Stock Analysis on Net

UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:UNH)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data over the five-year period reveals several notable trends in profitability, capital efficiency, and economic value creation.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT showed an overall increasing trend from 2020 through 2023, rising from $18,059 million to a peak of $26,672 million. This signifies improved operational profitability during the initial four years. However, in 2024, there was a marked decrease, with NOPAT declining to $18,940 million, almost reverting to the 2020 level. This sharp reduction indicates potential operational challenges or increased expenses impacting profitability in the most recent year.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, oscillating slightly around 10%. It increased marginally from 9.83% in 2020 to a peak of 10.15% in 2022, before gradually declining to 9.92% in 2024. This stability suggests a consistent cost basis for financing the company’s investments despite wider market or risk fluctuations.
Invested Capital
The invested capital demonstrated a steady upward trajectory each year, growing from $130,513 million in 2020 to $198,557 million in 2024. This indicates ongoing investments in the company's assets and business operations, reflecting an aggressive growth or expansion strategy.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, which accounts for the cost of capital, showed positive values from 2020 through 2023, increasing from $5,233 million to $8,224 million. This rise reflects enhanced value creation and profitability beyond the company’s cost of capital during these years. Nevertheless, in 2024, economic profit turned negative at -$761 million, signaling that returns in this year were insufficient to cover the cost of capital. This negative economic profit highlights a potential value destruction or inefficiency in capital utilization in the latest period.

Overall, the initial four years depict expanding profitability, effective capital investment, and value creation. The final year, however, reveals a significant reversal, with decreased net operating profit and a negative economic profit despite substantial invested capital, suggesting a challenging operational environment or less effective use of capital resources.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

UnitedHealth Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in receivables allowances2
Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in receivables allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned revenues.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders.


Net Earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders
The net earnings showed a generally upward trend from 2020 to 2023, increasing from 15,403 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 22,381 million US dollars in 2023. However, in 2024, there was a notable decline to 14,405 million US dollars, indicating a significant reduction compared to the previous year and even below the 2021 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also exhibited growth over the first four years, rising from 18,059 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 26,672 million US dollars in 2023. Similar to net earnings, 2024 saw a decrease in NOPAT to 18,940 million US dollars, which is considerably lower than the 2023 figure but still above the 2020 and 2021 levels.
Overall Analysis
Both net earnings and NOPAT demonstrated strong performance growth from 2020 through 2023, suggesting operational improvements and profitability enhancements during this period. The sharp decline in both metrics in 2024 indicates a reversal of these positive trends, potentially due to adverse business conditions, increased costs, or other factors affecting profitability. Despite the decline, the 2024 NOPAT remains above earlier years, implying some retained operational efficiency compared to the start of the observed period.

Cash Operating Taxes

UnitedHealth Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the tax-related financial data over the five-year period reveals several noteworthy trends.

Provision for income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited some fluctuations during the observed period. An initial decrease occurred from 4,973 million USD in 2020 to 4,578 million USD in 2021. This was followed by an increase to 5,704 million USD in 2022 and a further rise to 5,968 million USD in 2023. However, the provision dropped significantly to 4,829 million USD in 2024. Overall, the provision peaked in 2023 before declining in the last reported year.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes mirrored a somewhat similar overall pattern but with more pronounced changes. After decreasing from 5,358 million USD in 2020 to 4,823 million USD in 2021, there was a substantial rise to 6,851 million USD in 2022 and a slight increase to 6,936 million USD in 2023. The amount then declined to 5,994 million USD in 2024. This suggests that cash operating taxes experienced greater volatility compared to the provision for income taxes, with notable escalations in 2022 and 2023 before easing in 2024.

In summary, both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes showed a general pattern of decline in the initial year, followed by significant increases in the middle years of the period, peaking around 2023, and subsequently decreasing in 2024. The larger magnitude of changes in cash operating taxes compared to provision for income taxes may warrant further investigation to understand the underlying causes.


Invested Capital

UnitedHealth Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, less current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Receivables allowances3
Unearned revenues4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Redeemable noncontrolling interests
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests
Adjusted shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of unearned revenues.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at $47,914 million in 2020, it increases gradually each year, reaching $81,793 million by 2024. The most significant growth appears between 2023 and 2024, where the increase surpasses previous annual increments, indicating a potentially higher reliance on debt financing or capital lease arrangements in the most recent year.
Shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Shareholders’ equity shows a steady increase from $65,491 million in 2020 to $92,658 million in 2024. The equity base grows consistently each year without any declines, reflecting accumulation of retained earnings or issuance of additional equity capital. The growth rate appears relatively stable, with a slightly accelerated increase from 2022 onwards, suggesting strengthening financial foundation.
Invested capital
Invested capital also demonstrates a continual rise, moving from $130,513 million in 2020 to $198,557 million in 2024. This indicator grows substantially over the period, with the largest yearly increments occurring between 2021 and 2022, and then especially from 2023 to 2024. The rising invested capital corresponds with the increases in both debt and equity, indicating expanded capital deployment or asset base growth.

Cost of Capital

UnitedHealth Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited variability over the years. From 2020 to 2021, it decreased from 5,233 million USD to 4,727 million USD, indicating a reduction in excess returns over the cost of capital. In 2022, economic profit recovered to 5,832 million USD and further increased significantly in 2023 to 8,224 million USD. However, in 2024, there was a notable decline, with economic profit turning negative to -761 million USD, suggesting the company failed to cover its cost of capital that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 130,513 million USD in 2020, it increased steadily each year, reaching 198,557 million USD by 2024. This steady growth reflects ongoing investment in assets, which may support expansion or operational scale.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, representing the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, trended downward initially, dropping from 4.01% in 2020 to 3.38% in 2021. It slightly rebounded to 3.53% in 2022 and significantly improved to 4.5% in 2023, indicating enhanced efficiency in generating returns above costs. Nevertheless, this ratio sharply declined in 2024 to -0.38%, aligning with the negative economic profit and indicating that returns fell below the cost of capital in that year.

Economic Profit Margin

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues, customers
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues
Adjusted revenues, customers
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues, customers
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenue Trends
There is a consistent and significant upward trend in adjusted revenues from customers over the five-year period. The revenues increased each year, starting at approximately $255.9 billion in 2020 and reaching nearly $395.0 billion by 2024, indicating robust growth in the company’s top line.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit experienced fluctuations across the years. After a decline from $5.2 billion in 2020 to $4.7 billion in 2021, economic profit rose to $5.8 billion in 2022 and further increased to $8.2 billion in 2023, demonstrating improved profitability during that period. However, a marked reversal occurred in 2024, with economic profit plunging to a negative $0.8 billion, indicating a significant loss in economic profitability for that year.
Economic Profit Margin Trends
The economic profit margin generally mirrored the economic profit trend. It dropped from 2.05% in 2020 to 1.66% in 2021, followed by a recovery to 1.81% in 2022 and a further increase to 2.24% in 2023. The margin then sharply declined to -0.19% in 2024, signifying that the company failed to generate economic profit relative to its revenues in that year.
Insights
The consistent growth in revenues suggests successful expansion or increased market share. Despite this, the volatility in economic profit and margin, especially the sharp downturn in 2024, may indicate rising costs, increased competition, or other operational challenges that eroded value creation during that period. The negative economic profit in the final year highlights a need for careful review of cost management, pricing strategies, or other factors impacting profitability.