Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ:SNPS)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Synopsys Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 16.68%
01 FCFF0 1,688,705
1 FCFF1 1,962,118 = 1,688,705 × (1 + 16.19%) 1,681,584
2 FCFF2 2,272,151 = 1,962,118 × (1 + 15.80%) 1,668,876
3 FCFF3 2,622,317 = 2,272,151 × (1 + 15.41%) 1,650,689
4 FCFF4 3,016,227 = 2,622,317 × (1 + 15.02%) 1,627,188
5 FCFF5 3,457,552 = 3,016,227 × (1 + 14.63%) 1,598,585
5 Terminal value (TV5) 193,243,555 = 3,457,552 × (1 + 14.63%) ÷ (16.68%14.63%) 89,345,382
Intrinsic value of Synopsys Inc. capital 97,572,304
Less: Debt (fair value) 13,673,671
Intrinsic value of Synopsys Inc. common stock 83,898,633
 
Intrinsic value of Synopsys Inc. common stock (per share) $438.16
Current share price $421.50

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-10-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Synopsys Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 80,708,535 0.86 18.70%
Debt (fair value) 13,673,671 0.14 4.78% = 5.28% × (1 – 9.41%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-10-31).

1 US$ in thousands

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 191,479,325 × $421.50
= $80,708,535,487.50

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (4.02% + 6.59% + 6.43% + 12.29% + 6.10% + 21.00%) ÷ 6
= 9.41%

WACC = 16.68%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Synopsys Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Oct 31, 2025 Oct 31, 2024 Oct 31, 2023 Oct 31, 2022 Oct 31, 2021 Oct 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Interest expense 446,729 35,161 1,178 1,698 3,365 5,140
Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of income taxes (3,900) 821,670
Net income attributed to Synopsys 1,332,220 2,263,380 1,229,888 984,594 757,516 664,347
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 4.02% 6.59% 6.43% 12.29% 6.10% 21.00%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 428,770 32,844 1,102 1,489 3,160 4,061
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 428,770 32,844 1,102 1,489 3,160 4,061
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 1,764,890 1,474,554 1,230,990 986,083 760,676 668,408
 
Short-term debt 22,117 74,992 27,084
Long-term debt 13,462,398 15,601 18,078 20,824 25,094 100,823
Total Synopsys stockholders’ equity 28,327,602 8,990,702 6,147,308 5,515,725 5,295,137 4,907,404
Total capital 41,812,117 9,006,303 6,165,386 5,536,549 5,395,223 5,035,311
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.76 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.99
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 4.22% 16.37% 19.97% 17.81% 14.10% 13.27%
Averages
RR 0.99
ROIC 16.30%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 16.19%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-10-31).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 446,729 × (1 – 4.02%)
= 428,770

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income attributed to Synopsys – Income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of income taxes + Interest expense, after tax
= 1,332,220-3,900 + 428,770
= 1,764,890

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [1,764,890428,770] ÷ 1,764,890
= 0.76

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 1,764,890 ÷ 41,812,117
= 4.22%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.99 × 16.30%
= 16.19%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (94,382,206 × 16.68%1,688,705) ÷ (94,382,206 + 1,688,705)
= 14.63%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Synopsys Inc. debt and equity (US$ in thousands)
FCFF0 = the last year Synopsys Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in thousands)
WACC = weighted average cost of Synopsys Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Synopsys Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 16.19%
2 g2 15.80%
3 g3 15.41%
4 g4 15.02%
5 and thereafter g5 14.63%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 16.19% + (14.63%16.19%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 15.80%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 16.19% + (14.63%16.19%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 15.41%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 16.19% + (14.63%16.19%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 15.02%