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Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 24, 2023.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Ulta Beauty Inc., FCFF calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Net income 1,242,408 985,837 175,835 705,945 658,559 555,234
Net noncash charges 608,669 571,640 648,778 610,817 343,073 257,535
Change in operating assets and liabilities (369,162) (498,212) (14,258) (215,469) (45,505) (33,403)
Net cash provided by operating activities 1,481,915 1,059,265 810,355 1,101,293 956,127 779,366
Cash paid for interest, net of tax1 1,616 1,622 5,317 — — —
Capital expenditures (312,126) (172,187) (151,866) (298,534) (319,400) (440,714)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,171,405 888,700 663,806 802,759 636,727 338,652

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).


The financial trajectory from 2018 to 2023 demonstrates a robust overall expansion in cash generation capabilities, characterized by a steady upward trend in both operating cash flows and free cash flow to the firm (FCFF), notwithstanding a temporary contraction in 2021.

Operating Cash Flow Analysis
Net cash provided by operating activities grew consistently from 779.4 million in 2018 to 1.1 billion in 2020. A decline was observed in 2021, where the figure fell to 810.4 million, representing a correction from the previous peak. However, a strong recovery followed, with operating cash flow ascending to 1.06 billion in 2022 and reaching a period high of 1.48 billion in 2023.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Trends
FCFF exhibited significant growth over the six-year period, increasing from 338.7 million in 2018 to 1.17 billion in 2023. The most substantial relative increase occurred between 2018 and 2019, where FCFF nearly doubled. While 2021 saw a reduction to 663.8 million, the subsequent years showed accelerated growth, culminating in a peak that reflects a heightened capacity to generate cash available to all capital providers.
Cash Conversion and Investment Efficiency
The relationship between operating cash flow and FCFF indicates a disciplined approach to capital expenditure. The conversion of operating cash into FCFF improved markedly over the timeframe. In 2018, FCFF represented approximately 43% of operating cash flow; by 2023, this ratio increased to approximately 79%, suggesting that a larger portion of operational cash is being retained as free cash flow rather than being deployed into capital investments.

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Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Ulta Beauty Inc., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 24.40% 23.90% 23.90% 22.10% 23.30% 29.40%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid for interest, before tax 2,138 2,132 6,987 — — —
Less: Cash paid for interest, tax2 522 510 1,670 — — —
Cash paid for interest, net of tax 1,616 1,622 5,317 — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Cash paid for interest, tax = Cash paid for interest × EITR
= 2,138 × 24.40% = 522


The financial trajectory between 2018 and 2023 is characterized by a stabilization of tax obligations and a substantial reduction in net interest expenditures during the latter part of the period.

Effective Income Tax Rate Trends
A notable decline in the effective income tax rate is observed from 2018 to 2020, falling from 29.40% to 22.10%. Subsequently, the rate entered a period of stability, maintaining a narrow range between 23.90% and 24.40% from 2021 through 2023.
Net Interest Cash Outflows
Cash paid for interest, net of tax, experienced a significant contraction between 2021 and 2022, decreasing from 5,317 thousand USD to 1,622 thousand USD. This downward shift was followed by a period of consolidation, with the 2023 value remaining nearly flat at 1,616 thousand USD.
Comparative Analysis
The sharp decline in net interest payments between 2021 and 2023 occurred while the effective income tax rate remained virtually constant. This suggests that the reduction in cash outflows was driven by factors independent of tax shield fluctuations, such as a reduction in total debt principal or more favorable financing terms.

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Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Ulta Beauty Inc., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV) 20,073,042
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,171,405
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 17.14
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Amazon.com Inc. 281.35
Home Depot Inc. 28.41
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 18.89
TJX Cos. Inc. 29.96
EV/FCFF, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail 57.38
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 47.37

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Ulta Beauty Inc., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020 Feb 2, 2019 Feb 3, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV)1 25,061,395 20,241,372 15,984,243 9,320,863 20,013,289 11,990,299
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 1,171,405 888,700 663,806 802,759 636,727 338,652
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 21.39 22.78 24.08 11.61 31.43 35.41
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc. 45.92 — — — — —
Home Depot Inc. 27.17 25.12 20.22 — — —
Lowe’s Cos. Inc. 19.56 19.56 14.88 — — —
TJX Cos. Inc. 31.93 33.03 18.30 — — —
EV/FCFF, Sector
Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail 38.32 111.04 130.00 — — —
EV/FCFF, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 33.07 51.09 60.31 — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 25,061,395 ÷ 1,171,405 = 21.39

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Analysis of the financial metrics from February 2018 to January 2023 reveals a period of significant valuation volatility paired with a general strengthening of cash flow generation. While Enterprise Value experienced sharp fluctuations, Free Cash Flow to the Firm maintained a predominantly positive trajectory, leading to a normalization of the valuation multiple over the observed period.

Enterprise Value Trends
Enterprise Value exhibited substantial volatility, peaking at approximately 20.01 billion in February 2019 before experiencing a sharp contraction to 9.32 billion by February 2020. Following this trough, a consistent recovery was observed, with the value ascending to a period high of 25.06 billion by January 2023.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Performance
FCFF demonstrated a strong growth trend, increasing from 338.65 million in 2018 to 1.17 billion in 2023. Notably, cash flow generation remained resilient during the 2020 fiscal year, reaching 802.76 million despite the concurrent decline in Enterprise Value. After a slight retraction in 2021, the firm achieved accelerated growth in its cash flow capabilities through 2023.
EV/FCFF Ratio Interpretation
The EV/FCFF ratio reflects a significant valuation adjustment. Starting at a high of 35.41 in 2018, the ratio plummeted to a minimum of 11.61 in 2020, driven by the divergence between falling enterprise value and rising free cash flow. From 2021 onward, the ratio stabilized, fluctuating between 21.39 and 24.08, suggesting a shift toward a more sustainable valuation baseline relative to the firm's cash-generating capacity.

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