Stock Analysis on Net

Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Costco Wholesale Corp., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Operating Assets
Total assets 69,831 68,994 64,166 59,268 55,556 45,400
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 9,906 13,700 10,203 11,258 12,277 8,384
Less: Short-term investments 1,238 1,534 846 917 1,028 1,060
Operating assets 58,687 53,760 53,117 47,093 42,251 35,956
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 46,209 43,936 43,519 41,190 36,851 29,816
Less: Current portion of long-term debt 103 1,081 73 799 95 1,699
Less: Current finance lease liabilities 147 129 245 72 31 26
Less: Long-term debt, excluding current portion 5,794 5,377 6,484 6,692 7,514 5,124
Less: Long-term finance lease liabilities 1,351 1,303 1,383 980 657 395
Operating liabilities 38,814 36,046 35,334 32,647 28,554 22,572
 
Net operating assets1 19,873 17,714 17,783 14,446 13,697 13,384
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 2,159 (69) 3,337 749 313
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 11.49% -0.39% 20.71% 5.32% 2.31%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
Target Corp. 2.06% 19.69% 10.33% -10.90%
Walmart Inc. 6.15% 0.02% 1.09% -6.44%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 6.12% 2.78% 4.30% -5.94% 200.00%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Staples 1.15% 2.58% 7.61% -0.13% 200.00%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 58,68738,814 = 19,873

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 19,87317,714 = 2,159

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 2,159 ÷ [(19,873 + 17,714) ÷ 2] = 11.49%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The data presents an analysis of certain financial quality measures over a five-year period. The focus is on net operating assets, balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals in millions of US dollars, and the corresponding accruals ratio expressed as a percentage.

Net Operating Assets
There is a general upward trend in net operating assets, increasing from 13,697 million US dollars in 2020 to 19,873 million US dollars in 2024. The increase is relatively steady, with a slight plateau between 2022 (17,783 million) and 2023 (17,714 million), before rising again in 2024.
Balance-sheet-based Aggregate Accruals
The balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals display notable volatility across the years. Starting at 313 million US dollars in 2020, the value sharply increased to 749 million in 2021 and surged significantly to 3,337 million in 2022. In 2023, there is a pronounced reversal to a negative value of -69 million, followed by another substantial increase to 2,159 million in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuations in accrual accounting components that may reflect episodic changes in operational or accounting practices.
Balance-sheet-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio aligns with the changes in aggregate accruals, showing a general upward movement from 2.31% in 2020 to a peak of 20.71% in 2022, indicating greater accrual activity relative to net operating assets. In 2023, the ratio turned slightly negative (-0.39%), reflecting the negative aggregate accruals noted that year. In 2024, the ratio rebounds to 11.49%, suggesting renewed accruals activity though not reaching the previous high of 2022.

Overall, the data indicates increasing net operating assets over the period accompanied by substantial variability in accrual components. The fluctuations in the accruals figures and their relative proportion to net operating assets could signal changes in earnings quality or timing of revenue and expense recognition, warranting further investigation into underlying operational or accounting factors driving these patterns.


Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Costco Wholesale Corp., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Sep 1, 2024 Sep 3, 2023 Aug 28, 2022 Aug 29, 2021 Aug 30, 2020 Sep 1, 2019
Net income attributable to Costco 7,367 6,292 5,844 5,007 4,002 3,659
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 11,339 11,068 7,392 8,958 8,861 6,356
Less: Net cash used in investing activities (4,409) (4,972) (3,915) (3,535) (3,891) (2,865)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals 437 196 2,367 (416) (968) 168
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 2.33% 1.10% 14.69% -2.96% -7.15%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
Target Corp. 1.09% 18.64% 7.52% -18.12%
Walmart Inc. 0.87% 0.47% -3.77% -10.19%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 1.06% 3.13% -0.42% -10.54% -3.84%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Staples -0.17% 2.27% 4.81% -4.89% -2.34%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-08-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-08-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-08-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-01).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 437 ÷ [(19,873 + 17,714) ÷ 2] = 2.33%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data for the analyzed periods reveals several noteworthy trends in the quality of annual financial reporting.

Net Operating Assets
There is a consistent upward trend in net operating assets from 13,697 million US dollars in 2020 to 19,873 million US dollars in 2024. This represents a substantial increase over the five-year period, indicating an expansion in the company’s operational investment base.
Cash-flow-statement-based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals present more variability. Initially, these values are negative (-968 million in 2020 and -416 million in 2021), suggesting a cash flow position exceeding accounting earnings during these years. A significant shift occurs in 2022, when accruals sharply increase to a positive 2,367 million, which then sharply drops back to lower positive values of 196 million and 437 million in 2023 and 2024, respectively. This fluctuation may indicate changes in working capital management, revenue recognition, or expense deferrals affecting reported earnings.
Cash-flow-statement-based Accruals Ratio
Mirroring the pattern of aggregate accruals, the accruals ratio starts at a negative level, -7.15% in 2020, improving to -2.96% in 2021, then jumps significantly to a positive 14.69% in 2022. Subsequently, it declines to modest positive values of 1.1% and 2.33% in 2023 and 2024 respectively. The large positive spike in 2022 suggests an anomalous year where accrual accounting earnings considerably exceeded cash-based earnings. The follow-up years show a normalization to lower positive ratios, implying relatively stable, but still positive, accruals which may warrant further examination.

Overall, the data indicate growth in operating assets, while accrual-based measures fluctuate considerably, especially in 2022. These patterns point to variations in accrual quality and underlying accounting practices that impact the relationship between reported earnings and cash flows. The sharp increase and subsequent moderation in accruals could have implications for assessing earnings quality and the sustainability of reported profits during these periods.