Economic Value Added (EVA)
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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Marathon Oil Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Statement of Comprehensive Income
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Analysis of Geographic Areas
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Economic Profit
Marathon Oil Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT figures exhibit significant fluctuations over the five-year period. Initially, there was a negative value in 2017, followed by a sharp improvement in 2018, reaching a peak of 1350 million USD. However, this positive trend was not sustained, as NOPAT decreased substantially in 2019 and turned negative again in 2020 at -1242 million USD. The year 2021 marked a recovery with a positive NOPAT of 1116 million USD, indicating volatility but an overall recovery tendency towards the end of the period.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital showed a generally increasing trend, starting at 24.59% in 2017 and gradually rising to 27.64% in 2021. There were minor fluctuations during the years, with a slight dip observed in 2019, but the overall trajectory indicates a rising cost of capital, peaking in 2021, which could imply increased risk or capital expenses for the company.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a declining pattern through the period under review. Beginning at 17,726 million USD in 2017, it marginally decreased in 2018 and 2019, followed by a more pronounced reduction in 2020 and 2021, where it reached 14,862 million USD. This downward trend suggests a contraction in the company’s capital base, possibly due to divestitures, asset sales, or reduced reinvestment.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit remained consistently negative throughout the five years, indicating that the company did not generate returns above its cost of capital during this period. Although the magnitude of negative economic profit lessened somewhat in 2018 and 2019, it worsened again in 2020 before improving in 2021, yet never reaching profitability. This persistent negative economic profit underlines challenges in value creation relative to capital costs.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Marathon Oil Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserve for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).
4 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).
7 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
9 Elimination of discontinued operations.
- Net income (loss)
- The net income demonstrated significant volatility over the five-year period. In 2017, the company experienced a substantial loss of $5,723 million. This negative outcome was followed by a strong recovery in 2018, with net income rising to a positive $1,096 million. However, the subsequent years showed fluctuating performance, with a decline to $480 million in 2019, then a return to a loss of $1,451 million in 2020. The year 2021 saw another recovery, bringing net income back to a positive $946 million. The trend indicates cyclical financial performance with significant swings between profit and loss.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT followed a broadly similar pattern to net income, reflecting operational profitability after tax considerations. In 2017, NOPAT was negative at $659 million, switching to a positive $1,350 million in 2018, which aligns with the recovery in net income that year. The profit reduced to $654 million in 2019 and fell again to a loss of $1,242 million in 2020, paralleling the downturn in net income. In 2021, NOPAT increased to $1,116 million, indicating improved operational efficiency or market conditions. This pattern suggests that operational profitability was a significant factor in the company's overall net income variability.
Cash Operating Taxes
Marathon Oil Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
- Income Tax Provisions (Benefits)
- The income tax provisions experienced a notable fluctuation over the analyzed period. Starting at a relatively high positive figure in 2017 with 376 million US dollars, the value decreased to 331 million in 2018. In 2019 and 2020, the provisions turned negative, reflecting benefits rather than expenses, with -88 million and -14 million US dollars respectively. This shift indicates a period of tax benefits or credits. In 2021, the figure returned to a positive value of 58 million US dollars, though this amount remains significantly lower than the earlier years, suggesting a partial return to tax liabilities but not to previous levels.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes displayed a steep decline from 2017 to 2019, falling from 559 million US dollars down to a minimal 1 million. This sharp reduction suggests substantial changes in taxable operating activities or enhanced tax strategies during these years. A gradual increase followed in 2020 and 2021, reaching 66 million and 139 million US dollars, respectively. Despite this recovery, the 2021 value remains well below the levels observed in 2017 and 2018, indicating that the company's cash tax payments have not reverted to prior higher levels.
Invested Capital
Marathon Oil Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases demonstrated a relatively stable trend from 2017 to 2020 with slight fluctuations, starting at $5,600 million in 2017 and peaking modestly at $5,709 million in 2019. However, there was a significant reduction in 2021, where the figure dropped sharply to $4,107 million, indicating a considerable deleveraging effort or repayment of debt and leases during that year.
