Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 29, 2019.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

HP Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,027 3,064 2,997 3,947 4,693 4,258
Cost of capital2 22.57% 21.56% 21.11% 13.39% 20.88% 18.89%
Invested capital3 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461
 
Economic profit4 320 959 1,092 (5,636) (9,041) (8,485)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2018 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,027 – 22.57% × 7,561 = 320


The financial performance over the analyzed six-year period is characterized by a transition from significant economic value destruction to marginal value creation. Although operational profitability declined over time, a drastic reduction in the invested capital base enabled a shift toward positive economic profit starting in 2016.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A downward trend in operational profitability is observed. After reaching a peak of US$ 4,693 million in 2014, NOPAT declined steadily, ending at US$ 2,027 million in 2018. This represents a contraction in the absolute earnings available to cover the cost of capital.
Invested Capital
A substantial structural shift occurred between 2015 and 2016, during which invested capital dropped from US$ 71,569 million to US$ 9,027 million. This sharp contraction suggests a significant divestiture or restructuring of the asset base, which fundamentally altered the company's economic profit calculation by reducing the capital charge.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited volatility, reaching a minimum of 13.39% in 2015 before entering a period of consistent increase, peaking at 22.57% in 2018. The rising cost of capital indicates an increasing hurdle rate for investments, adding pressure to maintain positive economic value.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was deeply negative between 2013 and 2015, with the largest deficit of US$ -9,041 million occurring in 2014. A pivot to positive economic profit was achieved in 2016 at US$ 1,092 million, primarily driven by the reduction in invested capital rather than an increase in NOPAT. However, this positive trend deteriorated in subsequent years, falling to US$ 320 million by 2018 due to the combined effects of diminishing operational profits and a rising cost of capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

HP Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net earnings 5,327 2,526 2,496 4,554 5,013 5,113
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (3,654) 239 403 (701) (33) (410)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 28 (6) 27 (43) (100) (132)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 167 149 (79) 498 (310) (481)
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities4 17 (82) (204) (248) (75) (139)
Increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance5 (49) 50 (5) (309) (3) 90
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6 (3,491) 350 142 (803) (521) (1,072)
Interest expense on borrowings 312 309 273 327 344 426
Interest expense, operating lease liability7 58 46 42 103 102 106
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings 370 355 315 430 446 532
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings8 (86) (124) (110) (151) (156) (186)
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings, after taxes9 284 230 205 280 290 345
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (5) (1) (49)
Interest income (116) (66) (24) (129) (136) (148)
Investment income, before taxes (121) (66) (24) (129) (137) (197)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income10 28 23 8 45 48 69
Investment income, after taxes11 (93) (43) (16) (84) (89) (128)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax12 170
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,027 3,064 2,997 3,947 4,693 4,258

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

7 2018 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,260 × 4.60% = 58

8 2018 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings = Adjusted interest expense on borrowings × Statutory income tax rate
= 370 × 23.30% = 86

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

10 2018 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 121 × 23.30% = 28

11 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

12 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net earnings

Net earnings displayed a downward trend from 2013 through 2016, decreasing from 5,113 million US dollars in 2013 to a low of 2,496 million US dollars in 2016. This was followed by a period of relative stability with a slight increase to 2,526 million US dollars in 2017. In 2018, net earnings sharply rebounded to 5,327 million US dollars, surpassing the 2013 figure.

Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT witnessed a decline during the same initial period, dropping from 4,258 million US dollars in 2013 to 2,997 million US dollars in 2016. There was a modest recovery in 2017, reaching 3,064 million US dollars. However, contrary to net earnings, NOPAT decreased significantly in 2018 to 2,027 million US dollars, marking the lowest value in the observed range.

Overall Analysis

The data reveals diverging trends between net earnings and NOPAT in 2018. While net earnings showed a strong recovery, more than doubling relative to the previous year, NOPAT declined sharply, indicating potential changes in operational efficiency, tax effects, or non-operating income components affecting the profitability metrics differently. The earlier period from 2013 to 2016 demonstrates a consistent decline in both metrics, possibly pointing to operational challenges or adverse market conditions during those years.

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Cash Operating Taxes

HP Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings (2,314) 750 1,095 178 1,544 1,397
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (3,654) 239 403 (701) (33) (410)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on borrowings 86 124 110 151 156 186
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 28 23 8 45 48 69
Cash operating taxes 1,398 612 794 984 1,685 1,924

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).


Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings
The provision for taxes on earnings exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Starting at $1,397 million in 2013, it increased to $1,544 million in 2014, followed by a sharp decline to $178 million in 2015. In 2016, the amount rose again to $1,095 million, then decreased to $750 million in 2017, before turning into a substantial tax benefit of -$2,314 million in 2018. This fluctuation indicates variability in the company's taxable income or changes in tax strategy and tax regulations over the years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show a general downward trend from 2013 to 2017, decreasing from $1,924 million to $612 million. However, there is a notable rebound in 2018 with an increase to $1,398 million. This trend suggests a gradual reduction in actual cash tax payments over the first five years, possibly due to tax planning or changes in profitability, followed by a significant rise in the final year, which could reflect an increase in taxable cash flows or changes in tax payments timing or policies.

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Invested Capital

HP Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Notes payable and short-term borrowings 1,463 1,072 78 2,885 3,486 5,979
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 4,524 6,747 6,758 21,780 16,039 16,608
Operating lease liability1 1,260 1,036 901 2,461 2,681 2,606
Total reported debt & leases 7,247 8,855 7,737 27,126 22,206 25,193
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit) (639) (3,408) (3,889) 27,768 26,731 27,269
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (2,331) 1,068 862 (2,650) (2,086) (2,196)
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 129 101 107 189 232 332
Deferred revenue4 2,100 1,933 1,784 10,572 10,074 10,384
Product warranty liabilities5 915 898 980 1,708 1,956 2,031
Restructuring plans, accrued balance6 59 108 58 805 1,114 1,117
Equity equivalents7 872 4,108 3,791 10,624 11,290 11,668
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8 845 1,418 1,438 6,302 5,881 3,778
Non-controlling interests 383 396 387
Adjusted total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit) 1,078 2,118 1,340 45,077 44,298 43,102
Available-for-sale investments9 (764) (1,210) (50) (634) (717) (834)
Invested capital 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

6 Addition of restructuring plans, accrued balance.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit).

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

9 Subtraction of available-for-sale investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the analyzed period. Starting at 25,193 million US dollars in 2013, the figure decreased to 22,206 million in 2014, followed by an increase to 27,126 million in 2015. Subsequently, there was a sharp decline to 7,737 million in 2016, with minor increases to 8,855 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,247 million in 2018. This indicates a significant reduction in debt levels from 2015 onwards, possibly reflecting a strategic deleveraging or asset restructuring effort.
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Stockholders’ equity showed stability and slight growth from 27,269 million in 2013 to 27,768 million in 2015. However, from 2016 onwards, the equity balance turned negative, indicating a deficit position of -3,889 million in 2016. This deficit slightly improved but remained negative at -3,408 million in 2017 and -639 million in 2018. The transition to negative equity suggests significant losses or charges affecting retained earnings or valuation adjustments during this period.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable and showed a mild upward trend from 67,461 million in 2013 to 71,569 million in 2015. Beginning in 2016, there was a sharp and substantial drop to 9,027 million followed by a slight increase to 9,763 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,561 million in 2018. The dramatic decline post-2015 aligns with reduced debt levels and negative equity, possibly reflecting a divestiture of significant assets or a fundamental change in capital structure.

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Cost of Capital

HP Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 34,627 34,627 ÷ 41,888 = 0.83 0.83 × 26.57% = 21.96%
Short- and long-term debt3 6,000 6,000 ÷ 41,888 = 0.14 0.14 × 4.60% × (1 – 23.30%) = 0.51%
Operating lease liability4 1,260 1,260 ÷ 41,888 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.60% × (1 – 23.30%) = 0.11%
Total: 41,888 1.00 22.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 34,122 34,122 ÷ 43,258 = 0.79 0.79 × 26.57% = 20.96%
Short- and long-term debt3 8,100 8,100 ÷ 43,258 = 0.19 0.19 × 4.40% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.54%
Operating lease liability4 1,036 1,036 ÷ 43,258 = 0.02 0.02 × 4.40% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 43,258 1.00 21.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 26,452 26,452 ÷ 34,452 = 0.77 0.77 × 26.57% = 20.40%
Short- and long-term debt3 7,100 7,100 ÷ 34,452 = 0.21 0.21 × 4.69% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.63%
Operating lease liability4 901 901 ÷ 34,452 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.69% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.08%
Total: 34,452 1.00 21.11%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 21,968 21,968 ÷ 49,129 = 0.45 0.45 × 26.57% = 11.88%
Short- and long-term debt3 24,700 24,700 ÷ 49,129 = 0.50 0.50 × 4.20% × (1 – 35.00%) = 1.37%
Operating lease liability4 2,461 2,461 ÷ 49,129 = 0.05 0.05 × 4.20% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.14%
Total: 49,129 1.00 13.39%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 73,033 73,033 ÷ 95,614 = 0.76 0.76 × 26.57% = 20.29%
Short- and long-term debt3 19,900 19,900 ÷ 95,614 = 0.21 0.21 × 3.79% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.51%
Operating lease liability4 2,681 2,681 ÷ 95,614 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.79% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 95,614 1.00 20.88%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 53,579 53,579 ÷ 78,885 = 0.68 0.68 × 26.57% = 18.05%
Short- and long-term debt3 22,700 22,700 ÷ 78,885 = 0.29 0.29 × 4.05% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.76%
Operating lease liability4 2,606 2,606 ÷ 78,885 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.05% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.09%
Total: 78,885 1.00 18.89%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

