Stock Analysis on Net

Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE:KO)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Coca-Cola Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data exhibits several important trends over the five-year period from December 31, 2020, to December 31, 2024. There is a noticeable pattern in net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), cost of capital, invested capital, and economic profit.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT demonstrated a significant increase from 8,649 million US dollars in 2020 to 11,202 million US dollars in 2021. Following this peak, there was a decline in 2022 to 10,120 million, with moderate recovery observed in 2023 and 2024, reaching 10,884 million and 10,945 million respectively. This pattern indicates a peak in operational profitability in 2021, followed by a stabilization phase in subsequent years.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital shows a consistent upward trend throughout the period, rising steadily from 9.19% in 2020 to 9.93% in 2024. This incremental increase suggests a marginally higher required return or risk profile for invested funds over time.
Invested Capital
Invested capital was observed to increase gradually, starting at 75,674 million US dollars in 2020 and growing to 86,857 million US dollars in 2024. This steady growth highlights an ongoing expansion or reinvestment strategy, with capital base increasing by approximately 14.7% over the five-year period.
Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited notable fluctuations, initially rising sharply from 1,696 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 3,549 million in 2021. Subsequently, economic profit declined to 2,291 million in 2022, partially recovering to 2,656 million in 2023 before declining again slightly to 2,321 million in 2024. These variations imply changes in value creation linked to shifts in both operating profits and the cost of capital.

Overall, the data suggests that while operational profitability reached its highest point in 2021, subsequent years showed some volatility but maintained profitability above the initial 2020 level. The steady increase in invested capital and cost of capital indicates a growing capital base with slightly increasing risk or required returns. Economic profit reflects these dynamics, peaking in 2021 and moderating thereafter, signaling changes in efficiency or returns relative to invested capital costs.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Coca-Cola Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in accrued expenses related to restructuring3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued expenses related to restructuring.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income Attributable to Shareowners

The net income attributable to shareowners shows a generally positive trend over the five-year period. Starting at 7,747 million US dollars at the end of 2020, there was a significant increase to 9,771 million in 2021. Although the net income slightly declined to 9,542 million in 2022, it rebounded in 2023 to reach the highest value of 10,714 million. A marginal decrease occurred again in 2024, with net income at 10,631 million, which still represents a notable improvement compared to the initial figure in 2020.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

The NOPAT figures also demonstrate an upward trajectory with some fluctuations. Beginning at 8,649 million US dollars in 2020, there was an increase to 11,202 million in 2021. This was followed by a decline to 10,120 million in 2022. Subsequently, NOPAT rose again to 10,884 million in 2023 and continued to increase slightly to 10,945 million by the end of 2024. Overall, the NOPAT values reflect growth over the period, despite the intermittent decreases.

Comparative Insights

Both net income and NOPAT exhibited growth from 2020 through 2024, though neither metric maintained a strictly linear progression. The year 2021 marked a peak for both measures within the period, followed by declines in 2022. Recovery occurred in subsequent years, with net income reaching a maximum in 2023 before a slight drop in 2024, whereas NOPAT progressed to its highest point at the end of 2024. These trends suggest volatility but overall improved profitability and operational efficiency over the five-year span.


Cash Operating Taxes

Coca-Cola Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Income Taxes
Income taxes show a fluctuating trend over the reported periods. The value increased significantly from 1981 million US dollars in 2020 to 2621 million in 2021, indicating a rise in tax expenses. However, in 2022, there was a notable decrease to 2115 million US dollars. From 2022 onward, the income taxes resumed an upward trajectory, reaching 2249 million in 2023 and further increasing to 2437 million in 2024. Overall, the trend exhibits variability with a dip in 2022 amid a general tendency to increase.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a somewhat irregular pattern over the five-year span. Starting at 2201 million US dollars in 2020, there was a decline to 1907 million in 2021, suggesting reduced cash tax payments despite the prior increase in income taxes. The figure rebounded sharply in 2022 to 2414 million, surpassing the initial 2020 value. Slight reductions followed in 2023 to 2314 million, but the amount rose again in 2024, reaching the highest point of 2529 million US dollars. These fluctuations may reflect changes in taxable income, timing differences, or tax planning actions affecting cash tax outflows.

