Stock Analysis on Net

CSX Corp. (NASDAQ:CSX)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 20, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

CSX Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data reveals several patterns and trends over the five-year period analyzed.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT experienced a general increase over the period, starting at $4,106 million in 2018 and reaching a peak of $4,863 million by 2022. There was a decline in 2020 to $3,545 million, reflecting a possible impact of external adverse conditions. However, the figure rebounded strongly in the subsequent years, indicating recovery and growth.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed relatively stability with minor fluctuations. It slightly declined from 14.51% in 2018 to 13.99% in 2020, followed by an increase to approximately 14.59% in 2022. This suggests moderately changing market conditions affecting the company’s financing costs during the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital steadily increased from $34,219 million in 2018 to $38,278 million in 2022. The growth was gradual, with a notable rise between 2019 and 2020, continuing to maintain levels around $38 billion. This indicates ongoing investment in assets and possibly expansion initiatives.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the period, indicating that the company's returns did not exceed its cost of capital. While the deficit narrowed from -$859 million in 2018 to -$720 million in 2022, there were fluctuations, including a significant deterioration to -$1,721 million in 2020. This reflects challenges in generating value above the capital cost, despite improvements in NOPAT and invested capital.

Overall, the analysis shows a company steadily increasing operating profits and invested capital, but struggling to consistently generate positive economic profit. The changes in cost of capital and the dip during 2020 suggest sensitivity to external economic conditions. The gradual improvement in economic profit towards 2022 might indicate better capital efficiency or improved profitability strategies being implemented.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

CSX Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

7 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals several key trends concerning profitability over the analyzed five-year period. Net earnings exhibited an initial slight increase from 2018 to 2019, growing marginally from 3,309 million USD to 3,331 million USD. This was followed by a noticeable decline in 2020 down to 2,765 million USD, indicating a downturn in earnings performance during that year. Subsequently, net earnings demonstrated a robust recovery, increasing significantly to 3,781 million USD in 2021 and further to 4,166 million USD in 2022, surpassing earlier results. This indicates a strong rebound and an overall positive trajectory post-2020.

Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibits a pattern comparable to net earnings, although at consistently higher absolute values. From 2018 to 2019, NOPAT increased slightly from 4,106 million USD to 4,174 million USD, similar to the initial net earnings rise. In 2020, NOPAT declined noticeably to 3,545 million USD, coinciding with the drop observed in net earnings. Afterwards, there was a marked recovery in 2021, with NOPAT rising to 4,534 million USD and continuing upward to 4,863 million USD in 2022, reflecting improvement in operational profitability.

Net Earnings Trends
- Slight growth from 2018 to 2019
- Decline in 2020, possibly reflecting adverse conditions
- Strong recovery and growth in 2021 and 2022, reaching record highs in the period
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
- Positive growth early in the period (2018-2019)
- Decrease in 2020 aligned with net earnings downturn
- Significant rebound in 2021 and continued growth in 2022, indicating operational efficiency improvements
Overall Insight
The data suggests resilience in profitability following a challenging 2020, with both net earnings and NOPAT showing strong recovery and growth thereafter. Operational profits consistently exceeded net earnings, implying favorable non-operating factors or financial management contributing positively to net results.

Cash Operating Taxes

CSX Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


The financial data reflects the progression of income tax expense and cash operating taxes from 2018 to 2022, measured in millions of US dollars.

Income Tax Expense
This item shows a fluctuating but generally increasing trend across the five-year period. The expense declined slightly from 995 million in 2018 to 985 million in 2019, followed by a more noticeable decrease to 862 million in 2020. However, from 2020 onward, there was a significant rise to 1,170 million in 2021 and a further increase to 1,248 million in 2022, surpassing earlier years’ figures.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes exhibit a similar pattern to income tax expense. Starting at 854 million in 2018, the value increased marginally to 862 million in 2019, then decreased moderately to 842 million in 2020. Subsequently, there was a considerable rise to 1,159 million in 2021 and an additional increase to 1,284 million in 2022. The growth in 2021 and 2022 was strong enough to exceed the levels observed prior to 2020.

