Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 29, 2019.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

HP Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,027 3,064 2,997 3,947 4,693 4,258
Cost of capital2 22.63% 21.62% 21.16% 13.42% 20.93% 18.94%
Invested capital3 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461
 
Economic profit4 316 953 1,087 (5,659) (9,077) (8,518)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2018 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,02722.63% × 7,561 = 316


The analysis of economic value added reveals a significant strategic transition between 2013 and 2018. The company shifted from a period of substantial value destruction, characterized by negative economic profit, to a state of value creation starting in 2016. This turnaround was achieved not through an increase in operating profits, but through a drastic reduction in the capital base.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A consistent downward trajectory is observed in NOPAT over the analyzed period. From a peak of 4,693 million US$ in 2014, NOPAT declined to 2,027 million US$ by 2018. This represents a reduction of approximately 56.8% from the 2014 high, indicating a contraction in the company's ability to generate operating earnings after taxes.
Invested Capital
The most profound change occurred in the invested capital, which remained relatively stable between 65,787 million US$ and 71,569 million US$ from 2013 to 2015. A sharp contraction occurred in 2016, where invested capital fell to 9,027 million US$, maintaining a lower threshold through 2018 at 7,561 million US$. This suggests a major corporate restructuring, divestiture, or asset reallocation that significantly reduced the capital employed in operations.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited volatility, starting at 18.94% in 2013 and dipping to a period low of 13.42% in 2015. Following this dip, there was a steady annual increase, peaking at 22.63% in 2018. The rising cost of capital placed increasing pressure on the company to generate higher returns on its remaining investments.
Economic Profit
Economic profit transitioned from deep negative values to positive territory. Between 2013 and 2015, the company experienced significant economic losses, reaching a low of -9,077 million US$ in 2014. However, the drastic reduction in invested capital in 2016 lowered the capital charge sufficiently to allow NOPAT to exceed the cost of capital, resulting in a positive economic profit of 1,087 million US$. Although this figure declined to 316 million US$ by 2018 due to falling NOPAT and rising capital costs, the company maintained a state of value creation for the final three years of the period.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

HP Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Net earnings 5,327 2,526 2,496 4,554 5,013 5,113
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (3,654) 239 403 (701) (33) (410)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 28 (6) 27 (43) (100) (132)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 167 149 (79) 498 (310) (481)
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities4 17 (82) (204) (248) (75) (139)
Increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance5 (49) 50 (5) (309) (3) 90
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6 (3,491) 350 142 (803) (521) (1,072)
Interest expense on borrowings 312 309 273 327 344 426
Interest expense, operating lease liability7 58 46 42 103 102 106
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings 370 355 315 430 446 532
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings8 (86) (124) (110) (151) (156) (186)
Adjusted interest expense on borrowings, after taxes9 284 230 205 280 290 345
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (5) (1) (49)
Interest income (116) (66) (24) (129) (136) (148)
Investment income, before taxes (121) (66) (24) (129) (137) (197)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income10 28 23 8 45 48 69
Investment income, after taxes11 (93) (43) (16) (84) (89) (128)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax12 170
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,027 3,064 2,997 3,947 4,693 4,258

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liabilities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring plans, accrued balance.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

7 2018 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,260 × 4.60% = 58

8 2018 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on borrowings = Adjusted interest expense on borrowings × Statutory income tax rate
= 370 × 23.30% = 86

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

10 2018 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 121 × 23.30% = 28

11 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

12 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net earnings

Net earnings displayed a downward trend from 2013 through 2016, decreasing from 5,113 million US dollars in 2013 to a low of 2,496 million US dollars in 2016. This was followed by a period of relative stability with a slight increase to 2,526 million US dollars in 2017. In 2018, net earnings sharply rebounded to 5,327 million US dollars, surpassing the 2013 figure.

Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT witnessed a decline during the same initial period, dropping from 4,258 million US dollars in 2013 to 2,997 million US dollars in 2016. There was a modest recovery in 2017, reaching 3,064 million US dollars. However, contrary to net earnings, NOPAT decreased significantly in 2018 to 2,027 million US dollars, marking the lowest value in the observed range.

Overall Analysis

The data reveals diverging trends between net earnings and NOPAT in 2018. While net earnings showed a strong recovery, more than doubling relative to the previous year, NOPAT declined sharply, indicating potential changes in operational efficiency, tax effects, or non-operating income components affecting the profitability metrics differently. The earlier period from 2013 to 2016 demonstrates a consistent decline in both metrics, possibly pointing to operational challenges or adverse market conditions during those years.

