Stock Analysis on Net

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial data reveals several important trends and patterns over the reviewed five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT showed a significant recovery starting in 2021 after a large negative value in 2020. The figure increased from a negative $34,098 million in 2020 to $32,736 million in 2021 and further peaked at $62,749 million in 2022. However, there was a notable decline in subsequent years, decreasing to $37,855 million in 2023 and further to $31,476 million in 2024. This pattern indicates a strong turnaround followed by a gradual erosion of operating profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital consistently increased over the period, beginning at 10.78% in 2020 and rising steadily to 12.8% by 2024. This increasing trend suggests that the company faced rising capital charges, potentially due to changes in risk perception, market rates, or company-specific factors affecting capital costs.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced a moderate increase from $273,920 million in 2020 to $297,049 million in 2022, followed by further growth reaching $378,995 million by 2024. The steady escalation in invested capital reflects ongoing investment and asset base expansion throughout the period, especially a marked increase in 2024.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative or marginally positive during the period. It was highly negative in 2020 at -$63,622 million, recovered to near zero in 2021 at -$41 million, and turned positive in 2022 at $24,913 million. However, economic profit again declined sharply to -$1,044 million in 2023 and further decreased to -$17,049 million in 2024. The fluctuations highlight challenges in generating returns above the cost of capital despite periods of operating profit, emphasizing volatility in value creation.

Overall, while the company demonstrated a substantial recovery in operating profit after the 2020 downturn, rising capital costs and increasing invested capital put pressure on economic profit, which showed considerable variability and ended the period in negative territory. The contrasting trends between NOPAT growth and economic profit decline in later years warrant careful attention to capital efficiency and cost management strategies going forward.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Exxon Mobil Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in reserves2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserves.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil.

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in the profitability metrics over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024. Both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrate notable volatility, reflecting changing business dynamics and external factors impacting the company.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to ExxonMobil
The company experienced a substantial net loss in the year 2020, with a figure of negative $22.44 billion. This was followed by a strong recovery in 2021, marked by a sharp turnaround to a net income of $23.04 billion. The upward trend continued robustly into 2022, reaching a peak of $55.74 billion, which represents the highest profit in the examined period. However, the subsequent years showed a moderation in profitability, with net income declining to $36.01 billion in 2023 and further to $33.68 billion in 2024. Despite these decreases, profits remained significantly positive compared to the loss in 2020.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
Similar to net income, NOPAT followed a correlated pattern. The year 2020 registered a pronounced negative figure of $34.10 billion, indicating operational challenges and tax impacts during that period. Recovery commenced in 2021 with NOPAT switching to a positive $32.74 billion, followed by a peak in 2022 at $62.75 billion, surpassing the net income peak and underscoring efficient operational performance. Afterwards, NOPAT experienced a decline to $37.86 billion in 2023 and further contraction to $31.48 billion in 2024. These trends suggest the company maintained operational profitability after taxes but faced headwinds causing reduced returns post-2022.

Overall, the data indicates that the company underwent a significant turnaround after 2020, reflecting recovery from adverse conditions that year. The peak in 2022 represents a period of considerable profitability, although the subsequent decline in the following two years points to either reduced market conditions, increased costs, or other operational challenges. Despite the decline post-2022, the company remained profitable with both net income and NOPAT well above the negative values seen in 2020.


Cash Operating Taxes

Exxon Mobil Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data exhibits significant fluctuations in both income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense started with a substantial benefit of -5,632 million USD at the end of 2020, indicating a tax advantage or credit in that year. However, this shifted markedly in 2021, changing to a positive expense of 7,636 million USD. The upward trend continued into 2022, peaking at 20,176 million USD. Although there was a decline in 2023 to 15,429 million USD, the figure remained significantly elevated compared to 2021 and 2020. By 2024, the expense decreased slightly further to 13,810 million USD, yet maintaining a higher level than in the initial years.
Cash Operating Taxes
The cash operating taxes demonstrate a strong growth trajectory from 2,695 million USD in 2020 to 7,904 million USD in 2021. This upward momentum accelerated, reaching 16,789 million USD in 2022. Following this peak, cash operating taxes slightly declined to 14,713 million USD in 2023 but rebounded modestly to 14,916 million USD in 2024. The overall pattern suggests a multi-year increase with a peak in 2022, followed by stabilization at a high level.

