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Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:MPC)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 5, 2024.

Market Value Added (MVA)

Microsoft Excel

Market value added (MVA) is the difference between a firm fair value and its invested capital. MVA is a measure of the value a company has created in excess of the resources already committed to the enterprise.


MVA

Marathon Petroleum Corp., MVA calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Fair value of debt1 25,970 24,530 28,698 35,545 30,798
Operating lease liability 1,218 1,209 1,365 1,511 2,479
Market value of common equity 60,405 55,925 42,086 35,573 30,799
Preferred stock, no shares issued and outstanding, par value $0.01 per share — — — — —
Redeemable noncontrolling interest 895 968 965 968 968
Noncontrolling interests 6,100 6,404 6,410 7,053 8,445
Less: Short-term investments 4,781 3,145 5,548 — —
Market (fair) value of MPC 89,807 85,891 73,976 80,650 73,489
Less: Invested capital2 63,897 69,547 63,579 70,186 82,004
MVA 25,910 16,344 10,397 10,464 (8,515)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Fair value of debt. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »


Analysis of the financial performance between 2019 and 2023 reveals a significant improvement in shareholder value creation, characterized by a transition from negative to strongly positive Market Value Added (MVA).

Market Value Trajectory
The market value exhibited an overall upward trend over the five-year period. After starting at $73,489 million in 2019 and experiencing a temporary contraction to $73,976 million in 2021, the value grew steadily to reach a peak of $89,807 million by December 31, 2023.
Invested Capital Dynamics
A general downward trend in invested capital is observed. The capital base decreased from $82,004 million in 2019 to $63,897 million in 2023. This reduction indicates a leaner capital structure or the optimization of the asset base over the analyzed timeframe.
Market Value Added (MVA) Performance
The MVA underwent a substantial reversal, moving from a negative position of -$8,515 million in 2019 to a positive $25,910 million by 2023. The transition to positive value creation occurred in 2020 and accelerated consistently through 2023, demonstrating that the market valuation now significantly exceeds the total capital invested in the company.

The widening gap between an increasing market value and a decreasing capital base has exponentially increased the MVA, reflecting heightened market confidence and a perceived increase in the efficiency of capital utilization.

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MVA Spread Ratio

Marathon Petroleum Corp., MVA spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 25,910 16,344 10,397 10,464 (8,515)
Invested capital2 63,897 69,547 63,579 70,186 82,004
Performance Ratio
MVA spread ratio3 40.55% 23.50% 16.35% 14.91% -10.38%
Benchmarks
MVA Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. 47.11% 57.71% 54.49% — —
ConocoPhillips 83.41% 93.55% 86.17% — —
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 51.74% 67.23% 42.25% — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
MVA spread ratio = 100 × MVA ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 25,910 ÷ 63,897 = 40.55%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Between December 31, 2019, and December 31, 2023, a substantial upward trajectory in value creation is evident, characterized by a reversal from negative market value added to significant positive gains.

Market Value Added (MVA)
A profound recovery is observed starting in 2020. Following a deficit of US$ 8,515 million in 2019, MVA transitioned to a positive US$ 10,464 million in 2020. This growth accelerated in the subsequent years, reaching US$ 25,910 million by the end of 2023, indicating that the market valuation of the entity has grown significantly beyond the total capital invested.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a general downward trend over the analyzed five-year period. From a peak of US$ 82,004 million in 2019, the figure decreased to US$ 63,897 million by December 31, 2023. Although a moderate increase occurred in 2022, the overall reduction in the capital base indicates a contraction in total invested resources over the long term.
MVA Spread Ratio
The MVA spread ratio demonstrates a consistent and accelerating positive trend. The ratio moved from -10.38% in 2019 to 40.55% in 2023. This expansion is the result of the simultaneous increase in MVA and the overall decrease in invested capital, signaling an increasingly positive gap between the actual return on invested capital and the market's required rate of return.

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MVA Margin

Marathon Petroleum Corp., MVA margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 25,910 16,344 10,397 10,464 (8,515)
Sales and other operating revenues 148,379 177,453 119,983 69,779 123,949
Performance Ratio
MVA margin2 17.46% 9.21% 8.67% 15.00% -6.87%
Benchmarks
MVA Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp. 50.80% 51.99% 67.80% — —
ConocoPhillips 120.75% 90.01% 143.57% — —
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp. 47.49% 50.09% 41.64% — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
MVA margin = 100 × MVA ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × 25,910 ÷ 148,379 = 17.46%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the five-year period from 2019 to 2023 reveals a substantial recovery and growth trajectory in the creation of shareholder value. The transition from a negative market value added position to a significant positive surplus indicates a strong upward trend in the market's perception of the company's value relative to its invested capital.

Market Value Added (MVA) Trends
A significant reversal is observed starting in 2020, where MVA moved from a deficit of US$ 8,515 million in 2019 to a surplus of US$ 10,464 million. This positive momentum continued through 2023, with MVA reaching a peak of US$ 25,910 million. The steady increase from 2021 onwards suggests a consistent expansion in the wealth created for shareholders over the invested capital.
Revenue Volatility and Correlation
Operating revenues exhibited considerable volatility, characterized by a sharp decline in 2020 to US$ 69,779 million, followed by a recovery to a peak of US$ 177,453 million in 2022. Despite a moderate decrease in revenue to US$ 148,379 million in 2023, MVA continued to climb, suggesting that market value creation became increasingly decoupled from short-term revenue fluctuations.
MVA Margin Performance
The MVA margin demonstrates a pattern of recovery and optimization. After a low of -6.87% in 2019, the margin spiked to 15.00% in 2020. Following a period of stabilization between 8.67% and 9.21% during 2021 and 2022, the margin reached its highest level of 17.46% in 2023. This final increase is particularly noteworthy as it occurred alongside a reduction in total revenues, indicating a higher efficiency in generating market value per dollar of revenue.

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