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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Northrop Grumman Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Net Profit Margin since 2005
- Operating Profit Margin since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data reveals several noteworthy trends in the company’s performance over the period from 2018 to 2022.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT exhibited fluctuations throughout the period. It notably decreased from 3,933 million USD in 2018 to 2,243 million USD in 2019, indicating a reduction in operating profitability. However, it rebounded significantly in 2020 to 3,992 million USD and surged to a peak of 8,020 million USD in 2021. In 2022, NOPAT decreased to 4,975 million USD, yet it remained above the levels observed at the beginning of the period.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital showed a gradual upward trend, rising from 8.64% in 2018 to 9.31% in 2022. This indicates increasing expense or risk associated with funding invested capital, which could exert pressure on profit sustainability unless returns on capital increase commensurately.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital maintained a generally increasing trajectory, starting at 24,076 million USD in 2018 and growing steadily to 30,111 million USD in 2022. This reflects ongoing investments in the company’s asset base or operations, with the largest annual increase observed between 2021 and 2022.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit, which accounts for the cost of capital, followed a pattern similar to NOPAT but with sharper fluctuations. It dropped precipitously from 1,853 million USD in 2018 to 124 million USD in 2019, signaling that returns barely covered the capital costs that year. Subsequently, economic profit improved markedly to 1,745 million USD in 2020 and reached a peak of 5,554 million USD in 2021, demonstrating strong value creation. However, the figure declined to 2,171 million USD in 2022, indicating a reduction in value generation relative to the prior year despite remaining positive.
Overall, the company experienced significant volatility in operating profitability and economic profit over this five-year span, with a notable recovery and performance peak in 2021 before a partial decline in 2022. The consistent increase in invested capital paired with a rising cost of capital suggests a challenging environment for maintaining returns above capital costs, although the company demonstrated the capacity to generate substantial economic profit in certain periods.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
The financial data reveals variations in net earnings and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) for the analyzed periods from 2018 to 2022.
- Net earnings
- Net earnings exhibited a fluctuation pattern over the five years. There was a marked decline from 3,229 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,248 million in 2019. This was followed by a recovery to 3,189 million in 2020. A significant increase occurred in 2021, reaching 7,005 million US dollars, before decreasing again to 4,896 million in 2022. Overall, there is a noticeable peak in 2021 that suggests an exceptional event or operational performance during that year.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT mirrored a similar trend as net earnings. It decreased from 3,933 million US dollars in 2018 to 2,243 million in 2019. Subsequently, NOPAT increased to 3,992 million in 2020 and experienced a sharp rise in 2021 to 8,020 million. In 2022, NOPAT declined to 4,975 million. The increase in 2021 is even more pronounced in NOPAT compared to net earnings, indicating that operating efficiency or profitability improved significantly during that year before reverting closer to previous levels in 2022.
- Trend analysis
- The decrease observed in both metrics from 2018 to 2019 suggests challenges faced during that period. Recovery in 2020 indicates improved financial performance. The exceptional increases in 2021 could be attributed to unique operational factors or market conditions supporting enhanced profitability. The reductions in 2022 imply a normalization following the peak year, though values remain higher than the lows experienced in 2019.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
The data reveals notable fluctuations in the federal and foreign income tax expense and cash operating taxes over the five-year period ending December 31, 2022.
- Federal and Foreign Income Tax Expense
- The tax expense exhibits a variable trend. Initially, it decreases from 513 million in 2018 to 300 million in 2019. Subsequently, it rises to 539 million in 2020, followed by a significant surge to 1,933 million in 2021. The figure then declines to 940 million in 2022, indicating substantial volatility in the reported tax expense.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes demonstrate a generally increasing pattern with some fluctuation. Starting at 431 million in 2018, the amount nearly doubles to 891 million in 2019 but then decreases to 385 million in 2020. This is followed by a sharp rise to 1,533 million in 2021, after which the value slightly decreases to 1,413 million in 2022. Over the period, cash operating taxes have exhibited an upward momentum, particularly notable in the last two years.
In summary, both tax-related financial metrics display significant changes, with peak values reached in 2021. The federal and foreign income tax expense shows higher volatility compared to cash operating taxes. The patterns suggest a period of increasing tax liabilities culminating in 2021, followed by a partial reversion in 2022, which may reflect changes in taxable income, tax regulations, or company-specific tax strategies during these years.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of marketable securities.
