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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Target Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Cash Flow Statement
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Current Ratio since 2005
- Analysis of Debt
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Feb 1, 2025 | Feb 3, 2024 | Jan 28, 2023 | Jan 29, 2022 | Jan 30, 2021 | Feb 1, 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | |||||||
Cost of capital2 | |||||||
Invested capital3 | |||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT showed an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2022, increasing from 3896 million to a peak of 7872 million. However, there was a sharp decline in 2023 to 3821 million, followed by a recovery in 2024 to 4953 million, and another decrease in 2025 to 4376 million. This indicates volatility in operating profitability in the latter years after steady growth in the early period.
- Cost of capital
- The cost of capital percentage generally remained stable with minor fluctuations. It increased slightly from 12.67% in 2020 to 13.57% in 2022, then decreased to 13% in 2023 and remained almost steady around 13% in 2024 before declining further to 12.01% in 2025. The downward trend in the most recent years may suggest easing capital costs.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital grew consistently over the examined period, starting at 27,256 million in 2020 and increasing steadily each year to reach 36,107 million by 2025. This reflects ongoing investment or asset base expansion.
- Economic profit
- Economic profit followed a highly variable pattern. It nearly doubled from 443 million in 2020 to 920 million in 2021 and then surged to a peak of 3,781 million in 2022, indicating a period of substantial value creation. However, it dramatically dropped to a negative figure (-107 million) in 2023, signifying a value loss despite positive accounting profits that year. The economic profit rebounded to 486 million in 2024 and slightly decreased to 40 million in 2025, showing marginal positive value added in recent periods but far below earlier peaks.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
3 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
4 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of net interest expense = Adjusted net interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
5 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
6 Elimination of discontinued operations.
- Net Earnings
- The net earnings demonstrate significant variability over the observed periods. Starting at 3,281 million USD in 2020, earnings increased markedly to 4,368 million USD in 2021 and then exhibited a strong peak at 6,946 million USD in 2022. However, the subsequent years show a pronounced decline, with net earnings dropping to 2,780 million USD in 2023. Thereafter, earnings partially recovered to 4,138 million USD in 2024 and slightly decreased to 4,091 million USD in 2025. This trend suggests a period of robust profit growth culminating in 2022, followed by a sharp contraction and partial stabilization in the latest years.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT follows a pattern somewhat aligned with net earnings but with some variation in magnitude. Beginning at 3,896 million USD in 2020, NOPAT increased steadily to 5,024 million USD in 2021 and then experienced a substantial rise to 7,872 million USD in 2022. This was followed by a notable decrease to 3,821 million USD in 2023. The value subsequently increased to 4,953 million USD in 2024, then declined again to 4,376 million USD in 2025. The pattern indicates that operational profitability reached its highest point in 2022 and then declined sharply in 2023, showing a moderate recovery but not reaching previous peak levels in the following years.
- Summary of Trends
- Both net earnings and NOPAT reveal a strong growth phase culminating in 2022, indicative of favorable business conditions or operational efficiencies. The significant declines in both metrics in 2023 point to potential challenges or adverse conditions impacting profitability in that period. The partial rebound in 2024 followed by stabilization or slight decline in 2025 indicates the firm is managing to recover from the downturn but has yet to regain peak profitability levels seen in 2022. Overall, the data reflect volatility in profitability with a cyclical peak and trough pattern over the six-year span.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
- Provision for Income Taxes
- The provision for income taxes exhibited an overall upward trend from February 1, 2020, through January 29, 2022, increasing from $921 million to $1961 million. This represents a significant rise over the two-year span. Subsequently, there was a marked decline to $638 million as of January 28, 2023, after which the provision increased again, reaching approximately $1170 million by February 1, 2025. This fluctuation suggests variability in taxable income or changes in tax planning strategies over the years measured.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes showed considerable volatility throughout the period. Starting at $862 million in February 2020, the amount rose sharply to $1585 million by January 30, 2021, and remained relatively high at $1546 million in January 29, 2022. However, in the following year, there was a steep decline to $178 million in January 28, 2023. After this trough, cash operating taxes rebounded to $998 million in February 3, 2024, and further increased to $1474 million by February 1, 2025. These wide swings indicate fluctuations in actual tax outflows, possibly influenced by changes in taxable income, timing differences, or tax payments.
- Comparative Insights
- Both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes showed similar patterns of rising sharply in the early years, reaching peaks around 2021-2022, followed by sharp declines in 2023, and then partial recoveries towards 2025. Notably, the cash operating taxes displayed greater volatility compared to provisions, suggesting possible timing mismatches or adjustments between accounting provisions and actual cash tax payments. The divergence in the magnitude of changes, particularly the sharp drop in cash operating taxes in 2023 compared to provisions, may reflect tax refunds, credits, or other operational factors affecting cash flows distinct from accounting accruals.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ investment.
