Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 4, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,440,126 1,069,664 635,624 625,596 664,318
Cost of capital2 18.14% 18.12% 18.09% 18.12% 18.07%
Invested capital3 4,117,551 3,881,401 3,423,416 3,453,801 3,056,198
 
Economic profit4 693,041 366,278 16,247 (242) 112,017

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,440,12618.14% × 4,117,551 = 693,041


An examination of the financial performance from 2018 to 2022 reveals a period of substantial growth in economic value creation. While the company experienced a phase of stagnation and marginal profitability between 2019 and 2020, a significant inflection point occurred in 2021, leading to a rapid acceleration in economic profit by the end of 2022.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT remained relatively flat between 2018 and 2020, characterized by a slight dip in 2019 followed by a modest recovery. A sharp upward trajectory began in 2021, with profit increasing to over 1 billion USD, and further expanding to 1.44 billion USD in 2022. This trend indicates a significant surge in operational profitability during the latter two years of the analysis period.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained remarkably stable throughout the five-year period, fluctuating narrowly between 18.07% and 18.14%. Concurrently, invested capital showed a steady increase, rising from 3.06 billion USD in 2018 to 4.12 billion USD in 2022. The consistency of the cost of capital suggests a stable risk profile and funding environment despite the increase in the capital base.
Economic Profit Evolution
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility in the early years, falling from 112 million USD in 2018 to a nominal loss of 242 thousand USD in 2019, before recovering to 16 million USD in 2020. The subsequent expansion of NOPAT far outpaced the growth in capital charges, resulting in a surge of economic profit to 366 million USD in 2021 and 693 million USD in 2022. This shift demonstrates that the company transitioned from barely covering its cost of capital to generating substantial value in excess of its required return.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net income 1,377,159 1,034,375 672,682 615,518 605,668
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 62,008 30,165 (41,011) 13,157 57,707
Increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts2 638 1,944 598 (135) 144
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 62,646 32,109 (40,413) 13,022 57,851
Interest expense 1,563 1,727 2,782 377 189
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 3,728 3,084 3,295 2,660 3,935
Adjusted interest expense 5,291 4,811 6,077 3,037 4,124
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (1,111) (1,010) (1,276) (638) (866)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 4,180 3,801 4,801 2,399 3,258
Interest income (4,884) (786) (1,830) (6,763) (3,113)
Investment income, before taxes (4,884) (786) (1,830) (6,763) (3,113)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7 1,026 165 384 1,420 654
Investment income, after taxes8 (3,858) (621) (1,446) (5,343) (2,459)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,440,126 1,069,664 635,624 625,596 664,318

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 98,100 × 3.80% = 3,728

5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 5,291 × 21.00% = 1,111

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 4,884 × 21.00% = 1,026

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
The net income displayed a consistent upward trend throughout the periods observed. Starting at 605,668 thousand USD in 2018, it showed a modest increase to 615,518 thousand USD in 2019. The growth rate accelerated in 2020, reaching 672,682 thousand USD. The largest increments occurred in the subsequent years, with net income rising significantly to 1,034,375 thousand USD in 2021 and further to 1,377,159 thousand USD in 2022. This pattern indicates robust profitability improvements over the five-year span.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited a generally increasing trend similar to net income, though with some fluctuations. In 2018, NOPAT stood at 664,318 thousand USD. The figure slightly declined in 2019 to 625,596 thousand USD, followed by a marginal increase in 2020 to 635,624 thousand USD, suggesting a period of stagnation or mild operational challenges. From 2020 onward, NOPAT experienced substantial growth, climbing to 1,069,664 thousand USD in 2021 and reaching 1,440,126 thousand USD in 2022. This growth trajectory reflects enhanced operational efficiency and profitability post-2020.
General Observations
The financial results reveal strong overall growth in both net income and NOPAT, with particularly notable expansions in the last two years. The rise in net income outpaces the earlier years’ increments significantly, paralleling the improvements in operational profit after taxes. The data suggests successful operational scaling or favorable market conditions contributing to elevated profitability. The slight dip in NOPAT between 2018 and 2019 did not adversely affect the long-term growth trend.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Provision for income taxes 464,190 354,048 228,682 208,431 209,845
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 62,008 30,165 (41,011) 13,157 57,707
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 1,111 1,010 1,276 638 866
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 1,026 165 384 1,420 654
Cash operating taxes 402,267 324,728 270,585 194,492 152,350

