Stock Analysis on Net

Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:MPC)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 5, 2024.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Marathon Petroleum Corp., FCFF calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to MPC 9,681 14,516 9,738 (9,826) 2,637
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests 1,491 1,534 1,263 (151) 618
Net noncash charges 2,785 1,462 (3,548) 10,515 6,060
Changes in operating assets and liabilities, net of effects of businesses acquired 160 (1,193) 931 269 126
Net cash provided by operating activities 14,117 16,319 8,384 807 9,441
Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized, net of tax1 960 827 1,120 1,013 881
Interest capitalized, net of tax2 48 81 66 106 119
Additions to property, plant and equipment (1,890) (2,420) (1,464) (2,787) (5,374)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 13,235 14,807 8,107 (862) 5,066

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


The financial data over the five-year period reveals notable fluctuations and a general recovery trend in cash flow metrics.

Net cash provided by operating activities
In 2019, net cash from operations was robust at 9,441 million US dollars. This figure sharply declined in 2020 to 807 million US dollars, indicating significant operational challenges during that period. Following this dip, there was a strong recovery in 2021 with net cash rising to 8,384 million, nearly returning to pre-decline levels. This positive momentum continued into 2022, reaching a peak of 16,319 million, nearly doubling the 2019 level. In 2023, there was a slight decrease to 14,117 million, but cash flow remained substantially higher than the early years.
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)
The FCFF showed a similar trend, beginning at 5,066 million US dollars in 2019. It turned negative in 2020, posting a cash outflow of 862 million, which indicates significant free cash flow pressure possibly due to higher capital expenditures or other investments coupled with decreased operating cash. A marked recovery occurred in 2021 with FCFF rebounding to 8,107 million. This upward trajectory continued in 2022, reaching a peak of 14,807 million. In 2023, FCFF slightly declined to 13,235 million but remained robust compared to historical levels before 2020.

Overall, the data illustrates a sharp contraction in liquidity in 2020, likely reflecting external economic or industry-specific shocks, followed by a strong and sustained recovery through 2021 to 2023. Both operational cash flow and free cash flow metrics suggest improved financial health and effective capital management in the later years, despite the slight pullback observed in 2023. This pattern underscores resilience and an ability to generate substantial cash flows after a period of significant disruption.


Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Marathon Petroleum Corp., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 20.00% 22.00% 9.00% 18.00% 25.00%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized, before tax 1,200 1,060 1,231 1,235 1,174
Less: Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized, tax2 240 233 111 222 294
Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized, net of tax 960 827 1,120 1,013 881
Interest Costs Capitalized, Net of Tax
Interest capitalized, before tax 60 104 73 129 158
Less: Interest capitalized, tax3 12 23 7 23 40
Interest capitalized, net of tax 48 81 66 106 119

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized, tax = Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized × EITR
= 1,200 × 20.00% = 240

3 2023 Calculation
Interest capitalized, tax = Interest capitalized × EITR
= 60 × 20.00% = 12


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals several noteworthy trends and patterns related to the effective income tax rate (EITR), interest paid net of amounts capitalized (net of tax), and interest capitalized net of tax.

Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR) %
The effective income tax rate shows considerable fluctuation across the years. It started at 25% in 2019, decreased significantly to 18% in 2020, and dropped further to 9% in 2021. However, it then rebounded to 22% in 2022 and slightly decreased to 20% in 2023. This pattern suggests variability in taxable income or changes in tax planning strategies, with the lowest tax rate observed in 2021 indicating a potentially more favorable tax position that year.
Interest Paid, Net of Amounts Capitalized, Net of Tax (US$ in millions)
Interest paid, net of amounts capitalized and tax, increased steadily from 881 million in 2019 to a peak of 1,120 million in 2021. This was followed by a significant decrease to 827 million in 2022. In 2023, interest paid rose again to 960 million. The initial increase may reflect rising borrowings or higher interest rates, while the dip in 2022 could indicate efforts to reduce interest expenses or repayment of debt. The increase in 2023 suggests renewed borrowing or changes in interest expense components.
Interest Capitalized, Net of Tax (US$ in millions)
The amount of interest capitalized net of tax shows a downward trend. It started at 119 million in 2019 and gradually decreased to 48 million in 2023, with small fluctuations in the intervening years (106 in 2020, 66 in 2021, and 81 in 2022). This decline could imply lower capitalization of interest costs, possibly due to fewer long-term projects requiring capitalization or changes in accounting policies regarding interest capitalization.

Overall, the data suggests that while the effective income tax rate experienced variability with a marked low in 2021 followed by a return to higher rates, interest-related expenses exhibited some volatility. Interest paid increased substantially through 2021 before falling in 2022 and rising moderately in 2023, whereas interest capitalization showed a consistent downward trend. These patterns likely reflect dynamic financial management responses to external economic conditions, debt structure adjustments, and tax planning considerations.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Marathon Petroleum Corp., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV) 71,226
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 13,235
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 5.38
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Chevron Corp. 18.94
ConocoPhillips 15.63
Exxon Mobil Corp. 16.08
EV/FCFF, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 14.42
EV/FCFF, Industry
Energy 14.32

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Marathon Petroleum Corp., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Enterprise value (EV)1 83,564 77,259 63,196 73,795 66,555
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 13,235 14,807 8,107 (862) 5,066
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 6.31 5.22 7.80 13.14
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. 14.85 8.27 13.33 106.63
ConocoPhillips 15.38 7.43 10.72 92.48
Exxon Mobil Corp. 12.47 7.84 10.06
EV/FCFF, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 13.63 7.91 11.15 398.33
EV/FCFF, Industry
Energy 13.96 8.54 11.54 186.63

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 83,564 ÷ 13,235 = 6.31

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period ending December 31, 2023.

Enterprise Value (EV)
The enterprise value experienced fluctuations, starting at $66,555 million in 2019 and increasing to $73,795 million in 2020. This was followed by a decline to $63,196 million in 2021 before ascending again to $77,259 million in 2022 and further rising to $83,564 million in 2023. The overall trajectory indicates growth, with a peak in 2023, despite intermittent decreases.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
The FCFF displayed significant volatility over the period. It began at a positive $5,066 million in 2019 but sharply declined to a negative $862 million in 2020, indicating a cash outflow situation during that year. This was followed by a strong recovery in 2021 to $8,107 million, with continued growth to $14,807 million in 2022, before a moderate decrease to $13,235 million in 2023. The trend highlights a substantial rebound and sustained positive cash flow after the 2020 downturn.
EV/FCFF Ratio
This valuation ratio is missing for 2020 due to negative FCFF, which makes the ratio not meaningful. The ratio decreased from 13.14 in 2019 to 7.8 in 2021, further declining to 5.22 in 2022, implying an improving valuation in terms of enterprise value relative to cash flow. In 2023, the ratio increased slightly to 6.31, indicating a modest reduction in value efficiency compared to the previous year. Overall, the ratio suggests an improvement from 2019 through 2022, followed by a slight reversal in 2023.

In summary, the data indicates that the company underwent a challenging period in 2020, reflected by negative cash flows and a rising EV. However, subsequent years saw a recovery with increasing cash flows and improving valuation metrics, albeit with some variability in 2023. The general trend suggests strengthening financial performance and improving market valuation efficiency after an initial downturn.