Stock Analysis on Net

Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)

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Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Caterpillar Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 9,805 10,452 10,002 7,348 6,986
Cost of capital2 22.18% 20.61% 20.51% 19.82% 18.39%
Invested capital3 64,653 57,519 55,518 54,801 55,552
 
Economic profit4 (4,534) (1,401) (1,385) (3,512) (3,229)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 9,80522.18% × 64,653 = -4,534


The analysis of economic profit reveals a persistent inability to create value above the cost of capital throughout the period from 2021 to 2025. While operating profitability showed significant improvement mid-period, the simultaneous rise in the cost of capital and a substantial expansion of the capital base in the final year led to a marked increase in economic losses.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A positive growth trajectory was observed from 2021 to 2024, with NOPAT increasing from 6,986 million to a peak of 10,452 million. A slight contraction occurred in 2025, with values receding to 9,805 million, indicating a deceleration in operating profit growth.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited a consistent and steady upward trend, rising from 18.39% in 2021 to 22.18% by 2025. This continuous increase elevated the financial hurdle for value creation, intensifying the pressure on the company to generate higher operating returns.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2023, fluctuating near 55 billion. A notable expansion occurred starting in 2024 and accelerating in 2025, where invested capital rose to 64,653 million, reflecting a significant increase in the deployment of resources.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit remained negative across the entire five-year duration. A period of relative improvement was noted in 2023 and 2024, where losses narrowed to approximately 1.4 billion as NOPAT growth outpaced the rise in capital costs. However, this trend reversed sharply in 2025, with economic profit falling to -4,534 million. This deterioration was driven by the combined impact of a higher cost of capital, a larger capital base, and a decline in NOPAT.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Caterpillar Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Profit attributable to common stockholders 8,884 10,792 10,335 6,705 6,489
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 465 (621) (592) (377) (383)
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve2 441 441 102 722 467
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liability3 (74) (194) 133 72 77
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 832 (374) (357) 417 161
Interest expense excluding Financial Products 502 512 511 443 488
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 29 18 17 12 13
Adjusted interest expense excluding Financial Products 531 530 528 455 501
Tax benefit of interest expense excluding Financial Products6 (112) (111) (111) (95) (105)
Adjusted interest expense excluding Financial Products, after taxes7 420 419 417 359 396
Investment and interest income (416) (482) (494) (167) (80)
Investment income, before taxes (416) (482) (494) (167) (80)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 87 101 104 35 17
Investment income, after taxes9 (329) (381) (390) (132) (63)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (2) (4) (3) (1) 4
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 9,805 10,452 10,002 7,348 6,986

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to profit attributable to common stockholders.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 728 × 4.00% = 29

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense excluding Financial Products = Adjusted interest expense excluding Financial Products × Statutory income tax rate
= 531 × 21.00% = 112

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to profit attributable to common stockholders.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 416 × 21.00% = 87

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and profit attributable to common stockholders both demonstrate a general upward trajectory over the observed period, though with some fluctuation. NOPAT increased from 2021 to 2023, experienced a slight increase from 2023 to 2024, and then decreased in 2025. Profit attributable to common stockholders follows a similar pattern.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT increased from US$6,986 million in 2021 to US$7,348 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 5.2%. This growth continued into 2023, with NOPAT reaching US$10,002 million, a substantial increase of roughly 36.2% from the prior year. A further, albeit smaller, increase was observed in 2024, with NOPAT reaching US$10,452 million. However, NOPAT decreased to US$9,805 million in 2025, representing a decline of approximately 6.2% from 2024.
Profit Attributable to Common Stockholders Trend
Profit attributable to common stockholders increased from US$6,489 million in 2021 to US$6,705 million in 2022, a growth of approximately 3.3%. A significant increase was then recorded in 2023, reaching US$10,335 million, representing a growth of approximately 54.1% from 2022. This upward trend continued into 2024, with profit attributable to common stockholders reaching US$10,792 million. In 2025, profit attributable to common stockholders decreased to US$8,884 million, a decline of approximately 17.9% from 2024.

The correlation between NOPAT and profit attributable to common stockholders is strong, suggesting that changes in operating profitability directly influence the net income available to shareholders. The decrease observed in both metrics in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying causes, such as increased costs, decreased sales volume, or changes in the tax environment.

