Stock Analysis on Net

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE:CMG)

$24.99

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

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Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., FCFE calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Net noncash charges
Changes in operating assets and liabilities
Net cash provided by operating activities
Purchases of leasehold improvements, property and equipment
Proceeds from sale of equipment
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals a consistent and significant upward trend in cash flows for the periods under review. Both the net cash provided by operating activities and the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) exhibited continuous growth from 2020 to 2024.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
The net cash provided by operating activities increased steadily from $663,847 thousand in 2020 to $2,105,076 thousand in 2024. The year 2021 saw nearly a doubling of this figure compared to 2020, reaching approximately $1,282,081 thousand. This growth continued at a slightly slower but still substantial pace in subsequent years, signaling strong operational cash generation capabilities and improving operational efficiency or expanding business volume over the period.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
The free cash flow to equity, which indicates the cash available to shareholders after expenses, reinvestment, and debt repayment, demonstrated a similarly strong positive trend. Starting from $290,495 thousand in 2020, the FCFE nearly tripled by 2021 to $843,641 thousand. It remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2022 but then increased sharply to $1,222,746 thousand in 2023 and further to $1,531,586 thousand in 2024. This progression implies improved financial health and growing capacity to return value to shareholders over time.

Overall, the data reflect a robust enhancement in cash generation and free cash flow over the five-year period, suggesting increasing operational success and financial stability. The expanding free cash flow to equity further confirms that the company has been able to convert inflows into distributable cash effectively, potentially supporting shareholder returns or reinvestment opportunities.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)
FCFE per share
Current share price (P)
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Airbnb Inc.
Booking Holdings Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Services
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)2
FCFE per share3
Share price1, 4
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Airbnb Inc.
Booking Holdings Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.
P/FCFE, Sector
Consumer Services
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. Annual Report.

5 2024 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= ÷ =

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share Price Trend
The share price exhibited a steady increase from 30.89 US$ in 2020 to 32.14 US$ in 2022, followed by a significant rise to 52.41 US$ in 2023 and further growth to 57.51 US$ in 2024. This indicates a strong positive trend in market valuation over the five-year period, with a notable acceleration after 2022.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per Share Trend
FCFE per share increased consistently across the years, starting at 0.21 US$ in 2020 and reaching 1.13 US$ by 2024. The growth was gradual between 2020 and 2022, with a more pronounced improvement evident from 2023 onwards. This suggests improving financial health and cash generation capability available to equity shareholders.
Price to FCFE Ratio (P/FCFE) Dynamics
The P/FCFE ratio experienced a steep decline from an exceptionally high 149.64 in 2020 to around 52 in 2021 and 2022, indicating that the share price growth was initially outpacing cash flow improvements or that FCFE was very low in 2020. After 2022, the ratio slightly increased to 58.77 in 2023, before decreasing again to 50.89 in 2024. This pattern suggests periodic adjustments in market valuation relative to FCFE, with the ratio stabilizing closer to a more moderate level by 2024.
Overall Observations
The data reveals a positive trajectory in both market valuation and intrinsic cash flow metrics over the analyzed period. The substantial increase in share price, coupled with rising FCFE per share, indicates improving investor confidence and business performance. The P/FCFE ratio's decline from a very high starting point suggests valuation corrections consistent with higher cash flow generation, ultimately leading to a more balanced valuation by the end of the period.