Stock Analysis on Net

O’Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 8, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability3
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance over the examined five-year period demonstrates consistent growth in profitability metrics.

Net Income
The net income shows a steady upward trend, increasing each year from approximately 1.13 billion US dollars in 2017 to about 2.16 billion US dollars in 2021. This represents a near doubling of net income over the period, suggesting effective management of costs and/or increased revenues contributing to bottom-line growth.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT also exhibits a consistent increase over the years, rising from roughly 1.24 billion US dollars in 2017 to approximately 2.36 billion US dollars in 2021. This confirms improving operating efficiency and profitability from core operations after accounting for taxes. The growth in NOPAT outpaces net income slightly, indicating favorable operational performance trends.

The patterns indicate sustained improvement in both net income and operating profits, reflecting positive financial health and operational effectiveness over the analyzed timeframe. No volatility or decline is noted, implying stability and strong earnings progression year on year.


Cash Operating Taxes

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The financial data for the period ending December 31, 2017 through December 31, 2021 reveals notable trends in the company's tax-related expenses.

Net Income Tax Expense
This item exhibits fluctuations over the years with an overall upward trend. Beginning at $504,000 thousand in 2017, the figure decreases significantly to $369,600 thousand in 2018. Thereafter, it rises moderately to $399,287 thousand in 2019, followed by a substantial increase to $514,103 thousand in 2020, and continues to increase, reaching $617,229 thousand in 2021. The data indicates a recovery and growth in net income tax expense after the dip in 2018, potentially reflecting higher taxable income or changes in tax strategy or rates.
Cash Operating Taxes
This measure closely aligns with the net income tax expense pattern but consistently remains higher. It starts at $565,004 thousand in 2017 and follows a similar decline to $392,060 thousand in 2018. Following this, it rises steadily to $422,745 thousand in 2019, then more markedly to $551,050 thousand in 2020, and finally to $641,484 thousand in 2021. The steady increase after 2018 suggests growing cash tax obligations, which could be indicative of increased profitability, changes in tax payments timing, or adjustments in deferred tax assets and liabilities.

Overall, both tax expense and cash operating taxes show a notable decline in 2018, followed by consistent and significant increases through 2021. The gap between cash operating taxes and net income tax expense remains evident, with cash taxes being higher throughout, which may highlight timing differences or other tax accounting adjustments. The progressive increase in taxes by 2021 aligns with likely improvements in company earnings or changes in tax policy impacting the effective tax rates or cash tax payments.


Invested Capital

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Deferred revenue liability4
Product warranty liabilities5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Adjusted shareholders’ equity (deficit)
Construction in progress8
Marketable securities9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue liability.

5 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity (deficit).

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrated a consistent upward trend from 2017 through 2020, increasing from approximately 4.92 billion US dollars to about 6.16 billion US dollars. However, in 2021, there was a noticeable decline to approximately 5.87 billion US dollars, indicating a reduction in debt levels after several years of accumulation.
Shareholders’ Equity (Deficit)
Shareholders’ equity experienced a significant downward trajectory over the period. Starting at around 653 million US dollars in 2017, equity decreased sharply in 2018 to approximately 354 million US dollars, then displayed a modest rise in 2019 to roughly 397 million US dollars. Following this brief improvement, equity plunged to about 140 million US dollars in 2020 and turned negative by 2021, reaching a deficit of approximately 66 million US dollars. This shift to negative equity signals financial strain and potential solvency concerns.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily from roughly 5.44 billion US dollars in 2017 to a peak of around 6.20 billion US dollars in 2020. However, in 2021, a decline occurred, bringing invested capital down to approximately 5.77 billion US dollars. This pattern suggests that after a phase of capital expansion, a contraction phase began in the most recent year under review.
Overall Analysis
The financial data reveals increasing leverage up to 2020, followed by a reduction in debt levels in 2021. Concurrently, the persistent decrease in shareholders’ equity, culminating in a deficit, indicates deteriorating net worth and potentially heightened financial risk. The invested capital trajectory reflects these shifts, with initial growth succeeded by a downturn in the final year. Together, these trends suggest the company faced mounting financial pressures, necessitating deleveraging and potentially restructuring efforts in 2021.

Cost of Capital

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

O’Reilly Automotive Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Sales
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue liability
Adjusted sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.