Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

O’Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 8, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,362,405 1,953,719 1,589,868 1,512,921 1,241,849
Cost of capital2 15.80% 15.07% 15.02% 15.38% 14.66%
Invested capital3 5,766,861 6,200,132 6,076,741 5,606,204 5,440,691
 
Economic profit4 1,451,345 1,019,298 676,945 650,569 444,277

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,362,40515.80% × 5,766,861 = 1,451,345


Between 2017 and 2021, a consistent and significant expansion in economic value creation is observed. The company demonstrates a strong capacity to generate returns that exceed the cost of its invested capital, resulting in a substantial upward trajectory for economic profit over the five-year period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A continuous upward trend in NOPAT is evident, rising from 1,241,849 thousand US$ in 2017 to 2,362,405 thousand US$ by 2021. This growth indicates a steady increase in operational efficiency and profitability, with the most pronounced acceleration occurring between 2020 and 2021.
Cost of Capital and Invested Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, fluctuating within a narrow range between 14.66% and 15.80%. Invested capital showed a general increase from 2017 through 2020, peaking at 6,200,132 thousand US$. However, a notable reduction in invested capital occurred in 2021, falling to 5,766,861 thousand US$, suggesting a shift toward greater capital efficiency or a strategic reallocation of assets.
Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited accelerated growth, increasing from 444,277 thousand US$ in 2017 to 1,451,345 thousand US$ in 2021. This represents more than a threefold increase over the analyzed timeframe. The surge in economic profit is driven by the combination of rapidly growing NOPAT and a decrease in the total capital base during the final year, which significantly enhanced the value added beyond the required return on capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income 2,164,685 1,752,302 1,391,042 1,324,487 1,133,804
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 20,383 12,381 21,158 20,160 (4,760)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 (800) (1,747) 1,179 521 677
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability3 (1,100) 400 (200) (400) (100)
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities4 11,313 4,817 8,849 7,822 7,775
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 29,796 15,851 30,986 28,103 3,592
Interest expense 144,768 161,126 139,975 122,129 91,349
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 75,465 81,659 80,826 81,643 75,294
Adjusted interest expense 220,233 242,785 220,801 203,772 166,643
Tax benefit of interest expense7 (46,249) (50,985) (46,368) (42,792) (58,325)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8 173,984 191,800 174,433 160,980 108,318
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (5,700) (5,400) (5,800) 1,700 (3,600)
Interest income (1,971) (2,491) (2,545) (2,521) (2,347)
Investment income, before taxes (7,671) (7,891) (8,345) (821) (5,947)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9 1,611 1,657 1,752 172 2,081
Investment income, after taxes10 (6,060) (6,234) (6,593) (649) (3,866)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,362,405 1,953,719 1,589,868 1,512,921 1,241,849

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 2,039,589 × 3.70% = 75,465

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 220,233 × 21.00% = 46,249

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 7,671 × 21.00% = 1,611

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance over the examined five-year period demonstrates consistent growth in profitability metrics.

Net Income
The net income shows a steady upward trend, increasing each year from approximately 1.13 billion US dollars in 2017 to about 2.16 billion US dollars in 2021. This represents a near doubling of net income over the period, suggesting effective management of costs and/or increased revenues contributing to bottom-line growth.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT also exhibits a consistent increase over the years, rising from roughly 1.24 billion US dollars in 2017 to approximately 2.36 billion US dollars in 2021. This confirms improving operating efficiency and profitability from core operations after accounting for taxes. The growth in NOPAT outpaces net income slightly, indicating favorable operational performance trends.

The patterns indicate sustained improvement in both net income and operating profits, reflecting positive financial health and operational effectiveness over the analyzed timeframe. No volatility or decline is noted, implying stability and strong earnings progression year on year.

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Cash Operating Taxes

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income tax expense 617,229 514,103 399,287 369,600 504,000
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 20,383 12,381 21,158 20,160 (4,760)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 46,249 50,985 46,368 42,792 58,325
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 1,611 1,657 1,752 172 2,081
Cash operating taxes 641,484 551,050 422,745 392,060 565,004

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The financial data for the period ending December 31, 2017 through December 31, 2021 reveals notable trends in the company's tax-related expenses.