Invested Capital

Coca-Cola Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Loans and notes payable
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Accrued expenses related to restructuring4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests
Adjusted equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company
Marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued expenses related to restructuring.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases

This financial metric experienced a general decline from 44,415 million US dollars in 2020 to 40,603 million US dollars in 2022. However, a reversal of this trend is observed in the subsequent years, with debt rising to 43,426 million US dollars in 2023 and continuing to increase to 45,735 million US dollars in 2024. This indicates an initial reduction in the company's leverage followed by a renewed accumulation of debt and lease obligations in the last two reported periods.

Equity attributable to shareowners of The Coca-Cola Company

Equity shows a consistent upward trend from 19,299 million US dollars in 2020, rising to 22,999 million in 2021, further increasing to 24,105 million in 2022, and reaching its peak at 25,941 million in 2023. However, a slight decrease to 24,856 million occurs in 2024. Overall, the equity base has strengthened significantly over the period, reflecting potential retained earnings growth or capital infusions, despite a modest decline in the final year.

Invested capital

Invested capital generally increased over the entire period. Starting from 75,674 million US dollars in 2020, it grew steadily to 80,311 million in 2021. A slight dip followed in 2022 to 79,959 million, but the upward momentum resumed with figures rising to 83,542 million in 2023 and 86,857 million in 2024. This suggests ongoing investment activities, possibly including both debt and equity financing components, resulting in a growing capital base employed by the company.


Cost of Capital

Coca-Cola Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Coca-Cola Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the annual financial data reveals several key trends over the considered period. The economic profit exhibits notable fluctuations, showing a significant increase from 2020 to 2021, followed by a decrease in 2022, then a recovery in 2023, and a subsequent decline in 2024. This indicates variability in the company's ability to generate profit exceeding its cost of capital.

The invested capital demonstrates a consistent upward trend throughout the years. This steady increase suggests ongoing expansion or reinvestment efforts, reflecting growth in the company's asset base or capital employed for its operations.

The economic spread ratio, which measures the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital expressed as a percentage, mirrors the pattern observed in economic profit. It rose sharply in 2021, indicating improved efficiency in generating returns above the cost of capital. However, it has declined since then, albeit remaining positive, pointing to a reduction in profitability efficiency over the most recent years.

Economic Profit
Initial strong growth in 2021, followed by volatility with decreases in 2022 and 2024, and partial recovery in 2023.
Invested Capital
Consistent year-over-year increase, evidencing continued investment and capital expansion.
Economic Spread Ratio
Peak performance in 2021 with a significant rise, subsequently falling but remaining positive, signaling maintained but declining returns above capital costs.

Overall, the data demonstrates that while invested capital has grown steadily, the company's economic value generation as measured by economic profit and economic spread ratio has been more volatile, highlighting challenges in maintaining consistent profitability margins relative to capital employed.


Economic Profit Margin

Coca-Cola Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net operating revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Revenues
The net operating revenues demonstrate a steady upward trend over the observed five-year period. Beginning at US$33,014 million in 2020, revenues increased each year, reaching US$47,061 million in 2024. This reflects consistent growth in the core operating activities of the company, with year-over-year increases ranging from moderate to significant levels.
Economic Profit
Economic profit experienced considerable fluctuations throughout the period. It rose markedly from US$1,696 million in 2020 to a peak of US$3,549 million in 2021, more than doubling in a single year. However, this was followed by a decline to US$2,291 million in 2022, after which economic profit exhibited a somewhat recovering but volatile pattern, increasing to US$2,656 million in 2023 before falling again to US$2,321 million in 2024. This volatility indicates variability in factors affecting profitability beyond operating revenues, such as costs or capital charge considerations.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin percentage reflects the economic profit relative to net operating revenues and reveals a similar trend of volatility. Starting at 5.14% in 2020, it surged to 9.18% in 2021, indicating improved economic efficiency or profitability that year. Subsequently, the margin declined sharply to 5.33% in 2022, followed by a moderate increase to 5.8% in 2023. In 2024, it decreased again to 4.93%, the lowest margin in the time frame, indicating a reduction in economic profit relative to revenues. This suggests that while revenue growth has been steady, the proportion of profitable value creation has varied and ended on a downward trend.
Overall Insights
While net operating revenues show consistent growth, economic profit and its margin display significant fluctuations, peaking early in the period and then generally trending downward towards the end. This disparity implies that increasing sales may not have translated proportionally into economic profit due to factors such as rising costs, capital expenses, or diminishing returns. The decline in economic profit margin in the last recorded year highlights potential challenges in sustaining profitability efficiency despite revenue expansion.