Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital asset pricing model (CAPM) indicates what should be the expected or required rate of return on risky assets like Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock.
Rates of Return
Fidelity National Information Services Inc., monthly rates of return
| Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t | Date | PriceFIS,t1 | DividendFIS,t1 | RFIS,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
| Jan 31, 2018 | $102.36 | 2,823.81 | ||||
| 1. | Feb 28, 2018 | $97.18 | -5.06% | 2,713.83 | -3.89% | |
| 2. | Mar 31, 2018 | $96.30 | $0.32 | -0.58% | 2,640.87 | -2.69% |
| 3. | Apr 30, 2018 | $94.97 | -1.38% | 2,648.05 | 0.27% | |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| 58. | Nov 30, 2022 | $72.58 | -12.54% | 4,080.11 | 5.38% | |
| 59. | Dec 31, 2022 | $67.85 | $0.47 | -5.87% | 3,839.50 | -5.90% |
| Average (R): | -0.25% | 0.67% | ||||
| Standard deviation: | 7.99% | 5.40% | ||||
| Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (FIS) | Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| t | Date | PriceFIS,t1 | DividendFIS,t1 | RFIS,t2 | PriceS&P 500,t | RS&P 500,t3 |
| Jan 31, 2018 | $102.36 | 2,823.81 | ||||
| 1. | Feb 28, 2018 | $97.18 | -5.06% | 2,713.83 | -3.89% | |
| 2. | Mar 31, 2018 | $96.30 | $0.32 | -0.58% | 2,640.87 | -2.69% |
| 3. | Apr 30, 2018 | $94.97 | -1.38% | 2,648.05 | 0.27% | |
| 4. | May 31, 2018 | $102.22 | 7.63% | 2,705.27 | 2.16% | |
| 5. | Jun 30, 2018 | $106.03 | $0.32 | 4.04% | 2,718.37 | 0.48% |
| 6. | Jul 31, 2018 | $103.13 | -2.74% | 2,816.29 | 3.60% | |
| 7. | Aug 31, 2018 | $108.17 | 4.89% | 2,901.52 | 3.03% | |
| 8. | Sep 30, 2018 | $109.07 | $0.32 | 1.13% | 2,913.98 | 0.43% |
| 9. | Oct 31, 2018 | $104.10 | -4.56% | 2,711.74 | -6.94% | |
| 10. | Nov 30, 2018 | $107.95 | 3.70% | 2,760.17 | 1.79% | |
| 11. | Dec 31, 2018 | $102.55 | $0.32 | -4.71% | 2,506.85 | -9.18% |
| 12. | Jan 31, 2019 | $104.53 | 1.93% | 2,704.10 | 7.87% | |
| 13. | Feb 28, 2019 | $108.15 | 3.46% | 2,784.49 | 2.97% | |
| 14. | Mar 31, 2019 | $113.10 | $0.35 | 4.90% | 2,834.40 | 1.79% |
| 15. | Apr 30, 2019 | $115.93 | 2.50% | 2,945.83 | 3.93% | |
| 16. | May 31, 2019 | $120.30 | 3.77% | 2,752.06 | -6.58% | |
| 17. | Jun 30, 2019 | $122.68 | $0.35 | 2.27% | 2,941.76 | 6.89% |
| 18. | Jul 31, 2019 | $133.25 | 8.62% | 2,980.38 | 1.31% | |
| 19. | Aug 31, 2019 | $136.22 | 2.23% | 2,926.46 | -1.81% | |
| 20. | Sep 30, 2019 | $132.76 | $0.35 | -2.28% | 2,976.74 | 1.72% |
| 21. | Oct 31, 2019 | $131.76 | -0.75% | 3,037.56 | 2.04% | |
| 22. | Nov 30, 2019 | $138.15 | 4.85% | 3,140.98 | 3.40% | |
| 23. | Dec 31, 2019 | $139.09 | $0.35 | 0.93% | 3,230.78 | 2.86% |
| 24. | Jan 31, 2020 | $143.66 | 3.29% | 3,225.52 | -0.16% | |
| 25. | Feb 29, 2020 | $139.72 | -2.74% | 2,954.22 | -8.41% | |
| 26. | Mar 31, 2020 | $121.64 | $0.35 | -12.69% | 2,584.59 | -12.51% |
