Stock Analysis on Net

Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:GNRC)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 8, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

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Economic Profit

Generac Holdings Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 641,346 422,020 326,014 316,757 230,606
Cost of capital2 16.21% 16.37% 15.52% 13.92% 12.60%
Invested capital3 3,771,373 2,684,660 2,246,986 1,970,846 1,710,524
 
Economic profit4 30,015 (17,581) (22,614) 42,432 15,087

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 641,34616.21% × 3,771,373 = 30,015


The financial performance from 2017 to 2021 exhibits a period of significant operational expansion accompanied by volatility in economic value creation. While absolute profitability grew consistently, the ability to generate returns above the cost of capital fluctuated, resulting in periods of economic loss before a recovery in the final year of the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A consistent and strong upward trend is observed in NOPAT, which grew from 230,606 thousand US$ in 2017 to 641,346 thousand US$ by 2021. The most substantial increase occurred between 2020 and 2021, where profit rose by approximately 51.7%, suggesting a significant scaling of operational efficiency or market demand.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital grew steadily throughout the five-year period, increasing from 1,710,524 thousand US$ in 2017 to 3,771,373 thousand US$ in 2021. Simultaneously, the cost of capital experienced a rising trend, climbing from 12.60% in 2017 to a peak of 16.37% in 2020, before stabilizing slightly at 16.21% in 2021. This indicates that the hurdle rate for generating value increased as the company expanded its capital base.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit demonstrated significant volatility, transitioning from positive values in 2017 and 2018 to negative values in 2019 and 2020. The negative economic profit in 2019 (-22,614 thousand US$) and 2020 (-17,581 thousand US$) indicates that during these years, the NOPAT was insufficient to cover the imputed cost of the invested capital, resulting in a destruction of shareholder value despite positive accounting profits. A reversal occurred in 2021, with economic profit returning to a positive 30,015 thousand US$, driven by the surge in NOPAT which finally outpaced the increased cost of capital.

In summary, the period was characterized by aggressive growth in both invested capital and operating profit. However, the rising cost of capital created a valuation gap between 2019 and 2020, where the return on invested capital fell below the required threshold. The recovery in 2021 suggests that the operational growth eventually scaled sufficiently to overcome the elevated cost of capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Generac Holdings Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income attributable to Generac Holdings Inc. 550,494 350,576 252,007 238,257 159,386
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (1,073) 20,498 19,520 24,614 18,986
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2 24 5,033 2,095 68 (837)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue related to extended warranties3 21,859 11,050 10,398 10,486 19,861
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liability4 34,995 9,902 7,531 6,363 3,727
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 55,805 46,483 39,544 41,531 41,737
Interest expense 32,953 32,991 41,544 40,956 42,667
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 3,720 2,856 1,699 2,090
Adjusted interest expense 36,673 35,847 43,243 43,046 42,667
Tax benefit of interest expense7 (7,701) (7,528) (9,081) (9,040) (14,933)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8 28,972 28,319 34,162 34,006 27,734
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 6,075 (3,358) 301 2,963 1,749
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 641,346 422,020 326,014 316,757 230,606

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue related to extended warranties.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Generac Holdings Inc..

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 103,919 × 3.58% = 3,720

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 36,673 × 21.00% = 7,701

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Generac Holdings Inc..


The annual financial data reveals a consistent upward trend in both net income attributable to Generac Holdings Inc. and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) over the five-year period from 2017 to 2021.

Net Income Attributable to Generac Holdings Inc.
This metric increased steadily each year, starting at $159,386 thousand in 2017 and reaching $550,494 thousand by the end of 2021. The growth is particularly notable between 2019 and 2021, where net income rose substantially, indicating improved profitability.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
Likewise, NOPAT demonstrated a positive growth trajectory, increasing from $230,606 thousand in 2017 to $641,346 thousand in 2021. The increase in NOPAT aligns with the trend seen in net income, and the largest annual increments occurred from 2019 onward.

Overall, the data indicates strong financial performance with expanding profitability. The acceleration in growth after 2019 suggests successful operational improvements or favorable market conditions during this period. Both net income and NOPAT exhibit similar patterns, reinforcing the company’s capacity to convert operating results into net earnings effectively.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Generac Holdings Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Provision for income taxes 134,957 98,973 67,299 69,856 43,553
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (1,073) 20,498 19,520 24,614 18,986
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 7,701 7,528 9,081 9,040 14,933
Cash operating taxes 143,731 86,003 56,860 54,282 39,500

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The data reveals a consistent upward trend in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the five-year period from December 31, 2017, to December 31, 2021.

Provision for Income Taxes

The provision for income taxes increased steadily from $43.6 million in 2017 to $134.96 million in 2021. This represents more than a threefold increase over the five years. Notably, the most significant annual increases were observed between 2019 and 2020, and between 2020 and 2021, indicating a surge in taxable income or changes in tax rates or tax liabilities.