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited a general upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at $209,845 thousand in 2018, the figure remained relatively stable in 2019 with a slight decrease to $208,431 thousand. From 2020 onwards, there was a noticeable increase each year, with the provision rising to $228,682 thousand in 2020, a more significant jump to $354,048 thousand in 2021, and reaching $464,190 thousand in 2022. This pattern suggests escalating taxable income or changes in tax rates, contributing to higher tax provisions.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes also followed an increasing trend across the period analyzed. Beginning at $152,350 thousand in 2018, there was a continuous rise each year, progressing to $194,492 thousand in 2019 and accelerating further to $270,585 thousand in 2020. The upward trend continued with $324,728 thousand in 2021 and peaked at $402,267 thousand in 2022. The steady annual growth indicates increased cash outflows related to taxes, which may reflect improved operational profitability or higher tax obligations.
Comparative Insights
Both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes showed consistent growth, with cash operating taxes increasing at a slightly faster pace relative to the provision for income taxes in the early years. By 2022, the absolute difference between the two figures widened, with cash taxes amounting to $402,267 thousand compared to a tax provision of $464,190 thousand. This divergence highlights the company's growing tax payments in cash, which might impact liquidity, while the tax provision increase aligns with accounting recognition of income tax liabilities.

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Invested Capital

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Current maturities of long-term debt 20,000
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 79,963 99,947 99,931 45,000 45,000
Operating lease liability1 98,100 102,800 106,300 66,500 82,153
Total reported debt & leases 198,063 202,747 206,231 111,500 127,153
Shareholders’ equity 3,652,917 3,679,807 3,326,288 3,080,717 2,680,483
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 309,249 247,241 217,076 258,087 244,930
Allowance for uncollectible accounts3 6,677 6,039 4,095 3,497 3,632
Equity equivalents4 315,926 253,280 221,171 261,584 248,562
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity 3,968,843 3,933,087 3,547,459 3,342,301 2,929,045
Short-term investments6 (49,355) (254,433) (330,274)
Invested capital 4,117,551 3,881,401 3,423,416 3,453,801 3,056,198

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total Reported Debt & Leases

The total reported debt and leases exhibited a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Initially, there was a decline from 127,153 thousand US dollars at the end of 2018 to 111,500 thousand US dollars in 2019. Subsequently, this figure increased substantially in 2020 to 206,231 thousand US dollars. From 2020 onward, the debt level slightly decreased, reaching 202,747 thousand US dollars in 2021 and further reducing to 198,063 thousand US dollars by the end of 2022. Overall, the debt level is significantly higher in 2022 compared to 2018, indicating an increase in leverage or financing obligations over the period despite some moderation after 2020.

Shareholders’ Equity

Shareholders’ equity demonstrated consistent growth throughout the analyzed years. Starting from 2,680,483 thousand US dollars at the end of 2018, equity increased each year, reaching 3,065,717 thousand in 2019, 3,326,288 thousand in 2020, 3,679,807 thousand in 2021, and slightly decreasing to 3,652,917 thousand in 2022. This upward trend reflects a strengthening equity base, with only a minor dip in the final year that may warrant further investigation. The steady increase suggests accumulation of retained earnings or other equity enhancements over time.

Invested Capital

Invested capital rose consistently from 3,056,198 thousand US dollars in 2018 to 4,117,551 thousand US dollars in 2022. There was a modest increase from 2018 to 2019, reaching 3,453,801 thousand, followed by a slight decline in 2020 to 3,423,416 thousand. Post-2020, there was a notable rise, with invested capital hitting 3,881,401 thousand in 2021 and continuing up to 4,117,551 thousand in 2022. This overall upward trend in invested capital indicates expanding asset base or capital deployment, potentially supporting growth initiatives or operational scaling during the observed timeframe.

