Stock Analysis on Net

Carnival Corp. & plc (NYSE:CCL)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since March 27, 2024.

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Carnival Corp. & plc, FCFE calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Nov 30, 2023 Nov 30, 2022 Nov 30, 2021 Nov 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2019 Nov 30, 2018
Net income (loss) (74) (6,093) (9,501) (10,236) 2,990 3,152
Net noncash charges 2,830 3,260 4,434 7,121 2,273 2,033
Changes in operating assets and liabilities 1,525 1,163 958 (3,186) 212 364
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 4,281 (1,670) (4,109) (6,301) 5,475 5,549
Purchases of property and equipment (3,284) (4,940) (3,607) (3,620) (5,429) (3,749)
Proceeds from (repayments of) short-term borrowings, net (200) (2,590) (293) 2,852 (605) 417
Principal repayments of long-term debt (7,660) (2,075) (5,956) (1,621) (1,651) (1,556)
Debt issuance costs (131) (153) (319)
Debt extinguishment costs (79) (1) (545)
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt 2,961 7,209 13,042 15,020 3,674 2,542
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (4,112) (4,220) (1,787) 6,330 1,464 3,203

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-11-30).


Net Cash Provided by (Used in) Operating Activities
The net cash from operating activities demonstrated a generally declining trend from a positive 5,549 million USD in 2018 to a negative 6,301 million USD in 2020. This sharp decline continued through 2021 and 2022, though the negative amounts decreased in magnitude, reaching -1,670 million USD. In 2023, there was a strong recovery with net cash provided by operations rising significantly to 4,281 million USD, indicating improvement in operational cash generation after several years of negative performance.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
The FCFE showed significant fluctuations during the period analyzed. Starting at 3,203 million USD in 2018, the figure decreased sharply to 1,464 million USD in 2019 before reaching a peak of 6,330 million USD in 2020. Following this peak, the FCFE dropped into negative territory in the subsequent years, registering -1,787 million USD in 2021 and further declining to -4,220 million USD in 2022. In 2023, the negative FCFE persisted at -4,112 million USD, indicating ongoing challenges in generating positive free cash flow for equity holders despite some recovery in operating cash flow.

Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Carnival Corp. & plc, current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding 1,309,995,783
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions) (4,112)
FCFE per share -3.14
Current share price (P) 17.19
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Airbnb Inc. 17.88
Booking Holdings Inc. 15.29
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 37.23
DoorDash, Inc. 58.40
McDonald’s Corp. 32.81
Starbucks Corp. 28.58
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Services 25.18
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 96.34

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Carnival Corp. & plc, historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Nov 30, 2023 Nov 30, 2022 Nov 30, 2021 Nov 30, 2020 Nov 30, 2019 Nov 30, 2018
No. shares of common stock outstanding1 1,306,275,033 1,299,615,610 1,171,371,854 1,116,315,671 710,173,957 718,595,612
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)2 (4,112) (4,220) (1,787) 6,330 1,464 3,203
FCFE per share3 -3.15 -3.25 -1.53 5.67 2.06 4.46
Share price1, 4 15.83 11.02 19.11 18.72 46.50 56.40
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5 3.30 22.56 12.65
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Airbnb Inc. 25.72 24.76 54.32 99.90
Booking Holdings Inc. 15.89 11.52 69.03 37.59
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. 58.77 52.59 51.88 149.64
DoorDash, Inc. 34.58 1,011.74 292.52 114.31
McDonald’s Corp. 20.85 28.85 30.21 22.96
Starbucks Corp. 29.75 34.82 45.80 20.79 20.35
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Services 23.53 24.72 45.10 34.87
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 30.88 36.44 83.44 32.34

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-11-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-11-30).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= -4,112,000,000 ÷ 1,306,275,033 = -3.15

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Carnival Corp. & plc Annual Report.

5 2023 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 15.83 ÷ -3.15 =

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share Price
The share price of the company experienced a clear downward trend from November 2018 to November 2022, declining from $56.4 to a low of $11.02. However, in the most recent year, ending November 2023, there was a modest recovery to $15.83, though this level remains significantly below the earlier years.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per Share
The FCFE per share showed notable volatility over the observed periods. Initially, it dropped from $4.46 in 2018 to $2.06 in 2019, then increased sharply to $5.67 in 2020. However, from 2021 onwards, the FCFE per share turned negative, registering -$1.53 in 2021 and worsening to -$3.25 in 2022, with a slight improvement to -$3.15 in 2023. This pattern indicates increasing cash flow challenges affecting equity holders in recent years.
P/FCFE Ratio
The price-to-FCFE ratio demonstrated significant fluctuation. Starting at 12.65 in 2018, it more than doubled to 22.56 in 2019, reflecting a lower FCFE or possibly market optimism despite declining share prices. In 2020, this ratio plummeted to 3.3, suggesting a sharp improvement in free cash flow relative to the share price. Data for subsequent years are absent, likely due to the negative FCFE values making the ratio undefined or less meaningful.