Net Income Tax Expense
This item exhibits fluctuations over the years with an overall upward trend. Beginning at $504,000 thousand in 2017, the figure decreases significantly to $369,600 thousand in 2018. Thereafter, it rises moderately to $399,287 thousand in 2019, followed by a substantial increase to $514,103 thousand in 2020, and continues to increase, reaching $617,229 thousand in 2021. The data indicates a recovery and growth in net income tax expense after the dip in 2018, potentially reflecting higher taxable income or changes in tax strategy or rates.
Cash Operating Taxes
This measure closely aligns with the net income tax expense pattern but consistently remains higher. It starts at $565,004 thousand in 2017 and follows a similar decline to $392,060 thousand in 2018. Following this, it rises steadily to $422,745 thousand in 2019, then more markedly to $551,050 thousand in 2020, and finally to $641,484 thousand in 2021. The steady increase after 2018 suggests growing cash tax obligations, which could be indicative of increased profitability, changes in tax payments timing, or adjustments in deferred tax assets and liabilities.

Overall, both tax expense and cash operating taxes show a notable decline in 2018, followed by consistent and significant increases through 2021. The gap between cash operating taxes and net income tax expense remains evident, with cash taxes being higher throughout, which may highlight timing differences or other tax accounting adjustments. The progressive increase in taxes by 2021 aligns with likely improvements in company earnings or changes in tax policy impacting the effective tax rates or cash tax payments.

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Invested Capital

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Long-term debt 3,826,978 4,123,217 3,890,527 3,417,122 2,978,390
Operating lease liability1 2,039,589 2,041,469 1,971,358 1,976,830 1,945,593
Total reported debt & leases 5,866,567 6,164,686 5,861,885 5,393,952 4,923,983
Shareholders’ equity (deficit) (66,423) 140,258 397,340 353,667 653,046
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 175,212 155,899 133,280 105,566 85,406
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 11,870 12,670 14,417 13,238 12,717
Deferred revenue liability4 3,400 4,500 4,100 4,300 4,700
Product warranty liabilities5 77,199 65,886 61,069 52,220 44,398
Equity equivalents6 267,681 238,955 212,866 175,324 147,221
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 6,799 2,155 (4,890)
Adjusted shareholders’ equity (deficit) 208,057 381,368 605,316 528,991 800,267
Construction in progress8 (255,307) (305,511) (358,259) (291,246) (257,853)
Marketable securities9 (52,456) (40,411) (32,201) (25,493) (25,706)
Invested capital 5,766,861 6,200,132 6,076,741 5,606,204 5,440,691

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue liability.

5 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity (deficit).

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrated a consistent upward trend from 2017 through 2020, increasing from approximately 4.92 billion US dollars to about 6.16 billion US dollars. However, in 2021, there was a noticeable decline to approximately 5.87 billion US dollars, indicating a reduction in debt levels after several years of accumulation.
Shareholders’ Equity (Deficit)
Shareholders’ equity experienced a significant downward trajectory over the period. Starting at around 653 million US dollars in 2017, equity decreased sharply in 2018 to approximately 354 million US dollars, then displayed a modest rise in 2019 to roughly 397 million US dollars. Following this brief improvement, equity plunged to about 140 million US dollars in 2020 and turned negative by 2021, reaching a deficit of approximately 66 million US dollars. This shift to negative equity signals financial strain and potential solvency concerns.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily from roughly 5.44 billion US dollars in 2017 to a peak of around 6.20 billion US dollars in 2020. However, in 2021, a decline occurred, bringing invested capital down to approximately 5.77 billion US dollars. This pattern suggests that after a phase of capital expansion, a contraction phase began in the most recent year under review.
Overall Analysis
The financial data reveals increasing leverage up to 2020, followed by a reduction in debt levels in 2021. Concurrently, the persistent decrease in shareholders’ equity, culminating in a deficit, indicates deteriorating net worth and potentially heightened financial risk. The invested capital trajectory reflects these shifts, with initial growth succeeded by a downturn in the final year. Together, these trends suggest the company faced mounting financial pressures, necessitating deleveraging and potentially restructuring efforts in 2021.

