Paying users zone. Data is covered by .

We accept:

# HP Inc. (HPQ)

## Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Difficulty: Intermediate

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company’s asset base.

### Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

HP Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

USD \$ in millions, except per share data

Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of HP Inc.’s common stock
Intrinsic value of HP Inc.’s common stock (per share) \$
Current share price \$

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2018-12-13).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

### Required Rate of Return (r)

 Assumptions Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) Systematic risk (β) of HP Inc.’s common stock βHPQ Required rate of return on HP Inc.’s common stock3 rHPQ

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

Calculations

3 rHPQ = RF + βHPQ [E(RM) – RF]
= + []
=

### FCFE Growth Rate (g)

#### FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

HP Inc., PRAT model

Average Oct 31, 2018 Oct 31, 2017 Oct 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2015 Oct 31, 2014 Oct 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (USD \$ in millions)
Cash dividends declared
Net earnings
Net revenue
Total assets
Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
Growth rate of FCFE (g)5

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2018-12-13), 10-K (filing date: 2017-12-14), 10-K (filing date: 2016-12-15), 10-K (filing date: 2015-12-16), 10-K (filing date: 2014-12-18), 10-K (filing date: 2013-12-30).

2018 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net earnings – Cash dividends declared) ÷ Net earnings
= () ÷ =

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net earnings ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Asset turnover = Net revenue ÷ Total assets
= ÷ =

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Total HP stockholders’ equity (deficit)
= ÷ =

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × × =

#### FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + ) =

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of HP Inc.’s common stock (USD \$ in millions)
FCFE0 = last year HP Inc.’s free cash flow to equity (USD \$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on HP Inc.’s common stock

#### FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

HP Inc., H-model

Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =