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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Northrop Grumman Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Cash Flow Statement
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial performance between 2018 and 2022 is characterized by significant volatility in operating profitability and a steady expansion of the capital base, leading to fluctuating levels of economic value creation.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT exhibited substantial variance over the analyzed period. After a decline from 3,933 million USD in 2018 to 2,243 million USD in 2019, a strong recovery occurred, culminating in a peak of 8,020 million USD in 2021. This peak was followed by a correction in 2022, with NOPAT settling at 4,975 million USD.
- Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a consistent growth trend following a slight dip in 2019. From a low of 23,507 million USD in 2019, the capital base expanded annually to reach 30,111 million USD by 2022. Concurrently, the cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 9.52% and 10.57%, with a gradual upward trend observed in the final two years of the period.
- Economic Profit Analysis
- Economic profit tracked the volatility of NOPAT closely. A period of value destruction was observed in 2019, where economic profit fell to -161 million USD, indicating that operating returns were insufficient to cover the cost of invested capital. Value creation returned in 2020 and accelerated sharply in 2021, reaching a high of 5,227 million USD. By 2022, economic profit moderated to 1,791 million USD, reflecting the combined impact of lower NOPAT and a larger capital base increasing the total capital charge.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
The financial data reveals variations in net earnings and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) for the analyzed periods from 2018 to 2022.
- Net earnings
- Net earnings exhibited a fluctuation pattern over the five years. There was a marked decline from 3,229 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,248 million in 2019. This was followed by a recovery to 3,189 million in 2020. A significant increase occurred in 2021, reaching 7,005 million US dollars, before decreasing again to 4,896 million in 2022. Overall, there is a noticeable peak in 2021 that suggests an exceptional event or operational performance during that year.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT mirrored a similar trend as net earnings. It decreased from 3,933 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,243 million in 2019. Subsequently, NOPAT increased to 3,992 million in 2020 and experienced a sharp rise in 2021 to 8,020 million. In 2022, NOPAT declined to 4,975 million. The increase in 2021 is even more pronounced in NOPAT compared to net earnings, indicating that operating efficiency or profitability improved significantly during that year before reverting closer to previous levels in 2022.
- Trend analysis
- The decrease observed in both metrics from 2018 to 2019 suggests challenges faced during that period. Recovery in 2020 indicates improved financial performance. The exceptional increases in 2021 could be attributed to unique operational factors or market conditions supporting enhanced profitability. The reductions in 2022 imply a normalization following the peak year, though values remain higher than the lows experienced in 2019.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
The data reveals notable fluctuations in the federal and foreign income tax expense and cash operating taxes over the five-year period ending December 31, 2022.
- Federal and Foreign Income Tax Expense
- The tax expense exhibits a variable trend. Initially, it decreases from 513 million in 2018 to 300 million in 2019. Subsequently, it rises to 539 million in 2020, followed by a significant surge to 1,933 million in 2021. The figure then declines to 940 million in 2022, indicating substantial volatility in the reported tax expense.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes demonstrate a generally increasing pattern with some fluctuation. Starting at 431 million in 2018, the amount nearly doubles to 891 million in 2019 but then decreases to 385 million in 2020. This is followed by a sharp rise to 1,533 million in 2021, after which the value slightly decreases to 1,413 million in 2022. Over the period, cash operating taxes have exhibited an upward momentum, particularly notable in the last two years.
In summary, both tax-related financial metrics display significant changes, with peak values reached in 2021. The federal and foreign income tax expense shows higher volatility compared to cash operating taxes. The patterns suggest a period of increasing tax liabilities culminating in 2021, followed by a partial reversion in 2022, which may reflect changes in taxable income, tax regulations, or company-specific tax strategies during these years.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of marketable securities.
The financial data demonstrates distinct trends over the five-year period from December 31, 2018, through December 31, 2022, across total reported debt and leases, shareholders’ equity, and invested capital.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
-
This metric experienced minor fluctuations during the period, beginning at $16,124 million in 2018 and decreasing to $15,448 million in 2019. It then rose to a peak of $16,609 million in 2020 before declining to $14,657 million in 2021. In 2022, it increased slightly to $15,000 million. Overall, the total reported debt and leases have remained relatively stable, with variations within a limited range, indicating controlled management of financial obligations.
