Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:WBA)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since July 9, 2020.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 5,719 5,934 5,246 4,855 5,501 3,086
Cost of capital2 10.04% 11.25% 11.36% 11.43% 11.78% 11.30%
Invested capital3 77,429 76,286 76,485 85,356 80,730 55,001
 
Economic profit4 (2,052) (2,646) (3,444) (4,904) (4,010) (3,130)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2019 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 5,719 – 10.04% × 77,429 = -2,052


The analysis of economic profit from 2014 to 2019 reveals a period of consistent value destruction, characterized by negative economic profit throughout the timeframe. However, a distinct recovery trend emerged after 2016, as the company successfully reduced the magnitude of its economic losses.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT demonstrated significant growth over the observed period, rising from 3,086 million in 2014 to a peak of 5,934 million in 2018. While there was a slight contraction to 5,719 million in 2019, the overall trend indicates a substantial increase in the company's ability to generate operating earnings.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital experienced a sharp expansion between 2014 and 2016, peaking at 85,356 million. After 2016, a trend of capital optimization is observed, with the balance stabilizing between 76,286 million and 77,429 million. The cost of capital remained relatively stagnant around the 11% mark for five years before decreasing to 10.04% in 2019, reducing the overall capital charge.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit declined from -3,130 million in 2014 to a trough of -4,904 million in 2016, a period that coincided with the peak in invested capital. From 2017 through 2019, the economic profit trend reversed, improving steadily to -2,052 million. This recovery was driven by the convergence of increasing NOPAT and a more disciplined approach to invested capital, alongside a reduction in the cost of capital in the final year.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Net earnings attributable to Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. 3,982 5,024 4,078 4,173 4,220 1,932
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 100 (324) (434) (429) (39) 175
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 20 (83) (8) (6) (1) 19
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 200 200 300 200 200
Increase (decrease) in liabilities related to the exit and disposal activities4 147 150 324
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 467 (257) 82 (135) 160 394
Interest expense, net 704 616 693 596 605 156
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 929 945 943 901 1,028 860
Adjusted interest expense, net 1,633 1,561 1,636 1,497 1,633 1,016
Tax benefit of interest expense, net7 (343) (401) (573) (524) (572) (356)
Adjusted interest expense, net, after taxes8 1,290 1,160 1,063 973 1,062 661
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (268)
Investment income, before taxes (268)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9 94
Investment income, after taxes10 (174)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (20) 7 23 18 59 99
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 5,719 5,934 5,246 4,855 5,501 3,086

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in liabilities related to the exit and disposal activities.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc..

6 2019 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 26,628 × 3.49% = 929

7 2019 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net = Adjusted interest expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,633 × 21.00% = 343

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc..

9 2019 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 0 × 21.00% = 0

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net earnings attributable to Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc.
The net earnings exhibit volatility over the six-year period. Starting at 1,932 million USD in 2014, there is a significant increase to 4,220 million USD in 2015. This level is mostly sustained through 2016 and 2017, with values of 4,173 and 4,078 million USD respectively. In 2018, net earnings peak at 5,024 million USD, marking the highest point in the period analyzed. However, a decline occurs in 2019, where earnings fall to 3,982 million USD, indicating a downward shift after the 2018 peak.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows an overall upward trend with some fluctuations. Beginning at 3,086 million USD in 2014, it rises sharply to 5,501 million USD in 2015. After this peak, it dips to 4,855 million USD in 2016, before increasing again in 2017 and 2018 to 5,246 and 5,934 million USD respectively. The highest NOPAT value is recorded in 2018. In 2019, NOPAT slightly decreases to 5,719 million USD but remains close to the peak level, indicating relatively stable operating profitability in recent years compared to net earnings.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Income tax provision 588 998 760 997 1,056 1,526
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 100 (324) (434) (429) (39) 175
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net 343 401 573 524 572 356
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 94
Cash operating taxes 831 1,723 1,767 1,856 1,667 1,707

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).


Income Tax Provision
The income tax provision exhibited a general downward trend from 2014 to 2019. Beginning at $1,526 million in 2014, the figure decreased steadily through subsequent years, reaching $588 million in 2019. Notably, the most significant decline occurred between 2017 and 2019.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes remained relatively stable between 2014 and 2018, fluctuating within a narrow range from $1,667 million to $1,856 million. However, in 2019, there was a sharp decrease to $831 million, which represents a substantial reduction compared to the previous years.
Overall Observations
Both income tax provision and cash operating taxes showed significant declines by 2019 compared to earlier periods. While income tax provision steadily decreased over the years, cash operating taxes were stable for several years before dropping markedly in the last year observed. These trends may reflect changes in tax policies, operational adjustments, or shifts in taxable income and cash tax payments.

