Stock Analysis on Net

Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Netflix Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes demonstrated an overall upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at approximately 3.69 billion USD in 2020, it increased substantially to around 6.08 billion USD in 2021. A decline followed in 2022, with NOPAT reducing to roughly 4.99 billion USD, but it recovered partially in 2023 to reach approximately 5.44 billion USD and surged significantly to about 8.60 billion USD in 2024.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited a gradual increase throughout the period. Beginning at 16.16% in 2020, it slightly declined to 15.78% in 2021 but then rose consistently each year to 15.99% in 2022, 16.36% in 2023, and reaching 16.68% in 2024, indicating a marginal but steady rise in financing costs or required returns.
Invested Capital
The invested capital expanded steadily over the five years. It increased from approximately 29.76 billion USD in 2020 to about 34.79 billion USD in 2021. This was followed by further growth to roughly 37.78 billion USD in 2022 and remained relatively stable in 2023 at nearly 37.93 billion USD. By 2024, it rose again to approximately 40.71 billion USD, reflecting continuous capitalization and investment in the business.
Economic Profit
Economic profit showed significant volatility and fluctuations during the period. In 2020, it was negative, around -1.12 billion USD, then improved to a positive 588 million USD in 2021. Subsequently, it declined sharply to about -1.05 billion USD in 2022 and remained negative at approximately -766 million USD in 2023. However, in 2024, economic profit turned positive again, reaching approximately 1.81 billion USD. These fluctuations indicate varying degrees of value creation relative to the cost of capital, with two years of positive economic profit bookended by periods of negative returns.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Netflix Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
The net income displayed a significant overall growth trend over the analyzed period. Starting at approximately 2.76 billion US dollars in 2020, it nearly doubled by 2021 reaching around 5.12 billion. A slight decline occurred in 2022 to about 4.49 billion, followed by a recovery in 2023 to roughly 5.41 billion. The most notable increase was observed in 2024, with net income rising sharply to approximately 8.71 billion, representing substantial profitability expansion toward the end of the period.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also exhibited a strong upward trend, beginning at roughly 3.69 billion US dollars in 2020. It increased markedly to about 6.08 billion in 2021 before experiencing a decrease in 2022 to around 4.99 billion. The figure rebounded slightly in 2023, reaching approximately 5.44 billion, and then surged considerably in 2024 to approximately 8.60 billion. This pattern reflects similar movements to net income, indicating consistent operational profitability progression, with a particularly strong performance in the final year.
Summary of Trends
Both net income and NOPAT show parallel trends with peaks in 2021, followed by declines in 2022 and subsequent recoveries. The data reflects a strong recovery and growth phase culminating in significant financial improvement in 2024. The increases in 2024 imply enhanced efficiency in core operations and improved bottom-line results. Minor fluctuations in the middle years suggest potential operational or market challenges that were ultimately overcome.

Cash Operating Taxes

Netflix Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals a consistent upward trend in both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Provision for Income Taxes
This figure increased steadily each year, starting at 437,954 thousand US dollars in 2020 and rising to 1,254,026 thousand US dollars in 2024. The growth suggests a rising taxable income base or changes in tax liabilities, with the most significant increase occurring between 2023 and 2024.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes also exhibited a persistent increase year over year, moving from 545,709 thousand US dollars in 2020 to 1,952,319 thousand US dollars in 2024. The increase was particularly sharp in the later years, indicating higher cash outflows related to taxation, which may impact liquidity considerations.

The concurrent rises in both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes indicate growing tax obligations generally aligned with operational or profitability expansion. The substantial increases in the 2023 to 2024 period could warrant further analysis regarding tax planning, cash flow management, and potential impacts on net income and operational financing.


Invested Capital

Netflix Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Deferred revenue3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Capital work-in-progress6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of capital work-in-progress.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The financial data reveals several noteworthy trends related to the capital structure and equity position over the five-year period analyzed.

