Stock Analysis on Net

Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 24, 2020.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Emerson Electric Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2019 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Starting at $2,212 million in 2014, it peaked at $2,871 million in 2015 before declining sharply to $1,731 million in 2016. A slight recovery occurred in 2017 with a value of $1,776 million, followed by continuous growth to reach $2,461 million by 2019. Overall, the trend reveals volatility with a notable dip in the middle years and a recovery toward the end of the period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed moderate variation, beginning at 15.89% in 2014, decreasing gradually to a low of 14.95% in 2015, then increasing to a peak of 16.39% in 2018. It slightly declined to 16.08% in 2019. This indicates a relatively stable but slightly increasing cost of financing over the years, with a minor dip at the outset.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a downward trend from $17,628 million in 2014 to a low of $15,181 million in 2017. After that, it increased steadily, reaching $16,266 million by 2019. The reduction in invested capital over the first part of the period suggests a contraction or divestment phase, followed by reinvestment or growth in later years.
Economic Profit
Economic profit showed a pattern of consistent negative values for most years, except 2015 where a positive economic profit of $280 million was observed. The economic profit started at -$588 million in 2014, worsened to -$787 million in 2016, and then gradually improved to -$155 million by 2019. The persistent negative economic profits, despite some improvement, indicate challenges in covering the cost of capital and generating value added beyond the expected return.
Overall Analysis
The company's financial performance reveals fluctuations in core profitability and invested capital alongside a relatively stable but somewhat increasing cost of capital. While there was a significant drop in NOPAT and economic profit mid-period, recovery signs appear toward the end, with increasing NOPAT and reduced economic losses. The negative economic profit for most years suggests that the company struggled to generate returns above its cost of capital, although the trend toward less negative values in recent years may indicate improving operational efficiency or better capital management.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Emerson Electric Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Net earnings common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in product warranty3
Increase (decrease) in liability for restructuring costs4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in liability for restructuring costs.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings common stockholders.

6 2019 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2019 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings common stockholders.

9 2019 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


The analysis of the financial data for the period from September 30, 2014, to September 30, 2019, reveals notable fluctuations in key profitability metrics.

Net Earnings Common Stockholders
The net earnings attributable to common stockholders demonstrate variability over the periods considered. Initially, there was an increase from 2,147 million USD in 2014 to a peak of 2,710 million USD in 2015. This was followed by a significant decrease to 1,635 million USD in 2016 and a slight further reduction to 1,518 million USD in 2017. Subsequently, the earnings recovered, rising to 2,203 million USD in 2018 and marginally improving to 2,306 million USD by 2019. This pattern suggests volatility in profitability, with a notable dip in the middle years before recovery in the latter two years.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT shows a similar trend to net earnings, with an increase from 2,212 million USD in 2014 to 2,871 million USD in 2015, followed by a substantial decrease to 1,731 million USD in 2016. Unlike net earnings, NOPAT stabilizes somewhat in 2017 with a slight increase to 1,776 million USD. In the subsequent years, NOPAT rises consistently, reaching 2,124 million USD in 2018 and 2,461 million USD in 2019. This trend indicates a recovery in operating profitability after a period of decline, with steady improvements in the final two years.

Overall, both net earnings and NOPAT experienced a peak in 2015, followed by a decline over the next one to two years, and then a recovery phase from 2017 onward. The recovery in NOPAT appears somewhat stronger and more consistent than that in net earnings. These trends highlight periods of operational challenges and subsequent improvement in financial performance.


Cash Operating Taxes

Emerson Electric Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense demonstrated a fluctuating downward trend over the six-year period. Starting at $1,164 million in 2014, it increased to a peak of $1,428 million in 2015. However, from 2015 onwards, the figure declined significantly to $697 million in 2016 and further decreased to $660 million in 2017. The downward trend continued, reaching a low of $443 million in 2018, before showing a modest increase to $531 million in 2019. This pattern suggests variability in taxable income or changes in tax rates, with a notable reduction after 2015 and slight recovery toward 2019.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes followed a similar overall declining trajectory with some variation. Beginning at $1,394 million in 2014, the amount rose to $1,525 million in 2015, indicating higher cash tax payments that year. Subsequently, there was a sharp decline to $782 million in 2016 and a marginal decrease to $766 million in 2017. The downward movement persisted, with taxes dropping to $737 million in 2018 and then declining further to $619 million in 2019. This trend mirrors the reduction observed in income tax expense, possibly reflecting lower taxable income or effective tax management strategies resulting in decreased cash tax obligations over time.

Invested Capital

Emerson Electric Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Common stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Product warranty4
Liability for restructuring costs5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries
Adjusted common stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of product warranty.

