Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Estée Lauder Cos. Inc. (NYSE:EL)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 18, 2023.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Estée Lauder Cos. Inc., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018
Net earnings attributable to The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. 1,006 2,390 2,870 684 1,785 1,108
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable noncontrolling interest 4 18 5 12 9 9
Net noncash charges 1,077 1,186 202 1,595 725 881
Changes in operating assets and liabilities (356) (554) 554 (11) (2) 575
Net cash flows provided by operating activities 1,731 3,040 3,631 2,280 2,517 2,573
Cash paid during the year for interest, net of tax1 170 129 143 102 102 101
Capital expenditures (1,003) (1,040) (637) (623) (744) (629)
Purchases of other intangible assets (2,286) — — — — —
Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment — — — — 2 —
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) (1,388) 2,129 3,137 1,759 1,877 2,045

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30).


The financial trajectory from 2018 to 2023 reflects a period of initial stability followed by significant volatility in both operating cash flows and free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).

Operating Cash Flow Trends
Net cash flows provided by operating activities exhibited relative consistency between 2018 and 2020, with values ranging from 2,280 million to 2,573 million US$. A sharp increase was recorded in 2021, reaching a peak of 3,631 million US$, before a consistent decline occurred over the following two years, ending at 1,731 million US$ in 2023.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Performance
FCFF followed a similar pattern to operating cash flows through 2022, maintaining positive values and peaking in 2021 at 3,137 million US$. However, the 2023 fiscal year shows a severe reversal, with FCFF dropping to negative 1,388 million US$, representing a substantial deficit compared to previous periods.
Analysis of Cash Flow Divergence
A significant divergence between operating cash flows and FCFF is observed in 2023. Despite the company maintaining a positive operating cash flow of 1,731 million US$, the FCFF fell deeply into negative territory. This discrepancy indicates a substantial increase in capital expenditures or investment outflows during the 2023 period that far exceeded the cash generated from core business operations.

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Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Estée Lauder Cos. Inc., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 27.70% 20.70% 13.70% 33.50% 22.00% 20.80%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid during the year for interest, before tax 235 163 166 153 131 128
Less: Cash paid during the year for interest, tax2 65 34 23 51 29 27
Cash paid during the year for interest, net of tax 170 129 143 102 102 101

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30).

1 See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Cash paid during the year for interest, tax = Cash paid during the year for interest × EITR
= 235 × 27.70% = 65


An analysis of interest payments net of tax over the six-year period ending June 30, 2023, reveals a general upward trajectory in cash outflows accompanied by significant volatility in the effective income tax rate.

Cash Outflow Trends
Interest payments net of tax remained remarkably stable between 2018 and 2020, hovering between 101 million and 102 million USD. Beginning in 2021, a growth trend emerged, with payments increasing to 143 million USD. Although a slight contraction to 129 million USD was observed in 2022, the outflow reached a period peak of 170 million USD by June 30, 2023, representing an overall increase of approximately 68% since 2018.
Effective Income Tax Rate Volatility
The effective income tax rate exhibited substantial fluctuation throughout the period. A significant peak occurred in 2020 at 33.50%, followed by a sharp decline to a period low of 13.70% in 2021. In the subsequent two years, the rate trended upward, closing at 27.70% in 2023.
Interaction Between Tax Rates and Interest Costs
The increase in net cash paid for interest suggests an expansion of gross interest obligations that outweighed the mitigating effects of tax shields. Specifically, the jump in net payments in 2021 coincided with the lowest effective tax rate of the period; this reduction in the tax rate decreased the tax-deductibility benefit of interest expenses, thereby increasing the net cash cost of servicing debt.

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Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Estée Lauder Cos. Inc., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 60,132
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) (1,388)
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF —
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Procter & Gamble Co. 22.86
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Staples 41.49

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Estée Lauder Cos. Inc., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 60,132 96,188 123,779 81,575 71,573 50,639
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 (1,388) 2,129 3,137 1,759 1,877 2,045
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 — 45.17 39.45 46.38 38.13 24.76
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Procter & Gamble Co. 27.39 26.63 22.86 — — —
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Staples 30.22 30.06 20.91 — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 60,132 ÷ -1,388 = —

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The Enterprise Value (EV) exhibited significant volatility over the six-year period, characterized by a period of rapid expansion followed by a sharp contraction. From June 30, 2018, to June 30, 2021, EV increased from $50,639 million to a peak of $123,779 million. This upward trajectory reversed after 2021, with the value declining to $60,132 million by June 30, 2023.

Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Performance
FCFF remained positive from 2018 through 2022, although it experienced fluctuations. A peak in cash generation occurred in 2021 at $3,137 million. However, a severe downturn was observed in the final year of the period, with FCFF falling to negative $1,388 million in 2023, marking a shift from cash surplus to a cash deficit.
EV/FCFF Ratio Trends
The EV/FCFF ratio trended upward between 2018 and 2020, rising from 24.76 to 46.38, which indicates that the enterprise valuation grew at a rate exceeding the growth of free cash flows. The ratio remained elevated through 2022, fluctuating between 39.45 and 45.17.
Valuation Divergence
A significant divergence between valuation and cash flow is evident in 2023. While the Enterprise Value decreased, the transition to a negative FCFF rendered the EV/FCFF ratio unavailable for calculation. This suggests that the company's valuation is no longer supported by positive free cash flow generation during the final observed period.

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