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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Expedia Group Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
- Current Ratio since 2005
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2005
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data reveals distinct trends in key profitability and capital metrics over the five-year period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT shows a generally upward trajectory from 2017 through 2019, increasing from $1,026 million to $1,922 million. However, there is a pronounced decline in 2020, with NOPAT turning negative to -$5,503 million, indicating a significant operational loss during that year. The subsequent year, 2021, shows a recovery with NOPAT rebounding to a positive $2,614 million, though this value has not yet restored to the pre-2020 growth trend.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital fluctuates moderately over the years, ranging from a high of 17.58% in 2018 to a low of 15.18% in 2020. This fluctuation suggests changes in the company's risk profile or market conditions affecting financing costs, with a general trend of staying within the 15-18% range. The cost of capital rises slightly again to 16.48% in 2021.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital shows a steady increase over the period, rising from $14,039 million in 2017 to $17,498 million in 2021. This indicates ongoing investment into the company’s operational base or assets, reflecting expansion or capital reinvestment despite the financial disruptions experienced.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit remains negative throughout the entire period, though the magnitude varies significantly. Initially, economic profit losses lessen from -$1,290 million in 2017 to -$733 million in 2019, reflecting narrowing deficits. However, 2020 sees a dramatic deterioration to -$7,895 million, aligned with the NOPAT collapse, signifying substantial destruction of shareholder value during this period. By 2021, economic profit improves markedly to a negative $270 million, approaching breakeven but still reflecting some residual negative economic value.
Overall, the analysis highlights a strong operating performance before 2020, a severe impact likely attributable to external factors in 2020, and signs of recovery in 2021. Despite the recovery in NOPAT and invested capital growth, economic profit remains slightly negative, suggesting that the company's returns continue to fall just short of covering its cost of capital.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..
6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Expedia Group, Inc..
9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in profitability over the analyzed periods.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Expedia Group, Inc.
- The company experienced positive net income from 2017 through 2019, with values steadily increasing from 378 million USD in 2017 to 565 million USD in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp and substantial loss of 2,612 million USD, indicating a major adverse impact on profitability. The net income slightly recovered in 2021, recording a marginal profit of 12 million USD, which suggests a fragile rebound but still far below pre-2020 levels.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- This metric exhibits a similar trend to net income, with continuous growth from 1,026 million USD in 2017 to 1,922 million USD in 2019. The year 2020 marked a deep negative NOPAT of 5,503 million USD, underscoring the operational difficulties faced during this period. In 2021, there was a notable improvement with NOPAT returning to a positive figure of 2,614 million USD, surpassing pre-pandemic levels, which may reflect operational recovery and enhanced efficiency or cost management.
Overall, the data illustrates strong growth in profitability through 2019, a severe downturn in 2020 presumably linked to extraordinary circumstances, followed by partial to full recovery across key profit measures in 2021. The divergence in magnitude of loss between net income and NOPAT in 2020 highlights the scale of operational and possibly non-operational challenges during that year.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
The analysis of the provided financial data indicates noteworthy fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
- The income tax expense exhibits a rising trend from 2017 through 2019, increasing from 45 million USD to 203 million USD. However, this trend reverses strongly in 2020, with the figure turning negative to -423 million USD, indicating a tax benefit rather than an expense. In 2021, the amount remains negative but with a reduced benefit of -53 million USD. This significant shift in 2020 and 2021 reflects either substantial tax credits, loss carrybacks, or other tax relief measures impacting the income tax recorded.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes increase sharply from 212 million USD in 2017 to 427 million USD in 2018, followed by a decline to 323 million USD in 2019. The downward trend continues in 2020, dropping to 142 million USD, and then slightly recovers to 167 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests a peak in cash outflows related to taxes in 2018, with subsequent moderation likely due to operational changes or tax planning strategies.
Overall, the data reveals contrasting movements between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments, especially notable in 2020 when the income tax expense turns into a substantial benefit while cash taxes paid decrease markedly. This divergence may indicate changes in accounting treatment or timing differences between tax expense recognition and cash tax payments.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue.
5 Addition of restructuring and related reorganization accrued liability.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Expedia Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of projects in progress.
