Stock Analysis on Net

Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS)

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) 

Microsoft Excel

Rates of Return

Walt Disney Co., monthly rates of return

Microsoft Excel
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t Date PriceDIS,t1 DividendDIS,t1 RDIS,t2 PriceS&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
Oct 31, 2017 $97.81 2,575.26
1. Nov 30, 2017 $104.82 7.17% 2,647.58 2.81%
2. Dec 31, 2017 $107.51 $0.84 3.37% 2,673.61 0.98%
3. Jan 31, 2018 $108.67 1.08% 2,823.81 5.62%
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
70. Aug 31, 2023 $83.68 -5.86% 4,507.66 -1.77%
71. Sep 30, 2023 $81.05 -3.14% 4,288.05 -4.87%
Average (R): 0.21% 0.85%
Standard deviation: 9.39% 5.13%
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t Date PriceDIS,t1 DividendDIS,t1 RDIS,t2 PriceS&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
Oct 31, 2017 $97.81 2,575.26
1. Nov 30, 2017 $104.82 7.17% 2,647.58 2.81%
2. Dec 31, 2017 $107.51 $0.84 3.37% 2,673.61 0.98%
3. Jan 31, 2018 $108.67 1.08% 2,823.81 5.62%
4. Feb 28, 2018 $103.16 -5.07% 2,713.83 -3.89%
5. Mar 31, 2018 $100.44 -2.64% 2,640.87 -2.69%
6. Apr 30, 2018 $100.33 -0.11% 2,648.05 0.27%
7. May 31, 2018 $99.47 -0.86% 2,705.27 2.16%
8. Jun 30, 2018 $104.81 5.37% 2,718.37 0.48%
9. Jul 31, 2018 $113.56 $0.84 9.15% 2,816.29 3.60%
10. Aug 31, 2018 $112.02 -1.36% 2,901.52 3.03%
11. Sep 30, 2018 $116.94 4.39% 2,913.98 0.43%
12. Oct 31, 2018 $114.83 -1.80% 2,711.74 -6.94%
13. Nov 30, 2018 $115.49 0.57% 2,760.17 1.79%
14. Dec 31, 2018 $109.65 $0.88 -4.29% 2,506.85 -9.18%
15. Jan 31, 2019 $111.52 1.71% 2,704.10 7.87%
16. Feb 28, 2019 $112.84 1.18% 2,784.49 2.97%
17. Mar 31, 2019 $111.03 -1.60% 2,834.40 1.79%
18. Apr 30, 2019 $136.97 23.36% 2,945.83 3.93%
19. May 31, 2019 $132.04 -3.60% 2,752.06 -6.58%
20. Jun 30, 2019 $139.64 5.76% 2,941.76 6.89%
21. Jul 31, 2019 $143.01 $0.88 3.04% 2,980.38 1.31%
22. Aug 31, 2019 $137.26 -4.02% 2,926.46 -1.81%
23. Sep 30, 2019 $130.32 -5.06% 2,976.74 1.72%
24. Oct 31, 2019 $129.92 -0.31% 3,037.56 2.04%
25. Nov 30, 2019 $151.58 16.67% 3,140.98 3.40%
26. Dec 31, 2019 $144.63 $0.88 -4.00% 3,230.78 2.86%
27. Jan 31, 2020 $138.31 -4.37% 3,225.52 -0.16%
28. Feb 29, 2020 $117.65 -14.94% 2,954.22 -8.41%
29. Mar 31, 2020 $96.60 -17.89% 2,584.59 -12.51%
30. Apr 30, 2020 $108.15 11.96% 2,912.43 12.68%
31. May 31, 2020 $117.30 8.46% 3,044.31 4.53%
32. Jun 30, 2020 $111.51 -4.94% 3,100.29 1.84%
33. Jul 31, 2020 $116.94 4.87% 3,271.12 5.51%
34. Aug 31, 2020 $131.87 12.77% 3,500.31 7.01%
35. Sep 30, 2020 $124.08 -5.91% 3,363.00 -3.92%
36. Oct 31, 2020 $121.25 -2.28% 3,269.96 -2.77%
37. Nov 30, 2020 $148.01 22.07% 3,621.63 10.75%
38. Dec 31, 2020 $181.18 22.41% 3,756.07 3.71%
39. Jan 31, 2021 $168.17 -7.18% 3,714.24 -1.11%
40. Feb 28, 2021 $189.04 12.41% 3,811.15 2.61%
41. Mar 31, 2021 $184.52 -2.39% 3,972.89 4.24%
42. Apr 30, 2021 $186.02 0.81% 4,181.17 5.24%
43. May 31, 2021 $178.65 -3.96% 4,204.11 0.55%
44. Jun 30, 2021 $175.77 -1.61% 4,297.50 2.22%
45. Jul 31, 2021 $176.02 0.14% 4,395.26 2.27%
46. Aug 31, 2021 $181.30 3.00% 4,522.68 2.90%
47. Sep 30, 2021 $169.17 -6.69% 4,307.54 -4.76%
48. Oct 31, 2021 $169.07 -0.06% 4,605.38 6.91%
49. Nov 30, 2021 $144.90 -14.30% 4,567.00 -0.83%
50. Dec 31, 2021 $154.89 6.89% 4,766.18 4.36%
51. Jan 31, 2022 $142.97 -7.70% 4,515.55 -5.26%
52. Feb 28, 2022 $148.46 3.84% 4,373.94 -3.14%
53. Mar 31, 2022 $137.16 -7.61% 4,530.41 3.58%
54. Apr 30, 2022 $111.63 -18.61% 4,131.93 -8.80%
55. May 31, 2022 $110.44 -1.07% 4,132.15 0.01%
56. Jun 30, 2022 $94.40 -14.52% 3,785.38 -8.39%
57. Jul 31, 2022 $106.10 12.39% 4,130.29 9.11%
58. Aug 31, 2022 $112.08 5.64% 3,955.00 -4.24%
59. Sep 30, 2022 $94.33 -15.84% 3,585.62 -9.34%
60. Oct 31, 2022 $106.54 12.94% 3,871.98 7.99%
61. Nov 30, 2022 $97.87 -8.14% 4,080.11 5.38%
62. Dec 31, 2022 $86.88 -11.23% 3,839.50 -5.90%
63. Jan 31, 2023 $108.49 24.87% 4,076.60 6.18%
64. Feb 28, 2023 $99.61 -8.19% 3,970.15 -2.61%
65. Mar 31, 2023 $100.13 0.52% 4,109.31 3.51%
66. Apr 30, 2023 $102.50 2.37% 4,169.48 1.46%
67. May 31, 2023 $87.96 -14.19% 4,179.83 0.25%
68. Jun 30, 2023 $89.28 1.50% 4,376.86 4.71%
69. Jul 31, 2023 $88.89 -0.44% 4,588.96 4.85%
70. Aug 31, 2023 $83.68 -5.86% 4,507.66 -1.77%
71. Sep 30, 2023 $81.05 -3.14% 4,288.05 -4.87%
Average (R): 0.21% 0.85%
Standard deviation: 9.39% 5.13%