The financial data demonstrates distinct trends over the five-year period from December 31, 2018, through December 31, 2022, across total reported debt and leases, shareholders’ equity, and invested capital.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
-
This metric experienced minor fluctuations during the period, beginning at $16,124 million in 2018 and decreasing to $15,448 million in 2019. It then rose to a peak of $16,609 million in 2020 before declining to $14,657 million in 2021. In 2022, it increased slightly to $15,000 million. Overall, the total reported debt and leases have remained relatively stable, with variations within a limited range, indicating controlled management of financial obligations.
- Shareholders’ Equity
-
Shareholders’ equity showed a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at $8,187 million in 2018, it increased steadily each year to reach $15,312 million by the end of 2022. This represents an overall growth of approximately 87% over the five-year span, suggesting a strengthening equity base and possibly enhanced retained earnings or capital infusions, contributing to financial stability and increased net asset value.
- Invested Capital
-
Invested capital exhibited a general upward trajectory. From $24,076 million in 2018, it declined slightly in 2019 to $23,507 million but then rose significantly to $26,642 million in 2020. Subsequent years continued this increase, reaching $27,632 million in 2021 and $30,111 million in 2022. This upward movement indicates ongoing investment in the company's operations, assets, or growth initiatives, reflecting expansion or reinvestment strategies.
In summary, the company maintained stable levels of debt across the reviewed years while consistently increasing shareholders’ equity and invested capital. The growth in equity and invested capital, coupled with controlled debt levels, suggests strengthening financial health and a possible focus on sustainable growth and value creation for shareholders.
Cost of Capital
Northrop Grumman Corp., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
Boeing Co. | ||||||
Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
GE Aerospace | ||||||
Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
RTX Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data analysis reveals significant fluctuations in economic profit over the five-year period. Economic profit started at a substantial figure in 2018, declined sharply in 2019, recovered strongly in 2020, peaked notably in 2021, and then decreased again in 2022. This pattern suggests variability in the company's profitability relative to its invested capital, which could be influenced by operational performance, market conditions, or strategic decisions during these years.
Invested capital shows a steady upward trend from 2018 through 2022. This consistent increase indicates ongoing investment and growth in the company's asset base or operational scale. The gradual rise in invested capital suggests an expansion strategy or reinvestment of earnings to support future activities.
The economic spread ratio mirrors the changes seen in economic profit, with a low point in 2019, a recovery in 2020, a significant peak in 2021, and a decline in 2022. The ratio's peak in 2021, reaching above 20%, signals an exceptionally strong return on invested capital during that year. The relatively moderate values in other years highlight variability in efficiency or profitability relative to the company's capital base.
- Economic Profit
- Experienced considerable volatility, with a low in 2019 and a peak in 2021, followed by a decline in 2022.
- Invested Capital
- Displayed continuous growth over the period, reflecting investment and expansion efforts.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- Fluctuated significantly, peaking sharply in 2021, indicating strong returns relative to invested capital that year, but lower efficiency in other years.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Sales | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
Boeing Co. | ||||||
Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
GE Aerospace | ||||||
Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
RTX Corp. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Sales Trends
- Sales demonstrated a generally increasing trend over the period from 2018 to 2022. Starting at 30,095 million US dollars in 2018, sales rose steadily to reach 36,602 million US dollars by the end of 2022. This indicates a growth in revenue generation capacity, although the rate of increase was not uniform each year, with a slight dip observed in 2021 compared to 2020.
- Economic Profit Analysis
- Economic profit exhibited significant variability across the five-year period. In 2018, economic profit was 1,853 million US dollars, but it sharply declined to 124 million US dollars in 2019. The figure rebounded to 1,745 million US dollars in 2020 and surged dramatically in 2021 to 5,554 million US dollars, before decreasing again to 2,171 million US dollars in 2022. This volatility may reflect shifting cost structures, investment returns, or operational efficiencies impacting profitability beyond accounting profit.
- Economic Profit Margin Trends
- The economic profit margin, which measures economic profit as a percentage of sales, mirrored the fluctuations evident in economic profit. It started at 6.16% in 2018, plummeted to 0.37% in 2019, and then recovered to 4.74% in 2020. A pronounced peak was recorded in 2021 at 15.57%, suggesting exceptional operational performance or value creation that year. However, the margin declined to 5.93% in 2022, closer to the levels seen earlier in the period but still above the low point in 2019.
- Insights and Implications
- The data suggests swings in the efficiency and profitability of business operations independent of sales growth. While sales grew consistently overall, economic profit and its margin exhibited pronounced volatility, indicating possible external or internal factors such as market conditions, project outcomes, or cost management affecting profitability. The exceptional peak in 2021 could denote a particularly successful year in terms of value generation, followed by a normalization in 2022. Understanding the drivers behind these fluctuations would be critical for strategic planning and performance management.