Stock Analysis on Net

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows a significant improvement over the reported periods. Starting with a negative value of approximately -1.19 million US dollars in 2020, it decreased in negativity to -377,568 in 2021 and further to -221,451 in 2022. Subsequently, in 2023, NOPAT turned positive to 207,040 US dollars and increased to 339,176 US dollars in 2024, indicating a turnaround towards profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, fluctuating marginally within a narrow range around 33.6% to 34%. This consistency suggests no significant changes in the risk profile or capital structure during these years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited variability across the periods. It increased from approximately 2.18 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of about 3.07 million in 2022. However, there was a notable sharp decline to 1.24 million in 2023, followed by a recovery to 2.51 million in 2024. This pattern may reflect asset disposals, restructuring, or fluctuations in investment activities.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout all periods. Although the losses narrowed from about -1.92 million US dollars in 2020 to around -1.25 million in 2021 and 2022, the figure worsened again in 2023 to -212,491, before deteriorating further to -513,216 in 2024. Despite the improvement in NOPAT, the negative economic profit suggests that the returns generated did not exceed the cost of capital consistently, indicating ongoing challenges in value creation.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Palantir Technologies Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals a significant improvement in profitability over the analyzed period.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Stockholders

A substantial negative net income was reported in 2020, amounting to approximately -1.17 billion US dollars. This loss decreased markedly in 2021 and 2022 to approximately -520 million and -374 million US dollars, respectively. In 2023, the company reversed its financial position with a positive net income of around 210 million US dollars, followed by further growth to approximately 462 million US dollars in 2024. This trend indicates a successful transition from significant losses to sustained profitability.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

Consistent with net income trends, NOPAT was markedly negative in 2020 (-1.19 billion US dollars), improving progressively to roughly -378 million in 2021 and -221 million in 2022. From 2023 onward, NOPAT turned positive, reaching about 207 million US dollars and expanding further to approximately 339 million US dollars in 2024. This reflects enhanced operational efficiency and effective tax management contributing to profitability.

Overall, the data demonstrates a clear and robust upward trajectory in both net income and operating profitability. The shift from pronounced losses to solid gains signals improved operational performance and potential stabilization of the company's financial health.


Cash Operating Taxes

Palantir Technologies Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the five-year period examined.

Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Initially, there was a tax benefit of -$12,636 thousand in 2020. This shifted to a tax provision of $31,885 thousand in 2021, indicating a significant increase in tax expenses. In the following years, the provision decreased to $10,067 thousand in 2022, then rose again to $19,716 thousand in 2023, and slightly increased to $21,255 thousand in 2024. Overall, the provision for income taxes shows variability, with the initial tax benefit transitioning to recurring tax expenses that fluctuate but generally trend at a moderate level after 2021.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes experienced substantial variation across the period. The value was $13,182 thousand in 2020 and decreased to $7,577 thousand in 2021, showing a reduction in actual cash tax payments. However, there was a dramatic surge to $67,243 thousand in 2022, representing a significant cash outflow for taxes. This was followed by a sharp decrease to $1,246 thousand in 2023 and a negative outflow of -$15,989 thousand in 2024, indicating tax refunds or credits exceeding taxes paid. This irregular pattern suggests variability in the company's taxable income, tax planning strategies, or changes in tax regulations impacting cash taxes paid over time.

In summary, the data indicates a transition from tax benefits to taxable obligations in terms of accounting provision, with visible volatility year-over-year. The cash operating taxes display extreme fluctuations with a peak in 2022 and subsequent negative cash taxes in 2024, signaling potentially significant tax recoveries or adjustments in that year. This combination reflects an unstable tax environment or operational variability affecting the company's tax position during this period.


