Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:GD)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 28, 2020.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

General Dynamics Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2019 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial performance between 2015 and 2019 exhibits a clear divergence between operational profitability and economic value creation. While operating profits showed consistent growth, a substantial expansion of the capital base led to a transition from positive to negative economic profit, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the cost of the capital employed.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A steady upward trend is observed in NOPAT, which grew from US$ 3,237 million in 2015 to US$ 4,114 million in 2019. This indicates an improvement in the company's ability to generate operating earnings from its core business activities over the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2015 and 2017, hovering around US$ 18 billion to US$ 19.7 billion. However, a sharp increase occurred in 2018, with capital jumping to US$ 29,939 million, and continuing to rise to US$ 31,608 million by 2019. This rapid capital expansion represents a significant shift in the company's asset structure.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital experienced a slight increase from 17.59% in 2015 to a peak of 17.93% in 2017. A notable reduction followed in 2018 and 2019, with the rate settling between 15.61% and 15.82%. Despite this decrease in the required rate of return, the scale of new investment outweighed the benefits of the lower cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shifted from positive values in 2015 and 2016 (US$ 40 million and US$ 79 million, respectively) to a negative trajectory starting in 2017. The deficit widened significantly to US$ -990 million in 2018 and US$ -887 million in 2019. This pattern confirms that the growth in NOPAT did not keep pace with the increase in the capital charge, resulting in a net destruction of economic value during the latter half of the analyzed period.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

General Dynamics Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2019 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2019 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

7 2019 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

9 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Earnings
Net earnings remained relatively stable from 2015 to 2017, showing a slight decrease from 2,965 million USD in 2015 to 2,912 million USD in 2017. However, from 2017 onwards, a notable upward trend is observed with earnings increasing to 3,345 million USD in 2018 and further to 3,484 million USD in 2019. This indicates a period of renewed profitability growth in the last two years under review.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT experienced consistent growth over the entire period. Starting at 3,237 million USD in 2015, it increased to 3,563 million USD in 2016. Despite a slight decrease in 2017 to 3,393 million USD, the overall trend resumed upward momentum, reaching 3,683 million USD in 2018 and then significantly climbing to 4,114 million USD in 2019. This illustrates improving operational efficiency and profitability after taxes over the five-year span.


Cash Operating Taxes

General Dynamics Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Provision for income taxes, net
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).


The provision for income taxes, net, exhibited a generally stable trend between 2015 and 2017, with values of approximately 1137 million, 1169 million, and 1165 million US dollars, respectively. However, there was a notable decline starting in 2018, with the figure dropping significantly to 727 million and further slightly decreasing to 718 million US dollars in 2019. This downward shift after 2017 suggests a reduction in the overall tax burden or possible changes in tax strategies or profitability.

Cash operating taxes showed a downward trajectory over the five-year period. Starting from 1007 million US dollars in 2015, cash operating taxes decreased to 833 million in 2016, and then continued to decline slightly to 811 million in 2017. In 2018, the amount remained relatively stable at 814 million US dollars but then decreased again to 732 million in 2019. This gradual reduction aligns with the trend observed in the provision for income taxes, although the decline in cash taxes began earlier and was more gradual compared to the sharper decrease seen in the provision figures after 2017.

Overall, both tax-related metrics demonstrate a significant reduction in the company’s income tax liabilities from 2017 onwards, with cash taxes showing a steady decline throughout the entire period. This pattern may reflect changes in taxable income, effective tax rates, tax planning measures, or adjustments in accounting for tax provisions.



Invested Capital

General Dynamics Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Short-term debt and current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Product warranty liabilities3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in process6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in process.