Show all

1 Data in US$ per share of common stock, adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 Rate of return on common stock of DIS during period t

3 Rate of return on S&P 500 (the market portfolio proxy) during period t


Variance and Covariance

Walt Disney Co., calculation of variance and covariance of returns

Microsoft Excel
t Date RDIS,t RS&P 500,t (RDIS,tRDIS)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RDIS,tRDIS)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. Nov 30, 2017 7.17% 2.81% 48.39 3.83 13.61
2. Dec 31, 2017 3.37% 0.98% 9.97 0.02 0.42
3. Jan 31, 2018 1.08% 5.62% 0.75 22.72 4.14
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
70. Aug 31, 2023 -5.86% -1.77% 36.86 6.88 15.92
71. Sep 30, 2023 -3.14% -4.87% 11.24 32.75 19.19
Total (Σ): 6,172.98 1,838.69 2,310.12
t Date RDIS,t RS&P 500,t (RDIS,tRDIS)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RDIS,tRDIS)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. Nov 30, 2017 7.17% 2.81% 48.39 3.83 13.61
2. Dec 31, 2017 3.37% 0.98% 9.97 0.02 0.42
3. Jan 31, 2018 1.08% 5.62% 0.75 22.72 4.14
4. Feb 28, 2018 -5.07% -3.89% 27.89 22.52 25.06
5. Mar 31, 2018 -2.64% -2.69% 8.11 12.53 10.08
6. Apr 30, 2018 -0.11% 0.27% 0.10 0.34 0.19
7. May 31, 2018 -0.86% 2.16% 1.14 1.71 -1.40
8. Jun 30, 2018 5.37% 0.48% 26.61 0.13 -1.89
9. Jul 31, 2018 9.15% 3.60% 79.92 7.57 24.59
10. Aug 31, 2018 -1.36% 3.03% 2.45 4.73 -3.41
11. Sep 30, 2018 4.39% 0.43% 17.49 0.18 -1.76
12. Oct 31, 2018 -1.80% -6.94% 4.06 60.71 15.70
13. Nov 30, 2018 0.57% 1.79% 0.13 0.87 0.34
14. Dec 31, 2018 -4.29% -9.18% 20.30 100.58 45.18
15. Jan 31, 2019 1.71% 7.87% 2.24 49.24 10.49
16. Feb 28, 2019 1.18% 2.97% 0.95 4.50 2.07
17. Mar 31, 2019 -1.60% 1.79% 3.29 0.89 -1.71
18. Apr 30, 2019 23.36% 3.93% 536.05 9.49 71.31
19. May 31, 2019 -3.60% -6.58% 14.51 55.19 28.30
20. Jun 30, 2019 5.76% 6.89% 30.75 36.50 33.50
21. Jul 31, 2019 3.04% 1.31% 8.03 0.21 1.31
22. Aug 31, 2019 -4.02% -1.81% 17.90 7.08 11.26
23. Sep 30, 2019 -5.06% 1.72% 27.74 0.75 -4.57
24. Oct 31, 2019 -0.31% 2.04% 0.27 1.42 -0.62
25. Nov 30, 2019 16.67% 3.40% 270.98 6.52 42.03
26. Dec 31, 2019 -4.00% 2.86% 17.76 4.03 -8.46