Relationship between NOPAT and Profit
While both metrics generally move in the same direction, NOPAT consistently exceeds profit attributable to common stockholders across all observed years. This difference likely reflects items not included in NOPAT, such as financing costs or non-operating income/expenses, which impact the final profit figure reported to common stockholders.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Caterpillar Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes 2,768 2,629 2,781 2,067 1,742
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 465 (621) (592) (377) (383)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense excluding Financial Products 112 111 111 95 105
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 87 101 104 35 17
Cash operating taxes 2,327 3,260 3,380 2,504 2,213

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes both exhibited increasing trends from 2021 to 2023, followed by fluctuations in subsequent years. A detailed examination of these items reveals distinct patterns and potential areas for further investigation.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes increased steadily from US$1,742 million in 2021 to US$2,781 million in 2023, representing a growth of approximately 60%. In 2024, this figure decreased slightly to US$2,629 million before rising again to US$2,768 million in 2025. This suggests a correlation with overall profitability, though further analysis is needed to confirm this relationship.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes mirrored the increasing trend observed in the provision for income taxes, rising from US$2,213 million in 2021 to US$3,380 million in 2023, an increase of over 52%. A decrease was then noted in 2024 to US$3,260 million, followed by a more substantial decline to US$2,327 million in 2025. This decrease in 2025 is more pronounced than the decrease in the provision for income taxes, potentially indicating changes in deferred tax assets or liabilities, or timing differences in tax payments.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021 and 2022, the difference between cash operating taxes and the provision for income taxes was relatively consistent, around US$471 million and US$437 million respectively. However, this difference widened in 2023 to US$600 million, and further increased to US$631 million in 2024. The difference narrowed significantly in 2025 to US$441 million. These variations suggest changes in the timing of recognizing taxable income versus actual cash tax payments, potentially due to items like depreciation methods, tax credits, or changes in tax laws. The substantial decrease in 2025 warrants further investigation to understand the underlying drivers.

Overall, the fluctuations in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes suggest a dynamic tax environment. The divergence between these two figures, particularly the significant decrease in cash operating taxes in 2025, should be examined in greater detail to assess its impact on the company’s economic value added and overall financial health.

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Invested Capital

Caterpillar Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term borrowings 5,514 4,393 4,643 5,957 5,404
Long-term debt due within one year 7,120 6,665 8,763 5,322 6,352
Long-term debt due after one year 30,696 27,351 24,472 25,714 26,033
Operating lease liability1 728 602 574 579 642
Total reported debt & leases 44,058 39,011 38,452 37,572 38,431
Equity attributable to common shareholders 21,318 19,491 19,494 15,869 16,484
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (2,263) (2,759) (2,180) (1,576) (1,257)
LIFO reserve3 4,305 3,864 3,423 3,321 2,599
Product warranty liability4 1,626 1,700 1,894 1,761 1,689
Equity equivalents5 3,668 2,805 3,137 3,506 3,031
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 1,772 2,471 1,820 2,457 1,553
Noncontrolling interests 3 9 22 32
Adjusted equity attributable to common shareholders 26,758 24,770 24,460 21,854 21,100
Construction-in-process7 (2,092) (1,751) (1,259) (1,020) (812)
Investments in debt and equity securities8 (4,071) (4,511) (6,135) (3,605) (3,167)
Invested capital 64,653 57,519 55,518 54,801 55,552

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of product warranty liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to common shareholders.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction-in-process.

8 Subtraction of investments in debt and equity securities.


The invested capital of the company exhibited relative stability between 2021 and 2023, followed by increases in 2024 and 2025. A closer examination of the components reveals trends in both debt and equity financing.

Total Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases decreased from $38,431 million in 2021 to $37,572 million in 2022. A slight increase was observed in 2023, reaching $38,452 million, before continuing to rise to $39,011 million in 2024. The most significant increase occurred between 2024 and 2025, with debt and leases reaching $44,058 million. This indicates a growing reliance on debt financing in the latter period.
Equity Attributable to Common Shareholders
Equity attributable to common shareholders decreased from $16,484 million in 2021 to $15,869 million in 2022. A substantial increase was then recorded in 2023, reaching $19,494 million. Equity remained relatively stable in 2024 at $19,491 million, and continued to grow to $21,318 million in 2025. This suggests a strengthening of the equity base, particularly between 2022 and 2025.
Invested Capital
Invested capital, calculated as the sum of total debt & leases and equity attributable to common shareholders, remained relatively consistent between 2021 and 2023, fluctuating around $55.5 billion. An upward trend began in 2024, with invested capital reaching $57,519 million, and accelerated in 2025, culminating in $64,653 million. This increase in invested capital is attributable to the combined effect of rising debt and increasing equity, with debt contributing more significantly to the growth in the most recent period.

The composition of invested capital shifted over the analyzed period. While equity experienced a notable recovery and growth, the increasing proportion of debt in the capital structure from 2024 onwards warrants further investigation regarding the company’s financial leverage and associated risks.

