Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Fidelity National Information Services Inc. (NYSE:FIS)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 2, 2023.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

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In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company asset base.

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Fidelity National Information Services Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 11.73%
01 FCFE0 3,451
1 FCFE1 3,895 = 3,451 × (1 + 12.88%) 3,486
2 FCFE2 4,278 = 3,895 × (1 + 9.83%) 3,427
3 FCFE3 4,569 = 4,278 × (1 + 6.79%) 3,275
4 FCFE4 4,740 = 4,569 × (1 + 3.74%) 3,041
5 FCFE5 4,772 = 4,740 × (1 + 0.69%) 2,741
5 Terminal value (TV5) 43,529 = 4,772 × (1 + 0.69%) ÷ (11.73% – 0.69%) 24,997
Intrinsic value of Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock 40,968
 
Intrinsic value of Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock (per share) $69.15
Current share price $53.13

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.

Required Rate of Return (r)

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Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF 4.83%
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) 13.48%
Systematic risk of Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock βFIS 0.80
 
Required rate of return on Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock3 rFIS 11.73%

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rFIS = RF + βFIS [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.83% + 0.80 [13.48% – 4.83%]
= 11.73%

FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Fidelity National Information Services Inc., PRAT model

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Average Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Cash dividends declared and other distributions 1,140 968 873 658 422
Net earnings (loss) attributable to FIS common stockholders (16,720) 417 158 298 846
Revenue 14,528 13,877 12,552 10,333 8,423
Total assets 63,278 82,931 83,842 83,806 23,770
Total FIS stockholders’ equity 27,218 47,347 49,300 49,440 10,215
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1 — -1.32 -4.53 -1.21 0.50
Profit margin2 -115.09% 3.00% 1.26% 2.88% 10.04%
Asset turnover3 0.23 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.35
Financial leverage4 2.32 1.75 1.70 1.70 2.33
Averages
Retention rate -1.64
Profit margin -19.58%
Asset turnover 0.20
Financial leverage 1.96
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5 12.88%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

2022 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net earnings (loss) attributable to FIS common stockholders – Cash dividends declared and other distributions) ÷ Net earnings (loss) attributable to FIS common stockholders
= (-16,720 – 1,140) ÷ -16,720
= —

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net earnings (loss) attributable to FIS common stockholders ÷ Revenue
= 100 × -16,720 ÷ 14,528
= -115.09%

3 Asset turnover = Revenue ÷ Total assets
= 14,528 ÷ 63,278
= 0.23

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Total FIS stockholders’ equity
= 63,278 ÷ 27,218
= 2.32

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= -1.64 × -19.58% × 0.20 × 1.96
= 12.88%

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × (31,476 × 11.73% – 3,451) ÷ (31,476 + 3,451)
= 0.69%

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year Fidelity National Information Services Inc. free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on Fidelity National Information Services Inc. common stock

FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

Fidelity National Information Services Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 12.88%
2 g2 9.83%
3 g3 6.79%
4 g4 3.74%
5 and thereafter g5 0.69%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.88% + (0.69% – 12.88%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 9.83%

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.88% + (0.69% – 12.88%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 6.79%

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.88% + (0.69% – 12.88%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.74%