Stock Analysis on Net

Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD)

$24.99

Selected Financial Data
since 2016

Microsoft Excel

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Income Statement

Trade Desk Inc., selected items from income statement, long-term trends

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).


Revenue
The revenue shows a consistent upward trend from 2016 through 2024, increasing from $202.9 million in 2016 to an estimated $2.44 billion in 2024. The growth rate appears to accelerate notably after 2020, with substantial increases each year, indicating successful scaling of business operations or market expansion.
Income from Operations
Income from operations generally rises from $57.5 million in 2016 to a peak of $144.2 million in 2020, followed by a decline to $113.7 million in 2022. However, it then recovers significantly to $200.5 million in 2023 and surges further to an estimated $427.2 million in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuations in operational efficiency or cost management, with a strong improvement projected in the latest years.
Net Income
Net income exhibits notable variability over the periods. After a steady increase from $20.5 million in 2016 to $242.3 million in 2020, it declines sharply over the next two years, bottoming out at $53.4 million in 2022. However, the net income rebounds strongly to $178.9 million in 2023 and is forecasted to reach $393.1 million in 2024. This volatility could be due to extraordinary items, changes in tax rates, or other non-operational factors affecting profitability.
Overall Insights
Both revenue and operating income indicate a growth-oriented business with some operational challenges or strategic investments affecting profitability in the early 2020s. The recovery and acceleration in 2023 and 2024 reflect improved profitability and operational leverage. The net income’s fluctuation suggests the need for closer examination of one-time events and non-operating influences during the mid-period years. The strong upward trends forecasted towards 2024 demonstrate anticipated continued expansion and improved margin control.

Balance Sheet: Assets

Trade Desk Inc., selected items from assets, long-term trends

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).


The financial data over the observed periods indicates a consistent upward trend in both current assets and total assets. Current assets have shown significant growth from approximately 516 million US dollars in 2016 to over 5.3 billion US dollars by the end of 2024. This represents more than a tenfold increase during the period, highlighting substantial expansion in liquid or short-term assets.

Total assets have similarly increased from around 538 million US dollars in 2016 to over 6.1 billion US dollars by the end of 2024. This steady growth suggests an expanding asset base, potentially reflecting investments in longer-term assets in addition to current assets.

Current Assets
Demonstrated a continuous and robust upward trend, increasing year-over-year without any declines or stagnation. The growth accelerated significantly after 2019, with notable jumps between 2019 and 2020, and continuing strong growth through to 2024.
Total Assets
Followed a similar increasing trajectory to current assets, indicating an overall scaling of the company's asset portfolio. The gap between total assets and current assets also widened slightly over time, suggesting the acquisition or growth of non-current assets alongside the growth in current assets.

The parallel increase in both current and total assets over the examined periods reflects a strong asset accumulation strategy. This could be indicative of the company's efforts to enhance operational capacity, improve liquidity, or invest in growth initiatives. The substantial growth rates may also imply increasing market presence and overall company expansion.


Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity

Trade Desk Inc., selected items from liabilities and stockholders’ equity, long-term trends

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).


The analysis of the financial data over the period from 2016 to 2024 reveals significant trends in the company's liabilities and equity structure.

Current Liabilities
Current liabilities have shown a consistent and substantial upward trajectory throughout the observed periods. Starting at approximately $344 million in 2016, the amount nearly tripled by 2020, reaching over $1.47 billion. This increasing trend continued more moderately but steadily, culminating in about $2.87 billion by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests escalating short-term obligations or operational liabilities.
Total Liabilities
Total liabilities have followed a similar growth pattern as current liabilities but at a higher scale, reflecting long-term obligations alongside short-term ones. Beginning at approximately $373 million in 2016, total liabilities rose sharply to approximately $1.74 billion by 2020, and continued to increase steadily to reach around $3.16 billion by 2024. This indicates an overall expansion in the company's leveraged commitments and potential funding through liabilities.
Debt, Net
The net debt figures are available only for 2016 and 2017, showing relatively low values of $25.8 million and $27 million respectively, and no data is provided for subsequent years. The absence of later data limits the ability to track the company's net borrowing trend beyond 2017.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity has demonstrated very strong growth across the entire timeframe. From approximately $164 million in 2016, it expanded significantly to over $1 billion by 2020, and continued to increase more than twofold between 2020 and 2024, reaching nearly $2.95 billion. This robust growth in equity indicates increasing retained earnings, capital contributions, or asset revaluations contributing positively to the shareholders’ value.