27. Jan 31, 2020 -4.37% -0.16% 20.98 1.03 4.64
28. Feb 29, 2020 -14.94% -8.41% 229.45 85.79 140.30
29. Mar 31, 2020 -17.89% -12.51% 327.70 178.57 241.91
30. Apr 30, 2020 11.96% 12.68% 137.97 140.02 138.99
31. May 31, 2020 8.46% 4.53% 68.07 13.52 30.34
32. Jun 30, 2020 -4.94% 1.84% 26.49 0.98 -5.08
33. Jul 31, 2020 4.87% 5.51% 21.71 21.71 21.71
34. Aug 31, 2020 12.77% 7.01% 157.68 37.89 77.29
35. Sep 30, 2020 -5.91% -3.92% 37.43 22.79 29.21
36. Oct 31, 2020 -2.28% -2.77% 6.21 13.09 9.01
37. Nov 30, 2020 22.07% 10.75% 477.85 98.08 216.48
38. Dec 31, 2020 22.41% 3.71% 492.85 8.18 63.51
39. Jan 31, 2021 -7.18% -1.11% 54.63 3.86 14.52
40. Feb 28, 2021 12.41% 2.61% 148.83 3.09 21.45
41. Mar 31, 2021 -2.39% 4.24% 6.77 11.51 -8.83
42. Apr 30, 2021 0.81% 5.24% 0.36 19.28 2.65
43. May 31, 2021 -3.96% 0.55% 17.41 0.09 1.26
44. Jun 30, 2021 -1.61% 2.22% 3.32 1.88 -2.50
45. Jul 31, 2021 0.14% 2.27% 0.00 2.03 -0.10
46. Aug 31, 2021 3.00% 2.90% 7.78 4.19 5.71
47. Sep 30, 2021 -6.69% -4.76% 47.62 31.45 38.70
48. Oct 31, 2021 -0.06% 6.91% 0.07 36.76 -1.63
49. Nov 30, 2021 -14.30% -0.83% 210.43 2.84 24.44
50. Dec 31, 2021 6.89% 4.36% 44.68 12.32 23.46
51. Jan 31, 2022 -7.70% -5.26% 62.51 37.33 48.30
52. Feb 28, 2022 3.84% -3.14% 13.17 15.90 -14.47
53. Mar 31, 2022 -7.61% 3.58% 61.18 7.43 -21.32
54. Apr 30, 2022 -18.61% -8.80% 354.33 93.06 181.59
55. May 31, 2022 -1.07% 0.01% 1.63 0.72 1.08
56. Jun 30, 2022 -14.52% -8.39% 217.09 85.44 136.19
57. Jul 31, 2022 12.39% 9.11% 148.44 68.23 100.64
58. Aug 31, 2022 5.64% -4.24% 29.44 25.96 -27.65
59. Sep 30, 2022 -15.84% -9.34% 257.51 103.85 163.53
60. Oct 31, 2022 12.94% 7.99% 162.14 50.91 90.86
61. Nov 30, 2022 -8.14% 5.38% 69.69 20.47 -37.77
62. Dec 31, 2022 -11.23% -5.90% 130.86 45.54 77.20
63. Jan 31, 2023 24.87% 6.18% 608.27 28.35 131.31
64. Feb 28, 2023 -8.19% -2.61% 70.48 11.99 29.07
65. Mar 31, 2023 0.52% 3.51% 0.10 7.04 0.83
66. Apr 30, 2023 2.37% 1.46% 4.65 0.38 1.32
67. May 31, 2023 -14.19% 0.25% 207.24 0.36 8.68
68. Jun 30, 2023 1.50% 4.71% 1.67 14.92 4.98
69. Jul 31, 2023 -0.44% 4.85% 0.42 15.96 -2.59
70. Aug 31, 2023 -5.86% -1.77% 36.86 6.88 15.92
71. Sep 30, 2023 -3.14% -4.87% 11.24 32.75 19.19
Total (Σ): 6,172.98 1,838.69 2,310.12