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals several noteworthy trends in the company's debt levels, equity base, and invested capital.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a generally increasing trend from 2015 to 2017, rising from $4,345 million to $5,188 million. A significant jump occurred between 2017 and 2018, with debt surging dramatically to $13,882 million, followed by a slight decrease in 2019 to $13,433 million. This suggests a substantial increase in leverage starting in 2018, which may reflect a strategic decision to finance growth, acquisitions, or other investments during this time.
Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity steadily increased over the analyzed periods, moving from $10,738 million in 2015 to $13,577 million in 2019. The growth was relatively consistent, indicating ongoing accumulation of retained earnings and/or capital contributions. The equity growth rate appears moderate and stable compared to the more volatile changes observed in total debt.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased from $18,175 million in 2015 to $19,772 million by 2017, which is a moderate growth. However, a sharp rise occurred between 2017 and 2018, coinciding with the surge in reported debt and leases, with invested capital reaching $29,939 million in 2018 and further increasing to $31,608 million in 2019. This suggests significant investment or expansion activities starting in 2018, funded in part by increased debt levels.

Overall, the data indicate a period of relative stability from 2015 through 2017, followed by a substantial increase in leverage and total invested capital beginning in 2018. The company’s equity base grew steadily throughout, providing a solid foundation despite the sharp increase in debt. This pattern may reflect a strategic shift toward accelerated growth or capital-intensive initiatives in the latter years of the period analyzed.



Cost of Capital

General Dynamics Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt principal3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt principal. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt principal3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt principal. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt principal3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt principal. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt principal3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt principal. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short- and long-term debt principal3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt principal. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

General Dynamics Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2019 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Between 2015 and 2019, a significant deterioration in economic value creation is observed. While the period began with modest positive returns, the subsequent years were characterized by substantial economic losses coinciding with a sharp expansion of the invested capital base.

Economic Profit Analysis
Positive economic profit was recorded in 2015 and 2016, peaking at 79 million US$. However, a reversal occurred in 2017, with the company entering a period of economic loss. This decline accelerated sharply in 2018, reaching a deficit of 990 million US$, before seeing a marginal recovery to 887 million US$ in 2019.
Invested Capital Growth
The capital base exhibited a consistent upward trend, growing from 18,175 million US$ in 2015 to 19,772 million US$ in 2017. A substantial increase in investment occurred between 2017 and 2018, where invested capital rose by approximately 50% to 29,939 million US$, ultimately reaching 31,608 million US$ by the end of 2019.
Economic Spread Ratio Trends
The economic spread ratio mirrors the trajectory of economic profit, starting at 0.22% in 2015 and rising slightly to 0.41% in 2016. A negative transition began in 2017 (-0.77%), culminating in a significant low of -3.31% in 2018. The ratio improved slightly to -2.81% in 2019, though it remained deeply negative, indicating that the return on invested capital failed to exceed the cost of capital during the latter three years of the period.

The correlation between the surge in invested capital in 2018 and the simultaneous plunge in the economic spread ratio suggests that the additional capital deployed did not generate sufficient returns to cover its cost, thereby destroying shareholder value during the latter part of the analysis period.



Economic Profit Margin

General Dynamics Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2019 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial performance between 2015 and 2019 reveals a significant shift from modest economic value creation to substantial value destruction. While the company experienced growth in total revenue during the latter part of the period, this growth did not translate into economic profit, resulting in a consistently declining economic profit margin.

Economic Profit Trends
The company maintained positive economic profit for the first two years of the period, peaking at 79 million USD in 2016. A reversal occurred in 2017, with economic profit falling to -152 million USD. This downward trajectory accelerated sharply in 2018, reaching a minimum of -990 million USD, followed by a marginal recovery to -887 million USD in 2019.
Revenue Growth Patterns
Revenue remained relatively stagnant from 2015 to 2017, fluctuating narrowly around 31 billion USD. A period of accelerated growth followed, with revenue increasing to 36.19 billion USD in 2018 and further rising to 39.35 billion USD by 2019. This indicates a strong expansion in top-line activity during the final two years of the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin highlights a divergence between revenue growth and economic value. After starting with slim positive margins of 0.13% and 0.25% in 2015 and 2016, the margin turned negative in 2017 at -0.49%. The most significant contraction occurred in 2018, where the margin dropped to -2.74%. Despite the continued increase in revenue through 2019, the margin remained deeply negative at -2.26%, suggesting that the returns generated on capital were insufficient to cover the cost of capital during this phase of expansion.