Overall, both income tax expense and cash operating taxes suffered declines in 2020, possibly reflecting economic conditions or operational factors impacting taxable income or tax payments during that year. The subsequent two years show recovery and robust increases, indicating higher taxable profits or changes in tax rates or policies. Notably, cash operating taxes slightly outpaced income tax expense in the last two years, which could suggest timing differences or changes in tax payment structures.


Invested Capital

CSX Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling minority interest
Adjusted shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX
Construction in progress6
Investments at fair value7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of investments at fair value.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrated an overall increasing trend across the observed periods. Starting at $15,060 million at the end of 2018, the figure rose steadily to $18,604 million by the end of 2022. There was a noticeable increment from 2019 to 2020, followed by a slight decline in 2021, and then an uptick again in 2022 reaching the highest value in the series.
Shareholders’ equity, attributable to CSX
Shareholders’ equity showed fluctuations during the five-year period. Beginning at $12,563 million in 2018, it decreased to $11,848 million in 2019. Subsequently, the equity improved, peaking at $13,490 million in 2021, before declining again to $12,615 million in 2022. This pattern suggests variable equity performance with no consistent growth trajectory.
Invested capital
Invested capital displayed a consistent growth pattern over the period examined. The value increased incrementally from $34,219 million in 2018 to $38,278 million in 2022. The growth was steady with modest year-to-year increases, indicating a gradual expansion of the capital base over time.

Cost of Capital

CSX Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

CSX Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp.
Uber Technologies Inc.
Union Pacific Corp.
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
United Parcel Service Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated a fluctuating trend over the analyzed period. It showed a negative value throughout, indicating losses from 2018 to 2022. Specifically, the loss decreased from -859 million US dollars in 2018 to -753 million in 2019, then worsened significantly to -1721 million in 2020. Subsequently, it improved to -945 million in 2021 and further to -720 million in 2022, signaling partial recovery though the company remained unprofitable in economic terms.
Invested Capital
The invested capital showed a steady increase during the same timeframe. Starting at 34,219 million US dollars in 2018, it rose consistently each year, reaching 38,278 million by the end of 2022. This gradual growth suggests ongoing investments or asset accumulation despite the persistent negative economic profit.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio stayed negative throughout, which aligns with the negative economic profit. It started at -2.51% in 2018, improved slightly to -2.16% in 2019, then deteriorated markedly to -4.57% in 2020. Following this dip, an upward trend was observed with values rising to -2.51% in 2021 and -1.88% in 2022. This pattern mirrors the economic profit fluctuations and indicates an improvement in return relative to invested capital though profitability remains below breakeven.

Economic Profit Margin

CSX Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp.
Uber Technologies Inc.
Union Pacific Corp.
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
United Parcel Service Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenue Trends
The revenue demonstrates a fluctuating yet overall increasing trend over the five-year period. Starting at $12,250 million in 2018, revenue slightly declined to $11,937 million in 2019 and further dropped to $10,583 million in 2020. However, a recovery is evident in the following years with growth to $12,522 million in 2021 and a notable increase to $14,853 million in 2022, marking the highest revenue recorded in this timeframe.
Economic Profit Analysis
The economic profit remains negative throughout the analyzed years, indicating that economic losses were incurred each year. Although the economic profit improved from -$859 million in 2018 to -$753 million in 2019, there was a sharp deterioration in 2020, with a substantial loss of -$1,721 million. Subsequently, economic profit improved again in 2021 and 2022, reaching -$945 million and -$720 million respectively, yet it did not return to the levels seen prior to 2020.
Economic Profit Margin Insights
The economic profit margin follows a pattern similar to the economic profit values. The margin was negative but relatively moderate at -7.01% in 2018 and slightly improved to -6.31% in 2019. In 2020, the margin significantly worsened to -16.26%, reflecting the increased economic losses for that year. Improved margins are observed in the subsequent years, rising to -7.54% in 2021 and further to -4.85% in 2022, indicating an enhancement in profitability efficiency despite remaining in negative territory.
Overall Financial Implications
The data indicates that the company experienced significant challenges in 2020, as evidenced by decreased revenue, elevated economic losses, and a steep decline in economic profit margin. However, recovery trends in 2021 and 2022 suggest that operational performance and profitability began to improve post-2020, with revenues growing and economic losses diminishing. Nevertheless, the persistent negative economic profit and margin highlight the need for continued focus on profitability improvements.