| 27. | Apr 30, 2020 | $131.89 | 8.43% | 2,912.43 | 12.68% | |
| 28. | May 31, 2020 | $138.83 | 5.26% | 3,044.31 | 4.53% | |
| 29. | Jun 30, 2020 | $134.09 | $0.35 | -3.16% | 3,100.29 | 1.84% |
| 30. | Jul 31, 2020 | $146.31 | 9.11% | 3,271.12 | 5.51% | |
| 31. | Aug 31, 2020 | $150.85 | 3.10% | 3,500.31 | 7.01% | |
| 32. | Sep 30, 2020 | $147.21 | $0.35 | -2.18% | 3,363.00 | -3.92% |
| 33. | Oct 31, 2020 | $124.59 | -15.37% | 3,269.96 | -2.77% | |
| 34. | Nov 30, 2020 | $148.41 | 19.12% | 3,621.63 | 10.75% | |
| 35. | Dec 31, 2020 | $141.46 | $0.35 | -4.45% | 3,756.07 | 3.71% |
| 36. | Jan 31, 2021 | $123.46 | -12.72% | 3,714.24 | -1.11% | |
| 37. | Feb 28, 2021 | $138.00 | 11.78% | 3,811.15 | 2.61% | |
| 38. | Mar 31, 2021 | $140.61 | $0.39 | 2.17% | 3,972.89 | 4.24% |
| 39. | Apr 30, 2021 | $152.90 | 8.74% | 4,181.17 | 5.24% | |
| 40. | May 31, 2021 | $148.98 | -2.56% | 4,204.11 | 0.55% | |
| 41. | Jun 30, 2021 | $141.67 | $0.39 | -4.64% | 4,297.50 | 2.22% |
| 42. | Jul 31, 2021 | $149.05 | 5.21% | 4,395.26 | 2.27% | |
| 43. | Aug 31, 2021 | $127.77 | -14.28% | 4,522.68 | 2.90% | |
| 44. | Sep 30, 2021 | $121.68 | $0.39 | -4.46% | 4,307.54 | -4.76% |
| 45. | Oct 31, 2021 | $110.74 | -8.99% | 4,605.38 | 6.91% | |
| 46. | Nov 30, 2021 | $104.50 | -5.63% | 4,567.00 | -0.83% | |
| 47. | Dec 31, 2021 | $109.15 | $0.39 | 4.82% | 4,766.18 | 4.36% |
| 48. | Jan 31, 2022 | $119.92 | 9.87% | 4,515.55 | -5.26% | |
| 49. | Feb 28, 2022 | $95.23 | -20.59% | 4,373.94 | -3.14% | |
| 50. | Mar 31, 2022 | $100.42 | $0.47 | 5.94% | 4,530.41 | 3.58% |
| 51. | Apr 30, 2022 | $99.15 | -1.26% | 4,131.93 | -8.80% | |
| 52. | May 31, 2022 | $104.50 | 5.40% | 4,132.15 | 0.01% | |
| 53. | Jun 30, 2022 | $91.67 | $0.47 | -11.83% | 3,785.38 | -8.39% |
| 54. | Jul 31, 2022 | $102.16 | 11.44% | 4,130.29 | 9.11% | |
| 55. | Aug 31, 2022 | $91.37 | -10.56% | 3,955.00 | -4.24% | |
| 56. | Sep 30, 2022 | $75.57 | $0.47 | -16.78% | 3,585.62 | -9.34% |
| 57. | Oct 31, 2022 | $82.99 | 9.82% | 3,871.98 | 7.99% | |
| 58. | Nov 30, 2022 | $72.58 | -12.54% | 4,080.11 | 5.38% | |
| 59. | Dec 31, 2022 | $67.85 | $0.47 | -5.87% | 3,839.50 | -5.90% |
| Average (R): | -0.25% | 0.67% | ||||
| Standard deviation: | 7.99% | 5.40% | ||||
Show all
1 Data in US$ per share of common stock, adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
2 Rate of return on common stock of FIS during period t
3 Rate of return on S&P 500 (the market portfolio proxy) during period t
Variance and Covariance
Fidelity National Information Services Inc., calculation of variance and covariance of returns
| t | Date | RFIS,t | RS&P 500,t | (RFIS,t–RFIS)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RFIS,t–RFIS)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Feb 28, 2018 | -5.06% | -3.89% | 23.10 | 20.81 | 21.92 |
| 2. | Mar 31, 2018 | -0.58% | -2.69% | 0.10 | 11.26 | 1.08 |
