Stock Analysis on Net

Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:NOC)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 27, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Northrop Grumman Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. A decline is observed from 3933 million in 2018 to 2243 million in 2019. This was followed by a notable recovery in 2020, with a rise to 3992 million. The peak occurred in 2021, reaching 8020 million, which was almost double the previous year’s figure. However, in 2022, NOPAT decreased to 4975 million, indicating a reduction but still remaining above the 2018 to 2020 levels.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed a generally increasing trend across the years. Starting at 8.63% in 2018, it slightly increased to 9.01% in 2019 before declining to 8.43% in 2020. Thereafter, it rose again to 8.92% in 2021 and continued upward to reach 9.31% in 2022, indicating an overall upward pressure on the company’s cost of capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated an upward trajectory over the period. From 24076 million in 2018, it decreased slightly to 23507 million in 2019 but increased steadily thereafter, reaching 26642 million in 2020, 27632 million in 2021, and 30111 million in 2022. This suggests an ongoing expansion in the company’s capital base.
Economic Profit
Economic profit experienced volatility through the years. Starting at 1854 million in 2018, it sharply declined to 125 million in 2019. A strong recovery followed in 2020 with economic profit rising to 1745 million, and then it peaked at 5554 million in 2021, reflecting significant value creation during that year. In 2022, economic profit dropped to 2172 million, showing a reduction but maintaining a positive contribution compared to earlier years.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Northrop Grumman Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.


The financial data reveals variations in net earnings and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) for the analyzed periods from 2018 to 2022.

Net earnings
Net earnings exhibited a fluctuation pattern over the five years. There was a marked decline from 3,229 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,248 million in 2019. This was followed by a recovery to 3,189 million in 2020. A significant increase occurred in 2021, reaching 7,005 million US dollars, before decreasing again to 4,896 million in 2022. Overall, there is a noticeable peak in 2021 that suggests an exceptional event or operational performance during that year.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT mirrored a similar trend as net earnings. It decreased from 3,933 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,243 million in 2019. Subsequently, NOPAT increased to 3,992 million in 2020 and experienced a sharp rise in 2021 to 8,020 million. In 2022, NOPAT declined to 4,975 million. The increase in 2021 is even more pronounced in NOPAT compared to net earnings, indicating that operating efficiency or profitability improved significantly during that year before reverting closer to previous levels in 2022.
Trend analysis
The decrease observed in both metrics from 2018 to 2019 suggests challenges faced during that period. Recovery in 2020 indicates improved financial performance. The exceptional increases in 2021 could be attributed to unique operational factors or market conditions supporting enhanced profitability. The reductions in 2022 imply a normalization following the peak year, though values remain higher than the lows experienced in 2019.

Cash Operating Taxes

Northrop Grumman Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Federal and foreign income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


The data reveals notable fluctuations in the federal and foreign income tax expense and cash operating taxes over the five-year period ending December 31, 2022.

Federal and Foreign Income Tax Expense
The tax expense exhibits a variable trend. Initially, it decreases from 513 million in 2018 to 300 million in 2019. Subsequently, it rises to 539 million in 2020, followed by a significant surge to 1,933 million in 2021. The figure then declines to 940 million in 2022, indicating substantial volatility in the reported tax expense.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrate a generally increasing pattern with some fluctuation. Starting at 431 million in 2018, the amount nearly doubles to 891 million in 2019 but then decreases to 385 million in 2020. This is followed by a sharp rise to 1,533 million in 2021, after which the value slightly decreases to 1,413 million in 2022. Over the period, cash operating taxes have exhibited an upward momentum, particularly notable in the last two years.

In summary, both tax-related financial metrics display significant changes, with peak values reached in 2021. The federal and foreign income tax expense shows higher volatility compared to cash operating taxes. The patterns suggest a period of increasing tax liabilities culminating in 2021, followed by a partial reversion in 2022, which may reflect changes in taxable income, tax regulations, or company-specific tax strategies during these years.


Invested Capital

Northrop Grumman Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net of current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Marketable securities6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data demonstrates distinct trends over the five-year period from December 31, 2018, through December 31, 2022, across total reported debt and leases, shareholders’ equity, and invested capital.