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Cash Operating Taxes

HP Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings (2,314) 750 1,095 178 1,544 1,397
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (3,654) 239 403 (701) (33) (410)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on borrowings 86 124 110 151 156 186
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 28 23 8 45 48 69
Cash operating taxes 1,398 612 794 984 1,685 1,924

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).


Provision for (benefit from) taxes on earnings
The provision for taxes on earnings exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Starting at $1,397 million in 2013, it increased to $1,544 million in 2014, followed by a sharp decline to $178 million in 2015. In 2016, the amount rose again to $1,095 million, then decreased to $750 million in 2017, before turning into a substantial tax benefit of -$2,314 million in 2018. This fluctuation indicates variability in the company's taxable income or changes in tax strategy and tax regulations over the years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show a general downward trend from 2013 to 2017, decreasing from $1,924 million to $612 million. However, there is a notable rebound in 2018 with an increase to $1,398 million. This trend suggests a gradual reduction in actual cash tax payments over the first five years, possibly due to tax planning or changes in profitability, followed by a significant rise in the final year, which could reflect an increase in taxable cash flows or changes in tax payments timing or policies.

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Invested Capital

HP Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Notes payable and short-term borrowings 1,463 1,072 78 2,885 3,486 5,979
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 4,524 6,747 6,758 21,780 16,039 16,608
Operating lease liability1 1,260 1,036 901 2,461 2,681 2,606
Total reported debt & leases 7,247 8,855 7,737 27,126 22,206 25,193
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit) (639) (3,408) (3,889) 27,768 26,731 27,269
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (2,331) 1,068 862 (2,650) (2,086) (2,196)
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 129 101 107 189 232 332
Deferred revenue4 2,100 1,933 1,784 10,572 10,074 10,384
Product warranty liabilities5 915 898 980 1,708 1,956 2,031
Restructuring plans, accrued balance6 59 108 58 805 1,114 1,117
Equity equivalents7 872 4,108 3,791 10,624 11,290 11,668
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8 845 1,418 1,438 6,302 5,881 3,778
Non-controlling interests 383 396 387
Adjusted total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit) 1,078 2,118 1,340 45,077 44,298 43,102
Available-for-sale investments9 (764) (1,210) (50) (634) (717) (834)
Invested capital 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of product warranty liabilities.

6 Addition of restructuring plans, accrued balance.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit).

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

9 Subtraction of available-for-sale investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the analyzed period. Starting at 25,193 million US dollars in 2013, the figure decreased to 22,206 million in 2014, followed by an increase to 27,126 million in 2015. Subsequently, there was a sharp decline to 7,737 million in 2016, with minor increases to 8,855 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,247 million in 2018. This indicates a significant reduction in debt levels from 2015 onwards, possibly reflecting a strategic deleveraging or asset restructuring effort.
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Stockholders’ equity showed stability and slight growth from 27,269 million in 2013 to 27,768 million in 2015. However, from 2016 onwards, the equity balance turned negative, indicating a deficit position of -3,889 million in 2016. This deficit slightly improved but remained negative at -3,408 million in 2017 and -639 million in 2018. The transition to negative equity suggests significant losses or charges affecting retained earnings or valuation adjustments during this period.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable and showed a mild upward trend from 67,461 million in 2013 to 71,569 million in 2015. Beginning in 2016, there was a sharp and substantial drop to 9,027 million followed by a slight increase to 9,763 million in 2017 and a decrease again to 7,561 million in 2018. The dramatic decline post-2015 aligns with reduced debt levels and negative equity, possibly reflecting a divestiture of significant assets or a fundamental change in capital structure.

