ÷ = × =
4.750% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
5.000% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A ÷ = × =
4.750% Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series C ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

AT&T Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
T-Mobile US Inc.
Verizon Communications Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between 2021 and 2025 is characterized by significant volatility in economic profit and a substantial reduction in invested capital during the early part of the period, culminating in a return to positive value creation by 2025.

Economic Profit Trends
A sharp transition occurred between 2021 and 2022, where economic profit plummeted from a positive 1,807 million US$ to a deficit of 22,147 million US$. Although a partial recovery was observed in 2023, a second downturn occurred in 2024 with a loss of 7,968 million US$, before the metric returned to a positive position of 3,873 million US$ by the end of 2025.
Invested Capital Dynamics
A significant contraction in invested capital was recorded in 2022, falling from 439,195 million US$ to 309,447 million US$. Following this reduction, the capital base remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 314,065 million US$ and 337,331 million US$ through 2025.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio reflects a period of value destruction between 2022 and 2024. The ratio dropped from a marginal positive of 0.41% in 2021 to a low of -7.16% in 2022. While the ratio improved to -0.34% in 2023, it dipped again to -2.54% in 2024. The trend reversed in 2025, with the ratio reaching 1.15%, indicating that the return on invested capital once again exceeded the cost of capital.

Economic Profit Margin

AT&T Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Operating revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
T-Mobile US Inc.
Verizon Communications Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value creation reveals a period of significant volatility between 2021 and 2025, characterized by an initial contraction in revenue and alternating cycles of economic value destruction and creation.

Operating Revenue Trends
A substantial reduction in operating revenues occurred between 2021 and 2022, decreasing from 168,864 million to 120,741 million. Following this decline, revenues entered a phase of stabilization, fluctuating minimally and ending with a gradual increase to 125,648 million by 2025.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit exhibited extreme variance, shifting from a positive 1,807 million in 2021 to a severe deficit of 22,147 million in 2022. Although a recovery was observed in 2023, economic profit turned negative again in 2024 at -7,968 million, before ultimately returning to a positive position of 3,873 million in 2025.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of absolute economic profit, collapsing from 1.07% in 2021 to -18.34% in 2022, which indicates that the cost of capital significantly exceeded operating returns during that period. Despite an inconsistent trajectory through 2023 and 2024, the margin expanded to 3.08% by 2025, marking the highest level of economic efficiency observed in the analyzed timeframe.