- Stockholders’ Equity
- Stockholders’ equity showed moderate growth between 2017 and 2019, increasing from $11,708 million in 2017 to $12,153 million in 2019. This was followed by a decline in 2020 down to $10,561 million, likely reflecting the impact of market or operational challenges during that period. In 2021, equity stabilized somewhat with a slight increase to $10,686 million, suggesting a period of recovery or improved financial performance.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital exhibited an overall downward trend over the five-year period. Beginning at $17,726 million in 2017, it remained relatively steady through 2018 and 2019 but declined sharply in 2020 to $16,214 million and further decreased in 2021 to $14,862 million. This decrease may indicate asset disposals, decreased capital expenditures, or a strategic shift in the company’s investment approach.
- Summary Insights
- Over the five-year span, the company appeared to strategically reduce its financial leverage, as evidenced by the significant decline in total reported debt and leases in 2021. This deleveraging was concurrent with a reduction in invested capital, possibly reflecting a realignment of capital allocation or divestitures. Stockholders’ equity experienced volatility, with a peak around 2019 followed by a contraction and slight rebound, which may be connected to broader market conditions or company-specific operational factors. Overall, the financial data indicates a trend toward lower debt levels and reduced invested capital, alongside a cautious stabilization of equity in the latest period.
Cost of Capital
Marathon Oil Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Marathon Oil Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
| Occidental Petroleum Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit consistently remained negative over the five-year period, indicating the company did not generate returns exceeding its cost of capital in any year. The value improved from -5018 million US$ in 2017 to -2992 million US$ in 2021, though there were fluctuations, including a temporary decline reaching -4787 million US$ in 2020. The overall trend shows a partial recovery but still reflects persistent economic losses.
- Invested Capital
- There was a gradual decrease in invested capital from 17,726 million US$ in 2017 to 14,862 million US$ in 2021. The reduction was relatively steady with a small increase observed in 2019 compared to 2018, but the general direction was downward. This decline in invested capital might suggest divestitures, asset sales, or a more conservative investment approach over the period.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout the period, indicating that the returns on invested capital were below the cost of capital, contributing to the negative economic profits. The ratio improved slightly from -28.31% in 2017 to -20.13% in 2021, despite a worsening in 2020 when it dropped to -29.52%. This pattern underscores ongoing challenges in achieving returns sufficient to cover the capital costs, though some progress toward improvement is evident by the end of the period.
Economic Profit Margin
Marathon Oil Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
| Occidental Petroleum Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Revenues
- Revenues experienced fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at $4,373 million in 2017, revenues increased significantly to $5,902 million in 2018, followed by a decline to $5,063 million in 2019. The most notable drop occurred in 2020 when revenues fell sharply to $3,097 million. However, revenues recovered in 2021, rising again to $5,601 million, nearing pre-2019 levels.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit remained negative throughout the period, indicating consistent economic losses. It started at -$5,018 million in 2017 and improved somewhat in 2018 to -$3,158 million. The losses stayed relatively stable in 2019, at -$3,131 million. In 2020, economic profit deteriorated markedly to -$4,787 million, coinciding with the significant revenue decline. Improvement was noted in 2021, with economic losses reducing to -$2,992 million.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin was consistently negative, reflecting losses relative to revenues. The margin was extremely negative in 2017 at -114.76%, improving to -53.5% in 2018. Although there was a slight deterioration to -61.85% in 2019, the margin worsened substantially in 2020 to -154.57%, indicating losses exceeding revenues. By 2021, the margin improved again to -53.42%, similar to 2018 levels.
- Overall Trends and Insights
- The data indicates that the company struggled to generate positive economic profit throughout the five-year span. Revenue volatility, notably the sharp decline during 2020, likely contributed to the deepening economic losses that year. The subsequent recovery in revenues in 2021 helped improve the economic profit and margin but did not reverse losses entirely. The persistently negative economic profit margins highlight ongoing challenges in achieving profitability relative to the company's revenue base.