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Cost of Capital

HP Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 34,627 34,627 ÷ 41,888 = 0.83 0.83 × 26.64% = 22.02%
Short- and long-term debt3 6,000 6,000 ÷ 41,888 = 0.14 0.14 × 4.60% × (1 – 23.30%) = 0.51%
Operating lease liability4 1,260 1,260 ÷ 41,888 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.60% × (1 – 23.30%) = 0.11%
Total: 41,888 1.00 22.63%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 34,122 34,122 ÷ 43,258 = 0.79 0.79 × 26.64% = 21.01%
Short- and long-term debt3 8,100 8,100 ÷ 43,258 = 0.19 0.19 × 4.40% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.54%
Operating lease liability4 1,036 1,036 ÷ 43,258 = 0.02 0.02 × 4.40% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 43,258 1.00 21.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 26,452 26,452 ÷ 34,452 = 0.77 0.77 × 26.64% = 20.45%
Short- and long-term debt3 7,100 7,100 ÷ 34,452 = 0.21 0.21 × 4.69% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.63%
Operating lease liability4 901 901 ÷ 34,452 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.69% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.08%
Total: 34,452 1.00 21.16%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 21,968 21,968 ÷ 49,129 = 0.45 0.45 × 26.64% = 11.91%
Short- and long-term debt3 24,700 24,700 ÷ 49,129 = 0.50 0.50 × 4.20% × (1 – 35.00%) = 1.37%
Operating lease liability4 2,461 2,461 ÷ 49,129 = 0.05 0.05 × 4.20% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.14%
Total: 49,129 1.00 13.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 73,033 73,033 ÷ 95,614 = 0.76 0.76 × 26.64% = 20.35%
Short- and long-term debt3 19,900 19,900 ÷ 95,614 = 0.21 0.21 × 3.79% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.51%
Operating lease liability4 2,681 2,681 ÷ 95,614 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.79% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 95,614 1.00 20.93%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 53,579 53,579 ÷ 78,885 = 0.68 0.68 × 26.64% = 18.09%
Short- and long-term debt3 22,700 22,700 ÷ 78,885 = 0.29 0.29 × 4.05% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.76%
Operating lease liability4 2,606 2,606 ÷ 78,885 = 0.03 0.03 × 4.05% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.09%
Total: 78,885 1.00 18.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short- and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

HP Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 316 953 1,087 (5,659) (9,077) (8,518)
Invested capital2 7,561 9,763 9,027 71,569 65,787 67,461
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 4.17% 9.76% 12.04% -7.91% -13.80% -12.63%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2018 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 316 ÷ 7,561 = 4.17%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between 2013 and 2018 is characterized by a significant transition from substantial economic value destruction to a period of positive value creation. A critical inflection point occurred in 2016, where a fundamental shift in the capital structure coincided with the transition to positive economic profit.

Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited deep negative values from 2013 to 2015, reaching a low of negative 9,077 million US dollars in 2014. A reversal occurred in 2016, with profit turning positive at 1,087 million US dollars. However, a subsequent downward trend is observed from 2016 through 2018, with the value decreasing to 316 million US dollars by the end of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained consistently high between 2013 and 2015, peaking at 71,569 million US dollars. In 2016, a drastic reduction is observed, with invested capital falling to 9,027 million US dollars. This represents a sharp contraction in the capital base, which remained relatively low through 2018, ending at 7,561 million US dollars.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio mirrored the trajectory of economic profit, starting at negative 12.63% in 2013 and dipping to negative 13.80% in 2014. Following the capital restructuring in 2016, the ratio surged to a peak of 12.04%. Since this peak, a consistent contraction has occurred, with the ratio declining to 9.76% in 2017 and further dropping to 4.17% in 2018, indicating a narrowing margin over the cost of capital.

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Economic Profit Margin

HP Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 316 953 1,087 (5,659) (9,077) (8,518)
 
Net revenue 58,472 52,056 48,238 103,355 111,454 112,298
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 167 149 (79) 498 (310) (481)
Adjusted net revenue 58,639 52,205 48,159 103,853 111,144 111,817
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 0.54% 1.83% 2.26% -5.45% -8.17% -7.62%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Apple Inc.
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-10-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-10-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2018 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenue
= 100 × 316 ÷ 58,639 = 0.54%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2013 to 2018 is characterized by a significant transition from substantial economic value destruction to a period of positive, albeit declining, economic value creation.

Economic Profit Trajectory
A period of significant negative economic profit was observed between 2013 and 2015, with the lowest point occurring in 2014 at -9,077 million US$. A critical inflection point was reached in 2016, marking a shift to positive economic profit of 1,087 million US$. However, this positive momentum diminished in subsequent years, with figures falling to 953 million US$ in 2017 and further contracting to 316 million US$ by 2018.
Adjusted Net Revenue Volatility
Revenue levels remained relatively stable above 100 billion US$ from 2013 through 2015. A sharp contraction occurred in 2016, where adjusted net revenue dropped to 48,159 million US$. Following this decline, a recovery trend emerged, with revenue increasing to 52,205 million US$ in 2017 and reaching 58,639 million US$ in 2018.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the overall profit trend, starting at -7.62% in 2013 and reaching a trough of -8.17% in 2014. The margin improved to -5.45% in 2015 before pivoting to a positive 2.26% in 2016. Despite this recovery, the margin underwent a consistent downward trend over the final three years of the analyzed period, ending at 0.54% in 2018, indicating a narrowing gap between net operating profit after tax and the cost of capital.

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