Stock Analysis on Net

Starbucks Corp. (NASDAQ:SBUX)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Starbucks Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Starbucks Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Net earnings attributable to Starbucks
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in stored value card liability and deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in stored value card liability and deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Starbucks.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Starbucks.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Earnings Attributable to Starbucks

The net earnings exhibited significant fluctuation over the analyzed periods. There was a notable sharp decline from 3,599,200 thousand USD in 2019 to 928,300 thousand USD in 2020, indicating a challenging financial year likely influenced by external factors impacting the business environment.

Subsequently, net earnings recovered markedly in 2021 to 4,199,300 thousand USD, surpassing the pre-decline levels, demonstrating a strong rebound. However, this was followed by a decrease in 2022 to 3,281,600 thousand USD before increasing again to 4,124,500 thousand USD in 2023, showing increased volatility within these years.

In 2024, net earnings slightly decreased to 3,760,900 thousand USD, suggesting some degree of contraction or stabilization after previous gains. Overall, the net earnings reflect a pattern of sharp decline followed by recovery and subsequent fluctuations.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT trends align partially with net earnings but demonstrate a steadier progression. The measure dropped from 2,231,571 thousand USD in 2019 to 1,475,541 thousand USD in 2020, reflecting a reduction in operational profitability post-tax during the same downturn period.

From 2020 onwards, NOPAT increased significantly to 4,625,159 thousand USD in 2021, indicating improved operating efficiency and profitability. Although it declined to 3,732,356 thousand USD in 2022, it rebounded again in 2023 reaching 4,602,842 thousand USD.

In 2024, there was a slight reduction to 4,408,732 thousand USD, similar to the pattern observed in net earnings. Despite fluctuations, the overall trajectory points to recovery and resilience in operating performance after the initial dip.

General Observations

The period under review reveals a significant impact in the 2020 financial year, possibly linked to broader economic conditions affecting profitability and operations. Subsequent years show recovery and growth, though with some variability.

The correlation between net earnings and NOPAT suggests operational factors primarily drive profitability changes, with tax effects playing a role but less volatility than seen in net earnings.

Overall, despite short-term challenges, the financial performance indicates the company has maintained a capacity for recovery and sustained profit generation over the long term.


Cash Operating Taxes

Starbucks Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense exhibits notable fluctuations over the analyzed periods. It decreases significantly from 871,600 thousand US$ in 2019 to 239,700 thousand US$ in 2020. This is followed by a substantial increase to 1,156,600 thousand US$ in 2021. A decline to 948,500 thousand US$ occurs in 2022, after which the expense rises again to 1,277,200 thousand US$ in 2023 before slightly decreasing to 1,207,300 thousand US$ in 2024. Overall, the trend indicates considerable volatility in the income tax expense with marked peaks in 2021 and 2023.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrate a steep decline from 2,451,257 thousand US$ in 2019 to 405,721 thousand US$ in 2020, representing a significant reduction. Following this, there is a recovery with the tax amount increasing to 1,427,074 thousand US$ in 2021 and then varying downward to 1,074,728 thousand US$ in 2022. The amount again rises in subsequent years to 1,512,061 thousand US$ in 2023 before decreasing slightly to 1,412,248 thousand US$ in 2024. This pattern suggests initial tax relief or reduction in operational tax liabilities in 2020, with a gradual recovery in tax payments in the following years, though the values remain well below the 2019 level.

Invested Capital

Starbucks Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ deficit
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses3
Stored value card liability and deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted shareholders’ deficit
Work in progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of stored value card liability and deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ deficit.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of work in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the six-year period.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
This figure demonstrates an overall upward trajectory from 19,966,637 thousand USD in 2019 to 25,803,100 thousand USD in 2024. There was a significant increase between 2019 and 2020, exceeding 4.8 billion USD. A slight decrease occurred in 2021 and 2022, followed by a renewed increase in 2023 and 2024. The pattern suggests fluctuating but generally rising leverage levels.
Shareholders’ Deficit
The shareholders’ deficit exhibits considerable volatility during the period. The deficit deepened from a negative 6,232,200 thousand USD in 2019 to a low point of -7,805,100 thousand USD in 2020, indicating an increase in net liabilities relative to equity. The deficit improved in 2021 but deteriorated sharply again in 2022, reaching the lowest level of -8,706,600 thousand USD. Slight recovery is noted in 2023 and 2024, though the deficit remains substantially negative, reflecting continued equity challenges.
Invested Capital
Invested capital initially rose from 20,030,637 thousand USD in 2019 to a peak of 23,683,800 thousand USD in 2021. However, a notable contraction follows in 2022, with invested capital dropping to 20,459,700 thousand USD. Subsequent years show a gradual rebound, reaching 23,526,800 thousand USD in 2024, nearly matching the previous peak. This suggests fluctuations in the base of capital employed, potentially correlating with operational adjustments or capital allocation strategies.

Overall, the data reflects increasing debt obligations accompanied by fluctuating equity deficits and an invested capital base that experiences contraction and recovery phases. These patterns may indicate strategic financial management efforts to balance growth, capital structure, and equity concerns amid varying market conditions.


Cost of Capital

Starbucks Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Starbucks Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Airbnb Inc.
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

Starbucks Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 29, 2024 Oct 1, 2023 Oct 2, 2022 Oct 3, 2021 Sep 27, 2020 Sep 29, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Net revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in stored value card liability and deferred revenue
Adjusted net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Airbnb Inc.
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-10-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-29).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.