4 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
5 Subtraction of construction-in-progress.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases show a consistent upward trend across the periods, increasing from $13,974 million in early 2020 to $19,875 million by early 2025. This indicates a growing reliance on debt and lease obligations over the five-year span, with the most notable increases occurring between 2021 and 2023. The growth rate appears to moderate slightly towards the final years but remains at a high absolute level.
- Shareholders’ Investment
- Shareholders’ investment exhibits more fluctuation compared to debt levels. It initially rises from $11,833 million in 2020 to a peak of $14,440 million in 2021, followed by a decline through 2023 down to $11,232 million. After this trough, it rebounds significantly in 2024 and 2025, reaching $14,666 million. This pattern suggests periods of both contraction and expansion in shareholder equity, possibly reflecting profit retention, dividend policy changes, or equity financing activities during these years.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital shows a general upward trajectory over the observed time frame. Beginning at $27,256 million in 2020, it increases steadily with a slight dip only in 2022, remaining around $30,000 million before accelerating growth to $36,107 million by 2025. The growth in invested capital aligns with the increasing debt levels and mostly recovering shareholders’ investment, indicating an overall expansion in the company’s capital base.
- Overall Analysis
- The financial data depicts a company increasing its capital base primarily through rising debt while shareholders’ equity shows variability. The growing total invested capital alongside increasing debt suggests that the company may be financing growth or operations with a heavier reliance on debt instruments. The variable equity levels imply possible fluctuations in earnings retention or capital structure adjustments. This pattern of rising debt and invested capital coupled with equity variability may have implications for financial leverage and risk profile over the reported years.
Cost of Capital
Target Corp., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and other borrowings, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Feb 1, 2025 | Feb 3, 2024 | Jan 28, 2023 | Jan 29, 2022 | Jan 30, 2021 | Feb 1, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||||
Economic profit1 | |||||||
Invested capital2 | |||||||
Performance Ratio | |||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | |||||||
Benchmarks | |||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||||
Costco Wholesale Corp. | |||||||
Walmart Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit exhibited significant volatility over the observed periods. Initially, there was a substantial increase from 443 million USD in early 2020 to 920 million USD in early 2021, followed by a sharp peak at 3,781 million USD in early 2022. However, this was followed by a drastic decline to a negative economic profit of -107 million USD in early 2023. Subsequently, economic profit showed a slight recovery, returning to positive values of 486 million USD in early 2024 and decreasing again to 40 million USD by early 2025. Overall, the data indicates notable fluctuations with no clear upward or downward trend in the later years.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital demonstrated a generally upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 27,256 million USD in early 2020, it increased steadily to 30,495 million USD in early 2021. It remained relatively stable around the 30,000 million USD mark through early 2023, after which it experienced further growth reaching 34,307 million USD in early 2024, and advancing to 36,107 million USD by early 2025. This consistent increase suggests continued investment and capital deployment over time.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, expressed as a percentage, mirrored the economic profit's volatility. It increased from 1.63% in early 2020 to 3.02% in early 2021, with a pronounced spike to 12.54% in early 2022. Following this peak, the ratio turned negative, declining to -0.35% in early 2023. It then rebounded somewhat to 1.42% in early 2024, before falling again to 0.11% in early 2025. The wide fluctuations indicate variability in the return on invested capital above the cost of capital, with positive spreads predominantly in the earlier part of the period and near break-even or marginally positive spreads toward the end.
Economic Profit Margin
Feb 1, 2025 | Feb 3, 2024 | Jan 28, 2023 | Jan 29, 2022 | Jan 30, 2021 | Feb 1, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | |||||||
Economic profit1 | |||||||
Net sales | |||||||
Performance Ratio | |||||||
Economic profit margin2 | |||||||
Benchmarks | |||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||||
Costco Wholesale Corp. | |||||||
Walmart Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-02-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Net Sales
- Net sales demonstrated a consistent upward trend from February 2020 through January 2023, increasing from $78,112 million to a peak of $109,120 million. However, a slight decline is observed in the subsequent periods, with sales decreasing to $107,412 million in February 2024 and further to $106,566 million in February 2025. This indicates modest sales contraction after continuous growth.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit showed substantial volatility over the analyzed periods. Beginning at $443 million in February 2020, it more than doubled to $920 million by January 2021 and then surged notably to $3,781 million in January 2022. Following this peak, a sharp decline occurred, plunging into negative territory at -$107 million in January 2023. Afterwards, economic profit recovered partially with positive values of $486 million and $40 million in February 2024 and February 2025, respectively. This pattern reflects significant fluctuations in profitability unrelated to net sales trends.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin parallels the volatility observed in economic profit figures. Starting at 0.57% in February 2020, it improved steadily to 0.98% in January 2021 and peaked at 3.57% in January 2022. Corresponding with the negative economic profit in January 2023, the margin turned negative to -0.1%, signaling a period of losses relative to sales. Margins shifted back to positive but remained low at 0.45% in February 2024 and further decreased to 0.04% in February 2025. Overall, the margin trend underscores fluctuating profitability efficiency throughout the periods.