| 3. | Apr 30, 2018 | -1.38% | 0.27% | 1.27 | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| . | . | . | . | . | . | . |
| 58. | Nov 30, 2022 | -12.54% | 5.38% | 151.02 | 22.17 | -57.87 |
| 59. | Dec 31, 2022 | -5.87% | -5.90% | 31.53 | 43.08 | 36.85 |
| Total (Σ): | 3,705.46 | 1,691.48 | 1,349.69 | |||
| t | Date | RFIS,t | RS&P 500,t | (RFIS,t–RFIS)2 | (RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 | (RFIS,t–RFIS)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Feb 28, 2018 | -5.06% | -3.89% | 23.10 | 20.81 | 21.92 |
| 2. | Mar 31, 2018 | -0.58% | -2.69% | 0.10 | 11.26 | 1.08 |
| 3. | Apr 30, 2018 | -1.38% | 0.27% | 1.27 | 0.16 | 0.44 |
| 4. | May 31, 2018 | 7.63% | 2.16% | 62.23 | 2.23 | 11.79 |
| 5. | Jun 30, 2018 | 4.04% | 0.48% | 18.45 | 0.03 | -0.78 |
| 6. | Jul 31, 2018 | -2.74% | 3.60% | 6.15 | 8.62 | -7.28 |
| 7. | Aug 31, 2018 | 4.89% | 3.03% | 26.44 | 5.57 | 12.13 |
| 8. | Sep 30, 2018 | 1.13% | 0.43% | 1.91 | 0.06 | -0.33 |
| 9. | Oct 31, 2018 | -4.56% | -6.94% | 18.51 | 57.87 | 32.73 |
| 10. | Nov 30, 2018 | 3.70% | 1.79% | 15.63 | 1.25 | 4.42 |
| 11. | Dec 31, 2018 | -4.71% | -9.18% | 19.81 | 96.91 | 43.82 |
| 12. | Jan 31, 2019 | 1.93% | 7.87% | 4.78 | 51.87 | 15.74 |
| 13. | Feb 28, 2019 | 3.46% | 2.97% | 13.82 | 5.32 | 8.57 |
| 14. | Mar 31, 2019 | 4.90% | 1.79% | 26.58 | 1.27 | 5.80 |
| 15. | Apr 30, 2019 | 2.50% | 3.93% | 7.60 | 10.66 | 9.00 |
| 16. | May 31, 2019 | 3.77% | -6.58% | 16.19 | 52.48 | -29.15 |
| 17. | Jun 30, 2019 | 2.27% | 6.89% | 6.37 | 38.77 | 15.71 |
| 18. | Jul 31, 2019 | 8.62% | 1.31% | 78.69 | 0.42 | 5.73 |
| 19. | Aug 31, 2019 | 2.23% | -1.81% | 6.17 | 6.13 | -6.15 |
| 20. | Sep 30, 2019 | -2.28% | 1.72% | 4.11 | 1.11 | -2.13 |
| 21. | Oct 31, 2019 | -0.75% | 2.04% | 0.25 | 1.89 | -0.69 |
| 22. | Nov 30, 2019 | 4.85% | 3.40% | 26.05 | 7.50 | 13.98 |
| 23. | Dec 31, 2019 | 0.93% | 2.86% | 1.41 | 4.81 | 2.61 |
| 24. | Jan 31, 2020 | 3.29% | -0.16% | 12.53 | 0.69 | -2.94 |
| 25. | Feb 29, 2020 | -2.74% | -8.41% | 6.19 | 82.40 | 22.59 |
| 26. | Mar 31, 2020 | -12.69% | -12.51% | 154.63 | 173.67 | 163.88 |
| 27. | Apr 30, 2020 | 8.43% | 12.68% | 75.36 | 144.43 | 104.33 |
| 28. | May 31, 2020 | 5.26% | 4.53% | 30.43 | 14.91 | 21.30 |
| 29. | Jun 30, 2020 | -3.16% | 1.84% | 8.45 | 1.37 | -3.41 |
| 30. | Jul 31, 2020 | 9.11% | 5.51% | 87.76 | 23.46 | 45.37 |
| 31. | Aug 31, 2020 | 3.10% | 7.01% | 11.27 | 40.19 | 21.29 |
| 32. | Sep 30, 2020 | -2.18% | -3.92% | 3.71 | 21.06 | 8.84 |
| 33. | Oct 31, 2020 | -15.37% | -2.77% | 228.35 | 11.79 | 51.88 |
| 34. | Nov 30, 2020 | 19.12% | 10.75% | 375.32 | 101.77 | 195.44 |
| 35. | Dec 31, 2020 | -4.45% | 3.71% | 17.58 | 9.28 | -12.77 |
| 36. | Jan 31, 2021 | -12.72% | -1.11% | 155.50 | 3.17 | 22.20 |
| 37. | Feb 28, 2021 | 11.78% | 2.61% | 144.76 | 3.77 | 23.37 |
| 38. | Mar 31, 2021 | 2.17% | 4.24% | 5.90 | 12.80 | 8.69 |
| 39. | Apr 30, 2021 | 8.74% | 5.24% | 80.91 | 20.94 | 41.16 |
