Stock Analysis on Net

UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:UNH)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2023, rising from $18,059 million in 2020 to a peak of $26,672 million in 2023. However, there was a notable decline in 2024, where NOPAT decreased significantly to $18,940 million. This drop likely indicates challenges faced in the most recent year after consistent growth in prior periods.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable over the five-year period. It increased slightly from 9.85% in 2020 to a peak of 10.17% in 2022 before gradually declining to 9.94% in 2024. The marginal fluctuation suggests limited changes in the company’s financing costs or overall risk profile during these years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed consistent growth over the full period, increasing from $130,513 million in 2020 to $198,557 million by the end of 2024. This steady increase reflects ongoing investments in the business, potentially indicating expansion or acquisition activities, which may have implications for future profitability and risk.
Economic Profit
Economic profit followed a generally positive trajectory from 2020 through 2023, peaking at $8,185 million in 2023, reflecting value creation above the company's cost of capital. However, in 2024, economic profit turned negative, amounting to -$802 million, signaling that the company failed to cover its cost of capital that year. This significant reversal points to a decrease in operational efficiency or increased capital charges that were not offset by earnings.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

UnitedHealth Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in receivables allowances2
Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in receivables allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned revenues.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders.


Net Earnings attributable to UnitedHealth Group common shareholders
The net earnings showed a generally upward trend from 2020 to 2023, increasing from 15,403 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 22,381 million US dollars in 2023. However, in 2024, there was a notable decline to 14,405 million US dollars, indicating a significant reduction compared to the previous year and even below the 2021 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also exhibited growth over the first four years, rising from 18,059 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 26,672 million US dollars in 2023. Similar to net earnings, 2024 saw a decrease in NOPAT to 18,940 million US dollars, which is considerably lower than the 2023 figure but still above the 2020 and 2021 levels.
Overall Analysis
Both net earnings and NOPAT demonstrated strong performance growth from 2020 through 2023, suggesting operational improvements and profitability enhancements during this period. The sharp decline in both metrics in 2024 indicates a reversal of these positive trends, potentially due to adverse business conditions, increased costs, or other factors affecting profitability. Despite the decline, the 2024 NOPAT remains above earlier years, implying some retained operational efficiency compared to the start of the observed period.

Cash Operating Taxes

UnitedHealth Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the tax-related financial data over the five-year period reveals several noteworthy trends.

Provision for income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited some fluctuations during the observed period. An initial decrease occurred from 4,973 million USD in 2020 to 4,578 million USD in 2021. This was followed by an increase to 5,704 million USD in 2022 and a further rise to 5,968 million USD in 2023. However, the provision dropped significantly to 4,829 million USD in 2024. Overall, the provision peaked in 2023 before declining in the last reported year.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes mirrored a somewhat similar overall pattern but with more pronounced changes. After decreasing from 5,358 million USD in 2020 to 4,823 million USD in 2021, there was a substantial rise to 6,851 million USD in 2022 and a slight increase to 6,936 million USD in 2023. The amount then declined to 5,994 million USD in 2024. This suggests that cash operating taxes experienced greater volatility compared to the provision for income taxes, with notable escalations in 2022 and 2023 before easing in 2024.

In summary, both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes showed a general pattern of decline in the initial year, followed by significant increases in the middle years of the period, peaking around 2023, and subsequently decreasing in 2024. The larger magnitude of changes in cash operating taxes compared to provision for income taxes may warrant further investigation to understand the underlying causes.


Invested Capital

UnitedHealth Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, less current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Receivables allowances3
Unearned revenues4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Redeemable noncontrolling interests
Nonredeemable noncontrolling interests
Adjusted shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of unearned revenues.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at $47,914 million in 2020, it increases gradually each year, reaching $81,793 million by 2024. The most significant growth appears between 2023 and 2024, where the increase surpasses previous annual increments, indicating a potentially higher reliance on debt financing or capital lease arrangements in the most recent year.
Shareholders’ equity attributable to UnitedHealth Group
Shareholders’ equity shows a steady increase from $65,491 million in 2020 to $92,658 million in 2024. The equity base grows consistently each year without any declines, reflecting accumulation of retained earnings or issuance of additional equity capital. The growth rate appears relatively stable, with a slightly accelerated increase from 2022 onwards, suggesting strengthening financial foundation.
Invested capital
Invested capital also demonstrates a continual rise, moving from $130,513 million in 2020 to $198,557 million in 2024. This indicator grows substantially over the period, with the largest yearly increments occurring between 2021 and 2022, and then especially from 2023 to 2024. The rising invested capital corresponds with the increases in both debt and equity, indicating expanded capital deployment or asset base growth.

Cost of Capital

UnitedHealth Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, long-term debt and other financing obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit showed a fluctuating trend over the analyzed period. It declined from 5206 million USD in 2020 to 4697 million USD in 2021, followed by an increase to 5796 million USD in 2022 and further growth to 8185 million USD in 2023. However, a sharp reversal occurred in 2024, with economic profit falling to a negative value of -802 million USD.
Invested Capital
The invested capital consistently increased year over year, rising from 130,513 million USD in 2020 to 198,557 million USD in 2024. This growth reflects ongoing capital investment or accumulation during the period, showing a steady expansion in the asset base or capital employed by the company.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio experienced variation throughout the timeframe. Starting at 3.99% in 2020, it decreased to 3.36% in 2021, slightly improved to 3.51% in 2022, and then rose significantly to 4.48% in 2023. In 2024, the ratio dropped sharply to -0.4%, indicating that the return on invested capital fell below its cost, consistent with the negative economic profit recorded that year.
Overall Insights
The data suggests that while invested capital steadily grew each year, the company's efficiency in generating economic profit was volatile. Positive trends in economic profit and spread ratio up to 2023 indicate improving profitability and capital utilization. However, the sudden decline in 2024's economic profit and economic spread ratio signals potential challenges or increased costs that eroded profitability despite continued capital growth.

Economic Profit Margin

UnitedHealth Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues, customers
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned revenues
Adjusted revenues, customers
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues, customers
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit

The economic profit experienced fluctuations over the observed period. It decreased from 5206 million US dollars in 2020 to 4697 million in 2021, indicating a temporary decline. This was followed by a recovery and growth to 5796 million in 2022 and a notable increase to 8185 million in 2023. However, in 2024, economic profit sharply declined into negative territory at -802 million US dollars, signaling a significant downturn in profitability during the latest period.

Adjusted Revenues, Customers

The adjusted revenues for customers showed a consistent and strong upward trend throughout the five-year span. Starting at 255,859 million US dollars in 2020, revenues steadily increased each year to reach 395,038 million in 2024. This reflects sustained revenue growth and expansion in customer-related income during the period under review.

Economic Profit Margin

The economic profit margin demonstrated variability across the years. It declined from 2.03% in 2020 to 1.65% in 2021, indicating a compression in margin. A modest recovery occurred in 2022, increasing the margin to 1.8%, followed by a further rise to 2.23% in 2023. Nonetheless, the margin experienced a steep reversal in 2024, dropping to -0.2%, which corresponds with the negative economic profit reported for the same year. This suggests challenges in maintaining profitability relative to revenues in the most recent period.