Cash Operating Taxes

Cash operating taxes also showed a consistent rise from $39.5 million in 2017 to $143.73 million in 2021. Similar to the provision for income taxes, the growth in cash operating taxes accelerated particularly after 2019, with a marked increase from 2019 to 2020 and again into 2021.

The parallel upward movement of both provision and cash operating taxes suggests increasing profitability or taxable events impacting the company's tax obligations. The faster growth in cash operating taxes relative to the provision, especially after 2019, might indicate changes in tax payment timing or adjustments to deferred tax assets or liabilities.

Overall, the data points to escalating tax expenses over the period, which could affect net profitability and cash flow management, meriting further analysis to understand the underlying drivers such as revenue growth, changes in tax legislation, or tax strategy adjustments.

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Invested Capital

Generac Holdings Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Short-term borrowings 72,035 39,282 58,714 45,583 20,602
Current portion of long-term borrowings and finance lease obligations 5,930 4,147 2,383 1,977 1,572
Long-term borrowings and finance lease obligations, excluding current portion 902,091 841,764 837,767 876,396 906,548
Operating lease liability1 103,919 63,750 37,009 41,220 43,924
Total reported debt & leases 1,083,975 948,943 935,873 965,176 972,646
Stockholders’ equity attributable to Generac Holdings Inc. 2,213,774 1,390,293 1,032,382 760,549 559,552
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 190,223 114,272 93,395 71,137 40,551
Allowance for credit losses3 12,025 12,001 6,968 4,873 4,805
Deferred revenue related to extended warranties4 111,647 89,788 78,738 68,340 50,941
Product warranty liability5 94,213 59,218 49,316 41,785 35,422
Equity equivalents6 408,108 275,279 228,417 186,135 131,719
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 54,755 34,254 24,917 23,813 21,198
Redeemable noncontrolling interest 58,050 66,207 61,227 61,004 43,929
Noncontrolling interests 313 (89) 469 712 279
Adjusted stockholders’ equity attributable to Generac Holdings Inc. 2,735,000 1,765,944 1,347,412 1,032,213 756,677
Construction in progress8 (47,602) (30,227) (36,299) (26,543) (18,799)
Invested capital 3,771,373 2,684,660 2,246,986 1,970,846 1,710,524

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue related to extended warranties.

5 Addition of product warranty liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity attributable to Generac Holdings Inc..

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases showed a relatively stable trend from 2017 to 2020, fluctuating slightly between approximately 935,873 and 972,646 thousand US dollars. However, in 2021, there was a notable increase to 1,083,975 thousand US dollars, representing a rise compared to prior years.
Stockholders’ Equity Attributable to Generac Holdings Inc.
Stockholders’ equity exhibited a consistent and substantial growth over the five-year period. Beginning at 559,552 thousand US dollars in 2017, it increased steadily each year, reaching 2,213,774 thousand US dollars in 2021. This growth signifies a strong enhancement of the equity base, more than tripling its initial value.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated an upward trajectory throughout the period analyzed. Starting from 1,710,524 thousand US dollars in 2017, it rose continuously each year, culminating at 3,771,373 thousand US dollars in 2021. The increase indicates ongoing investments or retained earnings contributing to capital growth, with the largest annual rise observed between 2020 and 2021.
Overall Analysis
The data indicates that while the company maintained a relatively stable debt level until 2020 with a spike in 2021, it simultaneously experienced pronounced expansion in both equity and invested capital. The substantial growth in equity suggests strong financial health and possibly profitable operations or capital injections, which supported the increase in invested capital. The rise in debt in the latest year may reflect additional financing activities to support expansion or operational needs. Overall, the financial position shows strengthening capital structure and capacity.