9 Subtraction of investments.
The presented financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- There is an overall increasing trend in total reported debt and leases, rising from $4,941 million in 2017 to $8,887 million by the end of 2021. Notably, the increase between 2019 ($5,589 million) and 2020 ($8,855 million) is substantial, indicating a significant rise in leverage during that period, which then stabilizes into 2021.
- Total Stockholders’ Equity
- Total stockholders' equity shows a declining trend over the same period. Starting at $4,522 million in 2017, it decreases somewhat gradually to $3,967 million in 2019, followed by a sharper decline to $2,532 million in 2020 and then further to $2,057 million in 2021. This decreasing equity trend suggests potential erosion of shareholder value or increased liabilities relative to assets.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remains relatively steady between 2017 and 2020, fluctuating mildly from $14,039 million in 2017 to $15,765 million in 2020. However, a noticeable increase occurs in 2021, reaching $17,498 million. This rise may reflect accumulated investments, retained earnings, or other capital inputs despite the reduction in equity.
In summary, the financial structure indicates rising debt levels alongside falling equity, which could imply increased financial risk or strategic leveraging. The increase in invested capital alongside these changes indicates ongoing commitments to assets or operations. These trends warrant further investigation into the underlying causes, such as capital expenditures, income performance, or financing activities, to comprehensively assess financial health and risk exposure.
Cost of Capital
Expedia Group Inc., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Series A Preferred Stock | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Series A Preferred Stock | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Series A Preferred Stock | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Series A Preferred Stock | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Series A Preferred Stock | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
Amazon.com Inc. | ||||||
Home Depot Inc. | ||||||
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. | ||||||
TJX Cos. Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals notable fluctuations and trends in economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit indicates negative values throughout the full time span, reflecting consistent underperformance relative to cost of capital. Initially, the loss decreased from -1290 million USD in 2017 to -733 million USD in 2019, suggesting a partial improvement. However, in 2020, there is a stark deterioration to -7895 million USD, which could be attributed to exceptional circumstances impacting profitability. By the end of 2021, the economic profit significantly recovers to a negative 270 million USD, showing progress toward minimizing losses.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital shows a general upward trend, starting from approximately 14.04 billion USD in 2017 and increasing steadily, with a minor dip in 2020 to 15.77 billion USD from 16.16 billion USD in 2019. It then rises again to 17.50 billion USD in 2021. This gradual increase suggests continued investment or expansion activities despite fluctuations in profitability.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio remains negative across all periods, consistent with negative economic profits. It improves somewhat from -9.19% in 2017 to -4.54% in 2019, indicative of a narrowing gap between returns and cost of capital. However, 2020 shows a dramatic decline to -50.08%, aligning with the sharp fall in economic profit during the same year. By 2021, the ratio recovers substantially to -1.54%, reflecting enhanced economic value generation, though it remains below breakeven.
Overall, the company exhibited a trend of improving economic profit and spread from 2017 through 2019. The year 2020 marked a significant downturn likely due to extraordinary events, severely impacting profitability and economic spread despite stable invested capital. The subsequent year, 2021, shows a partial recovery, indicating resilience and steps toward returning to a more favorable economic position.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Revenue | ||||||
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred merchant bookings and deferred revenue | ||||||
Adjusted revenue | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
Amazon.com Inc. | ||||||
Home Depot Inc. | ||||||
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. | ||||||
TJX Cos. Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated a deteriorating trend from 2017 through 2020, starting at a negative value of -1290 million US dollars in 2017 and reaching a significant low of -7895 million US dollars in 2020. However, in 2021, there was a notable recovery to -270 million US dollars, indicating a considerable reduction in the economic loss experienced by the company.
- Adjusted Revenue
- Adjusted revenue showed a consistent growth trajectory from 2017 to 2019, increasing steadily from 10,705 million US dollars in 2017 to 13,376 million US dollars in 2019. In 2020, there was a sharp decline to 2,478 million US dollars, reflecting a substantial reduction likely due to external adverse conditions. The revenue rebounded in 2021 to 11,173 million US dollars, approaching pre-2020 levels but still below the 2019 peak.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin followed a similar pattern to economic profit, with negative values reflecting losses throughout the periods analyzed. From -12.05% in 2017, the margin improved slightly to -5.48% in 2019 but drastically worsened to -318.61% in 2020, indicating extreme inefficiency or losses relative to revenue during that year. By 2021, the margin improved significantly to -2.42%, approaching a break-even state, signaling a recovery in profitability.