Stock Analysis on Net

Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Target Corp., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Feb 1, 2025 Feb 3, 2024 Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 57,769 55,356 53,335 53,811 51,248 42,779
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 4,762 3,805 2,229 5,911 8,511 2,577
Operating assets 53,007 51,551 51,106 47,900 42,737 40,202
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 43,103 41,924 42,103 40,984 36,808 30,946
Less: Current portion of long-term debt and other borrowings 1,636 1,116 130 171 1,144 161
Less: Long-term debt and other borrowings, excluding current portion 14,304 14,922 16,009 13,549 11,536 11,338
Operating liabilities 27,163 25,886 25,964 27,264 24,128 19,447
 
Net operating assets1 25,844 25,665 25,142 20,636 18,609 20,755
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 179 523 4,506 2,027 (2,146)
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 0.70% 2.06% 19.69% 10.33% -10.90%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
Costco Wholesale Corp. 11.49% -0.39% 20.71% 5.32% 2.31%
Walmart Inc. 5.23% 6.15% 0.02% 1.09% -6.44%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 0.00% 6.12% 2.78% 4.30% -5.94%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Staples 0.00% 1.15% 2.58% 7.61% -0.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).

1 2025 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 53,00727,163 = 25,844

2 2025 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2025 – Net operating assets2024
= 25,84425,665 = 179

3 2025 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 179 ÷ [(25,844 + 25,665) ÷ 2] = 0.70%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial reporting quality measures for the analyzed periods demonstrate notable variations and trends in net operating assets, balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals, and accruals ratios.

Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets exhibit a consistent upward trajectory over the years, increasing from approximately $18.6 billion in early 2021 to about $25.8 billion by early 2025. This steady growth suggests an expansion in the operational asset base, indicating increased investment in operating resources or growth of the company's operational activities.
Balance-sheet-based Aggregate Accruals
The balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals display significant fluctuations during the period. Initially, in early 2021, the value is negative at approximately -$2.1 billion, quickly shifting to a positive accrual of around $2.0 billion in 2022. This upward move continues sharply to about $4.5 billion in early 2023, followed by a noticeable decline to approximately $0.5 billion in early 2024 and further decreasing to around $0.18 billion by early 2025. These swings could indicate variability in earnings quality, with potentially higher accruals in 2022 and 2023 suggesting increased non-cash adjustments that diminish substantially in the following years.
Balance-sheet-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio mirrors the behavior of the aggregate accruals but is expressed relative to net operating assets. The ratio moves from a negative -10.9% in 2021 to a positive 10.33% in 2022, reflecting the switch from negative to positive accruals. It then increases significantly to 19.69% in 2023, representing a peak in the proportion of accruals relative to operating assets, signaling potentially higher earnings management or adjustments in that year. Subsequently, there is a sharp decline to 2.06% in 2024 and a further slight reduction to 0.7% in 2025, indicating a marked improvement or normalization in accrual-based adjustments relative to the size of operating assets.

Overall, the data reveals a stable growth in net operating assets accompanied by pronounced volatility in accruals and accrual ratios, especially peaking around 2023 before normalizing in subsequent years. This pattern may reflect changing earnings quality and accrual management practices throughout the period under review.


Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Target Corp., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Feb 1, 2025 Feb 3, 2024 Jan 28, 2023 Jan 29, 2022 Jan 30, 2021 Feb 1, 2020
Net earnings 4,091 4,138 2,780 6,946 4,368 3,281
Less: Cash provided by operating activities 7,367 8,621 4,018 8,625 10,525 7,099
Less: Cash required for investing activities (2,860) (4,760) (5,504) (3,154) (2,591) (2,944)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals (416) 277 4,266 1,475 (3,566) (874)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 -1.62% 1.09% 18.64% 7.52% -18.12%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
Costco Wholesale Corp. 2.33% 1.10% 14.69% -2.96% -7.15%
Walmart Inc. 3.34% 0.87% 0.47% -3.77% -10.19%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail 0.00% 1.06% 3.13% -0.42% -10.54%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Consumer Staples 0.00% -0.17% 2.27% 4.81% -4.89%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).

1 2025 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × -416 ÷ [(25,844 + 25,665) ÷ 2] = -1.62%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets demonstrate a consistent upward trend over the observed periods. Starting at 18,609 million US dollars in early 2021, the value increased to 25,844 million US dollars by early 2025. This reflects a steady accumulation or expansion of operating assets, with notable increments each year, particularly between 2022 and 2023, and a slower increase thereafter.
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals based on the cash flow statement show considerable volatility throughout the periods. Initially, in 2021, the accruals were significantly negative at -3,566 million US dollars, implying a reduction in accrual components. However, these figures turned positive and peaked in 2023 at 4,266 million US dollars, indicating increased accruals during that period. Subsequent periods show a sharp decline, with values dropping to 277 million US dollars in 2024 and reverting to negative again at -416 million US dollars in 2025. This pattern suggests fluctuations in accrual accounting adjustments and a lack of consistent trend direction.
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio also exhibits significant variability across the timeline. It began at a negative level of -18.12% in 2021, indicating that accruals were substantially reducing net operating cash flows relative to assets. The ratio reversed sharply to positive figures in 2022 and 2023, reaching a high of 18.64% in 2023, suggesting a period where accruals were increasing operating assets relative to cash flows. This was followed by a sharp decrease to near zero (1.09%) in 2024 and a return to slightly negative territory (-1.62%) in 2025. The fluctuation in this ratio denotes unstable earnings quality related to accruals over the years.