HP Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 320 959 1,092 (5,636) (9,041) (8,485)
Invested capital2 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 4.23% 9.82% 12.10% -7.87% -13.74% -12.58%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2018 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 320 ÷ 7,561 = 4.23%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data indicates a significant transition in value creation from 2013 to 2018, characterized by an initial period of value destruction followed by a recovery and a subsequent gradual decline in efficiency.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited a volatile trajectory, beginning with substantial negative values of -8,485 million USD in 2013 and peaking at a loss of -9,041 million USD in 2014. A recovery phase began in 2015, culminating in a pivot to positive economic profit in 2016, which reached 1,092 million USD. However, this positive momentum decelerated in the following years, with profit declining to 959 million USD in 2017 and further dropping to 320 million USD by 2018.
Invested Capital Dynamics
A stark contraction in invested capital is observed between 2015 and 2016. Capital levels remained relatively stable between 65,787 million USD and 71,569 million USD from 2013 to 2015, before plummeting to 9,027 million USD in 2016. This drastic reduction in the capital base persisted through 2018, where invested capital reached a period low of 7,561 million USD.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio mirrors the volatility of economic profit but highlights the impact of the capital base reduction. The ratio reached its lowest point in 2014 at -13.74%, indicating significant value destruction. The shift to a positive spread of 12.10% in 2016 suggests a successful realignment of returns relative to the cost of capital, heavily influenced by the reduced invested capital. Following this peak, the ratio entered a consistent downward trend, falling to 9.82% in 2017 and ending at 4.23% in 2018, signaling a diminishing margin of economic value creation.

Overall, the analysis reveals a corporate turnaround in 2016 that shifted the organization from negative to positive economic spread. However, the downward trajectory of both economic profit and the spread ratio from 2016 to 2018 suggests a reduction in the effectiveness of capital utilization in the latter part of the period.

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Economic Profit Margin

HP Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 320 959 1,092 (5,636) (9,041) (8,485)
 
Net revenue 58,472 52,056 48,238 103,355 111,454 112,298
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 167 149 (79) 498 (310) (481)
Adjusted net revenue 58,639 52,205 48,159 103,853 111,144 111,817
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 0.55% 1.84% 2.27% -5.43% -8.13% -7.59%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2018 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenue
= 100 × 320 ÷ 58,639 = 0.55%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value added reveals a significant structural transition between 2013 and 2018, characterized by a shift from consistent value destruction to the generation of positive economic profit.

Economic Profit Trends
From 2013 to 2015, economic profit remained negative, reaching a trough of -9,041 million US dollars in 2014. A pivotal recovery occurred in 2016, when the figure transitioned to a positive 1,092 million US dollars. However, this positive trajectory decelerated in subsequent years, with economic profit declining to 959 million US dollars in 2017 and further decreasing to 320 million US dollars by 2018.
Adjusted Net Revenue Analysis
Adjusted net revenue remained relatively stable between 2013 and 2015, consistently exceeding 100,000 million US dollars. A sharp contraction was observed in 2016, where revenue fell to 48,159 million US dollars, indicating a major structural change or reorganization. Following this period, a gradual recovery in revenue occurred, climbing to 58,639 million US dollars by 2018.
Economic Profit Margin Dynamics
The economic profit margin mirrored the trend of absolute economic profit. The margin reached its lowest point of -8.13% in 2014 before improving to -5.43% in 2015. Following the transition to positive economic profit in 2016, the margin peaked at 2.27%. A subsequent downward trend was observed, with the margin contracting to 1.84% in 2017 and reaching 0.55% in 2018.

In summary, although the entity successfully reversed the trend of negative economic profit by 2016, the subsequent decline in both absolute economic profit and the profit margin indicates a diminishing capacity to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital toward the end of the analyzed period.

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