| 40. | May 31, 2021 | -2.56% | 0.55% | 5.33 | 0.01 | 0.27 |
| 41. | Jun 30, 2021 | -4.64% | 2.22% | 19.28 | 2.42 | -6.83 |
| 42. | Jul 31, 2021 | 5.21% | 2.27% | 29.85 | 2.59 | 8.79 |
| 43. | Aug 31, 2021 | -14.28% | 2.90% | 196.63 | 4.98 | -31.30 |
| 44. | Sep 30, 2021 | -4.46% | -4.76% | 17.70 | 29.42 | 22.81 |
| 45. | Oct 31, 2021 | -8.99% | 6.91% | 76.32 | 39.03 | -54.58 |
| 46. | Nov 30, 2021 | -5.63% | -0.83% | 28.95 | 2.25 | 8.07 |
| 47. | Dec 31, 2021 | 4.82% | 4.36% | 25.78 | 13.65 | 18.76 |
| 48. | Jan 31, 2022 | 9.87% | -5.26% | 102.45 | 35.11 | -59.97 |
| 49. | Feb 28, 2022 | -20.59% | -3.14% | 413.48 | 14.46 | 77.32 |
| 50. | Mar 31, 2022 | 5.94% | 3.58% | 38.42 | 8.47 | 18.04 |
| 51. | Apr 30, 2022 | -1.26% | -8.80% | 1.02 | 89.54 | 9.56 |
| 52. | May 31, 2022 | 5.40% | 0.01% | 31.93 | 0.44 | -3.74 |
| 53. | Jun 30, 2022 | -11.83% | -8.39% | 133.94 | 82.06 | 104.84 |
| 54. | Jul 31, 2022 | 11.44% | 9.11% | 136.84 | 71.32 | 98.79 |
| 55. | Aug 31, 2022 | -10.56% | -4.24% | 106.24 | 24.11 | 50.62 |
| 56. | Sep 30, 2022 | -16.78% | -9.34% | 273.02 | 100.12 | 165.34 |
| 57. | Oct 31, 2022 | 9.82% | 7.99% | 101.47 | 53.58 | 73.73 |
| 58. | Nov 30, 2022 | -12.54% | 5.38% | 151.02 | 22.17 | -57.87 |
| 59. | Dec 31, 2022 | -5.87% | -5.90% | 31.53 | 43.08 | 36.85 |
| Total (Σ): | 3,705.46 | 1,691.48 | 1,349.69 | |||
Show all
VarianceFIS = Σ(RFIS,t–RFIS)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 3,705.46 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 63.89
VarianceS&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,691.48 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 29.16
CovarianceFIS, S&P 500 = Σ(RFIS,t–RFIS)×(RS&P 500,t–RS&P 500) ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,349.69 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 23.27
Systematic Risk (β) Estimation
| VarianceFIS | 63.89 |
| VarianceS&P 500 | 29.16 |
| CovarianceFIS, S&P 500 | 23.27 |
| Correlation coefficientFIS, S&P 5001 | 0.54 |
| βFIS2 | 0.80 |
| αFIS3 | -0.79% |
Calculations
1 Correlation coefficientFIS, S&P 500
= CovarianceFIS, S&P 500 ÷ (Standard deviationFIS × Standard deviationS&P 500)
= 23.27 ÷ (7.99% × 5.40%)
= 0.54
2 βFIS
= CovarianceFIS, S&P 500 ÷ VarianceS&P 500
= 23.27 ÷ 29.16
= 0.80
3 αFIS
= AverageFIS – βFIS × AverageS&P 500
= -0.25% – 0.80 × 0.67%
= -0.79%
Expected Rate of Return
| Assumptions | ||
| Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 | RF | 4.76% |
| Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 | E(RM) | 15.13% |
| Systematic risk (β) of Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock | βFIS | 0.80 |
| Expected rate of return on Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock3 | E(RFIS) | 13.04% |
1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).
3 E(RFIS) = RF + βFIS [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.76% + 0.80 [15.13% – 4.76%]
= 13.04%