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Cost of Capital

Caterpillar Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 360,225 360,225 ÷ 404,034 = 0.89 0.89 × 24.44% = 21.79%
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 43,081 43,081 ÷ 404,034 = 0.11 0.11 × 4.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.38%
Operating lease liability4 728 728 ÷ 404,034 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 404,034 1.00 22.18%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 168,863 168,863 ÷ 207,142 = 0.82 0.82 × 24.44% = 19.93%
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 37,677 37,677 ÷ 207,142 = 0.18 0.18 × 4.68% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.67%
Operating lease liability4 602 602 ÷ 207,142 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 207,142 1.00 20.61%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 160,755 160,755 ÷ 198,821 = 0.81 0.81 × 24.44% = 19.76%
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 37,492 37,492 ÷ 198,821 = 0.19 0.19 × 4.96% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.74%
Operating lease liability4 574 574 ÷ 198,821 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 198,821 1.00 20.51%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 128,415 128,415 ÷ 164,877 = 0.78 0.78 × 24.44% = 19.04%
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 35,883 35,883 ÷ 164,877 = 0.22 0.22 × 4.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.77%
Operating lease liability4 579 579 ÷ 164,877 = 0.00 0.00 × 2.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 164,877 1.00 19.82%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 109,128 109,128 ÷ 150,391 = 0.73 0.73 × 24.44% = 17.74%
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 40,621 40,621 ÷ 150,391 = 0.27 0.27 × 3.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.64%
Operating lease liability4 642 642 ÷ 150,391 = 0.00 0.00 × 2.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 150,391 1.00 18.39%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Caterpillar Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (4,534) (1,401) (1,385) (3,512) (3,229)
Invested capital2 64,653 57,519 55,518 54,801 55,552
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -7.01% -2.43% -2.49% -6.41% -5.81%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co. -5.79% -35.09% -15.03% -20.42% -19.02%
Eaton Corp. plc -5.06% -6.23% -7.81% -9.71% -9.32%
GE Aerospace 3.20% -0.68% 1.15% -13.79% -18.70%
Honeywell International Inc. -4.85% -3.88% -2.02% -2.99% -1.90%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 13.09% 12.07% 18.52% 14.55% 15.53%
RTX Corp. -0.57% -2.71% -4.48% -4.50% -3.98%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -4,534 ÷ 64,653 = -7.01%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value addition reveals a persistent inability to generate returns in excess of the cost of capital over the five-year period. Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire duration, indicating that the operational returns were insufficient to cover the imputed cost of the invested capital.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility, starting at -3,229 million in 2021 and deepening to -3,512 million in 2022. A notable recovery phase occurred between 2023 and 2024, where the deficit narrowed to -1,385 million and -1,401 million, respectively. However, this trend reversed sharply in 2025, with economic profit declining to -4,534 million, marking the lowest point in the period.
Invested Capital Growth
Invested capital remained relatively stable from 2021 through 2023, fluctuating between 54,801 million and 55,552 million. An upward trajectory began in 2024, reaching 57,519 million, followed by a substantial increase to 64,653 million by the end of 2025. This expansion of the capital base coincided with the most significant decline in economic profit.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio reflects a consistent negative spread, confirming that the return on invested capital remained below the cost of capital. The ratio deteriorated from -5.81% in 2021 to -6.41% in 2022, followed by a period of relative improvement where it reached -2.49% in 2023 and -2.43% in 2024. By 2025, the ratio plummeted to -7.01%, indicating a severe reduction in economic efficiency and a widening gap between actual returns and the required cost of capital.

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Economic Profit Margin

Caterpillar Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (4,534) (1,401) (1,385) (3,512) (3,229)
Sales of Machinery, Power & Energy 63,980 61,363 63,869 56,574 48,188
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -7.09% -2.28% -2.17% -6.21% -6.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co. -3.47% -26.52% -8.68% -15.59% -15.11%
Eaton Corp. plc -6.36% -8.00% -10.58% -14.41% -14.00%
GE Aerospace 2.93% -0.73% 0.89% -12.50% -18.88%
Honeywell International Inc. -7.87% -6.07% -2.66% -3.95% -2.66%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 5.29% 4.89% 7.52% 5.86% 6.63%
RTX Corp. -0.70% -3.61% -7.05% -7.38% -6.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales of Machinery, Power & Energy
= 100 × -4,534 ÷ 63,980 = -7.09%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value added indicates a sustained period of negative economic profit from 2021 through 2025. While a recovery phase was observed between 2022 and 2024, the period concluded with a significant deterioration in both absolute economic profit and the corresponding profit margin.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative throughout the analyzed timeframe, signifying that the return on capital did not exceed the company's cost of capital. After a decline to -3,512 million US$ in 2022, there was a substantial improvement in 2023 and 2024, where losses narrowed to -1,385 million US$ and -1,401 million US$, respectively. However, this trend reversed sharply in 2025, with economic profit falling to its lowest point of -4,534 million US$.
Revenue Trajectory
Sales of Machinery, Power & Energy exhibited overall growth, rising from 48,188 million US$ in 2021 to a peak of 63,869 million US$ in 2023. Despite a slight contraction to 61,363 million US$ in 2024, revenue recovered to 63,980 million US$ by 2025. The growth in sales did not consistently translate into positive economic value added.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute economic profit. The margin improved from -6.70% in 2021 to a period high of -2.17% in 2023, indicating a narrowing gap between actual returns and the cost of capital. This stability persisted into 2024 at -2.28%. However, 2025 saw a precipitous decline to -7.09%, the lowest margin in the five-year sequence, occurring despite the period's highest sales figures. This suggests a significant increase in the cost of capital or a sharp decline in operating efficiency relative to the invested capital base in the final year.

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