Allowance for doubtful accounts receivable (bad debts) is a contra account which reduce the balance of the company gross accounts receivable. The relationship between the allowance and the balance in receivables should be relatively constant unless there is a change in the economy overall or a change in customer base.
Allowance for Doubtful Accounts Receivable
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 2019 Calculation
Allowance as a percentage of accounts and notes receivable, gross = 100 × Allowances ÷ Accounts and notes receivable, gross
= 100 × 41 ÷ 7,417 = 0.55%
The analysis of the allowance for doubtful accounts indicates a period of generally declining credit risk exposure between 2015 and 2018, followed by a moderate increase in the estimated loss provision in 2019.
- Allowance for Doubtful Accounts Trends
- Absolute allowance values experienced a steady decline from 55 million USD in 2015 to a period low of 22 million USD in 2018. This downward trajectory was reversed in 2019, where the allowance rose to 41 million USD.
- Gross Receivables Performance
- Accounts and notes receivable, gross, exhibited a general upward trend over the five-year period, growing from 4,466 million USD in 2015 to 7,417 million USD in 2019. A temporary contraction occurred in 2018, where balances decreased to 5,436 million USD from a 2017 peak of 6,453 million USD.
- Allowance as a Percentage of Gross Receivables
- The ratio of allowances to gross receivables decreased significantly from 1.23% in 2015 to 0.40% in 2018, suggesting an improvement in the credit quality of the receivables portfolio or a shift in risk assessment methodologies. In 2019, this ratio increased to 0.55%, indicating a slight uptick in the anticipated percentage of uncollectible accounts relative to the total gross balance.
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