Invested Capital

Palantir Technologies Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Debt, noncurrent, net
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses3
Deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is a clear downward trend in total reported debt and leases from 2020 through 2023, decreasing from approximately 457 million USD to about 229 million USD. This represents a nearly 50% reduction over four years. In 2024, however, the debt level shows a slight increase to approximately 239 million USD, indicating a potential shift in capital structure or financing strategy.
Total Palantir’s Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity has exhibited consistent and strong growth over the five-year period. Starting at around 1.52 billion USD in 2020, it increased steadily each year, reaching 5.00 billion USD by 2024. This trend suggests substantial value creation and effective retention of earnings or capital infusion, reflecting robust financial health and increased shareholder wealth.
Invested Capital
Invested capital generally increased from 2020 to 2022, rising from approximately 2.18 billion USD to about 3.07 billion USD, indicating growing deployment of resources in the business. However, there is a notable and sharp decline in 2023 to approximately 1.24 billion USD, followed by a recovery to 2.51 billion USD in 2024. The 2023 dip could signify asset disposals, restructuring, or a strategic shift in investment focus, with a partial rebound in the following year.

Cost of Capital

Palantir Technologies Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
Fair Isaac Corp.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the provided financial data reveals several noteworthy trends and fluctuations over the five-year period ending in 2024.

Economic Profit
Economic profit demonstrates a substantial improvement from 2020 to 2023, increasing from a significant negative value of approximately -1.92 billion US dollars in 2020 to a considerably reduced loss of around -212 million US dollars in 2023. However, in 2024, the economic profit deteriorates again, though remaining better than the initial years, registering a negative value near -513 million US dollars.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows an overall upward trend, initially increasing steadily from about 2.18 billion US dollars in 2020 to a peak near 3.07 billion US dollars in 2022. This is followed by a sharp decline to approximately 1.24 billion US dollars in 2023, then a notable recovery to about 2.51 billion US dollars in 2024. This fluctuation indicates significant variation in the capital allocated or employed within the company during the observed timeframe.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio exhibits a gradual improvement throughout the period, starting from a severely negative ratio of -88.31% in 2020 and progressing toward less negative values over time. By 2023, the ratio reached -17.17%, reflecting increased efficiency or profitability relative to the cost of capital. However, in 2024, a slight decline to -20.47% is observed, suggesting a minor setback in economic profitability compared to the prior year, although still substantially improved relative to the earlier years.

In summary, the data indicates that although the company has not achieved positive economic profit in any of the years presented, there has been a marked improvement in reducing losses and enhancing the efficiency of invested capital through 2023. The sharp fluctuations in invested capital in the recent years and the partial regression in economic profit and spread in 2024 warrant further investigation to understand underlying causes and future prospects.


Economic Profit Margin

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
Fair Isaac Corp.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a significant improvement over the period from 2020 to 2024. Starting at a substantial loss of approximately -1,924,141 thousand US dollars in 2020, the loss decreased considerably to around -513,216 thousand US dollars by 2024. The year 2023 exhibited the lowest loss of -212,491 thousand US dollars, indicating a notable but temporary reduction in negative economic profit.
Adjusted Revenue
Adjusted revenue exhibited consistent and robust growth throughout the examined years. From approximately 1,069,583 thousand US dollars in 2020, revenue increased steadily each year, reaching nearly 2,890,068 thousand US dollars by 2024. This upward trend demonstrates successful revenue expansion efforts over the five-year span.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin showed a marked improvement from a deeply negative margin of -179.9% in 2020 to -17.76% in 2024. The margin improved sharply through 2023 when it reached its best level at -9.21%, indicating a narrowing gap between revenue and economic profit losses. However, there was a slight deterioration in 2024, although it remained significantly better than the earlier years.
Overall Analysis
Despite persistent economic losses, the company demonstrated a clear trend of improving financial performance. Adjusted revenue consistently increased, contributing to a reduction in economic losses and an improvement in economic profit margins. The year 2023 stands out as the period with the most favorable economic profit margin and a notable decrease in loss magnitude. However, the economic profit margin's slight regression in 2024 suggests a need for continued focus on cost management and operational efficiency to sustain and extend profitability improvements.