Overall, the data suggests that while the company has substantially increased its liabilities, both current and total, it has simultaneously expanded its equity base at a robust rate. The rising current liabilities accompanied by increasing total liabilities point towards aggressive financing or operational scaling. However, the strong equity growth mitigates concerns about leverage by potentially providing a solid capital foundation. The missing debt net data in later years restricts a full assessment of debt management strategies, but available figures indicate relatively low net debt in earlier years. This financial profile may reflect a period of expansion supported by both debt and equity financing.


Cash Flow Statement

Trade Desk Inc., selected items from cash flow statement, long-term trends

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).


The analysis of the financial cash flow data reveals several noteworthy trends between 2016 and the projected data for 2024.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
This measure demonstrates a generally increasing trend over the examined period. Starting at approximately $75 million in 2016, it declined notably to just over $31 million in 2017 but then showed recovery and steady growth in subsequent years. Particularly substantial increases occurred from 2019 onwards, culminating in a peak of approximately $739 million projected for 2024, indicating improving operational efficiency and cash generation capacity.
Net Cash Used in Investing Activities
Investing cash flows consistently reflect outflows, indicating continued investment activities. Values display volatility, with smaller outflows near and below $10 million initially but escalating in magnitude especially from 2019. The peak outflows occur in 2022 at over $300 million, suggesting significant investment expenditures during that year. While projections for 2023 and 2024 remain negative, the amounts are lower compared to the 2022 peak, which may indicate a normalization or scaling back of investment activities after heavy capital deployment.
Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Financing Activities
This category exhibits significant variability, alternating between inflows and outflows. Early years featured positive cash flow, peaking near $63.5 million in 2016. Periods such as 2018 registered outflows, but subsequent years returned to providing cash until a major financing outflow is noted in 2023, exceeding $600 million, followed by continued outflow in 2024. Such large negative figures towards the end of the timeframe could reflect debt repayment, share buybacks, or other substantial financing activities impacting liquidity.

Overall, the data suggest that while operational cash generation has improved markedly, enabling the company to support substantial investment activities, the financing cash flows have become increasingly negative in the most recent years projected. This pattern may indicate a strategic shift in financial structure or capital allocation priorities.


Per Share Data

Trade Desk Inc., selected data per share, long-term trends

US$

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1, 2, 3 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.


The analysis of the financial data reveals several notable trends in earnings per share for the company over the observed period.

Basic Earnings Per Share (EPS)
The basic EPS showed an initial negative value in 2016 at -0.15 US dollars, indicating a loss per share during that year. From 2017 onwards, the basic EPS turned positive, demonstrating profitability. It increased steadily to reach 0.52 US dollars by 2020, reflecting significant growth in earnings. However, in 2021 and 2022, the EPS declined to 0.29 and 0.11 respectively, indicating a reduction in profitability during these years. The EPS then recovered in 2023 to 0.37 and is projected to increase sharply to 0.80 in 2024, suggesting expectations of improved earnings performance.
Diluted Earnings Per Share
The diluted EPS follows a similar pattern to the basic EPS. It begins at -0.15 US dollars in 2016 and turns positive in 2017 at 0.12 US dollars. There is a consistent upward trend through 2020, peaking at 0.49 US dollars. This is followed by a decline in 2021 and 2022 to 0.28 and 0.11 respectively. Subsequently, the diluted EPS increases to 0.36 in 2023 and is forecasted to reach 0.78 in 2024. The similarity between basic and diluted EPS trends indicates minimal dilution effects over the years.
Dividend per Share
There are no recorded dividends per share throughout the entire timeframe, as all entries for this item are empty. This suggests that the company did not distribute dividends to shareholders during the years analyzed.

In summary, the company showed a transition from losses in 2016 to growing profitability until 2020, followed by a dip in earnings in the subsequent two years. The projected data for 2023 and 2024 indicates optimism for strong earnings recovery. The absence of dividends implies a focus on reinvesting earnings rather than returning cash to shareholders.