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Cost of Capital

Generac Holdings Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 18,016,968 18,016,968 ÷ 19,115,749 = 0.94 0.94 × 16.86% = 15.89%
Borrowings and finance lease obligation3 994,862 994,862 ÷ 19,115,749 = 0.05 0.05 × 7.43% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.31%
Operating lease liability4 103,919 103,919 ÷ 19,115,749 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 19,115,749 1.00 16.21%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease obligation. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 20,935,375 20,935,375 ÷ 21,900,096 = 0.96 0.96 × 16.86% = 16.12%
Borrowings and finance lease obligation3 900,971 900,971 ÷ 21,900,096 = 0.04 0.04 × 7.66% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.25%
Operating lease liability4 63,750 63,750 ÷ 21,900,096 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.48% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 21,900,096 1.00 16.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease obligation. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 6,714,121 6,714,121 ÷ 7,670,133 = 0.88 0.88 × 16.86% = 14.76%
Borrowings and finance lease obligation3 919,003 919,003 ÷ 7,670,133 = 0.12 0.12 × 7.83% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.74%
Operating lease liability4 37,009 37,009 ÷ 7,670,133 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.59% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 7,670,133 1.00 15.52%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease obligation. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 3,228,876 3,228,876 ÷ 4,186,010 = 0.77 0.77 × 16.86% = 13.00%
Borrowings and finance lease obligation3 915,914 915,914 ÷ 4,186,010 = 0.22 0.22 × 5.07% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.88%
Operating lease liability4 41,220 41,220 ÷ 4,186,010 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.07% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 4,186,010 1.00 13.92%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease obligation. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 2,879,448 2,879,448 ÷ 3,852,635 = 0.75 0.75 × 16.86% = 12.60%
Borrowings and finance lease obligation3 929,263 929,263 ÷ 3,852,635 = 0.24 0.24 × 0.00% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.00%
Operating lease liability4 43,924 43,924 ÷ 3,852,635 = 0.01 0.01 × 0.00% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.00%
Total: 3,852,635 1.00 12.60%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings and finance lease obligation. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Generac Holdings Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 30,015 (17,581) (22,614) 42,432 15,087
Invested capital2 3,771,373 2,684,660 2,246,986 1,970,846 1,710,524
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 0.80% -0.65% -1.01% 2.15% 0.88%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co. -19.02%
Caterpillar Inc. -5.78%
Eaton Corp. plc -9.31%
GE Aerospace -18.68%
Honeywell International Inc. -1.91%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 15.48%
RTX Corp. -4.01%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 30,015 ÷ 3,771,373 = 0.80%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2017 to 2021 is characterized by a consistent expansion of the capital base contrasted with significant volatility in economic value creation. While the company successfully returned to generating positive economic profit by 2021, the period was marked by a notable interval of value destruction between 2019 and 2020.

Invested Capital Trend
A steady and uninterrupted upward trajectory is observed in invested capital, which grew from 1,710,524 thousand US dollars in 2017 to 3,771,373 thousand US dollars by 2021. This represents a substantial increase in the resources deployed to generate returns, indicating an aggressive expansion of the operational base over the five-year period.
Economic Profit Fluctuations
Economic profit exhibited high volatility, peaking in 2018 at 42,432 thousand US dollars. This was followed by a sharp decline into negative territory, reaching a low of -22,614 thousand US dollars in 2019. Although a recovery began in 2020, the figure remained negative at -17,581 thousand US dollars before returning to a positive position of 30,015 thousand US dollars in 2021.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio mirrors the volatility of the economic profit, reflecting the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. The ratio peaked at 2.15% in 2018, indicating optimal value creation. However, the ratio turned negative in 2019 (-1.01%) and 2020 (-0.65%), signaling that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the cost of the capital employed. By 2021, the ratio recovered to 0.80%, confirming a return to positive economic value added, although this level remains below the 2018 peak despite the significantly larger capital base.

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Economic Profit Margin

Generac Holdings Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 30,015 (17,581) (22,614) 42,432 15,087
 
Net sales 3,737,184 2,485,200 2,204,336 2,023,464 1,672,445
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue related to extended warranties 21,859 11,050 10,398 10,486 19,861
Adjusted net sales 3,759,043 2,496,250 2,214,734 2,033,950 1,692,306
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 0.80% -0.70% -1.02% 2.09% 0.89%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co. -15.10%
Caterpillar Inc. -6.67%
Eaton Corp. plc -13.98%
GE Aerospace -18.86%
Honeywell International Inc. -2.67%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 6.61%
RTX Corp. -6.96%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × 30,015 ÷ 3,759,043 = 0.80%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2017 through 2021 is characterized by consistent growth in adjusted net sales contrasted with significant volatility in economic profit. While revenue expanded steadily throughout the period, the ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital fluctuated, resulting in periods of both value creation and value destruction.

Adjusted Net Sales Trend
A continuous upward trajectory is observed in adjusted net sales, which grew from 1,692,306 thousand US$ in 2017 to 3,759,043 thousand US$ by 2021. The most substantial increase occurred between 2020 and 2021, where sales rose by approximately 50%, indicating a significant expansion in market reach or demand during the final year of the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Volatility
Economic profit exhibited a non-linear trend. After an initial increase from 15,087 thousand US$ in 2017 to a peak of 42,432 thousand US$ in 2018, the company entered a period of economic loss. Economic profit turned negative in 2019 and 2020, reaching -22,614 thousand US$ and -17,581 thousand US$ respectively. A recovery was noted in 2021, with economic profit returning to a positive value of 30,015 thousand US$.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrors the volatility of the absolute economic profit. The margin peaked at 2.09% in 2018 before contracting to -1.02% in 2019 and -0.70% in 2020. By 2021, the margin returned to positive territory at 0.80%. Notably, despite the record high sales in 2021, the economic profit margin remained below the 2018 peak, suggesting that the efficiency of value creation relative to sales did not fully recover to its previous high point.

Overall, the analysis indicates that while the company successfully scaled its operations, the relationship between revenue growth and economic value was inconsistent. The transition from negative margins in 2019 and 2020 back to a positive margin in 2021 suggests a restoration of profitability above the cost of capital, though the magnitude of this value creation has not kept pace with the scale of sales growth.

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