Stock Analysis on Net

Workday Inc. (NASDAQ:WDAY)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Workday Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 19.88%
01 FCFF0 2,853
1 FCFF1 2,927 = 2,853 × (1 + 2.59%) 2,441
2 FCFF2 3,055 = 2,927 × (1 + 4.38%) 2,126
3 FCFF3 3,243 = 3,055 × (1 + 6.16%) 1,882
4 FCFF4 3,500 = 3,243 × (1 + 7.94%) 1,695
5 FCFF5 3,841 = 3,500 × (1 + 9.73%) 1,551
5 Terminal value (TV5) 41,499 = 3,841 × (1 + 9.73%) ÷ (19.88%9.73%) 16,760
Intrinsic value of Workday Inc. capital 26,455
Less: Debt (fair value) 2,900
Intrinsic value of Workday Inc. common stock 23,555
 
Intrinsic value of Workday Inc. common stock (per share) $95.37
Current share price $113.04

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-01-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Workday Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 27,921 0.91 21.63%
Debt (fair value) 2,900 0.09 3.03% = 3.80% × (1 – 20.30%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-01-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 247,000,000 × $113.04
= $27,920,880,000.00

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (31.30% + 17.50% + 21.00% + 21.00% + 21.00% + 21.00%) ÷ 6
= 20.30%

WACC = 19.88%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Workday Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jan 31, 2026 Jan 31, 2025 Jan 31, 2024 Jan 31, 2023 Jan 31, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 114 114 114 102 17 69
Net income (loss) 693 526 1,381 (367) 29 (282)
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 31.30% 17.50% 21.00% 21.00% 21.00% 21.00%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 78 94 90 81 13 54
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 78 94 90 81 13 54
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 771 620 1,471 (286) 42 (228)
 
Debt, current 1,222 1,103
Debt, noncurrent 2,987 2,984 2,980 2,976 617 692
Stockholders’ equity 7,805 9,034 8,082 5,586 4,535 3,278
Total capital 10,792 12,018 11,062 8,562 6,375 5,073
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.90 0.85 0.94 0.69
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 7.15% 5.16% 13.30% -3.34% 0.67% -4.50%
Averages
RR 0.84
ROIC 3.07%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 2.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 See details »

2026 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 114 × (1 – 31.30%)
= 78

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income (loss) + Interest expense, after tax
= 693 + 78
= 771

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [77178] ÷ 771
= 0.90

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 771 ÷ 10,792
= 7.15%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.84 × 3.07%
= 2.59%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (30,821 × 19.88%2,853) ÷ (30,821 + 2,853)
= 9.73%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Workday Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Workday Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Workday Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Workday Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 2.59%
2 g2 4.38%
3 g3 6.16%
4 g4 7.94%
5 and thereafter g5 9.73%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.59% + (9.73%2.59%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 4.38%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.59% + (9.73%2.59%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 6.16%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.59% + (9.73%2.59%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 7.94%