- Shareholders’ Equity
-
Shareholders’ equity showed a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at $8,187 million in 2018, it increased steadily each year to reach $15,312 million by the end of 2022. This represents an overall growth of approximately 87% over the five-year span, suggesting a strengthening equity base and possibly enhanced retained earnings or capital infusions, contributing to financial stability and increased net asset value.
- Invested Capital
-
Invested capital exhibited a general upward trajectory. From $24,076 million in 2018, it declined slightly in 2019 to $23,507 million but then rose significantly to $26,642 million in 2020. Subsequent years continued this increase, reaching $27,632 million in 2021 and $30,111 million in 2022. This upward movement indicates ongoing investment in the company's operations, assets, or growth initiatives, reflecting expansion or reinvestment strategies.
In summary, the company maintained stable levels of debt across the reviewed years while consistently increasing shareholders’ equity and invested capital. The growth in equity and invested capital, coupled with controlled debt levels, suggests strengthening financial health and a possible focus on sustainable growth and value creation for shareholders.
Cost of Capital
Northrop Grumman Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from 2018 to 2022 reflects significant volatility in value creation, characterized by a substantial peak in 2021 followed by a normalization of returns in 2022.
- Economic Profit Performance
- Economic profit exhibited a fluctuating trajectory, starting at 1,580 million US dollars in 2018 before falling to a negative 161 million US dollars in 2019. A recovery followed in 2020, leading to a peak of 5,227 million US dollars in 2021, the highest value observed in the five-year period. By 2022, this figure declined to 1,791 million US dollars, returning to levels comparable to the 2018 baseline.
- Invested Capital Growth
- Invested capital showed a consistent upward trend over the long term. After a marginal decrease to 23,507 million US dollars in 2019, capital investment grew steadily, reaching 30,111 million US dollars by December 31, 2022. This indicates a steady expansion of the capital base utilized to generate economic value.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio mirrored the volatility of economic profit. The ratio dropped from 6.56% in 2018 to -0.68% in 2019, indicating a period where the return on capital failed to exceed the cost of capital. A significant surge occurred in 2021, with the ratio reaching 18.92%, suggesting a period of exceptional efficiency and value creation. In 2022, the ratio contracted to 5.95%, aligning closely with the performance observed in 2018 and 2020.
Overall, the analysis indicates that while the capital base has expanded, the ability to generate an economic spread has been inconsistent, with a singular period of high efficiency in 2021 contrasting against a period of value destruction in 2019.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Sales | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic profit and its corresponding margin reveals a period of significant volatility despite a general upward trend in total sales. While revenue grew from US$ 30,095 million in 2018 to US$ 36,602 million by 2022, the economic profit did not follow a linear growth path, indicating fluctuations in the ability to generate value above the cost of capital.
- Sales Trajectory
- Revenue exhibited a consistent growth trend between 2018 and 2020, increasing from US$ 30,095 million to US$ 36,799 million. A marginal decrease occurred in 2021 to US$ 35,667 million, followed by a recovery to US$ 36,602 million in 2022. This suggests a stable top-line performance with an overall expansion in scale over the five-year period.
- Economic Profit Variability
- Economic profit experienced substantial swings, moving from US$ 1,580 million in 2018 to a deficit of US$ 161 million in 2019. A recovery followed in 2020 with US$ 1,455 million, culminating in a significant peak of US$ 5,227 million in 2021. By 2022, this figure contracted to US$ 1,791 million, returning to levels more aligned with the 2018 and 2020 performance.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute profit figures. After starting at 5.25% in 2018, the margin shifted to -0.47% in 2019, indicating a period where the company did not exceed its cost of capital. The margin recovered to 3.95% in 2020 before surging to a peak of 14.65% in 2021. The 2022 margin of 4.89% represents a normalization of value creation, settling near the average of the 2018 and 2020 levels.