Stock Analysis on Net

T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

T-Mobile US Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 8.27%
01 FCFF0 19,385
1 FCFF1 20,049 = 19,385 × (1 + 3.42%) 18,518
2 FCFF2 20,629 = 20,049 × (1 + 2.89%) 17,600
3 FCFF3 21,117 = 20,629 × (1 + 2.37%) 16,640
4 FCFF4 21,505 = 21,117 × (1 + 1.84%) 15,652
5 FCFF5 21,786 = 21,505 × (1 + 1.31%) 14,646
5 Terminal value (TV5) 317,118 = 21,786 × (1 + 1.31%) ÷ (8.27%1.31%) 213,184
Intrinsic value of T-Mobile US Inc. capital 296,240
Less: Short-term and long-term debt, including financing lease liabilities (fair value) 84,475
Intrinsic value of T-Mobile US Inc. common stock 211,765
 
Intrinsic value of T-Mobile US Inc. common stock (per share) $195.68
Current share price $182.68

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

T-Mobile US Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 197,697 0.70 10.35%
Short-term and long-term debt, including financing lease liabilities (fair value) 84,475 0.30 3.39% = 4.22% × (1 – 19.56%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,082,204,717 × $182.68
= $197,697,157,701.56

   Short-term and long-term debt, including financing lease liabilities (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (23.00% + 22.90% + 24.40% + 17.70% + 9.80%) ÷ 5
= 19.56%

WACC = 8.27%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

T-Mobile US Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense, net 3,774 3,411 3,335 3,364 3,342
Net income 10,992 11,339 8,317 2,590 3,024
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 23.00% 22.90% 24.40% 17.70% 9.80%
 
Interest expense, net, after tax2 2,906 2,630 2,521 2,769 3,014
Add: Dividends declared 4,240 4,302 747
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 7,146 6,932 3,268 2,769 3,014
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 13,898 13,969 10,838 5,359 6,038
 
Short-term debt 5,135 4,068 3,619 5,164 3,378
Short-term debt to affiliates 2,245
Short-term financing lease liabilities 1,163 1,175 1,260 1,161 1,120
Long-term debt 79,649 72,700 69,903 65,301 67,076
Long-term debt to affiliates 1,498 1,497 1,496 1,495 1,494
Long-term financing lease liabilities 1,107 1,151 1,236 1,370 1,455
Stockholders’ equity 59,203 61,741 64,715 69,656 69,102
Total capital 147,755 142,332 142,229 144,147 145,870
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.49 0.50 0.70 0.48 0.50
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 9.41% 9.81% 7.62% 3.72% 4.14%
Averages
RR 0.49
ROIC 6.94%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 3.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, net, after tax = Interest expense, net × (1 – EITR)
= 3,774 × (1 – 23.00%)
= 2,906

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest expense, net, after tax
= 10,992 + 2,906
= 13,898

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [13,8987,146] ÷ 13,898
= 0.49

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 13,898 ÷ 147,755
= 9.41%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.49 × 6.94%
= 3.42%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (282,172 × 8.27%19,385) ÷ (282,172 + 19,385)
= 1.31%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of T-Mobile US Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year T-Mobile US Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of T-Mobile US Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

T-Mobile US Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 3.42%
2 g2 2.89%
3 g3 2.37%
4 g4 1.84%
5 and thereafter g5 1.31%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.42% + (1.31%3.42%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.89%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.42% + (1.31%3.42%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.37%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.42% + (1.31%3.42%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 1.84%