Stock Analysis on Net

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Costco Wholesale Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data over the observed periods reveals several important trends related to profitability, capital efficiency, and economic value generation.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows a generally upward trajectory from 2019 to 2024, increasing from $3,979 million to $7,032 million. There was a consistent rise from 2019 through 2022, peaking at $6,421 million before a slight dip to $5,694 million in 2023, followed by a rebound to the highest reported value in 2024. This pattern suggests overall improved operating efficiency and profit generation, despite a temporary decline.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital demonstrates a gradual increase over the years, starting at 12.23% in 2019 and rising steadily to 12.65% in 2024. The incremental rise reflects a slowly increasing hurdle rate for investment returns, potentially indicating changes in market risk or capital structure costs that could affect investment decisions.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased sharply from $23,959 million in 2019 to a peak of $34,903 million in 2023, before declining moderately to $32,993 million in 2024. The growth in invested capital indicates expanded asset and resource deployment within the business. However, the decrease in the final year may suggest divestitures or improved capital management.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, which measures net operating profit beyond the cost of capital, displays notable fluctuations. From $1,050 million in 2019, it dropped to $722 million in 2020, then surged to $2,499 million by 2022. After a decline to $1,336 million in 2023, it rose again to $2,859 million in 2024, surpassing previous highs. These variations suggest that the company's value creation efficiency experienced some volatility but ultimately achieved improved profitability over the cost of capital.

Overall, the data indicates strong operational performance with increasing net profit, alongside growing invested capital. The rising cost of capital presents a higher benchmark, yet the company has managed to enhance economic profit considerably, implying effective management of capital and profitability despite some cyclical variances.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Costco Wholesale Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Net income attributable to Costco
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Costco.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Costco.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net income attributable to Costco
The net income demonstrates a consistent upward trend over the six-year period. Starting at 3,659 million USD in 2019, it increased steadily each year, reaching 7,367 million USD by 2024. The growth is particularly notable between 2023 and 2024, showing a substantial increase of approximately 17%. This pattern indicates continuous improvement in profitability and effective management in generating earnings for shareholders.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also shows a general upward trajectory, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and after-tax profitability. The figure rose from 3,979 million USD in 2019 to 7,032 million USD in 2024. However, a deviation from the growth trend is observed between 2022 and 2023, where NOPAT declined from 6,421 million USD to 5,694 million USD, representing a decrease of about 11%. Despite this dip, the metric recovered strongly in 2024, exceeding previous highs. This suggests a temporary operational challenge in 2023, followed by a robust rebound.

Cash Operating Taxes

Costco Wholesale Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).


The financial data indicates a consistent upward trend in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the six-year period examined.

Provision for income taxes
This item shows a steady increase each year, starting at 1,061 million US dollars in 2019 and rising to 2,373 million US dollars by 2024. The growth is relatively smooth and continuous, reflecting an increasing tax burden or improved profitability subject to taxation during this period.
Cash operating taxes
Similar to the provision for income taxes, cash operating taxes exhibit a continuous rise from 944 million US dollars in 2019 to 2,412 million US dollars in 2024. The increase each year is consistent with growing operational tax payments, slightly exceeding the provision figures each year, which might indicate timely cash outflows related to tax obligations.

The parallel progression of both tax-related metrics suggests a stable and possibly expanding operational base contributing to higher taxable income and ensuing tax payments. The close alignment between provision and cash operating taxes implies effective tax management with minimal discrepancies between accrued and paid taxes over the period.


Invested Capital

Costco Wholesale Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Current portion of long-term debt
Current finance lease liabilities
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Long-term finance lease liabilities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Costco stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
LIFO reserve3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Costco stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Costco stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The analysis of the annual financial data reveals several notable trends over the six-year period.

Total reported debt & leases
This liability metric shows a moderate fluctuation, beginning at $9,126 million in 2019, peaking in 2021 at $11,407 million, and then generally declining to $9,949 million by 2024. This suggests a strategy of managing and reducing debt levels following a peak in 2021, potentially improving the company's leverage position.
Total Costco stockholders’ equity
This equity measure exhibits a consistent upward trend overall. Starting at $15,243 million in 2019, it rises significantly to $25,058 million by 2023 before declining somewhat to $23,622 million in 2024. The growth in stockholders’ equity indicates accumulation of retained earnings and possible capital infusions over these years, although the slight decrease in the final year may warrant further review.
Invested capital
Invested capital mirrors the combined effect of liabilities and equity, showing an overall increases from $23,959 million in 2019 to a peak of $34,903 million in 2023, followed by a decrease to $32,993 million in 2024. This pattern reflects growth in the total capital invested in the business up to 2023, with some withdrawal or reduction in the most recent year.

Overall, the data suggests strengthened equity position alongside careful debt management, with a general trend of growth in invested capital that slightly recedes in the final year observed. These patterns could indicate strategic financial adjustments aimed at optimizing capital structure and supporting company growth.


Cost of Capital

Costco Wholesale Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Costco Wholesale Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic profit
The economic profit shows significant fluctuations over the analyzed periods. Starting at 1,050 million US dollars in 2019, it initially declined to 722 million in 2020. Subsequently, the economic profit increased sharply to 1,788 million in 2021 and continued rising to 2,499 million in 2022. A decline to 1,336 million occurred in 2023, followed by a strong recovery to 2,859 million in 2024. This pattern indicates volatility, with notable dips in 2020 and 2023, but generally an upward trajectory over the six-year span.
Invested capital
The invested capital shows a consistent upward trend initially, growing from 23,959 million US dollars in 2019 to a peak of 34,903 million in 2023. A slight reduction to 32,993 million is observed in 2024. This suggests ongoing investments and asset accumulation through most periods, with a minor contraction in the final year examined.
Economic spread ratio
The economic spread ratio exhibited considerable volatility. It began at 4.38% in 2019, decreased substantially to 2.49% in 2020, then surged to 6.27% in 2021 and further to 7.89% in 2022. A decline to 3.83% appeared in 2023 before rising again to the highest value observed, 8.67%, in 2024. This pattern reflects sensitive changes in the profitability relative to invested capital, with generally strong recovery phases following periods of weakening spreads.

Economic Profit Margin

Costco Wholesale Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals notable trends and fluctuations in key performance indicators over the six-year period under consideration.

Economic Profit
The economic profit experienced a decrease from 1,050 million US dollars in 2019 to 722 million in 2020, indicating a potential impact from external or internal pressures during that period. Subsequently, economic profit showed a substantial recovery and growth, reaching its highest point of 2,859 million US dollars in 2024. There was a significant peak in 2022 with 2,499 million US dollars, followed by a decline in 2023 to 1,336 million, before rising sharply again in 2024.
Net Sales
Net sales consistently increased year over year throughout the examined timeframe. Starting at 149,351 million US dollars in 2019, sales grew steadily each year, achieving 249,625 million US dollars by 2024. This upward trend suggests sustained revenue growth and market expansion efforts.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin displayed variability, beginning at 0.7% in 2019 and dropping to a low of 0.44% in 2020, reflecting reduced profitability relative to sales during that year. A notable improvement occurred in the subsequent years, with the margin increasing to 0.93% in 2021 and peaking at 1.15% in 2024. There was a dip to 0.56% in 2023, which may indicate heightened costs or reduced operational efficiency during that period, before recovering to surpass previous levels.

Overall, the data illustrates a strong recovery and growth trajectory following the 2020 downturn, with progressive increases in both net sales and economic profit margin by 2024. The fluctuations in economic profit and its margin suggest periods of operational challenges and recovery, but the general trend points to enhanced profitability and scalability over time.