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Cost of Capital

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 43,239,980 43,239,980 ÷ 49,415,198 = 0.88 0.88 × 17.64% = 15.44%
Long-term debt3 4,135,629 4,135,629 ÷ 49,415,198 = 0.08 0.08 × 3.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.24%
Operating lease liability4 2,039,589 2,039,589 ÷ 49,415,198 = 0.04 0.04 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.12%
Total: 49,415,198 1.00 15.80%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 31,405,549 31,405,549 ÷ 38,094,613 = 0.82 0.82 × 17.64% = 14.55%
Long-term debt3 4,647,595 4,647,595 ÷ 38,094,613 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.36%
Operating lease liability4 2,041,469 2,041,469 ÷ 38,094,613 = 0.05 0.05 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.17%
Total: 38,094,613 1.00 15.07%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 27,616,051 27,616,051 ÷ 33,730,334 = 0.82 0.82 × 17.64% = 14.44%
Long-term debt3 4,142,925 4,142,925 ÷ 33,730,334 = 0.12 0.12 × 4.01% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.39%
Operating lease liability4 1,971,358 1,971,358 ÷ 33,730,334 = 0.06 0.06 × 4.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Total: 33,730,334 1.00 15.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 28,839,089 28,839,089 ÷ 34,218,965 = 0.84 0.84 × 17.64% = 14.87%
Long-term debt3 3,403,046 3,403,046 ÷ 34,218,965 = 0.10 0.10 × 4.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.32%
Operating lease liability4 1,976,830 1,976,830 ÷ 34,218,965 = 0.06 0.06 × 4.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Total: 34,218,965 1.00 15.38%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 20,431,597 20,431,597 ÷ 25,451,357 = 0.80 0.80 × 17.64% = 14.16%
Long-term debt3 3,074,167 3,074,167 ÷ 25,451,357 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.87% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.30%
Operating lease liability4 1,945,593 1,945,593 ÷ 25,451,357 = 0.08 0.08 × 3.87% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.19%
Total: 25,451,357 1.00 14.66%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 1,451,345 1,019,298 676,945 650,569 444,277
Invested capital2 5,766,861 6,200,132 6,076,741 5,606,204 5,440,691
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 25.17% 16.44% 11.14% 11.60% 8.17%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc. -2.05%
Home Depot Inc. 12.15%
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 9.12%
TJX Cos. Inc. -12.64%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 1,451,345 ÷ 5,766,861 = 25.17%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between 2017 and 2021 reflects a significant acceleration in value creation. A consistent upward trajectory is observed in the ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital, characterized by substantial growth in economic profit alongside a stabilized and eventually contracting capital base.

Economic Profit
Economic profit experienced continuous growth throughout the analyzed period, rising from 444,277 thousand US dollars in 2017 to 1,451,345 thousand US dollars by 2021. This represents a more than threefold increase over five years, with particularly sharp accelerations occurring between 2019 and 2021.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable, showing modest growth from 5,440,691 thousand US dollars in 2017 to a peak of 6,200,132 thousand US dollars in 2020. However, a notable contraction occurred in 2021, where invested capital decreased to 5,766,861 thousand US dollars, suggesting improved capital efficiency or a reduction in the asset base required to sustain operations.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio demonstrates a strong positive trend, expanding from 8.17% in 2017 to 25.17% in 2021. While a slight dip occurred in 2019, the ratio surged in 2020 and 2021. This rapid expansion indicates that the gap between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital widened significantly, driven by the simultaneous increase in economic profit and the reduction of invested capital in the final year.

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Economic Profit Margin

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 1,451,345 1,019,298 676,945 650,569 444,277
 
Sales 13,327,563 11,604,493 10,149,985 9,536,428 8,977,726
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability (1,100) 400 (200) (400) (100)
Adjusted sales 13,326,463 11,604,893 10,149,785 9,536,028 8,977,626
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 10.89% 8.78% 6.67% 6.82% 4.95%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc. -0.88%
Home Depot Inc. 4.57%
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 2.89%
TJX Cos. Inc. -8.80%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted sales
= 100 × 1,451,345 ÷ 13,326,463 = 10.89%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


A consistent upward trajectory is observed in the company's ability to generate economic value between 2017 and 2021. Both absolute economic profit and adjusted sales experienced uninterrupted growth over the five-year period, with the growth in profit significantly outpacing the growth in sales, indicating a substantial increase in capital efficiency.

Economic Profit Expansion
Economic profit grew from 444,277 thousand US dollars in 2017 to 1,451,345 thousand US dollars by 2021. The most pronounced acceleration occurred between 2019 and 2021, where profit rose from 676,945 thousand US dollars to 1,451,345 thousand US dollars, reflecting a more than two-fold increase in value creation above the cost of capital within a two-year window.
Adjusted Sales Growth
Adjusted sales demonstrated steady year-over-year increases, rising from 8,977,626 thousand US dollars in 2017 to 13,326,463 thousand US dollars in 2021. This represents a stable expansion of the top line, providing the necessary scale to support the increase in economic value.
Economic Profit Margin Performance
The economic profit margin more than doubled over the analyzed period, starting at 4.95% in 2017 and reaching 10.89% by 2021. While a marginal contraction occurred in 2019, decreasing from 6.82% to 6.67%, the subsequent recovery was aggressive, with the margin expanding to 8.78% in 2020 and further to 10.89% in 2021. This trend indicates that the company successfully improved its operational efficiency and returns relative to its invested capital.

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