Total reported debt & leases
This liability category shows a general decline from 2020 to 2022, decreasing from approximately 18.51 billion USD to 16.93 billion USD. Following this reduction, the figure remains relatively stable in 2023 before experiencing an increase in 2024, reaching nearly 18.00 billion USD. The initial reduction could indicate active debt management or repayment, while the subsequent rise suggests renewed borrowing or lease obligations arising during the latest year.
Stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity demonstrates a consistent and substantial increase throughout the period. Starting from approximately 11.07 billion USD in 2020, the equity nearly doubles by the end of 2022, reaching over 20.78 billion USD. It remains stable in 2023 and then attains a new peak in 2024, exceeding 24.74 billion USD. This upward trend indicates strong retained earnings growth, equity issuances, or other comprehensive income components that strengthen the company's net asset position.
Invested capital
Invested capital, representing the total capital deployed in business operations, follows an upward trajectory across all five periods. Beginning at roughly 29.76 billion USD in 2020, it increases steadily to over 40.71 billion USD by 2024. The growth in invested capital aligns with the rise in equity, supported by generally stable debt levels, implying ongoing investment in operational assets or acquisitions expanding the company's capital base.
Summary
Overall, the company exhibits a strengthening financial position characterized by rising equity and invested capital. While debt levels declined initially, a slight increase in the most recent year suggests a potential strategic shift or operational financing need. The equity surge significantly outpaces debt growth, indicative of robust internal capital generation or equity financing, thus potentially improving solvency and financial flexibility over time.

Cost of Capital

Netflix Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Senior Notes3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Senior Notes. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Senior Notes3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Senior Notes. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Senior Notes3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Senior Notes. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Senior Notes3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Senior Notes. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Senior Notes3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Senior Notes. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Netflix Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Alphabet Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in key performance indicators over the five-year period. Economic profit exhibited significant volatility, alternating between losses and gains. Specifically, economic profit started with a substantial loss in 2020, shifted to a positive value in 2021, then reverted to losses in 2022 and 2023, and finally showed a strong positive recovery in 2024. This pattern indicates variability in the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital during the timeframe.

Invested capital demonstrated a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting from approximately 29.76 billion US dollars in 2020, invested capital increased steadily each year, reaching over 40.7 billion US dollars by the end of 2024. This sustained growth suggests ongoing investment and expansion efforts by the company.

The economic spread ratio, which reflects the difference between the company's return on invested capital and its cost of capital expressed as a percentage, mirrored the direction of economic profit with some correlation. The ratio was negative in 2020, turned positive in 2021, declined again into negative figures in 2022 and 2023, and ultimately surpassed previous levels with a notable positive spread in 2024. The positive spread in 2021 and especially in 2024 indicates periods when the company effectively generated returns exceeding its capital costs, while the negative values in the intervening years signify subpar performance in terms of value creation.

Overall, the data points to strategic shifts or operational changes affecting profitability against capital costs, alongside a persistent increase in the capital base. The marked recovery of economic profit and economic spread in 2024 suggests improved economic viability and profitability that could reflect successful initiatives or market conditions favoring the company in the most recent period.


Economic Profit Margin

Netflix Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Alphabet Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals a fluctuating yet ultimately improving economic performance over the observed periods. The adjusted revenues exhibit a consistent upward trajectory, increasing from approximately 25.19 billion USD in 2020 to nearly 39.08 billion USD in 2024. This steady revenue growth indicates increasing scale or market penetration over the years.

Economic profit, which measures the company's profit after accounting for the cost of capital, shows significant volatility. It started at a substantial negative value of around -1.12 billion USD in 2020, moved to a positive 588 million USD in 2021, then declined again into negative territory for the next two years before rising sharply to a positive 1.81 billion USD in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuating efficiency or profitability, perhaps influenced by cost management, investment levels, or competitive pressures during the period.

Supporting this interpretation, the economic profit margin mirrors the economic profit's volatility. After a negative margin of -4.43% in 2020, it improved to a positive 1.97% in 2021, then declined to negative margins of -3.32% and -2.26% in 2022 and 2023 respectively, before surging to a positive 4.63% in 2024. The final year's margin exceeds all previous positive margins, indicating a stronger return on invested capital relative to revenue than in prior years.

Overall, despite the cyclical nature of economic profitability, the data indicates advancing revenue growth accompanied by notable improvements in economic profit and margin by the end of the period. The positive economic profit and margin in 2024 reflect an enhanced capacity to generate value above the cost of capital, signaling improved financial health and operational effectiveness at the close of the reported years.