Price to Sales (P/S)
since 2015
Calculation
PayPal Holdings Inc., P/S, long-term trends, calculation
| P/S | = | Share price1, 2, 3 | ÷ | Sales per share1 | Sales per share1 | = | Net revenues1 (in millions) |
÷ | No. shares of common stock outstanding2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3.32 | = | 80.80 | ÷ | 24.32 | 24.32 | = | 27,518 | ÷ | 1,131,373,298 | |
| Feb 3, 2022 | 5.71 | = | 124.30 | ÷ | 21.78 | 21.78 | = | 25,371 | ÷ | 1,165,004,913 | |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 14.71 | = | 269.44 | ÷ | 18.32 | 18.32 | = | 21,454 | ÷ | 1,171,175,760 | |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 7.91 | = | 119.89 | ÷ | 15.15 | 15.15 | = | 17,772 | ÷ | 1,172,955,485 | |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 6.90 | = | 90.85 | ÷ | 13.17 | 13.17 | = | 15,451 | ÷ | 1,173,209,367 | |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 6.93 | = | 75.59 | ÷ | 10.91 | 10.91 | = | 13,094 | ÷ | 1,200,160,405 | |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 4.55 | = | 40.88 | ÷ | 8.98 | 8.98 | = | 10,842 | ÷ | 1,207,583,234 | |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 4.43 | = | 33.52 | ÷ | 7.56 | 7.56 | = | 9,248 | ÷ | 1,222,675,902 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 US$
2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
3 Closing price as at the filing date of PayPal Holdings Inc. Annual Report.
Analysis of the relationship between share price and sales per share reveals a distinct cycle of valuation expansion followed by a significant contraction. While top-line performance remained consistently positive, the market valuation multiple fluctuated independently of the fundamental revenue growth.
- Revenue Growth Trends
- Sales per share exhibited a consistent upward trajectory throughout the observed period, rising from US$ 7.56 in February 2016 to US$ 24.32 in February 2023. This steady growth indicates a persistent increase in the revenue generated per outstanding share.
- Price to Sales (P/S) Ratio Volatility
- The P/S ratio remained relatively stable between 2016 and 2017 but began a steady ascent starting in 2018. A critical peak occurred in February 2021, where the ratio reached 14.71, reflecting an extreme premium placed on each dollar of sales, coinciding with a share price peak of US$ 269.44.
- Valuation Correction and Rerating
- A sharp downward trend in the P/S ratio is observed from 2021 to 2023, falling to 3.32. This represents a significant valuation compression; the ratio in 2023 reached its lowest point in the analyzed period, falling below the 2016 baseline of 4.43 despite the substantial increase in sales per share.
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Comparison to Competitors
PayPal Holdings Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to competitors
| PayPal Holdings Inc. | Accenture PLC | Adobe Inc. | AppLovin Corp. | Cadence Design Systems Inc. | Datadog Inc. | International Business Machines Corp. | Intuit Inc. | Microsoft Corp. | Oracle Corp. | Palantir Technologies Inc. | Palo Alto Networks Inc. | Salesforce Inc. | ServiceNow Inc. | Synopsys Inc. | Workday Inc. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3.32 | 2.56 | 8.95 | 1.80 | 14.23 | 14.64 | 1.94 | 9.30 | 10.40 | 4.25 | 9.34 | 9.62 | 7.40 | 12.75 | 10.03 | 11.19 |
| Feb 3, 2022 | 5.71 | 4.28 | 14.94 | 5.99 | 12.55 | 49.25 | 1.94 | 16.09 | 12.81 | 5.38 | 15.58 | 10.72 | 9.24 | 19.02 | 13.22 | 13.95 |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 14.71 | 3.26 | 17.04 | — | 13.85 | 49.57 | 1.47 | 11.78 | 10.85 | 4.33 | 39.86 | 6.66 | 8.88 | 25.66 | 10.08 | 10.65 |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 7.91 | 2.72 | 15.11 | — | 8.56 | 36.28 | 1.63 | 11.05 | 8.38 | 4.74 | — | 7.06 | 9.00 | 19.36 | 6.27 | 14.75 |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 6.90 | 2.35 | 13.23 | — | 7.53 | — | 1.56 | 9.52 | 7.51 | 4.41 | — | 9.75 | 8.89 | 16.63 | 4.10 | 13.73 |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 6.93 | 2.45 | 13.32 | — | 5.85 | — | 1.82 | 6.99 | 6.19 | 5.56 | — | 7.49 | 6.96 | 14.55 | 4.80 | 11.06 |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 4.55 | 2.13 | 9.34 | — | 4.53 | — | 2.12 | 6.17 | 5.13 | 4.45 | — | 9.69 | 7.09 | 10.50 | 3.71 | 12.08 |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 4.43 | 2.11 | 9.27 | — | 3.73 | — | 1.56 | 5.56 | 3.99 | 4.66 | — | 16.88 | 7.82 | 8.69 | 3.07 | 19.97 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
Comparison to Sector (Software & Services)
PayPal Holdings Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to sector (software & services)
| PayPal Holdings Inc. | Software & Services | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3.32 | 7.38 |
| Feb 3, 2022 | 5.71 | 9.45 |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 14.71 | 7.72 |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 7.91 | 6.11 |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 6.90 | 5.24 |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 6.93 | 4.65 |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 4.55 | 3.95 |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 4.43 | 3.41 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
Comparison to Industry (Information Technology)
PayPal Holdings Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to industry (information technology)
| PayPal Holdings Inc. | Information Technology | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3.32 | 6.01 |
| Feb 3, 2022 | 5.71 | 6.98 |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 14.71 | 6.11 |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 7.91 | 4.62 |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 6.90 | 4.31 |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 6.93 | 4.18 |
| Feb 8, 2017 | 4.55 | 3.46 |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 4.43 | 3.03 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).