Stock Analysis on Net

CSX Corp. (NASDAQ:CSX)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 20, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

CSX Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 4,863 4,534 3,545 4,174 4,106
Cost of capital2 14.56% 14.53% 13.97% 14.14% 14.49%
Invested capital3 38,278 37,644 37,637 34,802 34,219
 
Economic profit4 (712) (936) (1,713) (746) (852)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 4,86314.56% × 38,278 = -712


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

CSX Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net earnings 4,166 3,781 2,765 3,331 3,309
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 117 167 180 273 279
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2 5 (2) 4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 122 167 178 277 279
Interest expense 742 722 754 737 639
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 28 27 25 28 49
Adjusted interest expense 770 749 779 765 688
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (162) (157) (164) (161) (144)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 608 591 615 604 544
Interest income (42) (7) (17) (48) (32)
Investment income, before taxes (42) (7) (17) (48) (32)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7 9 1 4 10 7
Investment income, after taxes8 (33) (6) (13) (38) (25)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 4,863 4,534 3,545 4,174 4,106

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 557 × 5.00% = 28

5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 770 × 21.00% = 162

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

7 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 42 × 21.00% = 9

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals several key trends concerning profitability over the analyzed five-year period. Net earnings exhibited an initial slight increase from 2018 to 2019, growing marginally from 3,309 million USD to 3,331 million USD. This was followed by a noticeable decline in 2020 down to 2,765 million USD, indicating a downturn in earnings performance during that year. Subsequently, net earnings demonstrated a robust recovery, increasing significantly to 3,781 million USD in 2021 and further to 4,166 million USD in 2022, surpassing earlier results. This indicates a strong rebound and an overall positive trajectory post-2020.

Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibits a pattern comparable to net earnings, although at consistently higher absolute values. From 2018 to 2019, NOPAT increased slightly from 4,106 million USD to 4,174 million USD, similar to the initial net earnings rise. In 2020, NOPAT declined noticeably to 3,545 million USD, coinciding with the drop observed in net earnings. Afterwards, there was a marked recovery in 2021, with NOPAT rising to 4,534 million USD and continuing upward to 4,863 million USD in 2022, reflecting improvement in operational profitability.

Net Earnings Trends
- Slight growth from 2018 to 2019
- Decline in 2020, possibly reflecting adverse conditions
- Strong recovery and growth in 2021 and 2022, reaching record highs in the period
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
- Positive growth early in the period (2018-2019)
- Decrease in 2020 aligned with net earnings downturn
- Significant rebound in 2021 and continued growth in 2022, indicating operational efficiency improvements
Overall Insight
The data suggests resilience in profitability following a challenging 2020, with both net earnings and NOPAT showing strong recovery and growth thereafter. Operational profits consistently exceeded net earnings, implying favorable non-operating factors or financial management contributing positively to net results.

Cash Operating Taxes

CSX Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Income tax expense 1,248 1,170 862 985 995
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 117 167 180 273 279
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 162 157 164 161 144
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 9 1 4 10 7
Cash operating taxes 1,284 1,159 842 862 854

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


The financial data reflects the progression of income tax expense and cash operating taxes from 2018 to 2022, measured in millions of US dollars.

Income Tax Expense
This item shows a fluctuating but generally increasing trend across the five-year period. The expense declined slightly from 995 million in 2018 to 985 million in 2019, followed by a more noticeable decrease to 862 million in 2020. However, from 2020 onward, there was a significant rise to 1,170 million in 2021 and a further increase to 1,248 million in 2022, surpassing earlier years’ figures.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes exhibit a similar pattern to income tax expense. Starting at 854 million in 2018, the value increased marginally to 862 million in 2019, then decreased moderately to 842 million in 2020. Subsequently, there was a considerable rise to 1,159 million in 2021 and an additional increase to 1,284 million in 2022. The growth in 2021 and 2022 was strong enough to exceed the levels observed prior to 2020.

Overall, both income tax expense and cash operating taxes suffered declines in 2020, possibly reflecting economic conditions or operational factors impacting taxable income or tax payments during that year. The subsequent two years show recovery and robust increases, indicating higher taxable profits or changes in tax rates or policies. Notably, cash operating taxes slightly outpaced income tax expense in the last two years, which could suggest timing differences or changes in tax payment structures.


