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Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30).
An analysis of the cash flow trajectory reveals a pattern of volatility characterized by an initial decline, a significant recovery peaking in 2024, and subsequent fluctuations in projected values. Both operating activities and free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) exhibit highly correlated movements over the period from 2021 to 2026.
- Operating Activities Performance
- Cash flow from operating activities experienced a reduction from 18,371 million USD in 2021 to 16,723 million USD in 2022. A subsequent recovery trend led to a peak of 19,846 million USD in 2024. While a contraction to 17,817 million USD is noted for 2025, a rebound to 19,556 million USD is anticipated by 2026.
- Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Trends
- FCFF followed a similar trajectory to operating cash flows, declining from 16,017 million USD in 2021 to a period low of 13,938 million USD in 2022. This was followed by a steady increase to 17,225 million USD in 2024. Projections show a decline to 14,758 million USD in 2025, with an expected increase to 15,833 million USD in 2026.
- Capital Expenditure and Conversion Analysis
- The gap between operating activities and FCFF, which represents capital expenditures, shows a general widening trend over the observed period. The difference increased from 2,354 million USD in 2021 to a projected 3,723 million USD by 2026. This indicates an increasing allocation of operating cash toward capital investments, which has moderately constrained the growth of FCFF relative to the growth of operating activities in the later years.
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30).
2 2026 Calculation
Cash payments for interest, tax = Cash payments for interest × EITR
= × =
The financial trajectory from June 30, 2021, to June 30, 2026, reveals a significant escalation in net interest expenditures and a gradual upward shift in the effective tax burden.
- Net Interest Payment Trends
- Cash payments for interest, net of tax, experienced an initial decline from 433 million USD in 2021 to 371 million USD in 2022. This was followed by a period of rapid growth, with payments increasing by approximately 56% in 2023 to 579 million USD and reaching 701 million USD by 2024. Expenditures peaked in 2025 at 714 million USD before exhibiting a slight contraction to 686 million USD in 2026.
- Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR) Progression
- The effective income tax rate remained relatively stable with a minor dip to 17.80% in 2022. However, a consistent upward trend is observed starting in 2023, with the rate rising to 19.70%, then progressing to 20.20% in 2024, 20.30% in 2025, and reaching a period high of 20.80% by June 30, 2026.
- Correlation and Financial Implications
- The simultaneous increase in both the EITR and net interest payments between 2022 and 2025 suggests a period of intensified financial pressure. The sharp rise in interest outflows during this window indicates either an expansion of the debt portfolio or an impact from rising market interest rates. While the interest payments show a marginal decline in the final year, the continuing rise in the effective tax rate suggests a tightening of after-tax cash flows.
Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |
| Enterprise value (EV) | |
| Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) | |
| Valuation Ratio | |
| EV/FCFF | |
| Benchmarks | |
| EV/FCFF, Industry | |
| Consumer Staples | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30).
If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.
Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30).
The valuation of the firm relative to its free cash flow exhibits a period of expansion followed by a gradual contraction and stabilization. The enterprise value peaked in 2024, whereas the EV/FCFF ratio reached its maximum in 2023, suggesting a temporary divergence between market valuation and operational cash generation.
- Enterprise Value Trends
- Enterprise value demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory from 2021 to 2024, increasing from 366,108 million to a peak of 419,670 million. A reversal occurred after 2024, with the value declining to 379,137 million in 2025 and further to 369,221 million by 2026, effectively returning the valuation to levels observed at the beginning of the period.
- Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Dynamics
- FCFF showed notable volatility throughout the period. An initial decrease from 16,017 million in 2021 to 13,938 million in 2022 was followed by a recovery phase that culminated in a peak of 17,225 million in 2024. A subsequent decline to 14,758 million in 2025 was offset by a recovery to 15,833 million in 2026, indicating fluctuating but sustained cash generation capabilities.
- EV/FCFF Ratio Analysis
- The EV/FCFF ratio rose from 22.86 in 2021 to a peak of 27.39 in 2023, signaling that the enterprise value expanded at a rate exceeding that of free cash flow growth. Following this peak, the ratio trended downward to 24.36 in 2024, experienced a minor increase to 25.69 in 2025, and ultimately settled at 23.32 by 2026. This movement indicates a normalization of the valuation multiple, bringing the market's valuation of the firm back into closer alignment with its cash flow performance.