Stock Analysis on Net

Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 24, 2023.

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Ulta Beauty Inc., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Operating Assets
Total assets
Less: Cash and cash equivalents
Less: Short-term investments
Operating assets
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities
Operating liabilities
 
Net operating assets1
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 2023 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= =

2 2023 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2023 – Net operating assets2022
= =

3 2023 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × ÷ [( + ) ÷ 2] =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets exhibit a fluctuating trend over the analyzed period. Beginning at approximately 1.41 billion US dollars in early 2019, there was a slight decrease in 2020 to around 1.40 billion. This was followed by a significant decline in 2021, dropping to about 953 million US dollars. Subsequently, the figure increased progressively over the next two years, reaching approximately 1.10 billion in 2022 and 1.22 billion in 2023. Overall, the net operating assets demonstrate a recovery after a notable dip in 2021.
Balance-Sheet-Based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals reveal considerable volatility across the periods. The value started positively in 2019 at approximately 34.2 million US dollars, then shifted to a negative figure of about -11.2 million in 2020. This decline intensified markedly in 2021, resulting in a large negative accrual of roughly -446.3 million. The subsequent years show a reversal in the trend with a positive accrual of approximately 150.3 million in 2022 and a slight decrease to 118.1 million in 2023, although still positive. This pattern suggests a substantial deterioration in accruals in 2021, followed by recovery in the following years.
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio, expressed as a percentage, reflects pronounced fluctuations consistent with aggregate accruals movements. The ratio was positive at 2.45% in 2019, decreased to a negative value of -0.8% in 2020, and plunged sharply to -37.93% in 2021, indicating considerable accrual adjustments relative to net operating assets during that year. Thereafter, the ratio turned positive again, reaching 14.61% in 2022 and 10.16% in 2023, signifying a return to positive accrual trends, albeit at a lower level in the latest year. This oscillation emphasizes a period of financial reporting irregularity or adjustments in 2021 with normalization afterward.

Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Ulta Beauty Inc., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Net income
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities
Less: Net cash used in investing activities
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 2023 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × ÷ [( + ) ÷ 2] =

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial reporting quality measures over the five-year period reveals several notable trends and fluctuations. The net operating assets exhibit a downward movement initially, followed by a recovery trend. Specifically, net operating assets decreased from approximately 1,410,967 thousand US dollars in early 2019 to 953,498 thousand US dollars in early 2021. Subsequently, they rose again to 1,221,934 thousand US dollars by early 2023, indicating a recovery and growth phase after the decline.

Regarding cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals, there is considerable volatility observed. The values fluctuate from negative to positive across the years. Starting at -82,461 thousand US dollars in 2019, the figure switches to a positive 76,132 thousand US dollars in 2020, then drastically moves to a substantial negative amount of -585,769 thousand US dollars in 2021. This is followed by two consecutive years of positive accruals, 103,056 thousand and 75,077 thousand US dollars, respectively, in 2022 and 2023. Such swings suggest significant variability in the underlying accrual components impacting cash flow, potentially reflecting changes in accounting or operational activities.

The accruals ratio, expressed as a percentage of net operating assets, mirrors the erratic pattern of aggregate accruals with marked fluctuations. It drops from -5.92% in 2019 to a positive 5.42% in 2020, then dramatically declines to -49.78% in 2021. Following this sharp decline, the ratio rebounds to positive levels of 10.02% in 2022 and slightly decreases to 6.46% in 2023. The negative ratio in 2021 indicates a significant discrepancy between accruals and net operating assets during that period, pointing towards a potential anomaly or exceptional events influencing financial reporting quality.

Overall, the data demonstrates a period of instability in accrual measures and net operating assets, particularly highlighted by the exceptional deviations in 2021. This could suggest challenges in the consistency or predictability of financial reporting quality measures during that year, followed by a return to more normative values subsequently. Continued observation of these metrics may be valuable to assess ongoing reporting quality and operational consistency.