Stock Analysis on Net

AT&T Inc. (NYSE:T)

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

AT&T Inc., FCFE calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to AT&T 10,948 14,400 (8,524) 20,081 (5,176)
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest 1,305 1,223 1,469 1,398 1,355
Net noncash charges 28,937 25,147 44,716 36,161 60,268
Changes in operating assets and liabilities (2,419) (2,456) (1,849) (15,683) (13,317)
Net cash provided by operating activities 38,771 38,314 35,812 41,957 43,130
Capital expenditures (20,263) (17,853) (19,626) (16,527) (15,675)
Net change in short-term borrowings with original maturities of three months or less (914) (519) 1,316 (17)
Issuance of other short-term borrowings 491 5,406 3,955 21,856 9,440
Repayment of other short-term borrowings (2,487) (3,415) (18,345) (7,510) (9,467)
Issuance of long-term debt 19 10,004 2,979 9,931 31,988
Repayment of long-term debt (10,297) (12,044) (25,118) (3,142) (39,964)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) 6,234 19,498 (20,862) 47,881 19,435

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in both net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow to equity (FCFE) over the observed periods.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities

The net cash provided by operating activities demonstrates a generally downward trend from 2020 to 2022, decreasing from 43,130 million US dollars in 2020 to 35,812 million US dollars in 2022. However, there is a moderate recovery in subsequent years, with figures rising to 38,314 million US dollars in 2023 and slightly increasing further to 38,771 million US dollars in 2024. Despite this partial rebound, the values in 2023 and 2024 remain below the 2020 peak, indicating some operational cash flow challenges during the earlier years.

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

The free cash flow to equity shows significant volatility across the five-year span. It starts at 19,435 million US dollars in 2020 and surges sharply to 47,881 million US dollars in 2021, reflecting an exceptional increase that likely denotes favorable financial management or operational efficiency during that period. However, this trend reverses dramatically in 2022, with FCFE plunging to a negative value of -20,862 million US dollars, signaling considerable cash outflows to equity holders or increased capital expenditures impacting free cash availability.

Following this dip, FCFE recovers to 19,498 million US dollars in 2023, which evens out near the initial levels observed in 2020 but remains substantially lower than the 2021 peak. In 2024, FCFE declines again to 6,234 million US dollars, suggesting renewed constraints in free cash flow generation for equity holders.

Overall, the operational cash flows have shown resilience despite initial declines, but free cash flow to equity exhibits high instability, with a pronounced peak in 2021 followed by a sharp downturn and modest recovery. The fluctuation in FCFE may warrant further examination of the underlying factors such as capital expenditure, debt servicing, and equity transactions influencing cash flow to equity holders.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

AT&T Inc., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding 7,195,602,178
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions) 6,234
FCFE per share 0.87
Current share price (P) 28.08
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE 32.41
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
T-Mobile US Inc. 22.02
Verizon Communications Inc. 12.85
P/FCFE, Sector
Telecommunication Services 20.08
P/FCFE, Industry
Communication Services 28.21

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

AT&T Inc., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
No. shares of common stock outstanding1 7,178,183,000 7,152,792,253 7,129,870,323 7,142,892,741 7,131,763,496
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)2 6,234 19,498 (20,862) 47,881 19,435
FCFE per share3 0.87 2.73 -2.93 6.70 2.73
Share price1, 4 25.36 16.80 19.26 23.94 28.63
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5 29.20 6.16 3.57 10.51
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
T-Mobile US Inc. 21.93 19.36 15.91
Verizon Communications Inc. 12.29 15.64 11.68 6.75
P/FCFE, Sector
Telecommunication Services 19.18 11.95 16.08 9.24
P/FCFE, Industry
Communication Services 27.55 21.90 31.95 26.51 20.53

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= 6,234,000,000 ÷ 7,178,183,000 = 0.87

4 Closing price as at the filing date of AT&T Inc. Annual Report.

5 2024 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 25.36 ÷ 0.87 = 29.20

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the annual financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Share Price
The share price experienced a downward trend from 28.63 US$ in 2020 to a low of 16.80 US$ in 2023, indicating a significant decline over these years. However, in 2024, the share price rebounded strongly to 25.36 US$, suggesting renewed investor confidence or improved market conditions in the final year of the series.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per Share
FCFE per share displayed considerable volatility during the period. It increased sharply from 2.73 US$ in 2020 to a peak of 6.70 US$ in 2021, indicating improved cash flow generation available to equity shareholders. This was followed by a substantial decline to -2.93 US$ in 2022, marking a negative cash flow scenario. The FCFE rebounded back to 2.73 US$ in 2023 but then fell again to 0.87 US$ in 2024. This fluctuation points to instability in the company’s capacity to generate cash for shareholders.
Price to FCFE Ratio (P/FCFE)
The P/FCFE ratio showed a fluctuating pattern with meaningful gaps in data. It started at 10.51 in 2020, decreased sharply to 3.57 in 2021, data was missing for 2022, then increased to 6.16 in 2023, and surged to 29.20 in 2024. The sharp increase in 2024 is particularly significant and can be attributed to the combination of a rising share price and a relatively low FCFE per share. This elevated multiple may imply that the market is pricing the stock at a premium relative to its free cash flow generation or anticipating future improvements.

Overall, the trends indicate a company experiencing significant cash flow volatility, which has impacted its valuation measures. The recent increase in share price alongside a high P/FCFE ratio suggests market optimism despite the underlying cash flow challenges observed in prior years.