Total Reported Debt & Leases

This metric experienced minor fluctuations during the period, beginning at $16,124 million in 2018 and decreasing to $15,448 million in 2019. It then rose to a peak of $16,609 million in 2020 before declining to $14,657 million in 2021. In 2022, it increased slightly to $15,000 million. Overall, the total reported debt and leases have remained relatively stable, with variations within a limited range, indicating controlled management of financial obligations.

Shareholders’ Equity

Shareholders’ equity showed a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at $8,187 million in 2018, it increased steadily each year to reach $15,312 million by the end of 2022. This represents an overall growth of approximately 87% over the five-year span, suggesting a strengthening equity base and possibly enhanced retained earnings or capital infusions, contributing to financial stability and increased net asset value.

Invested Capital

Invested capital exhibited a general upward trajectory. From $24,076 million in 2018, it declined slightly in 2019 to $23,507 million but then rose significantly to $26,642 million in 2020. Subsequent years continued this increase, reaching $27,632 million in 2021 and $30,111 million in 2022. This upward movement indicates ongoing investment in the company's operations, assets, or growth initiatives, reflecting expansion or reinvestment strategies.

In summary, the company maintained stable levels of debt across the reviewed years while consistently increasing shareholders’ equity and invested capital. The growth in equity and invested capital, coupled with controlled debt levels, suggests strengthening financial health and a possible focus on sustainable growth and value creation for shareholders.


Cost of Capital

Northrop Grumman Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Northrop Grumman Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates significant fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at 1,854 million USD in 2018, it dropped markedly to 125 million USD in 2019. The following year, 2020, saw a strong recovery to 1,745 million USD. This upward trend peaked in 2021 with 5,554 million USD, before declining again to 2,172 million USD in 2022. These variations indicate periods of both substantial value creation and challenges impacting profitability.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a consistent upward trajectory throughout the period. It increased from 24,076 million USD in 2018 to 30,111 million USD in 2022. This steady growth reflects ongoing capital deployment or asset acquisition, indicating expansion or reinvestment activities within the company’s operational framework.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio followed a pattern similar to economic profit, with notable volatility. Initially 7.7% in 2018, it sharply declined to 0.53% in 2019. It then recovered to 6.55% in 2020, surged to a peak of 20.1% in 2021, and subsequently decreased to 7.21% in 2022. This ratio's fluctuations confirm the variability in the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital, with 2021 representing a particularly strong year.
Summary Insights
Overall, the data reveals a pattern of instability in economic profitability and returns, contrasted by a steady increase in invested capital. The sharp recovery and peak observed in 2021 across economic profit and spread ratio metrics suggest a year of exceptional performance. However, the declines in 2019 and again in 2022 indicate external or internal factors impacting sustained profitability. The continuous rise in invested capital may imply ongoing investments or growth initiatives that have yet to consistently translate into stable economic profit growth.

Economic Profit Margin

Northrop Grumman Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit experienced significant fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at $1,854 million in 2018, there was a sharp decline to $125 million in 2019, followed by a substantial recovery to $1,745 million in 2020. The peak occurred in 2021 with $5,554 million, representing a strong performance, before declining to $2,172 million in 2022. This indicates volatility with a notable spike in 2021, suggesting possible one-time events or operational changes contributing to elevated profitability that year.
Sales
Sales demonstrated a generally upward trajectory from 2018 to 2022, increasing from $30,095 million to $36,602 million. Despite a slight dip in 2021 to $35,667 million from the previous year’s $36,799 million, the overall trend is positive, indicating steady growth in revenue generation over the period under review.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin closely mirrors the pattern seen in economic profit, with a sharp decrease from 6.16% in 2018 to 0.37% in 2019. It then improved to 4.74% in 2020 and peaked decisively at 15.57% in 2021, before falling back to 5.94% in 2022. This fluctuation reflects significant changes in the company's ability to convert sales into economic profit, with 2021 standing out as an exceptional year in terms of profitability efficiency.