Stock Analysis on Net

Marriott International Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 11, 2020.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF) 

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Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Marriott International Inc., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Net income 1,273 1,907 1,372 780 859
Net noncash charges 685 526 983 979 697
Working capital changes (273) (76) 81 (177) (126)
Net cash provided by operating activities 1,685 2,357 2,436 1,582 1,430
Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized, net of tax1 276 231 156 109 78
Capital expenditures (653) (556) (240) (199) (305)
Contract acquisition costs (189) (80) (121)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,308 2,032 2,163 1,412 1,082

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).


The financial data demonstrates the cash flow performance of Marriott International Inc. over the five-year period from 2015 to 2019.

Net cash provided by operating activities
There is a noticeable upward trend from 2015 to 2017, with cash generated by operating activities increasing from approximately $1.43 billion to $2.44 billion, marking a substantial improvement in operating cash inflows. In 2018, the figure slightly decreased but remained near the elevated 2017 level at about $2.36 billion. However, in 2019, there was a significant decline to approximately $1.69 billion, indicating a reduction in cash flow generated from core operations compared to the previous two years.
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)
Similar to operating cash flows, free cash flow exhibited a strengthening pattern between 2015 and 2017, rising from around $1.08 billion to $2.16 billion. In 2018, FCFF decreased modestly to approximately $2.03 billion but sustained a relatively high level. The year 2019 experienced a more pronounced drop in FCFF to about $1.31 billion, reflecting decreased cash generation after capital expenditures and other investments.

Overall, the data indicates marked growth in cash generation capabilities during the initial three-year period, with a peak in 2017. This was followed by a plateau in 2018 and a notable decline in both operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2019. Such trends could suggest increased operational or market challenges in the latest year analyzed, impacting the firm's liquidity and free cash resources.


Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Marriott International Inc., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 20.70% 20.30% 33.30% 34.10% 31.50%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized, before tax 348 290 234 165 114
Less: Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized, tax2 72 59 78 56 36
Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized, net of tax 276 231 156 109 78

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2019 Calculation
Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized, tax = Cash paid for interest, net of amounts capitalized × EITR
= 348 × 20.70% = 72


Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
The effective income tax rate exhibited a fluctuating trend over the analyzed period. It started at 31.5% in 2015, increased to a peak of 34.1% in 2016, then marginally decreased to 33.3% in 2017. A significant drop occurred in 2018 when the rate fell sharply to 20.3%, and it remained relatively stable with a slight increase to 20.7% in 2019. Overall, the latter years indicate a reduction in tax rate burden compared to the earlier years, potentially reflecting changes in tax legislation or optimization measures.
Cash Paid for Interest, Net
The amount of cash paid net of interest demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory throughout the period. Beginning at $78 million in 2015, this figure progressively rose each year, reaching $109 million in 2016, $156 million in 2017, $231 million in 2018, and culminating at $276 million in 2019. This steady increase suggests growing interest expenses, possibly due to higher leverage or increasing interest rates affecting debt servicing costs.

Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Marriott International Inc., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 37,405
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,308
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 28.60
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Airbnb Inc. 17.43
Booking Holdings Inc. 21.71
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 47.30
McDonald’s Corp. 32.27
Starbucks Corp. 31.52

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Marriott International Inc., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 49,504 51,303 58,357 41,398 20,472
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 1,308 2,032 2,163 1,412 1,082
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 37.85 25.25 26.98 29.32 18.92
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Airbnb Inc.
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp. 30.98

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2019 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 49,504 ÷ 1,308 = 37.85

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Enterprise Value (EV)
The enterprise value exhibited a pronounced upward trajectory from 2015 through 2017, escalating from approximately $20.5 billion to nearly $58.4 billion. This increase signifies a substantial growth in market valuation over this period. However, a reversal occurred in 2018 and continued into 2019, with EV declining to around $51.3 billion and $49.5 billion respectively, indicating a contraction in valuation following the peak in 2017.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
The free cash flow to the firm showed consistent growth from 2015 to 2017, increasing from $1.08 billion to $2.16 billion, reflecting improving cash generation capabilities. In 2018, FCFF slightly decreased to $2.03 billion, and in 2019 it declined more significantly to $1.31 billion, indicating potential challenges in cash flow generation or increased capital expenditures.
EV to FCFF Ratio
The EV/FCFF ratio, which measures the valuation relative to cash flow, rose from 18.92 in 2015 to a peak of 29.32 in 2016, before trending downward to 25.25 in 2018. In 2019, this ratio increased sharply to 37.85, driven primarily by the decline in FCFF coupled with sustained enterprise value. This elevated ratio may suggest market expectations of future growth or a potential overvaluation relative to cash flow in 2019.