Overall, both tax-related metrics indicate increased tax obligations and cash outflows in the recent years, especially from 2021 onwards. The simultaneous rise in income tax expense and cash operating taxes reflects heightened tax liabilities that stabilize but remain elevated compared to 2020 levels. The initial benefit observed in 2020 may represent one-time tax credits or adjustments, followed by normalization or growth in tax expenses consistent with business conditions in the subsequent years.


Invested Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Notes and loans payable
Long-term debt, excluding due within one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total ExxonMobil share of equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Reserves3
LIFO reserve4
Restructuring reserves5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total ExxonMobil share of equity
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring reserves.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total ExxonMobil share of equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a significant downward trend from 2020 to 2022, decreasing from $72,802 million to $46,787 million. This reduction suggests a strategy of debt reduction or improved liability management. From 2022 onwards, the figure stabilizes, with a slight increase to $48,188 million by 2024, indicating a relatively steady level of debt in the most recent periods.
Total ExxonMobil share of equity
Shareholder equity shows a consistent upward trend over the entire period. Starting at $157,150 million in 2020, it increases steadily each year, reaching a notable $263,705 million in 2024. This growth reflects strengthening equity positions, possibly driven by retained earnings, asset appreciation, or additional capital infusion.
Invested capital
Invested capital remains relatively stable between 2020 and 2021, with a slight slight decline from $273,920 million to $272,673 million. From 2021 onwards, invested capital steadily rises, reaching $378,995 million in 2024. This upward trend may indicate increased investments in assets or expansion initiatives to support long-term operational growth.

Overall, the financial data indicates a strategic reduction and subsequent stabilization of debt, coupled with strong growth in shareholder equity. The increase in invested capital alongside equity growth suggests ongoing investment in operational capacity supported by a solid equity base, contributing to a potentially stronger financial position over the assessed period.


Cost of Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Occidental Petroleum Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited significant fluctuation over the observed periods. In 2020, the company experienced a considerable economic loss of approximately 63.6 billion USD. This was followed by a marginal loss in 2021 near zero, then a notable positive economic profit of about 24.9 billion USD in 2022. Subsequent years showed a return to negative economic profit, with losses of approximately 1.0 billion USD in 2023 and a more substantial loss of around 17.0 billion USD in 2024. This pattern indicates a volatile profitability situation, with 2022 as an outlier year of economic gain.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a steady upward trend throughout the five-year period. Starting from approximately 274 billion USD in 2020, it slightly decreased in 2021 to around 273.7 billion USD, before increasing consistently to nearly 378.9 billion USD by the end of 2024. This suggests ongoing capital investment and expansion efforts by the company over the period under review.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio showed pronounced volatility, mirroring the trends in economic profit but at a relative scale. Initially, it was deeply negative at -23.23% in 2020, indicating returns significantly below the cost of capital. It improved substantially in 2021 to almost zero, then turned positive to 8.39% in 2022, reflecting value creation during that year. However, subsequent declines brought the ratio back below zero to -0.34% in 2023 and further down to -4.5% in 2024. This pattern signals fluctuating efficiency in generating returns over invested capital, with recent years reflecting returns not sufficient to cover costs.

Economic Profit Margin

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Sales and other operating revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Occidental Petroleum Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited considerable volatility over the observed period. It started with a significant negative value of -63,622 million US dollars at the end of 2020, improved dramatically to a positive 24,913 million US dollars by the end of 2022, signaling a peak in value creation. However, after 2022, economic profit declined sharply, returning to negative territory, with values of -1,044 million in 2023 and further decreasing to -17,049 million by the end of 2024. This pattern indicates a highly fluctuating economic performance with no clear long-term upward or stable trend.
Sales and Other Operating Revenue
Sales and other operating revenue showed a consistent and strong upward trend from 2020 through 2022, with revenues increasing from 178,574 million US dollars in 2020 up to 398,675 million in 2022. However, this upward momentum slowed in subsequent years as revenue declined to 334,697 million in 2023, followed by a slight increase to 339,247 million in 2024. Despite the recent fluctuations, the overall trend over the five-year period is positive with revenues roughly doubling from 2020 to 2024.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the trajectory of economic profit, starting at a deeply negative margin of -35.63% in 2020, improving dramatically to a nearly neutral margin of -0.01% in 2021, and becoming positive at 6.25% in 2022. This suggests a period of enhanced profitability relative to sales. Following 2022, the margin deteriorated again, turning slightly negative at -0.31% in 2023 and declining further to -5.03% in 2024. The fluctuations in the margin indicate challenges in sustaining profitability relative to sales despite large revenue figures.