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VarianceDIS = Σ(RDIS,tRDIS)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 6,172.98 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 88.19

VarianceS&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 1,838.69 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 26.27

CovarianceDIS, S&P 500 = Σ(RDIS,tRDIS)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500) ÷ (71 – 1)
= 2,310.12 ÷ (71 – 1)
= 33.00


Systematic Risk (β) Estimation

Microsoft Excel
VarianceDIS 88.19
VarianceS&P 500 26.27
CovarianceDIS, S&P 500 33.00
Correlation coefficientDIS, S&P 5001 0.69
βDIS2 1.26
αDIS3 -0.86%

Calculations

1 Correlation coefficientDIS, S&P 500
= CovarianceDIS, S&P 500 ÷ (Standard deviationDIS × Standard deviationS&P 500)
= 33.00 ÷ (9.39% × 5.13%)
= 0.69

2 βDIS
= CovarianceDIS, S&P 500 ÷ VarianceS&P 500
= 33.00 ÷ 26.27
= 1.26

3 αDIS
= AverageDIS – βDIS × AverageS&P 500
= 0.21%1.26 × 0.85%
= -0.86%


Expected Rate of Return

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF 4.46%
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) 13.29%
Systematic risk (β) of Walt Disney Co. common stock βDIS 1.26
 
Expected rate of return on Walt Disney Co. common stock3 E(RDIS) 15.55%

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 E(RDIS) = RF + βDIS [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.46% + 1.26 [13.29%4.46%]
= 15.55%