Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:DG)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 29, 2024.

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Dollar General Corp., FCFE calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
Net income 1,661,274 2,415,989 2,399,232 2,655,050 1,712,555 1,589,472
Net noncash charges 1,062,513 1,563,418 1,024,893 689,392 617,093 590,208
Change in operating assets and liabilities (331,989) (1,994,852) (558,314) 531,717 (91,650) (36,130)
Net cash provided by operating activities 2,391,798 1,984,555 2,865,811 3,876,159 2,237,998 2,143,550
Purchases of property and equipment (1,700,222) (1,560,582) (1,070,460) (1,027,963) (784,843) (734,380)
Proceeds from sales of property and equipment 6,199 5,236 4,903 3,053 2,358 2,777
Issuance of long-term obligations 1,498,260 2,296,053 — 1,494,315 — 499,495
Repayments of long-term obligations (19,723) (911,330) (6,402) (4,640) (1,465) (577,321)
Net increase (decrease) in commercial paper outstanding (1,501,900) 1,447,600 54,300 (425,200) 58,300 (63,300)
Borrowings under revolving credit facilities 500,000 — — 300,000 — —
Repayments of borrowings under revolving credit facilities (500,000) — — (300,000) — —
Costs associated with issuance of debt (12,438) (16,925) (2,268) (13,574) (1,675) (4,384)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) 661,974 3,244,607 1,845,884 3,902,150 1,510,673 1,266,437

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).


An analysis of the cash flow dynamics reveals significant volatility in Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) relative to Net Cash provided by operating activities over the six-year period ending February 2, 2024. While operating cash flows exhibited a growth peak in 2021 followed by a period of contraction and subsequent stabilization, FCFE demonstrated more erratic fluctuations, indicating shifting capital expenditure requirements or changes in financing activities.

Operating Cash Flow Performance
Net cash provided by operating activities showed a steady upward trajectory from 2019 to 2021, peaking at 3,876,159 thousand US dollars. A subsequent decline occurred over the next two years, reaching a low of 1,984,555 thousand US dollars in 2023, before recovering to 2,391,798 thousand US dollars by February 2, 2024.
FCFE Volatility and Financing Anomalies
FCFE experienced extreme variance, notably in 2021 and 2023. In 2021, FCFE reached its highest point at 3,902,150 thousand US dollars, actually exceeding the net cash provided by operating activities for that period. A similar pattern occurred in 2023, where FCFE rose to 3,244,607 thousand US dollars despite a decline in operating cash flows to 1,984,555 thousand US dollars. These instances suggest that the equity cash flow was bolstered by significant net borrowing or the divestment of assets during those fiscal years.
Recent Cash Flow Divergence
A sharp divergence is observed in the most recent period ending February 2, 2024. Despite a recovery in operating cash flows to 2,391,798 thousand US dollars, FCFE plummeted to 661,974 thousand US dollars, the lowest level in the analyzed period. This contraction indicates a substantial increase in capital expenditures or significant repayments of debt, which severely constrained the cash available to equity holders.

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Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Dollar General Corp., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding 219,915,184
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands) 661,974
FCFE per share 3.01
Current share price (P) 84.03
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE 27.92
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Costco Wholesale Corp. 53.11
Target Corp. 22.31
Walmart Inc. 41.55
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 49.56
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Staples 37.82

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Dollar General Corp., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Feb 2, 2024 Feb 3, 2023 Jan 28, 2022 Jan 29, 2021 Jan 31, 2020 Feb 1, 2019
No. shares of common stock outstanding1 219,671,316 219,108,477 228,868,368 239,264,252 251,941,312 259,518,801
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)2 661,974 3,244,607 1,845,884 3,902,150 1,510,673 1,266,437
FCFE per share3 3.01 14.81 8.07 16.31 6.00 4.88
Share price1, 4 150.78 205.81 229.63 187.78 143.00 117.47
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5 50.04 13.90 28.47 11.51 23.85 24.07
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Costco Wholesale Corp. 66.49 37.64 77.36 37.34 23.41 —
Target Corp. 20.98 79.07 16.91 11.21 — —
Walmart Inc. 29.40 25.97 122.02 18.26 — —
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 36.75 31.77 59.72 19.62 — —
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Staples 32.08 24.17 25.27 24.83 — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-01-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-01).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= 661,974,000 ÷ 219,671,316 = 3.01

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Dollar General Corp. Annual Report.

5 2024 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 150.78 ÷ 3.01 = 50.04

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data from February 2019 to February 2024 reveals a period of significant volatility in cash flow generation and a subsequent divergence in valuation multiples. While the share price followed a growth-and-contraction cycle, the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per share exhibited erratic movements, leading to unstable P/FCFE ratios.

Share Price Trend
An upward trajectory was observed from 2019 through 2022, with the share price increasing from 117.47 to a peak of 229.63. Following this peak, a downward trend emerged, with the price declining to 150.78 by February 2024.
FCFE per Share Performance
Cash flow to equity has been characterized by high volatility. A significant spike to 16.31 occurred in 2021, followed by a decline to 8.07 in 2022 and a recovery to 14.81 in 2023. However, a sharp contraction was recorded in 2024, with FCFE per share dropping to 3.01, the lowest level within the analyzed period.
P/FCFE Ratio Interpretation
The P/FCFE ratio demonstrates extreme fluctuations, moving from a relative stability around 24.00 in 2019-2020 to a low of 11.51 in 2021. The most notable shift occurred in 2024, where the ratio expanded to 50.04. This expansion is not driven by a rise in share price, but rather by the precipitous decline in FCFE per share, indicating a substantial weakening in the company's ability to generate free cash flow relative to its market valuation.

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