Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Super Micro Computer Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 20.33%
01 FCFF0 -6,884,331
1 FCFF1 — = -6,884,331 × (1 + 0.00%) —
2 FCFF2 — = — × (1 + 0.00%) —
3 FCFF3 — = — × (1 + 0.00%) —
4 FCFF4 — = — × (1 + 0.00%) —
5 FCFF5 — = — × (1 + 0.00%) —
5 Terminal value (TV5) — = — × (1 + 0.00%) ÷ (20.33% – 0.00%) —
Intrinsic value of Super Micro Computer Inc. capital —
Less: Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock (fair value) 4,481,550
Less: Lines of credit, term loans, and convertible notes (fair value) 8,357,748
Intrinsic value of Super Micro Computer Inc. common stock —
 
Intrinsic value of Super Micro Computer Inc. common stock (per share) $—
Current share price $43.19

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Super Micro Computer Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 28,374,335 0.69 27.50%
Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock (fair value) 4,481,550 0.11 7.00%
Lines of credit, term loans, and convertible notes (fair value) 8,357,748 0.20 3.14% = 3.58% × (1 – 12.37%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 656,965,384 × $43.19
= $28,374,334,934.96

   Lines of credit, term loans, and convertible notes (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (19.90% + 12.90% + 5.20% + 14.70% + 15.70% + 5.80%) ÷ 6
= 12.37%

WACC = 20.33%


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Super Micro Computer Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jun 30, 2026 Jun 30, 2025 Jun 30, 2024 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Interest expense 194,574 59,573 19,352 10,491 6,413 2,485
Net income 2,230,453 1,048,854 1,152,666 639,998 285,163 111,865
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 19.90% 12.90% 5.20% 14.70% 15.70% 5.80%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 155,854 51,888 18,346 8,949 5,406 2,341
Add: Series A Mandatory Convertible Preferred Stock dividends 13,088 — — — — —
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 168,942 51,888 18,346 8,949 5,406 2,341
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 2,386,307 1,100,742 1,171,012 648,947 290,569 114,206
 
Lines of credit and term loans, current 2,039,774 75,060 402,346 170,123 449,146 63,490
Lines of credit and term loans, non-current 2,016,374 37,415 74,083 120,179 147,618 34,700
Convertible notes 4,664,139 4,645,178 1,697,716 — — —
Total Super Micro Computer, Inc. stockholders’ equity 14,479,452 6,301,693 5,417,206 1,972,005 1,425,575 1,096,225
Total capital 23,199,739 11,059,346 7,591,351 2,262,307 2,022,339 1,194,415
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.93 0.95 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.98
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 10.29% 9.95% 15.43% 28.69% 14.37% 9.56%
Averages
RR 0.97
ROIC 11.92%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 0.00%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30).

1 See details »

2026 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 194,574 × (1 – 19.90%)
= 155,854

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest expense, after tax
= 2,230,453 + 155,854
= 2,386,307

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [2,386,307 – 168,942] ÷ 2,386,307
= 0.93

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 2,386,307 ÷ 23,199,739
= 10.29%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.97 × 11.92%
= 0.00%


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Super Micro Computer Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 0.00%
2 g2 0.00%
3 g3 0.00%
4 g4 0.00%
5 and thereafter g5 0.00%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00% + (0.00% – 0.00%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00%

g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00% + (0.00% – 0.00%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00%

g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00% + (0.00% – 0.00%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 0.00%