Stock Analysis on Net

Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:MPC)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 10,783 17,951 6,187 (10,978) 6,182
Cost of capital2 13.57% 13.49% 11.98% 10.63% 10.59%
Invested capital3 63,897 69,547 63,579 70,186 82,004
 
Economic profit4 2,112 8,572 (1,427) (18,440) (2,505)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 10,78313.57% × 63,897 = 2,112

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Marathon Petroleum Corp. economic profit increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Marathon Petroleum Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to MPC 9,681 14,516 9,738 (9,826) 2,637
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (28) 290 (169) (241) 1,023
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 15 (11) 22 1 8
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 (950) 880 2,840 (787) 871
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve4 (46) (13) (82) 141
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 (1,009) 1,146 2,611 (886) 1,902
Interest expense, net of interest capitalized 1,265 1,195 1,267 1,333 1,238
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 50 43 42 56 100
Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized 1,315 1,238 1,309 1,389 1,338
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized7 (276) (260) (275) (292) (281)
Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized, after taxes8 1,039 978 1,034 1,097 1,057
Interest income (530) (191) (14) (9) (40)
Investment income, before taxes (530) (191) (14) (9) (40)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9 111 40 3 2 8
Investment income, after taxes10 (419) (151) (11) (7) (32)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11 (72) (8,448) (1,205)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 1,491 1,534 1,263 (151) 618
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 10,783 17,951 6,187 (10,978) 6,182

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.

6 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,218 × 4.10% = 50

7 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of interest capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of interest capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,315 × 21.00% = 276

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to MPC.

9 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 530 × 21.00% = 111

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Marathon Petroleum Corp. NOPAT increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Cash Operating Taxes

Marathon Petroleum Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax provision (benefit) 2,817 4,491 264 (2,430) 1,074
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (28) 290 (169) (241) 1,023
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net of interest capitalized 276 260 275 292 281
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 111 40 3 2 8
Cash operating taxes 3,010 4,421 705 (1,899) 324

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Marathon Petroleum Corp. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Marathon Petroleum Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Debt due within one year 1,954 1,066 571 2,854 711
Long-term debt due after one year 25,329 25,634 24,968 28,730 28,127
Operating lease liability1 1,218 1,209 1,365 1,511 2,479
Total reported debt & leases 28,501 27,909 26,904 33,095 31,317
Total MPC stockholders’ equity 24,404 27,715 26,206 22,199 33,694
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 5,833 5,903 5,636 6,200 6,372
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 44 29 40 18 17
LIFO reserve4 2,770 3,720 2,840 871
Restructuring reserve5 46 59 141
Equity equivalents6 8,647 9,698 8,575 6,359 7,260
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 131 (2) 67 512 320
Redeemable noncontrolling interest 895 968 965 968 968
Noncontrolling interests 6,100 6,404 6,410 7,053 8,445
Adjusted total MPC stockholders’ equity 40,177 44,783 42,223 37,091 50,687
Short-term investments8 (4,781) (3,145) (5,548)
Invested capital 63,897 69,547 63,579 70,186 82,004

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring reserve.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total MPC stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Marathon Petroleum Corp. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Cost of Capital

Marathon Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 60,405 60,405 ÷ 87,593 = 0.69 0.69 × 18.07% = 12.46%
Debt3 25,970 25,970 ÷ 87,593 = 0.30 0.30 × 4.54% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.06%
Operating lease liability4 1,218 1,218 ÷ 87,593 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 87,593 1.00 13.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 55,925 55,925 ÷ 81,664 = 0.68 0.68 × 18.07% = 12.37%
Debt3 24,530 24,530 ÷ 81,664 = 0.30 0.30 × 4.51% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.07%
Operating lease liability4 1,209 1,209 ÷ 81,664 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.55% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 81,664 1.00 13.49%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 42,086 42,086 ÷ 72,149 = 0.58 0.58 × 18.07% = 10.54%
Debt3 28,698 28,698 ÷ 72,149 = 0.40 0.40 × 4.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.39%
Operating lease liability4 1,365 1,365 ÷ 72,149 = 0.02 0.02 × 3.11% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 72,149 1.00 11.98%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 35,573 35,573 ÷ 72,629 = 0.49 0.49 × 18.07% = 8.85%
Debt3 35,545 35,545 ÷ 72,629 = 0.49 0.49 × 4.45% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.72%
Operating lease liability4 1,511 1,511 ÷ 72,629 = 0.02 0.02 × 3.68% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Total: 72,629 1.00 10.63%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 30,799 30,799 ÷ 64,076 = 0.48 0.48 × 18.07% = 8.69%
Debt3 30,798 30,798 ÷ 64,076 = 0.48 0.48 × 4.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.78%
Operating lease liability4 2,479 2,479 ÷ 64,076 = 0.04 0.04 × 4.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.12%
Total: 64,076 1.00 10.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,112 8,572 (1,427) (18,440) (2,505)
Invested capital2 63,897 69,547 63,579 70,186 82,004
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 3.31% 12.32% -2.24% -26.27% -3.05%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. -4.59% 5.91% -3.17% -17.34% -12.61%
ConocoPhillips 1.00% 13.62% -0.34% -19.00% -0.36%
Exxon Mobil Corp. 0.05% 8.78% 0.35% -22.90% -5.73%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. -4.73% 7.69% -4.47% -33.52% -10.60%
Valero Energy Corp. 0.19% 11.82% -0.98% -16.81% -3.12%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 2,112 ÷ 63,897 = 3.31%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Marathon Petroleum Corp. economic spread ratio improved from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Economic Profit Margin

Marathon Petroleum Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,112 8,572 (1,427) (18,440) (2,505)
Sales and other operating revenues 148,379 177,453 119,983 69,779 123,949
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.42% 4.83% -1.19% -26.43% -2.02%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp. -4.95% 5.32% -3.95% -36.22% -17.65%
ConocoPhillips 1.45% 13.10% -0.57% -51.47% -0.63%
Exxon Mobil Corp. 0.04% 6.54% 0.35% -35.13% -6.80%
Occidental Petroleum Corp. -9.52% 11.82% -10.01% -119.09% -43.77%
Valero Energy Corp. 0.07% 3.33% -0.38% -10.61% -1.17%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × 2,112 ÷ 148,379 = 1.42%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Marathon Petroleum Corp. economic profit margin improved from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.