Invested Capital

CSX Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Current maturities of long-term debt 151 181 401 245 18
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 17,896 16,185 16,304 15,993 14,739
Operating lease liability1 557 542 500 550 303
Total reported debt & leases 18,604 16,908 17,205 16,788 15,060
Shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX 12,615 13,490 13,101 11,848 12,563
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 7,569 7,383 7,168 6,961 6,690
Allowance for credit losses3 33 28 28 30 26
Equity equivalents4 7,602 7,411 7,196 6,991 6,716
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 388 408 598 675 661
Non-controlling minority interest 10 10 9 15 17
Adjusted shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX 20,615 21,319 20,904 19,529 19,957
Construction in progress6 (745) (419) (371) (431) (457)
Investments at fair value7 (196) (164) (101) (1,084) (341)
Invested capital 38,278 37,644 37,637 34,802 34,219

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of investments at fair value.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrated an overall increasing trend across the observed periods. Starting at $15,060 million at the end of 2018, the figure rose steadily to $18,604 million by the end of 2022. There was a noticeable increment from 2019 to 2020, followed by a slight decline in 2021, and then an uptick again in 2022 reaching the highest value in the series.
Shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX
Shareholders’ equity showed fluctuations during the five-year period. Beginning at $12,563 million in 2018, it decreased to $11,848 million in 2019. Subsequently, the equity improved, peaking at $13,490 million in 2021, before declining again to $12,615 million in 2022. This pattern suggests variable equity performance with no consistent growth trajectory.
Invested capital
Invested capital displayed a consistent growth pattern over the period examined. The value increased incrementally from $34,219 million in 2018 to $38,278 million in 2022. The growth was steady with modest year-to-year increases, indicating a gradual expansion of the capital base over time.

Cost of Capital

CSX Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 65,323 65,323 ÷ 82,015 = 0.80 0.80 × 17.43% = 13.88%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 16,135 16,135 ÷ 82,015 = 0.20 0.20 × 4.22% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.66%
Operating lease liability4 557 557 ÷ 82,015 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 82,015 1.00 14.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 77,142 77,142 ÷ 97,123 = 0.79 0.79 × 17.43% = 13.84%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 19,439 19,439 ÷ 97,123 = 0.20 0.20 × 4.22% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.67%
Operating lease liability4 542 542 ÷ 97,123 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 97,123 1.00 14.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 67,230 67,230 ÷ 88,806 = 0.76 0.76 × 17.43% = 13.19%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 21,076 21,076 ÷ 88,806 = 0.24 0.24 × 4.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.75%
Operating lease liability4 500 500 ÷ 88,806 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 88,806 1.00 13.97%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 61,519 61,519 ÷ 80,572 = 0.76 0.76 × 17.43% = 13.31%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 18,503 18,503 ÷ 80,572 = 0.23 0.23 × 4.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.80%
Operating lease liability4 550 550 ÷ 80,572 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 80,572 1.00 14.14%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 55,544 55,544 ÷ 70,761 = 0.78 0.78 × 17.43% = 13.68%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 14,914 14,914 ÷ 70,761 = 0.21 0.21 × 4.53% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.75%
Operating lease liability4 303 303 ÷ 70,761 = 0.00 0.00 × 16.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 70,761 1.00 14.49%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

CSX Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (712) (936) (1,713) (746) (852)
Invested capital2 38,278 37,644 37,637 34,802 34,219
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -1.86% -2.49% -4.55% -2.14% -2.49%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp. -3.66% -0.88% -5.83%
Uber Technologies Inc. -72.60% -21.76% -49.00%
Union Pacific Corp. 0.24% -0.61% -2.18%
United Airlines Holdings Inc. -2.78% -9.78% -25.33%
United Parcel Service Inc. 15.20% 20.98% -9.10%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -712 ÷ 38,278 = -1.86%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

CSX Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (712) (936) (1,713) (746) (852)
Revenue 14,853 12,522 10,583 11,937 12,250
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -4.79% -7.48% -16.19% -6.25% -6.95%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp. -2.60% -0.67% -4.85%
Uber Technologies Inc. -37.21% -20.05% -92.54%
Union Pacific Corp. 0.57% -1.63% -6.52%
United Airlines Holdings Inc. -2.53% -20.60% -73.26%
United Parcel Service Inc. 6.78% 9.58% -3.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × -712 ÷ 14,853 = -4.79%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.