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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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CSX Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Cash Flow Statement
- Analysis of Solvency Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
- Net Profit Margin since 2005
- Debt to Equity since 2005
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2005
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
Between 2018 and 2022, the organization consistently failed to generate positive economic profit, indicating that the net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) remained insufficient to cover the cost of the invested capital throughout the period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT demonstrated a general growth trend, increasing from US$ 4,106 million in 2018 to US$ 4,863 million in 2022. A significant temporary decline was observed in 2020, where NOPAT dropped to US$ 3,545 million, followed by a strong recovery in 2021 and 2022.
- Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
- The total invested capital grew steadily over the five-year duration, rising from US$ 34,219 million in 2018 to US$ 38,278 million in 2022. During this expansion, the cost of capital remained relatively constant, oscillating between a low of 16.28% in 2020 and a high of 16.99% in 2022.
- Economic Profit Trajectory
- Economic profit remained negative for all reporting years, reflecting a persistent destruction of economic value. The most significant deficit occurred in 2020, reaching -US$ 2,582 million. While the economic profit improved toward the end of the period, ending at -US$ 1,642 million in 2022, the company did not reach a break-even point where operating profits exceeded the capital charge.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
7 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
The financial data reveals several key trends concerning profitability over the analyzed five-year period. Net earnings exhibited an initial slight increase from 2018 to 2019, growing marginally from 3,309 million USD to 3,331 million USD. This was followed by a noticeable decline in 2020 down to 2,765 million USD, indicating a downturn in earnings performance during that year. Subsequently, net earnings demonstrated a robust recovery, increasing significantly to 3,781 million USD in 2021 and further to 4,166 million USD in 2022, surpassing earlier results. This indicates a strong rebound and an overall positive trajectory post-2020.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibits a pattern comparable to net earnings, although at consistently higher absolute values. From 2018 to 2019, NOPAT increased slightly from 4,106 million USD to 4,174 million USD, similar to the initial net earnings rise. In 2020, NOPAT declined noticeably to 3,545 million USD, coinciding with the drop observed in net earnings. Afterwards, there was a marked recovery in 2021, with NOPAT rising to 4,534 million USD and continuing upward to 4,863 million USD in 2022, reflecting improvement in operational profitability.
- Net Earnings Trends
- - Slight growth from 2018 to 2019
- - Decline in 2020, possibly reflecting adverse conditions
- - Strong recovery and growth in 2021 and 2022, reaching record highs in the period
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
- - Positive growth early in the period (2018-2019)
- - Decrease in 2020 aligned with net earnings downturn
- - Significant rebound in 2021 and continued growth in 2022, indicating operational efficiency improvements
- Overall Insight
- The data suggests resilience in profitability following a challenging 2020, with both net earnings and NOPAT showing strong recovery and growth thereafter. Operational profits consistently exceeded net earnings, implying favorable non-operating factors or financial management contributing positively to net results.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
The financial data reflects the progression of income tax expense and cash operating taxes from 2018 to 2022, measured in millions of US dollars.
- Income Tax Expense
- This item shows a fluctuating but generally increasing trend across the five-year period. The expense declined slightly from 995 million in 2018 to 985 million in 2019, followed by a more noticeable decrease to 862 million in 2020. However, from 2020 onward, there was a significant rise to 1,170 million in 2021 and a further increase to 1,248 million in 2022, surpassing earlier years’ figures.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes exhibit a similar pattern to income tax expense. Starting at 854 million in 2018, the value increased marginally to 862 million in 2019, then decreased moderately to 842 million in 2020. Subsequently, there was a considerable rise to 1,159 million in 2021 and an additional increase to 1,284 million in 2022. The growth in 2021 and 2022 was strong enough to exceed the levels observed prior to 2020.
Overall, both income tax expense and cash operating taxes suffered declines in 2020, possibly reflecting economic conditions or operational factors impacting taxable income or tax payments during that year. The subsequent two years show recovery and robust increases, indicating higher taxable profits or changes in tax rates or policies. Notably, cash operating taxes slightly outpaced income tax expense in the last two years, which could suggest timing differences or changes in tax payment structures.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of construction in progress.
7 Subtraction of investments at fair value.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases demonstrated an overall increasing trend across the observed periods. Starting at $15,060 million at the end of 2018, the figure rose steadily to $18,604 million by the end of 2022. There was a noticeable increment from 2019 to 2020, followed by a slight decline in 2021, and then an uptick again in 2022 reaching the highest value in the series.
- Shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX
- Shareholders’ equity showed fluctuations during the five-year period. Beginning at $12,563 million in 2018, it decreased to $11,848 million in 2019. Subsequently, the equity improved, peaking at $13,490 million in 2021, before declining again to $12,615 million in 2022. This pattern suggests variable equity performance with no consistent growth trajectory.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital displayed a consistent growth pattern over the period examined. The value increased incrementally from $34,219 million in 2018 to $38,278 million in 2022. The growth was steady with modest year-to-year increases, indicating a gradual expansion of the capital base over time.
Cost of Capital
CSX Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| Union Pacific Corp. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance over the five-year period from 2018 to 2022 is characterized by a consistent inability to generate positive economic value added. Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire duration, indicating that the returns generated on invested capital were insufficient to cover the company's cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit exhibited significant volatility, starting at -1,671 million USD in 2018 and experiencing a sharp decline to a peak deficit of -2,582 million USD in 2020. A recovery phase followed this trough, with the deficit narrowing to -1,848 million USD in 2021 and further improving to -1,642 million USD by the end of 2022.
- Invested Capital Expansion
- A consistent upward trend in invested capital is observed. The capital base expanded from 34,219 million USD in 2018 to 38,278 million USD in 2022. This indicates a steady increase in the total resources deployed in the business over the analyzed period.
- Economic Spread Ratio Performance
- The economic spread ratio remained negative across all observed years, reflecting the persistent gap between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. The ratio reached its lowest point in 2020 at -6.86%, correlating with the maximum economic profit deficit. Since 2020, the ratio has shown a trend of gradual improvement, reaching -4.29% in 2022, which represents the highest efficiency level achieved within the five-year timeframe, despite remaining below the break-even point.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenue | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| Union Pacific Corp. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from 2018 to 2022 is characterized by persistent negative economic profit and significant volatility in both revenue and profit margins. While the company consistently failed to generate economic value above its cost of capital throughout the period, a trend of recovery is evident in the final two years.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit remained negative for the entire five-year duration. A significant deterioration occurred in 2020, where the economic loss widened to 2,582 million USD, marking the lowest point of the period. Following this trough, a recovery trend emerged, with losses narrowing to 1,848 million USD in 2021 and further improving to 1,642 million USD by the end of 2022.
- Revenue Trajectory
- Revenue experienced a decline between 2018 and 2020, falling from 12,250 million USD to a period low of 10,583 million USD. This downward trend reversed sharply in 2021, with revenue increasing to 12,522 million USD and continuing an upward trajectory to reach a peak of 14,853 million USD in 2022.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute economic profit and revenue figures. The margin reached its most deficit level of -24.40% in 2020, coinciding with the simultaneous decline in revenue. However, a consistent improvement is observed from 2021 onwards, with the margin reaching -11.05% in 2022. This indicates that although the company has not yet achieved positive economic value added, the rate of economic loss relative to revenue has decreased significantly from its 2020 peak.