Stock Analysis on Net

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 29, 2024.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Dollar General Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Dollar General Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.


The annual financial data indicates notable fluctuations in the profitability metrics over the presented periods.

Net Income

Net income showed a consistent increase from February 1, 2019, through January 29, 2021, rising from approximately 1.59 billion US dollars to 2.65 billion US dollars. This upward trend indicates improved profitability during these years. However, in the subsequent years, net income declined, falling to about 2.40 billion US dollars by February 3, 2023, and further decreasing to approximately 1.66 billion US dollars by February 2, 2024. This decline in net income suggests challenges impacting profitability in the most recent years analyzed.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT similarly displayed an upward trajectory from February 1, 2019, through February 3, 2023. It grew from approximately 1.98 billion US dollars in 2019 to a peak of about 3.66 billion US dollars in 2023. This represents significant improvement in operating efficiency and profitability over this time frame. However, in the latest period ending February 2, 2024, NOPAT declined notably to around 2.43 billion US dollars, indicating a reduction in operating profitability despite the previous gains.

Overall, both net income and NOPAT exhibited substantial growth from 2019 through early 2023, reflecting enhanced financial performance and operational effectiveness. Nevertheless, the data for the most recent year reveals a marked decrease in these key profitability indicators, implying emerging issues or external factors affecting the company’s financial returns. Close monitoring and further analysis may be required to understand the drivers behind this downturn and to assess the company's future profitability prospects.


Cash Operating Taxes

Dollar General Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).


The data reflects trends in the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over a six-year period, from February 2019 to February 2024. Both financial items are presented in thousands of US dollars.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes displayed an overall upward trend between 2019 and 2023, beginning at 425,944 thousand US dollars in 2019 and peaking at 700,625 thousand US dollars in 2023. Specifically, the amount increased steadily from 2019 through 2021, reaching a high of 749,330 thousand US dollars in 2021. After this peak, the provision declined to 663,917 thousand US dollars in 2022, then rose slightly in 2023 before substantially decreasing to 458,245 thousand US dollars in 2024. This pattern suggests variability in tax expense recognition possibly influenced by changes in taxable income or tax planning strategies.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes also followed an increasing trend in the initial years, starting at 457,118 thousand US dollars in 2019 and reaching 823,390 thousand US dollars in 2021. This was followed by a decline in 2022 to 660,916 thousand US dollars and continued decreases through 2023 and 2024, reaching 596,198 thousand and 553,172 thousand US dollars respectively. The decline after 2021 indicates a reduction in actual cash outflows related to income taxes, which may correspond to changes in timing differences or tax provisions to cash payments.
Comparative Insights
Notably, cash operating taxes consistently exceed the provision for income taxes through 2021 but then fall below the provision in 2023 and 2024. This shift indicates a divergence between the tax expense recorded under accrual accounting (provision) and the cash paid for taxes, potentially due to deferred tax assets/liabilities or timing differences in tax payments. The peak of cash operating taxes in 2021, which is significantly higher than both preceding and subsequent years, may reflect a one-time tax payment or adjustment.

Overall, both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibit peaks around 2021, followed by notable declines, with cash operating taxes showing a sharper descent. The divergence observed in recent years suggests evolving tax payment patterns and provision estimates that warrant closer examination for their implications on the company's tax strategy and cash flow management.


Invested Capital

Dollar General Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Current portion of long-term obligations
Long-term obligations, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Excess of current cost over LIFO cost3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a consistent upward trend over the six-year period. Beginning at approximately $11.1 billion in early 2019, the figure increased steadily each year, reaching around $18.1 billion by early 2024. This represents an overall increase of roughly 63% from 2019 to 2024, with notable acceleration in growth between 2021 and 2023.
Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity demonstrated moderate fluctuations with a slight downward trend until 2023, followed by a recovery in 2024. Initially valued at about $6.4 billion in 2019, it increased marginally in 2020 before decreasing progressively to a low of approximately $5.5 billion in early 2023. A rebound occurred in the final year to nearly $6.7 billion, almost recovering the equity levels observed at the beginning of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a steady increase throughout the entire period. Starting at approximately $18.1 billion in 2019, it rose gradually each year, reaching about $26.3 billion by early 2024. This constitutes an increase of approximately 45% over six years, indicating continued investment and growth in capital base. The increases are consistent and without significant volatility.
Overall Analysis
The company appears to have increased its leverage significantly, as evidenced by the growing total reported debt and leases, which outpaced the growth in shareholders’ equity. Despite a temporary decline in equity through 2023, the final year saw a recovery to prior levels. The consistent rise in invested capital alongside increasing debt suggests an expansion strategy possibly funded by borrowing. The leverage position warrants monitoring due to the growing debt level relative to equity.

Cost of Capital

Dollar General Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term obligations, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term obligations, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Dollar General Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Costco Wholesale Corp.
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

Dollar General Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Costco Wholesale Corp.
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.