5 Addition of liability for restructuring costs.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to common stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a non-linear trend over the analyzed periods. It increased from 6,834 million USD in 2014 to peak at 7,624 million USD in 2015, followed by a reduction to 5,137 million USD in 2017. Subsequently, the amount rose again, reaching 6,191 million USD by 2019. This pattern suggests fluctuations in debt management, with a notable decrease in the middle period before a moderate rebound.
Common Stockholders’ Equity
Common stockholders’ equity showed a general decline from 10,119 million USD in 2014 to 7,568 million USD in 2016. Thereafter, it increased to 8,947 million USD in 2018, before descending again to 8,233 million USD in 2019. This series of movements indicates some volatility but overall a downward pressure on equity levels during the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital steadily decreased from 17,628 million USD in 2014 to a low of 15,181 million USD in 2017. After 2017, it gradually increased to 16,266 million USD by 2019. The downward trend in the initial years followed by a recovery suggests adjustments in the company's capital investment strategy or asset base.
Overall Observations
The data reflects a period of financial adjustment, with both liabilities and equity experiencing declines and recoveries at different times. The decrease in invested capital up until 2017, coupled with reduced debt levels in the same period, could indicate an active effort to deleverage or optimize capital structure. Subsequently, the increases in debt and invested capital alongside fluctuating equity values imply dynamic financial management responsive to changing conditions or strategic priorities.

Cost of Capital

Emerson Electric Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 24.50%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 24.50%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Emerson Electric Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2019 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reflects varying trends in economic profit, invested capital, and the economic spread ratio over the six-year period ending in 2019.

Economic Profit

The economic profit demonstrates significant volatility throughout the period. It started at a negative value of -588 million USD in 2014, improved substantially to a positive 280 million USD in 2015, indicating a year of economic value addition. However, from 2016 onwards, the economic profit returned to negative territory, showing large deficits of -787 million USD in 2016 and -682 million USD in 2017. Although the losses decreased progressively in 2018 and 2019, reaching -436 million USD and -155 million USD respectively, the company did not revert to positive economic profit levels by the end of the period analyzed.

Invested Capital

Invested capital declined steadily between 2014 and 2017, moving from 17,628 million USD down to a low of 15,181 million USD. This suggests a reduction in the amount of capital employed in the business during these years. Notably, the invested capital rose again in 2018 and 2019, increasing to 15,617 million USD and 16,266 million USD respectively, indicating renewed or additional investments in the company’s assets.

Economic Spread Ratio

The economic spread ratio, which measures the company’s return over its cost of capital, fluctuated notably over the timeframe. It was negative in 2014 at -3.34%, turned positive in 2015 with 1.62%, and then reverted back to negative values from 2016 through 2019. Despite consistent negative ratios post-2015, there is a marked improvement from -4.76% in 2016 to -0.95% by 2019, highlighting gradual progress toward covering the cost of capital but not fully achieving it within the period examined.

Overall, the data reveals a pattern of economic challenges with frequent negative economic profit and spread ratios, partially offset by declining invested capital until 2017 and modest recovery in investments thereafter. The progressive narrowing of losses and economic spreads towards the end of the period may suggest operational improvements or efficiency gains, although the company still faced difficulty in creating economic value consistently during these years.


Economic Profit Margin

Emerson Electric Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2019 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Sales
Net sales exhibited a notable decline from 24,537 million USD in 2014 to 14,522 million USD in 2016, representing a significant contraction over this period. Subsequently, there was a recovery trend with net sales increasing steadily to 18,372 million USD by 2019, though it did not return to the initial 2014 levels within the observed timeframe.
Economic Profit
Economic profit demonstrated considerable volatility and generally negative performance throughout the periods. It began at a significant loss of 588 million USD in 2014, improved markedly to a positive profit of 280 million USD in 2015, but then reverted to negative figures for the subsequent years. The losses were particularly substantial in 2016 (-787 million USD) and 2017 (-682 million USD), followed by reduced negative amounts in 2018 and 2019, with the latter period showing the smallest loss at 155 million USD. This indicates an overall struggle to consistently generate economic profit, with some improvement noted towards the end of the period.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin, reflecting the economic profitability relative to net sales, followed a similar trend to economic profit. It was negative at -2.4% in 2014, improved to a positive margin of 1.26% in 2015, but then deteriorated sharply to -5.42% in 2016 and remained negative in subsequent years. Despite remaining unfavorable, the margin improved gradually after 2016 to -0.84% by 2019. This suggests ongoing challenges in achieving efficient profitability, although the margin’s progressive narrowing towards zero may imply efforts to enhance operational efficiency or cost management.