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Invested Capital

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Short-term debt 5,738 1,966 251 323 1,068 774
Long-term debt 11,098 12,431 12,684 18,705 13,315 3,736
Operating lease liability1 26,628 26,624 26,194 27,480 29,803 27,399
Total reported debt & leases 43,464 41,021 39,129 46,508 44,186 31,909
Total Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. shareholders’ equity 23,512 26,007 27,466 29,880 30,861 20,457
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 1,724 1,750 2,274 2,641 3,541 1,123
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 95 75 158 166 172 173
LIFO reserve4 3,200 3,000 3,000 2,800 2,500 2,300
Liabilities related to the exit and disposal activities5 897 750 600
Equity equivalents6 5,916 5,575 6,032 5,607 6,213 3,596
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 3,897 3,002 3,051 2,992 214 (178)
Noncontrolling interests 640 682 808 401 439 104
Adjusted total Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. shareholders’ equity 33,965 35,266 37,357 38,880 37,727 23,979
Available-for-sale investments8 (1) (1) (32) (1,183) (887)
Invested capital 77,429 76,286 76,485 85,356 80,730 55,001

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of liabilities related to the exit and disposal activities.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. shareholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of available-for-sale investments.


The financial data reveals several notable trends concerning the company's capital structure and invested capital over the six-year period ending in 2019.

Total reported debt & leases
This figure shows an overall increasing trend from 31,909 million USD in 2014 to 43,464 million USD in 2019, with a peak at 46,508 million USD in 2016. After reaching this peak, there is a decline in 2017 to 39,129 million USD, followed by a gradual increase again through 2018 and 2019. This pattern suggests a significant increase in leveraging activities up to 2016, some deleveraging or repayment in 2017, and subsequent additional borrowings or lease liabilities through 2019.
Total shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity exhibits a declining trend over the period. Starting at 20,457 million USD in 2014, the equity rose sharply to 30,861 million USD in 2015 but then continuously decreased each year thereafter to 23,512 million USD by 2019. This reduction over time indicates a depletion of equity capital, which could be attributed to factors such as sustained net losses, dividend distributions exceeding net income, share repurchases, or other equity-reducing activities.
Invested capital
The invested capital closely aligns with the combined effect of debt and equity, representing the total capital used in operations. It increased substantially from 55,001 million USD in 2014 to a peak of 85,356 million USD in 2016. Following this peak, invested capital decreased to 76,485 million USD in 2017 and remained relatively stable, with a slight increase, reaching 77,429 million USD by 2019. This behavior suggests expansion or acquisition activity up to 2016, followed by a period of consolidation or capital optimization in subsequent years.

In summary, the company experienced considerable growth in debt financing and invested capital until 2016, accompanied by an initial rise and then a steady decline in shareholders' equity. The data implies a strategic shift post-2016, characterized by deleveraging and stabilization of invested capital, while equity erosion continued, highlighting potential risks related to capital structure and financial sustainability.

