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Carnival Corp. & plc pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2024-02-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-02-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-11-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-05-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-02-28).
- Revenue Composition
- The proportion of revenue derived from passenger tickets generally declined from around 74% in early 2018 to a low near 11-12% during much of 2020 and early 2021, reflecting significant disruption. From mid-2021 onwards, a recovery is evident, with this percentage rising steadily toward mid-60% by early 2024. In contrast, onboard and other revenues as a percentage of total revenues increased from around 26% in early 2018 to a peak of 100% in mid-2020, before declining and stabilizing around 33-34% by early 2024. This shift indicates a temporary reliance on non-ticket revenue sources during the disruption period.
- Cost Structure and Operating Expenses
- Cruise and tour operating expenses as a percentage of revenues showed significant volatility. Normally ranging between approximately -50% to -74% before 2020, these expenses dramatically increased in magnitude during 2020, reaching extreme negative values exceeding -4900%, reflecting extraordinary impairment or write-downs. Subsequently, these expenses decreased in severity but remained elevated relative to pre-2020 levels through 2023, indicating ongoing cost pressures. Other major operating expense categories such as payroll, fuel, food, and other operating expenses exhibited a similar pattern of sharp increases in cost ratios during 2020, followed by partial normalization in subsequent periods.
- Profitability Trends
- Gross profit margins fluctuated significantly. Positive margins around 30-50% before 2020 turned sharply negative during 2020, coinciding with pandemic impacts. From 2021 through early 2024, margins improved gradually, returning to positive territory and approaching mid-to-high 20% to low 40% ranges in recent quarters. Operating income exhibited parallel swings, with positive income prior to 2020, massive losses during the height of disruptions, and gradual recovery afterward, though still below pre-2020 levels. Net income followed a similar pattern, experiencing deep losses in 2020, with continued volatility and partial recovery into early 2024.
- Interest, Impairments, and Nonoperating Items
- Interest expense increased sharply during 2020, peaking at extremely high negative percentages relative to revenues, indicating elevated financing costs. Debt extinguishment and modification costs emerged as a notable expense from late 2020, contributing to elevated non-operating losses. Goodwill impairments and ship and other impairments spiked dramatically in 2020 and early 2021, reflecting significant asset write-downs. Gains on fuel derivatives were minimal and inconsistent, while other income and nonoperating income showed elevated negative impacts during the disruption period, partially abating in later quarters.
- Summary of Operational Recovery
- Overall, the data clearly capture severe operational disruptions during 2020, characterized by sharp declines in ticket revenue share, extreme negative profitability measures, and large impairments and costs. A pattern of gradual recovery is observed starting mid-2021, with improving revenue composition, declining operating losses or improving profits, and normalization of cost ratios. Despite ongoing challenges, financial metrics indicate a trajectory toward stabilization by early 2024.