Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Marathon Oil Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Net Profit Margin since 2005
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
- Analysis of Debt
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Economic Profit
Marathon Oil Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT figures exhibit substantial volatility over the five-year period. The year 2017 shows a significant negative value of -659 million USD, indicating operational losses after taxes. This sharply reverses in 2018 with a positive profit of 1,350 million USD, followed by a decline to 654 million USD in 2019. In 2020, NOPAT again falls deeply into negative territory at -1,242 million USD, before recovering to a positive 1,116 million USD in 2021. This pattern suggests fluctuating operational performance with alternating profitable and loss-making years.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital remains relatively high throughout the period, fluctuating between approximately 21.6% and 28.3%. It was lowest in 2019 at 21.59% and increased to its highest level in 2021 at 28.33%. The cost of capital demonstrates a generally increasing trend from 2019 onward, which may indicate growing risks or changes in the market environment impacting financing costs.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital exhibits a declining trend across the reported years. Starting at 17,726 million USD in 2017, it slightly decreased in 2018 and 2019, followed by a more marked reduction to 16,214 million USD in 2020 and further to 14,862 million USD in 2021. The consistent drop in invested capital suggests a contraction in asset base or divestment activities during this timeframe.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit remains negative throughout all five years, indicating that the returns generated do not cover the cost of capital. Although the losses are high, there is some improvement from -5,127 million USD in 2017 to -3,095 million USD in 2021. However, the figures fluctuate, with temporary periods of slight worsening such as in 2020 when economic profit declined again to -4,873 million USD. Overall, the company has struggled to generate value over and above its capital costs during this period.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Marathon Oil Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserve for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).
4 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).
7 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
9 Elimination of discontinued operations.
- Net income (loss)
- The net income demonstrated significant volatility over the five-year period. In 2017, the company experienced a substantial loss of $5,723 million. This negative outcome was followed by a strong recovery in 2018, with net income rising to a positive $1,096 million. However, the subsequent years showed fluctuating performance, with a decline to $480 million in 2019, then a return to a loss of $1,451 million in 2020. The year 2021 saw another recovery, bringing net income back to a positive $946 million. The trend indicates cyclical financial performance with significant swings between profit and loss.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT followed a broadly similar pattern to net income, reflecting operational profitability after tax considerations. In 2017, NOPAT was negative at $659 million, switching to a positive $1,350 million in 2018, which aligns with the recovery in net income that year. The profit reduced to $654 million in 2019 and fell again to a loss of $1,242 million in 2020, paralleling the downturn in net income. In 2021, NOPAT increased to $1,116 million, indicating improved operational efficiency or market conditions. This pattern suggests that operational profitability was a significant factor in the company's overall net income variability.
Cash Operating Taxes
Marathon Oil Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
- Income Tax Provisions (Benefits)
- The income tax provisions experienced a notable fluctuation over the analyzed period. Starting at a relatively high positive figure in 2017 with 376 million US dollars, the value decreased to 331 million in 2018. In 2019 and 2020, the provisions turned negative, reflecting benefits rather than expenses, with -88 million and -14 million US dollars respectively. This shift indicates a period of tax benefits or credits. In 2021, the figure returned to a positive value of 58 million US dollars, though this amount remains significantly lower than the earlier years, suggesting a partial return to tax liabilities but not to previous levels.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes displayed a steep decline from 2017 to 2019, falling from 559 million US dollars down to a minimal 1 million. This sharp reduction suggests substantial changes in taxable operating activities or enhanced tax strategies during these years. A gradual increase followed in 2020 and 2021, reaching 66 million and 139 million US dollars, respectively. Despite this recovery, the 2021 value remains well below the levels observed in 2017 and 2018, indicating that the company's cash tax payments have not reverted to prior higher levels.
Invested Capital
Marathon Oil Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases demonstrated a relatively stable trend from 2017 to 2020 with slight fluctuations, starting at $5,600 million in 2017 and peaking modestly at $5,709 million in 2019. However, there was a significant reduction in 2021, where the figure dropped sharply to $4,107 million, indicating a considerable deleveraging effort or repayment of debt and leases during that year.