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Cost of Capital

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 49,804 49,804 ÷ 93,844 = 0.53 0.53 × 16.47% = 8.74%
Borrowings3 17,413 17,413 ÷ 93,844 = 0.19 0.19 × 3.49% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.51%
Operating lease liability4 26,628 26,628 ÷ 93,844 = 0.28 0.28 × 3.49% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.78%
Total: 93,844 1.00 10.04%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 67,296 67,296 ÷ 108,160 = 0.62 0.62 × 16.47% = 10.25%
Borrowings3 14,240 14,240 ÷ 108,160 = 0.13 0.13 × 3.55% × (1 – 25.70%) = 0.35%
Operating lease liability4 26,624 26,624 ÷ 108,160 = 0.25 0.25 × 3.55% × (1 – 25.70%) = 0.65%
Total: 108,160 1.00 11.25%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 70,022 70,022 ÷ 109,692 = 0.64 0.64 × 16.47% = 10.52%
Borrowings3 13,475 13,475 ÷ 109,692 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.60% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.29%
Operating lease liability4 26,194 26,194 ÷ 109,692 = 0.24 0.24 × 3.60% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.56%
Total: 109,692 1.00 11.36%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 87,768 87,768 ÷ 135,335 = 0.65 0.65 × 16.47% = 10.68%
Borrowings3 20,088 20,088 ÷ 135,335 = 0.15 0.15 × 3.28% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.32%
Operating lease liability4 27,480 27,480 ÷ 135,335 = 0.20 0.20 × 3.28% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.43%
Total: 135,335 1.00 11.43%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 92,493 92,493 ÷ 138,008 = 0.67 0.67 × 16.47% = 11.04%
Borrowings3 15,712 15,712 ÷ 138,008 = 0.11 0.11 × 3.45% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.26%
Operating lease liability4 29,803 29,803 ÷ 138,008 = 0.22 0.22 × 3.45% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.48%
Total: 138,008 1.00 11.78%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 57,213 57,213 ÷ 89,168 = 0.64 0.64 × 16.47% = 10.57%
Borrowings3 4,556 4,556 ÷ 89,168 = 0.05 0.05 × 3.14% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.10%
Operating lease liability4 27,399 27,399 ÷ 89,168 = 0.31 0.31 × 3.14% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.63%
Total: 89,168 1.00 11.30%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (2,052) (2,646) (3,444) (4,904) (4,010) (3,130)
Invested capital2 77,429 76,286 76,485 85,356 80,730 55,001
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -2.65% -3.47% -4.50% -5.75% -4.97% -5.69%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Costco Wholesale Corp.
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2019 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -2,052 ÷ 77,429 = -2.65%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between 2014 and 2019 is characterized by a consistent failure to achieve positive economic value added, although a sustained trajectory of improvement is evident from 2016 onward.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative throughout the analyzed period. A downward trend was observed initially, with losses widening from 3,130 million US dollars in 2014 to a peak deficit of 4,904 million US dollars in 2016. Following this trough, a consistent recovery occurred, reducing the economic loss to 2,052 million US dollars by August 31, 2019.
Invested Capital Fluctuations
Invested capital saw a sharp increase in the early part of the period, rising from 55,001 million US dollars in 2014 to 85,356 million US dollars in 2016. From 2017 to 2019, the capital base entered a phase of relative stabilization, maintaining a range between approximately 76,286 million and 77,429 million US dollars.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio remained negative for the entire duration, indicating that the return on invested capital consistently fell below the weighted average cost of capital. After reaching a low of -5.75% in 2016, the ratio improved steadily each subsequent year, narrowing to -2.65% by 2019. This steady progression suggests a gradual reduction in the gap between actual returns and the required cost of capital, signaling improved capital efficiency over time.

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Economic Profit Margin

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Aug 31, 2019 Aug 31, 2018 Aug 31, 2017 Aug 31, 2016 Aug 31, 2015 Aug 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (2,052) (2,646) (3,444) (4,904) (4,010) (3,130)
Sales 136,866 131,537 118,214 117,351 103,444 76,392
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -1.50% -2.01% -2.91% -4.18% -3.88% -4.10%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Costco Wholesale Corp.
Target Corp.
Walmart Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-08-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-08-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2019 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × -2,052 ÷ 136,866 = -1.50%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2014 to 2019 is characterized by consistent negative economic profit, indicating that the company did not generate returns sufficient to cover its cost of capital during this period. However, a distinct trend of recovery is observable starting in 2017, as the magnitude of economic loss decreased steadily despite significant growth in total sales.

Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit exhibited a volatile trajectory, initially declining from -3,130 million US$ in 2014 to a peak loss of -4,904 million US$ in 2016. Following this trough, a consistent recovery phase occurred, with losses narrowing to -3,444 million US$ in 2017, -2,646 million US$ in 2018, and reaching -2,052 million US$ by 2019. This represents a substantial reduction in economic value destruction over the final three years of the analyzed period.
Sales Expansion
Revenue demonstrated uninterrupted growth throughout the six-year interval. Sales increased from 76,392 million US$ in 2014 to 136,866 million US$ in 2019. The most significant jump occurred between 2014 and 2015, where sales rose by approximately 35%. This sustained growth in the top line provided the scale necessary to begin mitigating the economic losses observed in the earlier years.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin, which measures the economic loss relative to sales, remained negative but showed an improving trend after 2016. The margin dipped to its lowest point of -4.18% in 2016, correlating with the highest absolute economic loss. Subsequently, the margin improved markedly to -2.91% in 2017, -2.01% in 2018, and -1.50% in 2019. The steady contraction of this negative margin suggests an increase in capital efficiency and a gradual convergence toward positive economic value creation.

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