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Cost of Capital

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 37,630,139 37,630,139 ÷ 37,820,839 = 0.99 0.99 × 18.22% = 18.13%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 92,600 92,600 ÷ 37,820,839 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Operating lease liability4 98,100 98,100 ÷ 37,820,839 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 37,820,839 1.00 18.14%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 32,446,727 32,446,727 ÷ 32,654,027 = 0.99 0.99 × 18.22% = 18.11%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 104,500 104,500 ÷ 32,654,027 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Operating lease liability4 102,800 102,800 ÷ 32,654,027 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 32,654,027 1.00 18.12%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 25,411,604 25,411,604 ÷ 25,623,304 = 0.99 0.99 × 18.22% = 18.07%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 105,400 105,400 ÷ 25,623,304 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Operating lease liability4 106,300 106,300 ÷ 25,623,304 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 25,623,304 1.00 18.09%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 16,439,956 16,439,956 ÷ 16,552,556 = 0.99 0.99 × 18.22% = 18.10%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 46,100 46,100 ÷ 16,552,556 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.79% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Operating lease liability4 66,500 66,500 ÷ 16,552,556 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 16,552,556 1.00 18.12%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 12,209,782 12,209,782 ÷ 12,337,535 = 0.99 0.99 × 18.22% = 18.03%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 45,600 45,600 ÷ 12,337,535 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.79% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Operating lease liability4 82,153 82,153 ÷ 12,337,535 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.79% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 12,337,535 1.00 18.07%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 693,041 366,278 16,247 (242) 112,017
Invested capital2 4,117,551 3,881,401 3,423,416 3,453,801 3,056,198
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 16.83% 9.44% 0.47% -0.01% 3.67%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp. -6.35% -3.82%
Uber Technologies Inc. -73.74% -22.90%
Union Pacific Corp. -1.50% -2.36%
United Airlines Holdings Inc. -3.37% -10.29%
United Parcel Service Inc. 11.65% 17.48%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 693,041 ÷ 4,117,551 = 16.83%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Between 2018 and 2022, there is a pronounced trend of increasing economic value creation. Following a period of volatility and a marginal contraction in 2019, a substantial acceleration in both economic profit and capital efficiency is observed.

Invested Capital Growth
Invested capital demonstrates a general upward trajectory, rising from 3,056,198 thousand US dollars in 2018 to 4,117,551 thousand US dollars by the end of 2022. Aside from a slight decrease in 2020, the consistent growth indicates an ongoing expansion of the capital base utilized in operations.
Economic Profit Trajectory
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility in the early part of the period, shifting from a positive 112,017 thousand US dollars in 2018 to a marginal deficit of 242 thousand US dollars in 2019. This was followed by a recovery in 2020 and an exponential surge in the subsequent two years, peaking at 693,041 thousand US dollars in 2022. This indicates a capacity to generate value far exceeding the cost of capital in the latter years.
Economic Spread Ratio Performance
The economic spread ratio highlights a sharp improvement in value creation efficiency. After declining from 3.67% in 2018 to a low of -0.01% in 2019, the ratio rebounded to 0.47% in 2020 before climbing aggressively to 9.44% in 2021 and 16.83% in 2022. The rapid expansion of this ratio suggests that the return on invested capital increased significantly faster than the growth of the capital base itself.

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Economic Profit Margin

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 693,041 366,278 16,247 (242) 112,017
Revenue from operations 6,260,077 5,256,328 4,015,129 4,109,111 4,043,695
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 11.07% 6.97% 0.40% -0.01% 2.77%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp. -4.51% -2.92%
Uber Technologies Inc. -37.80% -21.09%
Union Pacific Corp. -3.59% -6.31%
United Airlines Holdings Inc. -3.07% -21.67%
United Parcel Service Inc. 5.20% 7.98%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue from operations
= 100 × 693,041 ÷ 6,260,077 = 11.07%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2018 to 2022 is characterized by a period of initial volatility followed by a phase of rapid expansion in value creation. While the early part of the period showed fluctuating returns, the latter years demonstrate a significant increase in both absolute economic profit and the efficiency of revenue utilization.

Economic Profit Trajectory
Economic profit experienced a sharp decline between 2018 and 2019, moving from 112,017 thousand US dollars to a marginal loss of 242 thousand US dollars. A recovery began in 2020 with 16,247 thousand US dollars, which served as a baseline for exponential growth in subsequent years. By 2022, economic profit reached 693,041 thousand US dollars, representing a substantial increase in the company's ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital.
Revenue Growth and Correlation
Revenue from operations remained relatively stagnant between 2018 and 2020, fluctuating around the 4 million US dollar mark. However, a strong upward trend emerged in 2021 and 2022, with revenue climbing to 5,256,328 thousand US dollars and 6,260,077 thousand US dollars, respectively. The correlation between the surge in revenue and the surge in economic profit suggests strong operating leverage, where revenue growth significantly outpaced the increase in the cost of capital.
Economic Profit Margin Expansion
The economic profit margin reflects a dramatic improvement in value creation efficiency. After dropping to -0.01% in 2019 and remaining low at 0.40% in 2020, the margin expanded rapidly to 6.97% in 2021 and reached a peak of 11.07% in 2022. This trajectory indicates that a larger portion of each dollar of revenue is contributing to economic value added, shifting the business from a state of near-zero economic profit to a high-value-creation model.

In summary, the period concludes with a strong positive trend. The transition from a negative economic profit margin in 2019 to an 11.07% margin in 2022 underscores a fundamental improvement in profitability relative to the capital employed.

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