- Stockholders’ Equity
- Stockholders’ equity showed moderate growth between 2017 and 2019, increasing from $11,708 million in 2017 to $12,153 million in 2019. This was followed by a decline in 2020 down to $10,561 million, likely reflecting the impact of market or operational challenges during that period. In 2021, equity stabilized somewhat with a slight increase to $10,686 million, suggesting a period of recovery or improved financial performance.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital exhibited an overall downward trend over the five-year period. Beginning at $17,726 million in 2017, it remained relatively steady through 2018 and 2019 but declined sharply in 2020 to $16,214 million and further decreased in 2021 to $14,862 million. This decrease may indicate asset disposals, decreased capital expenditures, or a strategic shift in the company’s investment approach.
- Summary Insights
- Over the five-year span, the company appeared to strategically reduce its financial leverage, as evidenced by the significant decline in total reported debt and leases in 2021. This deleveraging was concurrent with a reduction in invested capital, possibly reflecting a realignment of capital allocation or divestitures. Stockholders’ equity experienced volatility, with a peak around 2019 followed by a contraction and slight rebound, which may be connected to broader market conditions or company-specific operational factors. Overall, the financial data indicates a trend toward lower debt levels and reduced invested capital, alongside a cautious stabilization of equity in the latest period.
Cost of Capital
Marathon Oil Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Marathon Oil Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit shows a consistent negative value throughout the five-year period, indicating that the company did not generate returns exceeding its cost of capital. It improved from -5127 million USD in 2017 to -3095 million USD in 2021, although this improvement was not linear. Notably, there was a worsening in 2020 compared to 2019, which may reflect adverse operating conditions or lower profitability during that year.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital demonstrates a decreasing trend over the period. Starting at 17726 million USD in 2017, it declined steadily to 14862 million USD in 2021. This reduction may suggest asset divestitures, capital expenditure reductions, or operational downsizing. The substantial drop between 2019 and 2020 indicates a particularly significant contraction in invested capital during that timeframe.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, which reflects the differential between return on invested capital and the cost of capital, remains negative across all years, signaling returns below the cost of capital. The ratio improved from -28.92% in 2017 to -20.82% in 2021, which aligns with the partial recovery in economic profit. However, the spread's magnitude increased unfavorably in 2020, highlighting a period where the company's profitability relative to capital costs deteriorated notably.
Economic Profit Margin
Marathon Oil Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit exhibited a generally negative trend throughout the periods analyzed. It started at -5127 million US dollars in 2017 and improved significantly in 2018 to -3269 million US dollars. This improvement trend continued slightly into 2019 with -3222 million US dollars. However, in 2020, economic profit deteriorated sharply to -4873 million US dollars before improving again in 2021 to -3095 million US dollars. Overall, the economic profit remains substantially negative, indicating persistent value destruction over the years, despite some recovery periods.
- Revenues
- Revenues showed a volatile pattern across the five years. From 4373 million US dollars in 2017, revenues increased notably to 5902 million US dollars in 2018. However, a decline was observed in 2019 when revenues dropped to 5063 million US dollars, followed by a more pronounced decrease in 2020 to 3097 million US dollars. By 2021, revenues recovered substantially to 5601 million US dollars. The fluctuations suggest sensitivity to external market conditions or operational changes during this period, with a strong rebound in the most recent year.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin remained negative throughout, reinforcing the ongoing challenges in generating value relative to revenues. Starting from -117.24% in 2017, the margin improved significantly to -55.39% in 2018. The percentage worsened slightly to -63.64% in 2019, then deteriorated considerably in 2020 to -157.33%, indicating very poor profitability relative to revenue during this year. By 2021, the margin recovered to a level similar to 2018 at -55.26%. This pattern corresponds closely with the trends observed in economic profit and revenues, emphasizing a period of instability followed by partial recovery.